COVID-19 Resources by Topic
The COVID-19 pandemic is a major health crisis straining the healthcare system and affecting us all. The IARS is committed to supporting our members who are addressing this illness on the front lines in any way we can.
IARS has assembled a content base with the latest peer-reviewed articles on COVID-19 from leading medical journals, sorted by topic and chronologically. In the COVID-19 Resource Newsletter healthcare professionals on the frontlines are given access to global peer experiences and education from publications hand-selected and reviewed by the IARS COVID-19 Scientific Advisory Board. All of these articles are openly available without login.
Click on a phrase below to see resources on that topic. To search by keyword, select Ctrl + F on a PC and Command + F on a Mac. Then, enter keyword and Enter.
I. SARS COV-2 Pandemic
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- Epidemiology
January 10, 2022- An infectious SARS-CoV-2 B.1.1.529 Omicron virus escapes neutralization by therapeutic monoclonal antibodies. 1/4/22. VanBlargan L. Res Sq.
This invitro study compares the ability of existing monoclonal antibodies to SARS-CoV-2 (mAb) to neutralize B1.1.529 (Omicron) versus a COVID-19 variant previously studied by the authors and known to be susceptible to mAb. Structural models were used to compare the Omicron spike to the various mAb structures. Using Vero cells, the focus reduction neutralization test demonstrated that the Regeneron, Lilly, and Celltrion mAbs completely lost the ability to neutralize Omicron. The effectiveness of AstraZeneca monoclonal antibodies was reduced 12 fold. S309 (the parent of sotrovimab) was affected least, but was less potent with cells expressing hACE2. - Reduced neutralisation of SARS-CoV-2 omicron B.1.1.529 variant by post-immunisation serum. 12/23/2021. Dejnirattisai W. Lancet.
This research letter from the UK presents preliminary data on live virus neutralization by sera from individuals fully vaccinated with either the AstraZeneca (n=22) or Pfizer (n=21) vaccines comparing neutralization of Omicron with Delta and 2 other previous variants. Pfizer provided better protection against Omicron than AZ however protection from either vaccine was far lower than against Delta. This information may inform booster strategies and the development of future monovalent or multivalent vaccines.
November 8, 2021- The immunology of asymptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infection: what are the key questions? 10/20/21. Boyton RJ. Nat Rev Immunol.
This article is a well-referenced analysis of the often-contradictory data regarding SARS-CoV-2 asymptomatic infection (AI). Prevalence of AI vs. symptomatic infection (SI) vary widely from 20-80% of total cases, higher in younger populations. In Wuhan, even without symptoms, one-third had computer tomography lung changes. The immune basis of AI vs. SI remains unclear: viral and neutralizing antibody titers appear equivalent. AI viral-shedding is shorter and antibody titers decline more rapidly. AI is not “benign”; up to 19% result in “long COVID.” AI-adaptive immunity appears strong and primes immune memory. Additionally, silent viral carriage can result in future variants of concern.
August 30, 2021
- SARS-CoV-2 variant prediction and antiviral drug design are enabled by RBD in vitro evolution. 8/16/2021. Zahradník J. Nature Microbiology.
Following increasing rounds of in vitro binding to ever-decreasing amounts of ACE-2, the Receptor Binding Domain (RBD) sequence underwent mutation “evolution”. The progressive mutations mimicked the evolutionary path of amino acid substitutions that emerged with Alpha, Beta and Gamma variants! Also, the mutations correlated with the successive higher ACE-2 affinity of pandemic-emergent VOC. Additional evolving mutations had 1,000-fold increased binding and were more infectious. The high-affinity variant “RBD-62” administered before or after infection, inhibited hamster SARS-CoV-2 disease. The cryo-electron microscopy structure of RBD-62/ACE2 complex, provides a basis for future drug and vaccine development and in silico evaluation of antibodies.
April 26, 2021
- The immune response to SARS-CoV-2 and COVID-19 immunopathology – Current perspectives. 4/19/21. Boechat JL. Pulmonology.
These authors review publications through January 2021 on the immunobiology of SARS-CoV-2, virus-receptor interactions, and host immune responses. They focus on impaired innate and acquired immunity as it relates to disease progression and mortality. Immunotherapeutic and pharmacologic strategies targeting both the virus and dysfunctional immune responses are also addressed.
March 29, 2021
- The first 12 months of COVID-19: a timeline of immunological insights. 3/15/21. Carvalho T. Nature Reviews.
Starting with a cluster in Wuhan, China in December 2019, this review summarizes in documentary style, month-to-month key clinical developments and laboratory discoveries over the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic. Many immunologists quickly pivoted from their existing research to study SARS-CoV-2. This brought about a remarkable convergence of knowledge focused on one viral infection. Clinical consortia were formed. In an unprecedented fashion, developments were announced in preprint servers and media to speed information dissemination. The authors prominently showcase the extraordinary leaps in understanding SARS-CoV-2 immune responses and highlight knowledge gaps and areas for future investigations.
February 8, 2021
- SARS-CoV-2 infects and replicates in cells of the human endocrine and exocrine pancreas. 2/4/21. Müller JA. Nat Metab.
These investigators show that SARS-CoV-2 can cause diabetes in the absence of autoantibodies and other pancreatic disorders by directly infecting human exocrine (enzyme-producing) and endocrine (hormone-producing) pancreatic cells. Beta-cells (insulin-producing) express ACE-2, and TMPRSS2 allowing entry and then viral replication, inhibitable by remdesivir. The reduction in insulin-secretory granules in beta-cells results in reduced glucose-stimulated insulin secretion. The nucleocapsid protein was detected in four post-mortems in exocrine cells, beta-cells and in close proximity to the islets of Langerhans. These data suggest that SARS-CoV-2 targeting the pancreas leads to endocrine dysregulation (hyperglycemia, DKA, new onset Type-1 diabetes) and pancreatitis (up to 33%).
January 25, 2021
- Circuits between infected macrophages and T cells in SARS-CoV-2 pneumonia. 1/11/21. Grant RA. Nature.
In this basic science article, using flow cytometry and transcriptomic profiling these investigators compared bronchoalveolar lavage (BAL) samples from 88 patients with SARS-CoV-2 respiratory failure to 211 patients with non-SARS-CoV-2 failure. In 10 SARS-CoV-2 BALs they analyzed single-cell RNA-seq. In SARS-CoV-2, the alveolar space was enriched in T cells (CD4+ and CD8+) and monocytes; only 31% had neutrophilia. Transcriptomes suggested that SARS-CoV-2 directly infects alveolar macrophages (AM), which produce T-cell chemo-attractants. T-cells then produce interferon-gamma. Feedback to AM promotes further T-cell activation. In contrast to non-SARS-CoV-2, SARS-CoV-2 causes a slowly unfolding, spatially limited alveolitis. Infected AM and T cells form a positive feedback circuit.
January 11, 2021
- Promising Therapy for Heart Failure in Patients with Severe COVID-19: Calming the Cytokine Storm. 1/6/2021. Peng X. Cardiovasc Drugs Ther.
This detailed and well referenced review covers key mechanistic links between Covid-19 cytokine-storm, subsequent myocardial injury and progression to heart failure (HF). Heightened release of cytokines may result in myocardial damage through direct injury, general inflammation, thrombosis, hypoxemia and downregulation of ACE2 on cardiomyocytes and vascular endothelium. Key inflammatory cytokines include TNFa and IL-1b; both produce accumulation of interstitial collagen fibers and IL-6 which can induce cardiomyocyte hypertrophy and diastolic dysfunction. HF therapies may include cytokine inhibitors, corticosteroids, type-I and -III interferons, but their timing needs investigation. Current guidance suggests maintaining or starting ACEIs and ARBs; benefits may outweigh risks. - SARS-CoV-2 Variant – United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland. 12/21/20. WHO.
UK scientists sequenced a SARS-CoV-2 variant (VUI 202012/01) now representing >50% of isolates in South East England. The variant shows 14 mutations resulting in amino acid changes and three deletions. Significant mutations in the receptor binding domain are N501Y and P681H. A deletion at position 69/70 affects the Spike (S)-gene. The variant increases transmissibility between 40-70%, adding 0.4 to R0 bringing it to 1.5-1.7. Investigations are ongoing to determine if this variant will change symptom severity, antibody responses or vaccine efficacy. Most PCRs target multiple sequences and therefore the impact of the variant on diagnostics is not anticipated to be significant.
SAB Comment: In order to understand the epidemiology of any variant, widespread and frequent genetic sequencing of viral testing samples is needed. Currently, the US lags far behind the UK in this regard, sequencing ~1% of samples vs. >10% in the UK. Therefore, relatively little is known about the spread of the “UK variant” in the US.
January 4, 2021
- Genetic mechanisms of critical illness in Covid-19. 12/11/20. Pairo-Castineira E. Nature.
Oriented towards research, this genome-wide association study (GWAS) examined 2,244 critical COVID-19 patients in 208 UK ICUs to uncover gene variants that are severity markers and potential treatment targets. GWAS findings implicated antiviral restriction enzyme activators (OAS1/OAS2/OAS3), high tyrosine kinase-2 (TYK2), dipeptidyl peptidase- 9 (DPP9) and low interferon receptor gene IFNAR2. Mendelian randomization techniques implicated as “causal” low IFNAR2 and high TYK2 expression. Lung tissue transcriptome-wide association implicated high monocyte/macrophage chemotactic receptor CCR2. These gene alterations implicating early anti-viral defense (IFNAR2, OAS) and late inflammation (DPP9, TYK2, CCR2) can be evaluated in clinical trials using licensed drugs (interferons, JAK inhibitors, CCR2 inhibitors, etc.).
December 7, 2020
- No evidence for increased transmissibility from recurrent mutations in SARS-CoV-2. 11/25/20. van Dorp L. Nat Commun.
SARS-CoV-2 is not becoming more transmissible or virulent. In jumping from animal to human, SARS-CoV-2 might evolve or adapt toward higher transmissibility. This study examined whether viral changes have emerged repeatedly and independently (homoplasies) and if repeated mutations in human lineages made the virus more transmissible. Using a 99-country dataset of 46,723 SARS-CoV-2 genomes compared to the reference Wuhan-Hu-1, investigators did not identify a single recurrent mutation convincingly associated with increased viral transmission. So far, as an endemic human pathogen, recurrent mutations appear to be evolutionary neutral, single lineage and primarily induced via RNA editing, rather than being signatures of adaptive pressure and a new separate phenotype.
November 30, 2020
- Immunomodulation as Treatment for Severe COVID-19: a systematic review of current modalities and future directions. 11/20/2020. Meyerowitz EA. Clin Infect Dis.
This current review of COVID-19 therapeutics stresses approaches to immune dysregulation and its evolving role in severe disease. Distinct early innate responses (first 5-7 days) and later adaptive immune responses must be recognized and treated accordingly. Antiviral treatment alone may be insufficient. To date, only dexamethasone shows a mortality benefit in randomized control trials when used later in the course. Late infectious and other steroid complications may be underreported. Various immunomodulatory strategies including early use of Janus kinase (JAK) inhibitors to rebalance the JAK-STAT pathways and Type I interferons are discussed. Promising early data are summarized for emerging therapies.
November 23, 2020
- SAB Comment: Interferon (IFN) gets its name because it “interferes” with viral replication. Suspecting that interferon is inadequately produced and/or its actions blocked, two important Science papers (below) examined possible mechanisms. Zhang et al, reports finding loss of function gene variants in 3.5% of severe COVID-19 patients that control induction and amplification of Type I IFNs. The effects of these lifelong inborn variants, not found in mild disease or healthy controls, are only exposed with development of severe viral pneumonia. In the other paper, Bastard, et al, found (presumed preexisting) high-titer IgG neutralizing autoantibodies against Type I IFNs-alpha and -omega only in severe COVID-19. The autoantibodies occur in at least 2.6% of women and 12.5% of men. The defects identified by Zhang, et al, if discovered early on, could be treated with Type I IFNs, and by Bastard et al, treated with Type I IFN-beta in particular, as autoantibodies against IFN-beta are rare.
- Inborn errors of type I IFN immunity in patients with life-threatening COVID-19. 10/23/20. Zhang Q. Science.
These authors examined 659 severe COVID-19 patients for mutations in genes involved in the regulation of type I and III interferon (IFN) immunity. Following exome or genome sequencing examining rare variants at 13 candidate loci they found genetic defects in 3.5% of severe patients at eight of the 13 candidate loci involved in the TLR3- (double stranded RNA-responsive) and Interferon-regulatory factor-7 (IRF7)-dependent induction and amplification of type I IFNs. These variants resulted in enrichment of loss of function variants not found in mild COVID-19 patients or healthy individuals. Early type I IFN administration may benefit patients with these inborn variants. - Autoantibodies against type I IFNs in patients with life-threatening COVID-19. 10/23/20. Bastard P. Science.
In COVID-19 pneumonia, at least 101/987 patients had low or undetectable serum IFN-α and high-titer neutralizing IgG autoantibodies (auto-Abs) against interferon-omega (IFN-ω) (13 patients), against the 13 types of IFN-α2 (n=36), or against both (n=52). In vitro, auto-Abs blocked IFNs inhibition of SARS-CoV-2. Auto-Abs were not present in asymptomatic or mild SARS-CoV-2 infection (n=663) and in only 4/1227 healthy individuals; 95/101 with auto-Abs were men. A B cell autoimmune phenocopy of inborn errors of type I IFN immunity (seen in Zhang) accounts for life-threatening COVID-19 in at least 2.6% of women and 12.5% of men who could be treated with IFN-beta.
- Inborn errors of type I IFN immunity in patients with life-threatening COVID-19. 10/23/20. Zhang Q. Science.
October 26, 2020
- Targeting complement cascade: an alternative strategy for COVID-19. 10/19/20. Ram Kumar Pandian S. 3 Biotech.
The authors present well-referenced experimental support that complement cascade inhibition will counteract COVID-19 inflammation. Complement dysregulation can lead to cytokine storm and ARDS pathology. Activation and deposits of complement components are seen in animal models and at autopsy of COVID-19 patients. Pre-clinical and clinical studies using current and pipeline agents show pathway inhibition aids ARDS recovery. Viral infections including COVID activate complement via the lectin pathway via mannose-binding lectin associated serine protease 2 (MASP2). Complement inhibitors including monoclonal antibodies, proteins, peptides and small molecules exhibit promise blocking the complement components and their downstream effects in various pathological conditions including SARS-CoV.
October 19, 2020
- Evidence of a wide gap between COVID-19 in humans and animal models: a systematic review. 10/7/2020. Ehaideb SN. Crit Care.
In this comprehensive literature review, replication-competent animal models were assessed for recapitulating full-spectrum human COVID-19, as well as prophylaxis, therapies, or vaccines. Animals included nonhuman primates (n = 13), mice (n = 7), ferrets (n = 4), hamsters (n = 4), and cats (n = 1). All animals supported high viral replication in the respiratory tract with mild clinical manifestations, lung pathology, IgG antibodies and full recovery. Older animals had more severe illness. None developed respiratory failure, multiple organ dysfunction or death. Transient systemic inflammation was observed occasionally in nonhuman primates, hamsters, and mice. No animals unveiled cytokine storms or coagulopathy supporting a wide gap between human and animal disease.
October 12, 2020
- Susceptibility of tree shrew to SARS-CoV-2 infection. 9/29/2020. Zhao Y. Sci Rep.
SARS-Co-V-2 research has been hampered by poor susceptibility of animal models to SARS‑CoV‑2 infection, particularly the mouse. These investigators examined if a domesticated tree shrew, a species genetically close to primates and used in hepatitis, influenza and other research may be useful. SARS-CoV-2-infected tree shrews showed no clinical signs except mild fevers. Histologically, low levels of virus shedding and replication in tissues were observed. Mild pulmonary abnormalities were the main changes observed. The tree shrew may not be suitable for COVID‑19 research. However, tree shrew may be a potential asymptomatic intermediate host of SARS‑CoV‑2 besides bats and pangolins.
October 7, 2020
- Epidemiology and transmission dynamics of COVID-19 in two Indian states. 9/30/20. Laxminarayan R. Science.
A data-rich epidemiologic study from 2 states in India, demonstrating the spread of COVID-19. Mortality increased with age. Underlying conditions which increased mortality included male sex, and in older patients included hypertension, obesity, and diabetes. Younger patients who died suffered underlying conditions of the liver and kidneys. - Immune responses to SARS-CoV-2 infection in hospitalized pediatric and adult patients. 9/21/20. Pierce CA. Science Translational Medicine.
A small but complex study from New York of 90 patients total, split into two groups of younger than 24 years and older than 24 years. The study demonstrated clear differences in the immune response with a robust response of IL-17A in the younger age which had fewer deaths and a greater T cell response in older patients whose health was more complicated and for whom death was more common. Treatment and medications were not controlled between the groups. Of note, the angiotensin-renin system was not studied.
September 30, 2020
- New Studies on COVID-19 Epidemiology
The following four articles examine risk factors for developing COVID-19, for having severe disease and for death. Common findings include an increased risk of infection and hospitalization in Blacks but no increase in mortality. It should be noted that the mentioned hospitalization rates may depend on socio-economic factors and may not be a clear indicator of severity of disease.- Patterns of COVID-19 testing and mortality by race and ethnicity among United States veterans: A nationwide cohort study. 9/22/20. Rentsch CT. PLoS Med.
This article presents a nationwide VA data set study (~6 million patients, February 8 to July 22) comparing positive COVID-19 test results with 30-day mortality. Healthcare disparities were explored by evaluating “associations between race/ethnicity and receipt of COVID-19 testing, a positive test result, and 30-day mortality, with multivariable adjustment for demographic and clinical characteristics including comorbid conditions, health behaviors, medication history, site of care, and urban versus rural residence.” The study confirms prior reports indicating that “Black and Hispanic individuals experience excess burden of SARS-CoV-2 infection” but not increased mortality and notes that these disparities “are not entirely explained by underlying medical conditions or where they live or receive care.” The article contains interesting distinctions and reinforces the importance of designing “strategies to contain and prevent further outbreaks in racial and ethnic minority communities.” - Risk Factors for Hospitalization, Mechanical Ventilation, or Death Among 10 131 US Veterans With SARS-CoV-2 Infection. 9/23/20. Ioannou GN. JAMA Netw Open.
This large study showed no increase in mortality associated with Black or Hispanic race, obesity, COPD, hypertension or smoking (contrary to what has been found in smaller, prior studies). It did find the expected association of increased severity and mortality with older age (≥50) and multiple comorbidities. - Association of Race and Ethnicity With Comorbidities and Survival Among Patients With COVID-19 at an Urban Medical Center in New York. 9/25/20. Kabarriti R. JAMA Netw Open.
Among 5902 patients with positive COVID-19 diagnosis treated at a single academic center in urban New York, non-Hispanic Black and Hispanic patients had a higher proportion of more than 2 medical comorbidities and were more likely to require inpatient hospitalization, but had outcomes including mortality that were at least as good as, and maybe even marginally superior to, their non-Hispanic White counterparts when controlling for age, sex, and comorbid conditions at presentation. - Racial Disparities in Incidence and Outcomes Among Patients With COVID-19. 9/25/20. Muñoz-Price LS. JAMA Netw Open.
This article investigates the goal-described patterns and outcomes of COVID-19 by race, controlling for age, sex, socioeconomic status, and comorbid conditions among 2595 urban patients. COVID-19 positivity was associated with Black race. Among patients with COVID-19, both race and poverty were associated with higher risk of hospitalization, but only poverty was associated with higher risk of intensive care unit admission. The findings also imply that adverse outcomes and greater population mortality associated with Blacks early in the course of the US pandemic were primarily attributable to greater incidence of COVID-19 among African American residents rather than worse survival once hospitalized.
- Patterns of COVID-19 testing and mortality by race and ethnicity among United States veterans: A nationwide cohort study. 9/22/20. Rentsch CT. PLoS Med.
September 21, 2020
- The coronavirus is mutating – does it matter? 9/8/20. Callaway E. Nature.
In an article from Nature, mutations in the SARS-CoV-2 are reviewed. Mutations in RNA viruses such as SARS-CoV-2 containing “proofreading” enzymes occur slowly. One distinct mutation in the spike protein gene occurs at the 614th amino-acid position: the aspartate (D, in biochemical shorthand) is replaced by glycine (G) in the virus’s 29,903-letter RNA code. The “D614G mutation” became the dominant SARS-CoV-2 lineage in Europe and the US. Despite early alarm, it does not enhance spread or affect antibody defense. More than 12,000 mutations in SARS-CoV-2 are catalogued. The author speculates that worrisome mutations could arise especially if antibody therapies producing selection pressure are not used wisely.
September 4, 2020
- Humoral Immune Response to SARS-CoV-2 in Iceland. 9/1/20. Gudbjartsson DF. N Engl J Med.
Fifty-six percent of all SARS-CoV-2 infections in Iceland had been diagnosed with quantitative polymerase-chain-reaction (qPCR) assay, 14% had occurred in quarantined persons who had not been tested with qPCR (or who had not received a positive result, if tested), and 30% had occurred in persons outside quarantine and not tested with qPCR. Despite extensive screening by qPCR, a substantial fraction of infections were not detected, which indicates that many infected persons did not have substantial symptoms. But due to the low SARS-CoV-2 antibody seroprevalence, the Icelandic population is vulnerable to a second wave of infection.
July 31, 2020
- Targets of T Cell Responses to SARS-CoV-2 Coronavirus in Humans with COVID-19 Disease and Unexposed Individuals. 5/15/20. Grifoni A. Cell.
To be effective, a COVID-19 vaccine has to elicit strong T cell immunity. Vaccines stimulate B cells to make antibodies against the virus. Helper T cells promote this. Those antibodies join with the virus, preventing it from entering a host cell and mark the virus for destruction. Once the virus infiltrates the host cell, antibodies are not effective. However, cytotoxic T cells can destroy infected host cells.
T cell immunity does not prevent re-infection but reduces the severity of symptoms. Among patients recovered from COVID-19, CD4+ T cells were observed in all and CD8+ T cells were observed in about 70%. CD4+ responses to spike antigen correlated with IgG and IgA antibody titers. Each of M, spike, and N antigens accounted for 11%–27% of the total CD4+ response. The remaining responses were against other SARS-CoV-2 antigens. This suggests that vaccines that target multiple antigens may be more effective than the ones targeting only the spike antigen.
T cell immunity is observed in persons infected and in about one-half of persons uninfected with SARS-CoV-2. The latter may have been previously infected with a virus such as one of the four human coronaviruses that cause colds. Thus, there is cross reactivity with other corona viruses. This may be a reason for variability in severity of clinical illness after infection.
Many of the vaccine candidates lead to production of the spike protein and antibodies against it. If the vaccine does not produce the spike protein with correct confirmation, the generated antibodies may be binding but not neutralizing antibodies. This can promote viral replication or form complexes that trigger more inflammation. Memory B and T cells that recognize the virus can provide protective immunity for years although the antibody titers may decline within months. Efforts are being made to genetically modify certain immune cells to target the virus.
July 22, 2020
- Excess Deaths From COVID-19 and Other Causes, March-April 2020. 7/1/20. Woolf, SH. JAMA.
The initial symptomatology, prodromal infective potential, anticipated course/severity, value of PPE and myriad additional variables were unknown when COVID-19 began its international journey. Early optimism in terms of containing and controlling the virus rapidly deteriorated as disease progression was recognized, the ability of asymptomatic carriers were known to be highly infectious and the initially unexpected benefit of universal face mask adoption created uncertainly about not only the viral spread but also the safety and reliability of the health system. Death is usually categorized accurately and reliable “death rate” statistics have been accumulated; the authors use seasonally adjusted U.S. death rates from December 29, 2013 to February 29, 2020 and compare historical to actual death rates reported between March 1, 2020 and April 2020 and include a secondary analysis in the five states most severely affected by the virus during the collection period. Careful data analysis was used to determine all-cause mortality and how COVID-19 influenced the total. The results attribute 65% of excess deaths to COVID-19-related causes and suggest that the total number is likely higher. Analysis was able to distinguish significant increases in other diseases during the period.
Also included is an insightful discussion underscoring importance of accurate determination of COVID-19’s true impact on not only death but also on hidden morbidity (including COVID-19 delayed treatment and/or resource constraints) which is still being elaborated. - EDITORIAL: Mortality and Morbidity: The Measure of a Pandemic. 7/1/20. Zylke JW. JAMA.
This editorial accompanying “Excess Deaths” further elaborates on the importance of, and difficulties associated with, estimating impact of COVID-19 on health systems and society. Peripheral effects are included and discussed. Together, the articles underscore the importance of classification and clarification in estimating disease impact, prevalence and spread in vulnerable populations and on society at large. - Prevalence of SARS-CoV-2 in Spain (ENE-COVID): a nationwide, population-based seroepidemiological study. 7/6/20. Pollan M. Lancet.
Review by the SAB
By Dr. Robert Coffey, on behalf of the SAB
This article reports the results of antibody testing of 61,000 individuals across Spain, from April 27 to May 11, showing an overall national seropositive rate of only 5% (the majority of new diagnoses in Spain’s severe epidemic were made by May 1). Regions that experienced a more intense epidemic such as Madrid did have a seropositive rate of greater than 10%. Approximately one-third of the seropositive subjects reported having had no symptoms suggestive of COVID-19 infection. While specific locales such as Bergamo, Italy and some neighborhoods in Queens, NY may have seropositive rates high enough to confer local herd immunity, this does not seem to be occurring at a national level after severe epidemic episodes.
July 20, 2020
- SARS-CoV-2 infection protects against rechallenge in rhesus macaques. 5/20/20. Chandrashekar A. Science.
Review by the SAB
By Dr. Uday Jain, on behalf of the SAB
Nine adult rhesus macaques infected with SARS-CoV-2 developed humoral and cellular immune responses leading to protective immunity. On re-challenge by SARS-CoV-2, there was a major attenuation of viral load in nasal mucosa and bronchoalveolar lavage in all of them. As the virus was still detectable, the protection was not sterilizing and the macaques could infect others. These results in primates suggest that patients who have COVID-19 may develop immunity to it. This is also essential for the development of a vaccine and determination of herd immunity.
May 28, 2020
- Duration of SARS-CoV-2 viral RNA in asymptomatic carriers. May 24. Yan X. Crit Care.
Asymptomatic COVID-19 carriers are potentially a significant vector for the spread of SARS-CoV-2, but little is known about asymptomatic carriers. This research letter charts the RT-PCR positivity of 24 asymptomatic RT-PCR positive patients, showing persistent positivity can be lengthy (over 4 weeks). Viral cultures were not performed, so little can be said about infectivity of these asymptomatic carriers.
May 27, 2020
- Individual quarantine versus active monitoring of contacts for the mitigation of COVID-19: a modelling study. May 20 Peak. The Lancet Infectious Diseases.
Two non-pharmaceutical interventions to prevent disease spread include voluntary individual quarantine and voluntary active monitoring. The effectiveness of either strategy depends on the duration of presymptomatic infectiousness, the fidelity of quarantining and contact tracing, and other measures such as physical distancing. This mathematical study provides the statistical foundation for deciding on quarantining or contact tracing once the presymptomatic infectiousness of COVID-19 is established. If the serial interval for COVID-19 (partly determined by presymptomatic infectiousness) is similar to that of SARS, there are few plausible conditions under which individual quarantine would offer a sufficient advantage over active monitoring. - Symptom profiles and risk factors for hospitalization in patients with SARS-CoV-2 and COVID-19: A Large Cohort from South America. May 5. Díaz. Gastroenterology.
A nicely done descriptive, retrospective study from Chile briefly describing all admitting symptoms, but focusing on GI symptoms, in all RT-PCR positive patients (n=7016). The results are similar to similar studies from other areas: cough (53%), myalgia (56%), and fever (44%) were the most common symptoms, with GI symptoms including diarrhea (7%), and abdominal pain (4%). Fifty percent of tested stool samples were RT-PCR positive, and mortality was 1.1%.
May 22, 2020
- Subjective Changes in Smell and Taste During the COVID-19 Pandemic: A National Survey-Preliminary Results. May 19. Coelho. Otolaryngol Head Neck Surg.
The authors provided statistics on the incidence of olfactory disturbances, which is similar to other studies. Some patients with olfactory disturbances might not actually have COVID-19, but testing isn’t always done, in part because these individuals may have no other suspicious symptoms.
May 21, 2020
- Higher solar irradiance is associated with a lower incidence of COVID-19
May 19. Guasp. Clinical Infectious Diseases.
Opinion from SAB Member: Dr. Jay Przybylo
This is an interesting study using statistical evaluation of population density and solar and weather influences on COVID-19 spread that correlates high urban population density and low UV radiation to increased COVID-19 infection rates. The graphs are difficult to interpret. - Simulated Sunlight Rapidly Inactivates SARS-CoV-2 on Surfaces
May 20. Ratnesar-Shumate. The Journal of Infectious Diseases.
Opinion from SAB Member: Dr. Jay Przybylo
This is a biodefense research article proving that simulated sunlight inactivates SARS-CoV-2. 90% of the virus on different surfaces became inactivated in between 7-14 minutes. Lower intensity light containing UV spectra took longer to achieve effect. Different than the article describing the effect of UV light on large populations in geographic regions investigating natural effects of the sun and climate, this article is specific to the actual virucidal effect of the light.
May 19, 2020
- Reduction and Functional Exhaustion of T Cells in Patients With Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19). May 1. Diao. Front. Immunol.
Lymphopenia is a feature in Covid-19, however the number of T cells marking progressive disease is not known. This retrospective analysis from Wuhan, China examined 522 cases from December 2019 to January 2020. The critical numbers of total T cells, CD4+ and CD8+ T cells indicating more critical illness or impending death were less than 800, 300, or 400/μL, respectively. Also, these T cells expressed enhanced surface PD-1 and Tim-3, so called “exhaustion markers”. T cell numbers are negatively correlated to the “cytokine storm” mediators TNF-α, IL-6, and IL-10. This study suggests low T lymphocyte counts mandates early intervention.
May 16, 2020
- Novel coronavirus (COVID-19) infection: What a doctor on the frontline needs to know. May 14. Down. Ann Med Surg (Lond).
Slightly outdated review of available knowledge and diagnostic and therapeutic options for COVID-19 without any new insight. - Respiratory disease in rhesus macaques inoculated with SARS-CoV-2. May 12. Munster. Nature.
An excellent and detailed study of SARS-CoV-19 infection in eight Rhesus Macques, showing by clinical, testing and pathologic means that the disease is similar to that in humans. It is suggested that Rhesus Macques could provide a laboratory model for human infection.
May 11, 2020
- Co-infection and Other Clinical Characteristics of COVID-19 in Children. May 1. Wu. Pediatrics.
Chinese study, data rich on children from infancy through teen age. Briefly virus transmitted from adult. 40% asymptomatic. When symptomatic, mostly upper respiratory. Only 1 of 74 children, a teen, severely ill and recovered without intubation.
May 1, 2020
- A SARS-CoV-2 protein interaction map reveals targets for drug repurposing. Apr 30. Gordon. Nature.
332 SARS-CoV-2 human protein interactions were identified by cloning virus proteins in human cells and then identifying associated human proteins. 40% are associated with endomembrane compartments or vesicle trafficking pathways. 66 interactions are targeted by 29 approved drugs, 12 in clinical trials, and 28 preclinical compounds. Viral assays at Mt Sinai in NY and the Institut Pasteur in Paris identified 2 sets of agents with antiviral activity — those affecting translation (e.g. hydroxychloroquine and the more effective PB28) and those modulating Sigma1 and 2 receptors (e.g. haloperidol and dextromethorphan). Intriguing methodology for identifying existing compounds for clinical trials.
April 30, 2020
- Aerodynamic analysis of SARS-CoV-2 in two Wuhan hospitals. Apr 27. Yuan. Nature.
Unedited manuscript accepted for publication by Nature.
RNA fragments of the virus were trapped in ambient air using gelatine filters and droplet digital PCR in several areas of 2 Wuhan hospitals (one a converted stadium) during the height of the crisis (mid-February to early March 2020). It is important to note, that these samples were not analyzed for viability as contagions. Particle size were measured and mechanisms of resuspension of particles is described. Resuspension of RNA fragments was observed when used PPE was moved for disposal. The study demonstrates the need for wearing masks in public spaces, the effectiveness of meticulous disinfectant measures, particularly the surface disinfection of PPE before doffing and the advantage of naturally vented buildings (stadiums) for non-critical patient care and quarantine. - Sex-specific clinical characteristics and prognosis of coronavirus disease-19 infection in Wuhan, China: A retrospective study of 168 severe patients. Apr 29. Meng. PLoS Pathog.
In this single center retrospective analysis of 168 severe or critically ill patients with COVID-19, men had a higher trend toward a risk of mortality and a lower hospital discharge rate.
April 29, 2020
- Epidemiology and transmission of COVID-19 in 391 cases and 1286 of their close contacts in Shenzhen, China: a retrospective cohort study
Apr 27. Bi. The Lancet Infectious Diseases.
Opinion from SAB Member: Dr. Barry Perlman
Retrospective epidemiologic analysis demonstrating the benefits of contact surveillance, adequate availability of testing, and quarantines. There were 391 confirmed cases of COVID-19 Jan 14-Feb 12 and 1286 close contacts confirmed before Feb 9 in Hubei province. Suspected cases and contacts were tested by RT-PCR nasal swabs. Asymptomatic close contacts who tested positive were quarantined at central facilities, while those who tested negative were quarantined at home or a central facility. Infection rate did not differ significantly by age, with on average 7% of close contacts becoming infected, 77% of these contacts having any symptoms, and 3% of infections having severe disease at initial assessment. Median time to recovery was 22 days with older patients and those with severe disease having a longer time to recovery. Contact-based surveillance reduced the duration an infected person could spread disease in the community by 2 days as compared with symptom-based surveillance.
April 28, 2020
- How Could This Happen? Narrowing Down the Contagion of COVID-19 and Preventing Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome (ARDS)
Apr 25. Alaerts. Acta Biotheor.
Opinion from SAB Member: Dr. W. Heinrich Wurm
A biologist’s deeply scientific but also philosophical review of the history, epidemiology and the viral genomics of the Corona virus family. The author provides a helpful template for understanding the present pandemic outbreak and focuses on the role of the renin-angiotensin system in acute lung injury and ARDS and SARS-CoV action during infection. His suggestions for future research list: 1) The correlation and interaction with previous medication, particularly ACE-inhibitors; 2) Creating immunologic profiles, particularly for patients at risk for ARDS; and 3) The influence of viral genomic differences on infectivity, virus reproduction and shedding and biochemical entry routes with host cells. In addition, the range of immunological reactions to the virus by the host deserves further scrutiny and will be of great importance in the vaccine development. A valuable contribution to both clinician scientists and investigators searching to contribute to solve the COVID-19 puzzle.
April 24, 2020
- Epidemiological and clinical characteristics of 26 asymptomatic SARS-CoV-2 carriers. Apr 23. Pan Y. J Infect Dis.
Retrospective analysis of 26 persistently asymptomatic patients with positive test results for SARS-CoV-2 nucleic acid to determine the clinical characteristics and asymptomatic carrier transmission of COVID-19 infection.
April 23, 2020
- Comparative tropism, replication kinetics, and cell damage profiling of SARS-CoV-2 and SARS-CoV with implications for clinical manifestations, transmissibility, and laboratory studies of COVID-19: an observational study. Apr 21. Chu. The Lancet Microbe.
A science study with little clinical significance. A comparison of SARS-CoV-2 vs COVID-19 for entry and replication into numerous human and nonhuman cell lines. The authors state the article might be of pertinence to further cell studies on optimization of antiviral assays but not necessarily to human organs in the physiologic state — life. - Connecting clusters of COVID-19: an epidemiological and serological investigation
Apr 21. Yong. The Lancet Infectious Disease.
Opinion from SAB Member: Dr. Heinrich Wurm
Fascinating account of a successful epidemiological disease tracking operation using RT-PCR and serologic testing to identify COVID-19 transmission among 3 clusters – 2 churches and a New Year’s gathering – in Singapore between mid-January and the end of February. While initial testing of all patients presenting with pneumonia using RT-PCR led to the diagnosis of overtly infected patients who were shedding virus, serologic testing played an important role in identifying convalescent cases or people with minimal symptoms, allowed assessment of disease penetration among the population and guidance towards containment efforts.- An accompanying editorial by Johns Hopkins epidemiologists, stresses the value of broad testing strategies to assess and contain the spread of COVID-19, particularly by measuring SARS-CoV-2-specific IgG antibody titers. It enumerates 4 distinct and valuable concepts gained from serological testing, including identifying potential candidates for donation of reconvalescent serum. It also points out several remaining challenges, among those sensitivity and specificity of the test, excluding cross reactivity to other viruses resulting in false positives, antibody kinetics determining the duration of immunity, as well as cost and portability of the test.
- The important role of serology for COVID-19 control
Apr 21. Winter. The Lancet Infectious Diseases.
Opinion from SAB Member: Dr. W. Heinrich Wurm
This accompanying editorial by Johns Hopkins epidemiologists stresses the value of broad testing strategies to assess and contain the spread of COVID-19, particularly by measuring SARS-CoV-2-specific IgG antibody titers. It enumerates 4 distinct and valuable concepts gained from serological testing, including identifying potential candidates for donation of reconvalescent serum. It also points out several remaining challenges, among those: sensitivity and specificity of the test, excluding cross reactivity to other viruses resulting in false positives, antibody kinetics determining the duration of immunity, and cost and portability of the test.
April 21, 2020
- Pulmonary and Cardiac Pathology in Covid-19: The First Autopsy Series from New Orleans. Apr 10. Fox. medRxiv.
As of March 31, 2020, New Orleans has had the highest death rate per capita in the US. This is a non-peer reviewed report of the cardiopulmonary findings of the first 4 autopsies performed. The patients were African Americans with obesity and HTN. 3 had IDDM and 2 had chronic kidney disease. Lung parenchyma was edematous and firm, consistent with ARDS. 3 had areas of lung hemorrhage. Only the lung from the patient who had been on methotrexate showed focal consolidation. All cases showed evidence of diffuse alveolar damage with DC4+ aggregates around thrombosed small vessels. Heart tissue showed atypical myocyte degeneration but no myocarditis. The findings suggest that in addition to targeting the virus itself, therapy should also focus on the thrombotic and microangiopathic effects and the maladaptive immune response.
April 20, 2020
- Clinical Characteristics of Covid-19 in New York City. Apr 17. Goyal. NEJM.
A prelude to what’s coming to us
NEJM article about experience of 2 NYC Hospitals of first 393 patients with COVID 19.
Comorbidity was noted to be higher in NYC as compared to China. NYC outcomes were noted different as well with regard to: Higher number of patients were ventilated, lower oxygen earlier, renal replacement, fluids, need for vaso active drugs to maintain hemodynamic stability. 33% required ventilators, 10.2% Mortality, 33% extubated, 66% were discharged – these numbers were higher than China data all across. - Projecting the transmission dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 through the postpandemic period
Apr 14. Kissler. Science.
Opinion from SAB Member: Dr. Barry Perlman
Viral, environmental, and immunologic data from other corona viruses were used to project SARS-CoV-2 transmission and determine social distancing measures that may be needed through 2025. Models suggest that SARS-CoV-2 could cause outbreaks in any season, exhibiting annual, biennial, or sporadic patterns depending on duration of immunity after infection. If similar to other coronaviruses, recurrent SARS-CoV-2 winter outbreaks are likely. Incidence through 2025 will depend on duration of immunity and cross immunity with other coronaviruses. In all models, infection resurgence occurred when social distancing measures were lifted, but restrictive social distancing could also decrease development of population immunity. In the absence of increased critical care capacity and effective new treatments or vaccines, intermittent social distancing will be needed through 2022. Increased critical care capacity, testing, and surveillance are needed to better determine what intermittent social distancing policies may maintain critical care availability while building population immunity. - Spread of SARS-CoV-2 in the Icelandic Population
Apr 14. Gudbjartsson. The New England Journal of Medicine.
Opinion from SAB Member: Dr. J. Lance Lichtor
In this study of corona virus spread in Iceland, using targeted testing of persons at high risk for infection and population screening, the frequency of coronavirus infection in the overall Icelandic population was stable from March 13 to April 1, which showed that containment measures in Iceland were working. Testing was a critical component and is a model for other countries.
April 17, 2020
- Assessing Viral Shedding and Infectivity of Tears in Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) Patients. Apr 16. Seah IYJ. Ophthalmology.
The nasolacrimal system can act as a conduit for viruses to travel from the upper respiratory tract to the eye. The authors measured the presence of SARSCoV-2 with viral isolation and quantitative reverse-transcription polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) analysis. As the 17 patients in the study were being monitored clinically via routine nasopharyngeal swabs, these results were compared with those of tears to understand further patterns of viral shedding. Of the 17 patients recruited, none demonstrated ocular symptoms. However, 1 patient developed conjunctival injection and chemosis during the stay in the hospital. Fourteen patients showed upper respiratory tract symptoms at presentation, including cough, rhinorrhea, and sore throat. No evidence was found of SARS-CoV-2 shedding in tears through the course of the disease even for the one patient with conjunctival injection. - Visualizing speech-generated oral fluid droplets with laser light scattering. Apr 15. Anfinrud, P. NEJM.
NEJM letter to the editor, from the NIH, explaining and demonstrating sprays of secretions from speaking. The included graphic video illustrates the degree of droplet/aerosol formation from speech alone.
April 15, 2020
- Aerosol and surface stability of SARS-CoV-2 as compared with SARS-CoV-1. Mar 17. van Doremalen N. NEJM.
This widely published letter to the editor addresses the viability of SARS-CoV-2 in aerosols and on various surfaces and compares it to SARS-CoV-1, the original severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus that is most closely related to the coronavirus responsible for the Covid-19 pandemic. Scientists from the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, CDC, UCLA and Princeton participate in this work. It showed that under experimental conditions both viruses are detectable in aerosols for several hours and up to 24 hours on cardboard and stainless steel. The fact that the stability of the two SARS viruses were similar indicates that other factors, like high viral load in the upper respiratory tract and the possibility that people infected with the virus may shed and transmit the virus while asymptomatic, account for the difference in epidemiological characteristics. - Cancer patients in SARS-CoV-2 infection: a nationwide analysis in China. Feb 14. Liang, W. Lancet Oncology.
Cases with COVID-19 acute respiratory disease from 575 hospitals in China were monitored prospectively to determine whether cancer patients are at increased risk of COVID-19 and have a poorer prognosis. 18/1590 cases had a history of cancer, which is 3-4 times higher than the overall incidence of cancer in China. Cancer patients had an almost 5x higher risk of severe events — ventilation or death. Chemotherapy or surgery within the past month as associated with the highest risk. Lung cancer patients did not have a higher risk of severe events compared with other cancer patients. The authors suggest that during infectious disease events such as COVID-19, chemotherapy or elective cancer surgery should be postponed in endemic areas, and the increased risk to cancer patients should be taken into account regarding infection prevention and treatment. - Stability and Viability of SARS-CoV-2. Apr 14. Petti S. N Engl J Med.
In follow-up to the experimental aerosol publication by van Doremalen et al., a number of letters to the editor address the fact that the message derived from the experiment created the impression in the lay press that there is proof of airborne transmission under non-aerosolizing conditions. In response, the authors reiterate their statement that the stability of aerosolized CoV-2 is similar to that of CoV-1. What follows from this finding is the fact that aerosols created by procedures (i.e. drilling) or patients (i.e.coughing) have been associated with nosocomial transmission of emerging viruses (SARS-Co-V-1 and MERS-CoV) and that there is no reason to believe COVID-19 will act differently under similar conditions.
April 14, 2020
- Association of Public Health Interventions With the Epidemiology of the COVID-19 Outbreak in Wuhan, China. Apr 11. Pan. JAMA.
48 patients from 2 hospitals in Spain admitted to an ICU with COVID-19 are described. Unlike China, where the majority of patients only received non-invasive ventilation, in this series, 45/48 had their tracheas intubated and only 13 were discharged alive from the hospital. - Diarrhea during COVID-19 infection: pathogenesis, epidemiology, prevention and management. Apr 12. D’Amico. Clin Gastroenterol Hepatol.
An exhaustive literature review of COVID-19 and diarrhea. Because about 10% (2-50%) of patients with COVID-19 have diarrhea, the authors raise the possibility of fecal-oral transmission, and encourage appropriate PPE. This paper will help front-line workers understand what to do with a patient with diarrhea during the COVID-19 pandemic. - First-wave COVID-19 transmissibility and severity in China outside Hubei after control measures, and second-wave scenario planning: a modelling impact assessment. Apr 12. Leung. The Lancet.
Computer simulation from China looking at possible COVID-19 recrudescence as distancing and population behavioral changes are relaxed. Early detection (i.e. intense testing), and following the Rt (effective reproduction number) and case fatality rate should be followed to catch any recrudescence early. - Public Health Interventions for COVID-19: Emerging Evidence and Implications for an Evolving Public Health Crisis. Apr 11. Hartley. JAMA.
In the absence of known safe and effective pharmaceutical agents for preventing or treating COVID-19, studies have shown that rapid, early implementation of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPI) such as bans on public gatherings, stay-at-home policies, closures of schools and non essential businesses, use of face masks, quarantine, and cordon sanitaire (a defined quarantine area) can reduce disease transmission. This editorial discusses an epidemiologic study of the COVID-19 outbreak Wuhan, China which showed that a series of multifaceted NPIs was associated with a decrease in both daily confirmed case rate and proportion of severe or critical cases. Strict travel restrictions and home quarantine appeared to be the dominant factors, although it is not known which of these factors was most important. The authors note that implementation of some of these measures may be legally or ethically difficult elsewhere. The study also demonstrated increased risk among healthcare workers caring for COVID-19 patients, higher rates of infection of younger patients than have been reported previously including those < 1 year old, and a 10% lower risk of severe or critical infection in females. - SARS-CoV-2 and SARS-CoV differ in their cell tropism and drug sensitivity profiles. Apr 5. Bojkova. bioRxiv.
A preprint and not certified by peer review. A team from Germany and the UK looked at protein sequences of COVID-19 and some protease inhibitors that might affect its activity. They noted that aprotinin has some antiviral properties but also treatment with omeprazole increased the activity of apronitin by 2.7 times.
April 13, 2020
- Estimates of the severity of coronavirus disease 2019: a model-based analysis. Mar 30. Verity. The Lancet Infectious Diseases.
Using aggregate data on cases and deaths from COVID-19 in Hubei and in and outside Mainland China adjusted for censoring and under-ascertainment, overall infection fatality estimate was 0.66%, increasing with age — 0.0016% < age 9, 0.145% < age 60 and 7.8% age 80 or older. Estimates of those infected requiring hospitalization was also age dependent, increasing to 18.4% for those age 80 or older. Mean duration from onset of symptoms to death was 17.8 days. - Lockdown contained the spread of 2019 novel coronavirus disease in Huangshi city, China: Early epidemiological findings. Apr 7. Ji. Clinical Infectious Diseases.
Interesting discussion detailing temporal and epidemiologic response to COVID-19 infection in Huangshi city, China following initial cases in Wuhan. Methodology includes definition of positives and details strategies for surveillance, detection and containment. Rigorous attention to now well recognized details of social distancing, universal mask adoption, and surveillance of all potential patients presenting at outpatient clinics implemented early. Also, travel restrictions, business closure and enforced quarantine associated with detailed epidemiologic tracing and modeling provide accurate description of disease spread, flattening and ‘elimination’. While information is interesting and methodology sound, no new knowledge for current intervention nor immediate insight. Most of the information is applied today; for future reference rather than current use. - No time for dilemma: mass gatherings must be suspended. Mar 27. Memish. The Lancet.
Fascinating international plea headed by Saudi Arabia that urges “unified, cogent, and collective actions by individuals, communities, commercial bodies, institutional systems, and all governments,” come together to fight the pandemic. - Proposal for international standardization of the use of lung ultrasound for COVID-19 patients; a simple, quantitative, reproducible method Mar 30. Soldati. Journal of Ultrasound in Medicine.
Opinion from SAB Member: Dr. W. Heinrich Wurm
Multidisciplinary authors from several Italian institutions make a strong case for pulmonary ultrasound as a means to diagnose and monitor pulmonary involvement in COVID-19 disease, particularly when resources are limited vis-a-vis demand. - SARS-CoV-2 and SARS-CoV differ in their cell tropism and drug sensitivity profiles. Apr 5. Bojkova. bioRxiv.
A preprint and not certified by peer review. A team from Germany and the UK looked at protein sequences of COVID-19 and some protease inhibitors that might affect its activity. They noted that aprotinin has some antiviral properties but also treatment with omeprazole increased the activity of apronitin by 2.7 times.
April 11, 2020
- Comparative replication and immune activation profiles of SARS-CoV-2 and SARS-CoV in human lungs: an ex vivo study with implications for the pathogenesis of COVID-19 Apr 9. Chu. Clinical Infectious Diseases.
Opinion from SAB Member: Dr. Philip Lumb
Ex-vivo investigation (excised donor lung segments from surgical patients with lung tumors) inoculated with either SARS-CoV-2 or SARS-CoV preparations. Infection and replication capacity of the two preparations were compared. Excellent methodology section detailing specimen and culture preparation, biohazard security and virology challenge and critical analysis. Results demonstrated that SARS-CoV-2 was more capable of infecting and replicating in lung tissue than SARS-CoV. The discussion includes the statement, “These findings may explain the high viral load in the respiratory secretions of COVID-19 patients during the early days on presentation or even during incubation, and thus the its person-to-person transmissibility.” This is a meticulously conducted experiment with well described methodology and important conclusions that provides insight into why COVID-19 propagates rapidly, has variable penetrance and clinical outcomes, and gives a theoretical rationale for early use of antiviral medication. An important study that could help define future therapeutic intervention and further ongoing research. - Coronavirus Disease 2019 in Children – United States, February 12-April 2, 2020. Apr 10. CDC COVID-19 Response Team. MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep.
22% of US population is < age 18. As of 4/2/20 1.7% of reported US COVID-19 patients were < age 18. Clinical data were only available for a small proportion —11%. Of those, 73% had symptoms of fever, cough, or shortness of breath compared with 93% of adults aged 18–64 years during the same period; 5.7% of all pediatric patients, or 20% of those for whom hospitalization status was known, were hospitalized, lower than the percentages hospitalized among all adults aged 18–64 years (10%) or those with known hospitalization status (33%). Three pediatric deaths were reported. These data support previous findings that children with COVID-19 might not have reported fever or cough as often as do adults, but due to the low percentage of cases with available clinical data, this conclusion should be considered preliminary. - Effect of throat washings on detection of 2019 novel coronavirus. Apr 10. Guo. Clin Infect Dis.
11 COVID-19 positive patients were studied with 24 paired PCR testing from both nasal swabs and self-administered throat washings using 20 ml. saline. In 18 pairs of tests the results agreed (1 pair positive and 17 pairs negative) however in 6 pairs of tests the nasal swab was negative while the throat washing was positive. While this is a very small study conducted patients who were 48-57 days after symptom onset, it raises the question of whether throat washings may prove to be superior in sensitivity and simplicity for identification of PCR positive COVID-19 patients. - Presymptomatic Transmission of SARS-CoV-2 – Singapore, January 23-March 16, 2020. Apr 10. Wei. MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep.
As of March 17, Singapore had reported 243 cases of COVID-19 disease of which 157 were locally acquired. Of those 157, 10 patients from 7 clusters, (6.4%), were felt to have been transmitted 1-3 days before the source patient experienced onset of symptoms. The mechanism of transmission was not certain. Public policy implications are discussed.
April 10, 2020
- Audio Interview: Emerging Tools in the Fight against Covid-19. Apr 9. Rubin. NEJM.
A 20-minute podcast with editors of NEJM, discussing broad topics with COVID, especially serology testing and therapeutics. Little in the way of specifics that will help front-line providers.
April 9, 2020
- Lockdown contained the spread of 2019 novel coronavirus disease in Huangshi city, China: Early epidemiological findings. Apr 8. Ji. Clin Infect Dis.
The article compares onset of Covid-19 in Wuhan and its sister city. This study was about the lockdown done in Huangshi, China (just adjacent to Wuhan) for 2 months and how this resolved the crisis with no new cases since 3/23/20.
April 8, 2020
- A planetary health perspective on COVID-19: a call for papers. Apr 6. Brown. Lancet.
Lancet puts out a call for papers regarding COVID-19. - Active Surveillance for Suspected COVID-19 Cases in Inpatients with Information Technology. Apr 4. Lin. J Hosp Infect.
- Clinical course and risk factors for mortality of adult inpatients with COVID-19 in Wuhan, China: A retrospective cohort study Mar 11. Zhou. The Lancet
COVID-19 SAB Opinion from: Dr. Louis McNabb
Based on data from 191 patients in Wuhan who either were discharged from the hospital or died, among survivors, the median time where virus was detected was 20 days from the onset of illness; and among those who died, the virus was detectable until death. A good article with clinical pearls about biological markers that track the severity of illness in COVID-19. - Covid-19: how a virus is turning the world upside down. Apr 5. Kickbusch. BMJ.
An Editorial: A political & economic cost projection for the world. - COVID-19 will not leave behind refugees and migrants. Apr 6. The Lancet.
A Lancet editorial appeal to include refugees and migrants in COVID planning. This virus disregards all borders. COVID-19 responses must not overlook refugees and migrants. 34 countries hold the bulk of refugees and 80% of the inhabitants are poor with no access to safe living conditions or sufficient healthcare. - Insight into 2019 novel coronavirus – an updated intrim review and lessons from SARS-CoV and MERS-CoV. Apr 5. Xie. Int J Infect Dis.
Chinese review of virology and pathophysiology of COVID-19; interesting with important references and conclusions. While information is valuable, no new insights for current treatment or management. - Medicine: before COVID-19, and after. Apr 4. McCartney. Lancet.
A wide-ranging “Perspective” by a British GP from the Lancet emphasized the idea that COVID is an opportunity to improve healthcare. - New measures for COVID-19 response: a lesson from the Wenzhou experience. Apr 5. Ruan. Clin Infect Dis.
The effect of COVID-19 on the functioning of city of Wenzhou. Historical perspective too late to alter the disease progress in the rest of the world. - Offline: COVID-19-what countries must do now. Apr 6. Horton. Lancet.
Letter in Lancet recommending an improved government response to COVID-19 in England. - Racism and discrimination in COVID-19 responses. Apr 5. Devakumar. Lancet.
Lancet correspondence from warning of the human tendency to become tribal during epidemics, worsening racism and discrimination. - Redefining vulnerability in the era of COVID-19. Apr 6. The Lancet.
A plea from the editorial staff of Lancet to consider the healthcare inequities in the poor specifically mentioning Africa, living conditions that promote disease spread, and the danger to the health of children. - Refugee and migrant health in the COVID-19 response. Apr 4. Kluge. Lancet.
Comment letter from WHO describing the difficulties faced by refugees, homeless and migrants. Important but not clinically relevant. Interestingly, when talking of north African migrants and refugees, they carry a very low risk of bringing COVID to Europe. - The outbreak that invented intensive care. Apr 3. Wunsch. Nature.
Article deals with polio pandemic. - The spread of novel coronavirus has created an alarming situation worldwide. Apr 6. Khan. J Infect Public Health.
The title says it all.
April 5, 2020
- Aerosol and Surface Stability of SARS-CoV-2 as Compared With SARS-CoV-1 Van Doremalen. Mar 17. NEJM.
COVID-19 SAB Opinion from: Dr. W. Heinrich Wurmn
This widely published letter to the editor of the NEJM addresses the viability of SARS-CoV-2 in aerosols and on various surfaces and compares it to SARS-CoV-1, the original severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus that is most closely related to the coronavirus responsible for the COVID-19 pandemic. Scientists from the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, CDC, UCLA and Princeton participate in this work. It showed that the SARS-CoV-2 virus survives and is detectable in aerosols for several hours and up to 24 hours on cardboard and stainless steel. This indicates that the virus spreads through the air and by touching contaminated surfaces. The fact that the stability of the two SARS viruses were similar indicates that other factors, like high viral load in the upper respiratory tract and the potential that people infected with the virus may shed and transmit the virus while asymptomatic, account for the difference in epidemiological characteristics.
April 4, 2020
- Ten Weeks to Crush the Curve. Apr 1. Fineberg. NEJM.
Editorial advocating 6 steps to “defeat” Covid-19 by early June: Establish united command, increase diagnostic test availability for everyone with symptoms, supply health workers with PPE and equip hospitals to care for surge, differentiate population based on presence or absence of current infection and treat accordingly, inspire and mobilize public, research.
April 3, 2020
- Coronaviruses and SARS-CoV-2: A Brief Overview Mar 31. Ludwig. Anesthesia & Analgesia.
COVID-19 SAB Opinion from: Dr. David M. Clement
A short, well-written and referenced background on coronaviruses and a more detailed description of the novel SARS-CoV-2 and attempts to identify effective therapies against COVID-19. Good basic info for someone wanting an overview. - Possible Transmission of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) in a Public Bath Center in Huai’an, Jiangsu Province, China. Published March 30, 2020. First author last name: Luo. Source: JAMA Network Open.
Though some feel that in the summer, the incidence of this pandemic will decrease, 8 patients who used or worked in the bath center that had high temperatures (25-41) and humidity (60%) had symptoms within 6-9 days after they visited the center.
March 31, 2020
- Comparing COVID-19 with Spanish flu and other viral outbreaks. Tupponce. Mar 24. VCU News.
Infectious disease expert Richard Wenzel shares lessons from SARS, MERS and swine flu, which he studied during its 2009-10 outbreak in Mexico. - COVID-19, a pandemic or not? Mar 13. The Lancet.
What are reasons behind WHO’s reluctance to define the outbreak of COVID-19 a pandemic and what difference would it make? - Covid-19: The history of pandemics. Mar 25. Walsh. BBC.
Covid-19 shows how vulnerable we remain – and how we can avoid similar pandemics in the future. - Here’s How COVID-19 Compares to Past Outbreaks. Mar 12. Ries. Healthline.
A look at how COVID-19 stacks up to other major outbreaks so far.
March 27, 2020
- Epidemiology of Covid-19 in a Long-Term Care Facility in King County, Washington. NEJM. March 27, 2020.
- Perspective: Undocumented U.S. Immigrants and Covid-19. NEJM. March 27, 2020.
March 26, 2020
March 25, 2020
- Applying the Lessons of Influenza to Coronavirus During a Time of Uncertainty. AHA.
- Opinion: Covid-19: Protecting frontline healthcare workers—what lessons can we learn from Ebola?
- Perspective: Novel Coronavirus and Old Lessons — Preparing the Health System for the Pandemic. John L. Hick, MD, and Paul D. Biddinger, MD. March 25, 2020.
November 13, 2006
- An infectious SARS-CoV-2 B.1.1.529 Omicron virus escapes neutralization by therapeutic monoclonal antibodies. 1/4/22. VanBlargan L. Res Sq.
- Epidemiology
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- Diagnosis of Infection or Immunity (Including Organization / Reliability)
January 10, 2022- Immunogenicity, safety, and reactogenicity of heterologous COVID-19 primary vaccination incorporating mRNA, viral-vector, and protein-adjuvant vaccines in the UK (Com-COV2): a single-blind, randomised, phase 2, non-inferiority trial. 12/9/2021. Stuart ASV. Lancet.
This data-rich British study of mixed vaccine dosing is most relevant to unvaccinated populations. Subjects, aged 50-75, were randomized to receive an initial dose of either AstraZeneca (AZ) (n=540) or Pfizer (n=532) vaccine. 8-12 weeks later all were randomized 1:1:1 to receive a second dose; same as prime, Moderna, or Novovax. 28 days later, serology revealed differences in antibody titers to the S-protein, and T-cell immunity (assessed in 60%). Results are complex. Highest antibody to S-protein followed Pfizer/Moderna, AZ/Moderna, Pfizer/Pfizer, however those receiving AZ/Novovax had evidence of most robust cellular immunity. Pfizer/AZ did not meet the criteria for non-inferiority to Pfizer/Pfizer however was still superior to AZ/AZ. An editorial further discusses results and implications. - Neutralization of SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variant by sera from BNT162b2 or Coronavac vaccine recipients. 12/16/2021. Lu L. Clin Infect Dis.
A live virus microneutralization assay was used to evaluate the sera of 25 BNT162b2 and 25 Coronavac recipients against two SARS-CoV-2 omicron variants, (HKU691, and HKU344-R346K) as well as ancestral, beta and delta variants. Sera were obtained 56 days after the first dose of the vaccine. None of the Coronavac recipients had neutralizing antibodies to omicron, whereas 20-24% of BNT recipients did. The geometric mean neutralizing titers of BND recipients against omicron were 36 to 40% reduced from those to the ancestral strain.
December 13, 2021
- A Higher Antibody Response Is Generated With a 6- to 7-Week (vs Standard) Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) Vaccine Dosing Interval. 12/1/2021. Grunau B. Clin Infect Dis.
This retrospective cohort study on 186 paramedics in Canada looked at antibody levels generated by the mRNA vaccines when the interval between the two doses was extended. A dosing interval of 6–7 weeks compared with a standard dosing interval (<4 weeks) resulted in significantly higher anti-spike antibodies (p<0.0001) detected in the blood of vaccinated individuals. There was no difference in the results with the Pfizer or the Moderna vaccines. These data may inform ongoing international COVID-19 vaccination efforts.
SAB Comment: Though interesting, this paper may not provide enough information to act on the bump in antibodies caused by delaying the second dose of mRNA vaccine. Understanding risks of the delay, population COVID dynamics, and actual real-life protection are also needed. - Odds of Testing Positive for SARS-CoV-2 Following Receipt of 3 vs 2 Doses of the BNT162b2 mRNA Vaccine. 11/30/2021. Patalon T. JAMA Intern Med.
The effect of a third dose of BNT162b2 (Pfizer-BioNTech) was studied in a retrospective cohort of 306710 patients older than 40 and at least 5 months post a second dose in a database of 28% of the Israeli population. From 8/1-10/4/21 the incidence of positive PCR (500232 tests in total) was compared between those who had 2 doses (6.6% positive) and those who had 3 (1.8% positive). The reduction of positive tests increased with the time interval after the third dose (0.7% at 28-65 days) and the overall reduction in the odds of testing positive for SARS-CoV-2 was 86%. After 14 days, the odds of hospitalization among those who received a booster dose were 92% to 97% lower than those who had received just 2 doses.
November 22, 2021
- SAB Comment: This article below offers good evidence and excellent tables for those seeking additional information on mRNA vaccine efficacy.
Association Between mRNA Vaccination and COVID-19 Hospitalization and Disease Severity. 11/4/21. Tenforde MW. JAMA.
This data from 21 US hospitals updates information on mRNA vaccination effectiveness for 1,983 vaccinated and unvaccinated patients hospitalized for COVID-19 from March 11, 2021-August 15, 2021. In a negative case control design, they were matched to 1,359 respiratory-symptomatic COVID-19 negative controls and 1,171 COVID-19 negative patients hospitalized for other reasons. The adjusted odds ratio for hospitalization in individuals fully vaccinated with an mRNA vaccine was 0.15. Disease progression to death or invasive mechanical ventilation by day 28 was associated with decreased likelihood of vaccination (12.0% vs 24.7%; aOR, 0.33). Odds ratios for age, ethnicity, immunocompromised, virus variant, specific vaccine and immunization date are included. - Effectiveness of a third dose of the BNT162b2 mRNA COVID-19 vaccine for preventing severe outcomes in Israel: an observational study. 11/10/21. Barda N. Lancet.
This Israeli real-world study supports the effectiveness of 3rd Pfizer “booster” doses for individuals having received 2 doses at least 5 months previously. From 7/30/21-9/23/21, 738,321 individuals were matched with an equal number of controls who had received 2 doses. Enrollment excluded healthcare workers, long-term-care residents, and those medically confined to their homes. Vaccine efficacy 7-55 days following a third dose was estimated at 93% (231 events for 2 doses vs 29 events for 3) for hospital admission, 92% (157 vs 17) for severe disease, and 81% (44 vs 7) for COVID-19-related death. - Evaluation of the BNT162b2 Covid-19 Vaccine in Children 5 to 11 Years of Age. 11/9/21. Walter EB. N Engl J Med.
The C4591007 Clinical Trial Group studied the Pfizer BNT162b2 vaccine in children 5-11 years old in a multi-national study and found a 90%+ effectiveness at a low dose of 10 mcg given twice IM separated by 21 days. Overall, fatigue was the most common side effect at 0.9%. Fever was present in 8.7% of the second-dose children. - Laboratory-Confirmed COVID-19 Among Adults Hospitalized with COVID-19–Like Illness with Infection-Induced or mRNA Vaccine-Induced SARS-CoV-2 Immunity — Nine States, January–September 2021. 10/29/21. Bozio C. MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep.
This is a CDC-led study in nine US states which looked at the protective immunity produced by a COVID-19 illness compared to that of the mRNA vaccines. Among COVID-19-like illness hospitalizations among adults aged 18 years or older whose previous infection or vaccination occurred 90-179 days earlier, the adjusted odds of laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 among unvaccinated adults with previous SARS-CoV-2 infection were 5.49-fold higher than the odds among fully vaccinated recipients of an mRNA COVID-19 vaccine who had no previous documented infection. The authors conclude that all eligible persons should be vaccinated, including unvaccinated persons previously infected with SARS-CoV-2. - Viral loads of Delta-variant SARS-CoV-2 breakthrough infections after vaccination and booster with BNT162b2. 11/3/21. Levine-Tiefenbrun M. Nat Med.
To determine whether diminished effectiveness of the Pfizer BioNTech vaccine in reducing viral loads is due to a predominance of the Delta variant or related to loss of potency over time, the authors retrospectively analyzed quantitative PCR tests taken at an Israeli healthcare system during their Delta surge in July and August 2021, from 13,000 fully vaccinated adults, 3,000 unvaccinated adults and 500 adults who had received booster shots. Viral load in PCR-positive individuals was estimated by PCR-cycle thresholds to be lower in vaccinated than unvaccinated individuals. Viral load in breakthrough infections increased steadily from 2 months to 6 months after vaccination yet was again reduced following booster shots. These results were interpreted as evidence that boosters restore protection against the Delta variant.
October 18, 2021
- Effectiveness of mRNA BNT162b2 COVID-19 vaccine up to 6 months in a large integrated health system in the USA: a retrospective cohort study. 10/4/21. Tartof S. Lancet.
This US retrospective study differentiates the effect of the delta variant from waning immunity for the BNT162b2 (Pfizer) vaccine as a cause of increased breakthrough infections 6 months after full vaccination. Individuals (n = 1,043,289) had an overall vaccine effectiveness of 88% during the first month after full vaccination, which declined to 47% after 5 months. Effectiveness against hospital admission was 87% after one month of full vaccination, and 88% after 5 months. A significant difference in waning between variant types was not observed. Real-world variant-specific vaccine effectiveness suggested that reductions in Pfizer vaccine effectiveness rather than the delta variant escaping vaccine protection was the primary cause of vaccine breakthrough infections. - Myocarditis after Covid-19 Vaccination in a Large Health Care Organization. 10/6/2021. Witberg G. New Engl J.
In this retrospective Israeli study, 54 cases of myocarditis were diagnosed following at least one dose of Pfizer vaccine 12/20/20-5/24/21 out of 2.5 million vaccinated single health care organization members 16 years or older. (~2 per 100,000) Myocarditis was mild in 76% and intermediate in 22% with only 1 case of cardiogenic shock leading to ECMO. Males 16-29 yrs. old were most at risk. No deaths were attributed to myocarditis after a median follow up of 83 days. 83% of this cohort had no co-morbidities. These figures represent a higher incidence than estimated by the CDC.
SAB Comment: In a separate Israeli study published in the same NEJM edition, investigators calculated the measured vs. expected incidence of myocarditis in individuals vaccinated by May 31, 2020. “The incidence of myocarditis, although low, increased after the receipt of the BNT162b2 vaccine, particularly after the second dose among young male recipients. The clinical presentation of myocarditis after vaccination was usually mild.” As compared with the expected incidence based on historical data, the standardized incidence ratio was 5.34 and was highest after the 2nd dose in males between ages 16 and 19 years. - One-year sustained cellular and humoral immunities of COVID-19 convalescents. 10/5/2021. Zhang J. Clin Infect Dis.
Immunoglobulin and cellular immune protection to SARS-CoV-2 was studied in Chinese COVID convalescents at 6 months (n=81) and 12 months (n=74). Disease severity ranged from asymptomatic to severe. Neutralizing Antibody (Nab), IgG, and IgM were assessed by both ELISA and MCLIA assays, and T-cell immunity to spike, membrane, and nucleocapsid proteins was individually assayed. IgG and IgM levels waned between 6 and 12 months however Nab against live virus measured at both 6 and 12 months were present in 56 of 57 convalescents at 12 months; over half had equal or increased levels. 92% showed T-cell responses at 12 months. The magnitude of immunoglobulin and cellular responses correlated with disease severity. - Waning of BNT162b2 Vaccine Protection against SARS-CoV-2 Infection in Qatar. 10/6/21. Chemaitelly H. N Engl J Med.
To determine BNT152b vaccine (Pfizer) protection over time, these investigators followed all vaccinated Qatari patients from January 1 to September 5, 2021. Eighty percent of the population had received two doses of vaccine by September 7, PCR testing is robust (5% of the population is tested weekly), all PCR samples are genetically sequenced for variants, and centralized, coordinated data collection on all patients was routine. Vaccine effectiveness at one month after the second dose was maximum at 77.5%. Effectiveness against all breakthrough infections declined gradually thereafter, with the decline accelerating after the fourth month to reach approximately 20% in months 5 through 7. Variant-specific effectiveness waned in the same pattern. Effectiveness against severe, critical, or fatal COVID-19 reached 96% or higher in the first 2 months after the second dose and persisted at approximately this level for 6 months.
SAB Comment: This study from Qatar, and the similar study below from California, are the real-life documentation of waning effectiveness of the Pfizer vaccine, which had been suspected from lab studies documenting waning immune humoral response (https://www.nejm.org/doi/10.1056/NEJMoa2114583). Note that the vaccine shows continued effectiveness against severe disease, and that the effectiveness over time is similar for SARS-CoV-2 variants.
October 4, 2021
- Comparative Effectiveness of Moderna, Pfizer-BioNTech, and Janssen (Johnson & Johnson) Vaccines in Preventing COVID-19 Hospitalizations Among Adults Without Immunocompromising Conditions – United States, March-August 2021. 9/23/21. Self WH. MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep.
This CDC study compared the real-life vaccine effectiveness (VE) against hospitalization of patients who had the three vaccines which were approved in the US. The vaccination status of 1,682 patients hospitalized with COVID-19 was compared with the vaccination status of 2,007 control patients admitted without COVID-19 during March to August 2021. VE against COVID-19 hospitalization was slightly lower for the Pfizer vaccine (88%) than the Moderna vaccine (93%), with this difference driven by a decline in VE after 120 days for the Pfizer but not for the Moderna vaccine. The Janssen (Johnson and Johnson) VE was 71%.
SAB Comment: As viral variants were not determined in this study, and time since vaccination is increasing, the VE of various vaccines may be changing. Note that in the first week of May 2021, 1.6% of all COVID-19 infections in the US were thought to be caused by Delta, whereas in the last week of September, 99% of US cases were Delta.
September 27, 2021
- Effectiveness of the BNT162b2 mRNA COVID-19 vaccine in pregnancy. 9/8/21. Dagan N. Nat Med.
A pre-Delta, observational study from researchers in Tel Aviv and at Harvard investigating the BNT162b2 messenger RNA vaccine during pregnancy in Israeli women older than 16 years found the vaccine to be of comparable effectiveness to the general population and that it reduced the infection rate by nearly 50% (see data in Figure 1) when compared to the unvaccinated pregnant control group. It should be noted there were no deaths in either group and only 1 severe infection in the unvaccinated group. The authors hypothesize the vaccination is safe and might provide protection in newborns, although they offered no evidence. - Protection of BNT162b2 Vaccine Booster against Covid-19 in Israel. 9/15/21. Bar-On YM. N Engl J Med.
More than 1.1 million (1,137,804) fully vaccinated Israelis older than 60 years were studied during the rollout of a program to provide 3rd shots of the Pfizer vaccine during the Delta surge. Data was analyzed from 5 million person-days at risk in the nonbooster group compared with 10 million person-days in the booster group. “At least 12 days after the booster dose, the rate of confirmed infection was lower in the booster group than in the nonbooster group by a factor of 11.3 (95% confidence interval [CI], 10.4 to 12.3); the rate of severe illness (cases diagnosed Aug 10-26, 2021) was lower by a factor of 19.5 (95% CI, 12.9 to 29.5).” A second analysis showed that the reduction after 12 days post 3rd shot was 5.4 times greater than the reduction after 4 to 6 days post-3rd shot. (95% CI, 4.8 to 6.1). A bar graph shows clearly that it takes 2-3 weeks for additional protection to peak. - Safety and Efficacy of the BNT162b2 mRNA Covid-19 Vaccine through 6 Months. 9/15/2021. Thomas SJ. N Engl J Med.
Additional data from the ongoing randomized, placebo controlled study of 44,165 participants over 16 years of age and 2264 participants 12 to 15 years of age who received 2 doses of two 30-μg doses, 21 days apart, of BNT162b2 or placebo, before Delta dominance. Vaccine efficacy was 91.3% (95% confidence interval [CI], 89.0 – 93.2), with a decline of 6% every 2 months. Vaccine efficacy against severe disease was 96.7% (95% CI, 80.3 – 99.9). Few participants had serious adverse events or adverse events that led to trial withdrawal. Expected reactions such as site pain, fatigue, and mild fever occurred after second doses more often if there was no evidence of previous exposure to SARS-CoV-2, and after the first dose in those with previous exposure. There was no difference in mortality, and no deaths were attributed to the vaccine. Results were consistent regardless of ethnicity/race, co-morbidities, sex, age and region. - Safety and immunogenicity of SARS-CoV-2 variant mRNA vaccine boosters in healthy adults: an interim analysis. 9/16/21. Choi A. Nat Med.
In an open-label ongoing phase 2a study, Moderna examined whether their current vaccine (mRNA-1273) booster 6 months after the second dose, shows decreased neutralization vs. three Beta-variant vaccines. Interim analysis of 4 booster groups (n = 20/group) is: Pre-booster dose: neutralizing antibodies against wild-type D614G waned vs. peak titers 1-month post-primary series. Neutralization titers against Beta, Gamma and Delta VOCs were low/undetectable. Both the mRNA-1273 booster and variant-modified boosters were safe. Both boosters increased neutralization titers against wild-type D614G vs. peak titers 1 month after the primary series, and importantly, against VOCs; both were equivalent or superior to titers measured post-primary series against wild-type virus. - SARS-CoV-2 Neutralization with BNT162b2 Vaccine Dose 3. 9/15/21. Falsey AR. N Engl J Med.
This research letter discusses what amounts to a pilot study looking at neutralizing antibody responses in a small group of subjects who received a third Pfizer vaccine dose, providing data that may be used to argue for a booster. Increases were greater in participants older than 65 years compared with adults younger than 55. Increases were greater to Beta and Delta variants than to wild type. - Spontaneous Abortion Following COVID-19 Vaccination During Pregnancy. 9/8/21. Kharbanda EO. JAMA.
In this Research Letter of 105,446 pregnancies with 13,160 spontaneous abortions, vaccination for COVID-19 did not increase the risk for spontaneous abortion as compared to unvaccinated pregnancies. - Surveillance for Adverse Events After COVID-19 mRNA Vaccination. 9/3/21. Klein NP. JAMA.
This is a Vaccine Safety Datalink study from 8 participating US health plans. “In this interim analysis of surveillance data from 6.2 million persons who received 11.8 million doses of an mRNA vaccine, event rates for 23 serious health outcomes were not significantly higher for individuals 1 to 21 days after vaccination compared with similar individuals at 22 to 42 days after vaccination,…although CIs were wide for some rate ratio estimates and additional follow-up is ongoing.” Outcomes included MI, Bell palsy, cerebral venous sinus thrombosis, Guillain-Barré, myocarditis, pericarditis, PE, CVA, and thrombosis with thrombocytopenia. Follow-up is expected for at least 2 years.
September 20, 2021
- SARS-CoV-2 B.1.617.2 Delta variant replication and immune evasion. 9/6/2021. Mlcochova P. Nature.
A short but complex Nature article demonstrating the Delta variant is less prone to neutralization by antibodies induced by current vaccinations. The authors conclude new techniques of vaccination are necessary to effectively control the Delta variety although the impact on health (death) from this variant is not presented.
September 13, 2021
- Effectiveness of COVID-19 Vaccines in Preventing SARS-CoV-2 Infection Among Frontline Workers Before and During B.1.617.2 (Delta) Variant Predominance – Eight U.S. Locations, December 2020-August 2021. 8/26/21. Fowlkes A. MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep.
Data from the prospective frontline worker HEROES-RECOVER Cohorts showed that from 12/24/20-4/10/21 the Pfizer-BioNTech and Moderna vaccines were ~90% effective in preventing symptomatic and asymptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infection. Adjusted efficacy was 80%. The estimate was 85% among participants for whom less than 120 days had elapsed since full vaccination and 73% among those for whom 150 or more days had elapsed. Once Delta became the predominant variant, adjusted efficacy decreased from 91% to 66%. However, this trend should be interpreted with caution as effectiveness might also have declined due to greater time since vaccination. In addition, there were few weeks of observation and low numbers of infections.
August 30, 2021
- COVID-19 Vaccine Safety in Adolescents Aged 12-17 Years – United States, December 14, 2020-July 16, 2021. 8/5/21. Hause AM. MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep.
A statistical analysis of the Pfizer COVID-19 vaccine in children 12 years or older in the US demonstrated its safety. Reactions to the vaccine are uncommon and mostly mild. Myocarditis is one rare but severe reaction more common in boys after the second vaccination and that resulted in no deaths. - Durability of mRNA-1273 vaccine–induced antibodies against SARS-CoV-2 variants. 8/12/21. Pegu A. Science.
The authors assess the impact of SARS-CoV-2 variants B.1.1.7 (Alpha), B.1.351 (Beta), P.1 (Gamma), B.1.429 (Epsilon), B.1.526 (Iota), and B.1.617.2 (Delta) on binding, neutralizing, and ACE2-competing antibodies elicited by the Moderna mRNA-1273 vaccine over seven months. Cross-reactive neutralizing responses were rare after a single dose. At the peak of response to the second vaccine dose, all individuals had responses to all variants. Binding and functional antibodies against variants persisted in most subjects, albeit at low levels, for 6 months after the primary series of the mRNA-1273 vaccine. Across all assays, B.1.351 had the lowest antibody recognition. The authors believe that these data complement ongoing studies to inform the potential need for additional boost vaccinations.
August 9, 2021
- Covid-19 Breakthrough Infections in Vaccinated Health Care Workers. 7/28/21. Bergwerk M. N Engl J Med.
At the largest Israeli medical center, healthcare workers with COVID-19 exposure or symptoms underwent extensive evaluations from 1/20/21 – 4/28/21 to investigate infectivity and breakthrough infections. Breakthrough cases with neutralizing antibody (nAb) titers within a week before documented infection were matched with 4-5 uninfected controls. Among 1,497 healthcare workers fully vaccinated with BNT162b2 for whom RT-PCR data were available, 39 SARS-CoV-2 breakthrough infections were documented (0.4%). Eighty-five percent were B.1.1.7. (Alpha). Most were asymptomatic or mild, yet 19 had persistent symptoms at 6 weeks. nAb titers during the peri-infection period were lower in patients than in controls (ratio, 0.36). Higher nAb levels were associated with lower viral load. No secondary infections were documented. In all 37 patients for whom the suspected source of infection was identified, it was an unvaccinated person, mostly household members. - Effectiveness of Covid-19 Vaccines against the B.1.617.2 (Delta) Variant. 7/21/21. Bernal JL. N Engl J Med.
British investigators used a test-negative case-control design to estimate the effectiveness of vaccination against symptomatic disease caused by the delta variant or the predominant alpha variant (B.1.1.7) over the period that the delta variant began circulating. With the Pfizer vaccine, the effectiveness of two doses was 93.7% among persons with the alpha variant (N=14,837) and 88.0% among those with the delta variant (N=4,272). Data ran up to 5/16/21. With the AstraZeneca vaccine, the effectiveness of two doses was 74.5% among persons with the alpha variant and 67.0% among those with the delta variant. Effectiveness was only 31% for alpha and 49% for delta after just one dose of either vaccine. - Immunogenicity and reactogenicity of heterologous ChAdOx1 nCoV-19/mRNA vaccination. 7/26/21. Schmidt T. Nature Med.
Heterologous priming with a single dose of the AstraZeneca ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 adeno vector vaccine followed by boosting with either the Pfizer or the Moderna mRNA vaccine is currently recommended in Germany. This study compares multiple aspects of immune response (spike-specific IgG, neutralizing antibodies, spike-specific CD4 T cells, and spike-specific CD8 T cell levels) in subjects receiving this heterologous regimen to the responses in subjects receiving two-dose homologous regimens with AstraZeneca vaccine or with an mRNA vaccine. All regimens were similarly well tolerated. Immune response levels were significantly higher with the heterologous regimens than after a two-dose AstraZeneca regimen and higher or comparable in magnitude to homologous mRNA vaccine regimens.
SAB Comment: Heterologous vaccine strategies were initially pioneered in HIV and Ebola. Currently, at least 5 EU countries have recommended it as a means of producing fewer side effects than a two-dose AstraZeneca regimen.
June 28, 2021
- Mild SARS-CoV-2 Infections and Neutralizing Antibody Titers. 6/23/2021. Bonfante F. Pediatrics.
In this prospective Italian study of 70 children and 82 parents in 57 family clusters with asymptomatic or mild COVID-19, anti-nucleocapsid-spike protein IgG/IgM was confirmed and neutralizing antibody levels (nAbs) were quantified by the Plaque Reduction Neutralizing Test for 7-8 months post-infection. nAbs declined less and levels were higher in children and than in parents. Children <3 developed the highest, longest lasting nAb levels, 4.5 times higher than in parents 1-2 months post infection and 7.9 times higher at 3-6 months. In this cohort, nAb levels correlated with viral loads but not with disease severity. Findings and implications for vaccination policy are discussed in an accompanying editorial. - Mortality after surgery with SARS-CoV-2 infection in England: a population-wide epidemiological study. 6/21/21. Abbott TEF. IBr J Anaesth.
This retrospective British NHS database study addresses surgical mortality associated with SARS-CoV-2 from 1/1/2020 to 2/28/2021. Of 2.5 million surgeries, 1.0% of patients died and 1.1% of patients were infected. The mortality was 21% in patients with SARS-CoV-2 and 0.8% in those uninfected (OR 5.7). With elective surgery, 1% were infected, and mortality was 7.1%, compared to 0.1% (OR 25.8). Emergency procedure mortalities were 25.1% compared to 3.4% (OR 5.5). Statistics include data for procedure types and disease severity, and demonstrate the safety of elective procedures, with precautions, in healthy patients with no SARS-CoV-2 history. The authors estimate about one-half of 4.5 million expected surgical procedures were postponed. - The SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine breakthrough infection phenotype includes significant symptoms, live virus shedding, and viral genetic diversity. 6/12/21. Pollett SD. Clin Infect Dis.
This pilot report from the US Military Health System examined 24 PCR confirmed infections more than 14 days after full Pfizer (92%) and Moderna (8%) vaccination. Sixty-seven percent had no co-morbidities, 63% were health care workers, and 71% were White. Five were asymptomatic, and none required hospitalization; however, symptoms lasted up to 2 weeks and were reported as severe in 3. Viral cultures and complete genomic sequencing were performed in many cases. Strains included wild type as well as variants of concern. Some were shedding live virus 7 days after symptom onset. Authors recommend larger, prospective studies of vaccine breakthrough infections.
SAB Comment: The CDC recently reported 4,115 cases from 47 states of breakthrough infections in fully vaccinated individuals who were hospitalized or died (mortality 18%) as of 6/21/21. Seventy-six percent were older than 65 years. Twenty-six percent of hospital admissions were not initiated for COVID-19. One hundred forty-two in 750 fatalities (19%) were not attributed to COVID-19. “The number of COVID-19 vaccine breakthrough infections reported to CDC likely are an undercount of all SARS-CoV-2 infections among fully vaccinated persons. National surveillance relies on passive and voluntary reporting, and data might not be complete or representative.” - Three Doses of an mRNA Covid-19 Vaccine in Solid-Organ Transplant Recipients. 6/23/21. Kamar N. N Engl J Med.
This letter documents the humoral antibody response to 3 doses of the Pfizer-BioNTec vaccine in 101 solid organ transplant recipients 97 months post transplant, none of whom have become infected. The second dose was given 30 days after the first, and the third, 60 days after the second. Titers for spike protein antibodies were obtained before the first, second and third doses and one month after the third dose. Before the second dose, only 4 patients had antibodies, increasing to 40% before the third dose. After the third dose, 68% had antibodies. 33 patients (who were older, with a higher degree of immunosuppressive and a lower GFR) presumably remained at risk for infection.
SAB Comment: Besides antibodies, the immune system has redundant lines of defense including T-cells (e.g., cellular immunity) that may be protective though not easily assessed. We await further “real world” studies on actual numbers and severity of infections in solid organ transplant patients, regardless of antibody levels. - Variants of concern are overrepresented among post-vaccination breakthrough infections of SARS-CoV-2 in Washington State. 6/24/21. McEwen AE. Clin Infect Dis.
In an effort to determine mRNA vaccine efficacy against SARS-CoV-2 variants of concern (VOC), the University of Washington performed genetic sequencing of the SARS-CoV-2 virus on all positive PCR samples between February 23 and April 27, 2021. Of the 5,174 unvaccinated cases, 68% were VOC compared to 100% of the 20 breakthrough cases in vaccinated patients. Most breakthrough cases were symptomatic (~80%) but none were hospitalized. No single VOC was significantly more common in the breakthrough cases compared with unvaccinated cases. This is consistent with previous reports that mRNA vaccines provide excellent protection to all current strains of the virus, though there is a rare VOC breakthrough.
SAB Comment: As the pandemic continues, more VOC that could be a problem even for vaccinated people may evolve. This emphasizes the importance of the current vaccination effort and world-wide control of the pandemic.
June 4, 2021
- COVID-19 Vaccine Breakthrough Infections Reported to CDC – United States, January 1-April 30, 2021. 5/27/21. CDC COVID-19 Vaccine Breakthrough Case Investigations Team. MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep.
In this brief weekly report, the CDC provides an important glimpse into the post-vaccination scenario in the US. During the 4 months ending April 30, 2021, a total of 10,262 breakthrough infections have been reported. Of those, 63% were female, median age 58 years, of which 27% were asymptomatic, 10% hospitalized and 2% died. By the end of the study, although 100 million individuals had been vaccinated in the US, SARS-CoV-2 transmission was still in full swing with 355,000 new cases daily. Variants were detected at a similar rate among vaccinated and non-vaccinated patients. Underreporting of asymptomatic cases and limited RNA sequencing represent current and future limitations to these statistics. Notably, beginning May 1, 2021, the CDC transitioned from monitoring all reported COVID-19 vaccine breakthrough infections to investigating only those among patients who are hospitalized. Monthly reports and additional information on vaccination breakthrough initiatives by the CDC can be found here. - Immune response to SARS-CoV-2 variants of concern in vaccinated individuals. 5/26/2021. Becker M. Nat Commun.
Authors examined the antibody (Ab) response to the Pfizer vaccine in serum and saliva as well as neutralizing Abs to the UK, S. Africa, Mink, and LA SARS-CoV-2 variants. Subjects were either post-vaccine (n=22), post infection + vaccine (n=26), or neither previously infected or vaccinated (n=45). IgG response is strongest in previously infected individuals post-vaccine. For the UK, Mink, and LA variants, antibody response to vaccine was nearly identical for vaccinated and previously infected individuals compared with wild-type variant. However IgG response to the S. African variant was varied and reduced immunity in both groups. The second dose of the vaccine was an important contributor to evidence of protection. - Safety, Immunogenicity, and Efficacy of the BNT162b2 Covid-19 Vaccine in Adolescents. 5/27/21. Frenck RW Jr. N Engl J Med.
The BNT162b2 COVID-19 RNA vaccine (Manufacturer: Pfizer, Inc., and BioNTech) was proven effective with few side effects in 12-15 year old recipients (n=1131) who received 2 injections 21 days apart versus controls (n=1129). Among participants without evidence of previous SARS-CoV-2 infection, no COVID-19 cases with an onset of 7 or more days after dose 2 were noted among BNT162b2 recipients, and 16 cases occurred among placebo recipients. The observed vaccine efficacy was 100% (95% CI, 75.3 to 100).
May 24, 2021
- Immunogenicity of COVID-19 mRNA Vaccines in Pregnant and Lactating Women. 5/13/21. Collier AY. JAMA.
This excellent cohort report of the immunologic response to mRNA vaccination in pregnant (30), lactating (16), nonpregnant (57), and post SARS-CoV-2 pregnant (22) and nonpregnant women (6) demonstrates its effectiveness in pregnancy and potential for newborn protection. At 2 to 8 weeks post second dose, both neutralizing antibodies and cellular responses were measured in maternal serum, cord blood, and breast milk. Vaccination-produced neutralizing antibody titers higher than those from infection. Antibodies were detected in both cord blood and breast milk. Neutralizing antibody titers to variants were reduced, but cellular responses were preserved. A very useful glossary of immunological assays is included.
May 10, 2021
- Impact and effectiveness of mRNA BNT162b2 vaccine against SARS-CoV-2 infections and COVID-19 cases, hospitalisations, and deaths following a nationwide vaccination campaign in Israel: an observational study using national surveillance data. 5/8/21. Haas EJ. Lancet.
This is a prospective, longitudinal cohort study of 83 severe COVID-19 patients (admitted February and March). This data-rich study demonstrates graphically and convincingly the effectiveness of 2 doses of the Pfizer-BioNTech vaccine against a range of SARS-CoV-2 outcomes in Israel using surveillance data from the first 4 months of the vaccination campaign which began in December 2020. By April 3, 2021, 72% of 6.5 million people over age 16 had been vaccinated and the incidence rate dropped from 91.5 in unvaccinated individuals to 3.1 per 100,000 person-days in those fully vaccinated. Effectiveness against critical illness and death was 97.5% and 96.7% respectively. Widespread testing revealed effectiveness of the vaccine against the predominant B.1.1.7. (British) variant. Aspects of the Israeli health care system, concomitant lockdown measures as well as cultural and ethnic influences vis-à-vis the goal of achieving herd immunity are discussed. The Israeli Ministry of Health and Pfizer collaborated on this project.
May 7, 2021
- Effectiveness of the BNT162b2 Covid-19 Vaccine against the B.1.1.7 and B.1.351 Variants. 5/5/21. Abu-Raddad LJ. New Engl J.
This letter to the editor reports effectiveness of the Pfizer-BioNTech vaccine against UK and S. African variants that represented 50% and 44.5% of infections, respectively, in the Qatari research cohort community at the time of study. Estimated vaccine effectiveness against any documented B.1.1.7 variant infection was 89.5% (95% CI 85.9-92.3) and 75% against B.1.351 (CI (70.5–78.9) at 14 or more days after second doses in nearly 400,000 people. Effectiveness against severe, or fatal disease due to any SARS-CoV-2 variant was 97.4% (95% CI, 92.2-99.5). Although effectiveness against the B.1.351 variant was ~20% below previous reports from the clinical trial or real-world conditions in Israel and the US, protection from hospitalization or death was >90%. Effectiveness was found to be significantly improved after second dose.
May 3, 2021
- Preliminary Findings of mRNA Covid-19 Vaccine Safety in Pregnant Persons. 4/21/21. Shimabukuro TT. N Engl J Med.
Early results of mRNA COVID-19 vaccination of pregnant women between 12/14/2020 and 2/28/2021 were obtained from v-safe after-vaccination health checker, v-safe pregnancy registry (patients enrolled by identification through v-safe participation), and VAERS, the vaccine adverse event reporting system. Comparison was to nonpregnant v-safe participants and historical pregnancy outcome statistics. The 35,691 pregnant v-safe participants (94% healthcare workers) reported reactions to vaccination similar to those who were not pregnant. In the registry, 827 pregnancies were completed, 86% with a live birth, and 9% with preterm births. There were 104 spontaneous abortions among the 92 preconception and 1132 first trimester participants. These frequencies are comparable to historical rates. The most common VAERS pregnancy report was spontaneous abortion, reported in 46 patients out of at least 35,691 (0.16%), a rate far lower than published, probably because of underreporting. Although more longitudinal follow-up is necessary, no problems regarding the administration of mRNA COVID-19 vaccine during pregnancy were revealed. - Vaccine Breakthrough Infections with SARS-CoV-2 Variants. 4/21/2021. Hacisuleyman E. N Engl J Med.
In this brief scientific report, authors describe 2 cases of women fully vaccinated with the mRNA vaccines (1 Pfizer, 1 Moderna) who nonetheless developed SARS-CoV-2 infection within a few weeks of vaccination. Both had evidence of vaccine efficacy (neutralizing Abs to the wild type spike protein). Complete genomic sequencing revealed somewhat unique variants. In one, the variant was related to, but not identical to, the B.1.1.7 (UK) variant along with elements of the B.156 (NY) variant. Both patients had mild disease.
April 23, 2021
- Genomic characteristics and clinical effect of the emergent SARS-CoV-2 B.1.1.7 lineage in London, UK: a whole-genome sequencing and hospital-based cohort study. 4/12/21. Frampton D. Lancet Infect Dis.
Between 11/9/20 and 12/20/20 samples from 341 COVID-19 inpatients from 2 London hospitals were analyzed with full genomic sequencing. Fifty-eight percent had B.1.1.7 (the UK variant), known to be more transmissible. However in this study the variant was not shown to confer increased risk of severe disease or death compared with non-B.1.1.7 lineages, using the WHO clinical progression ordinal scale. This contrasts with results from other preliminary studies that focused on community cohorts rather than inpatients that appeared to show higher morbidity and mortality among those with B.1.1.7. The study antedates the onset of the UK vaccination program.
April 21, 2021
- SARS-CoV-2 infection rates of antibody-positive compared with antibody-negative health-care workers in England: a large, multicentre, prospective cohort study (SIREN). 4/12/2021. Hall VJ. Lancet.
Workers from NHS hospitals across England were enrolled from June 18, 2020 to Dec 31, 2020, and data up to January 21, 2021 from 25,661 was analyzed. Due to worker demographics, the cohort was primarily white and female. The primary outcome was a reinfection in the antibody-positive (Ab+) cohort or a primary PCR(+) infection in the antibody-negative (Ab-) cohort. A previous history of SARS-CoV-2 infection was found to be associated with an 84% lower risk of infection, with median protective effect observed 7 months following primary infection. The incidence density was 7.6 reinfections per 100,000 person-days in the Ab+ cohort, compared with 57.3 primary infections per 100,000 person-days in the Ab- cohort.
April 19, 2021
- Sensitivity of infectious SARS-CoV-2 B.1.1.7 and B.1.351 variants to neutralizing antibodies. 3/27/2021. Planas D. Nat Med.
These investigators examined SARS-CoV-2 antibodies present in noses and sera from infected individuals or vaccinees, for potency vs. authentic mutants B.1.1.7 (UK) and B.1.351 (S-Africa) and the common D614G (US). They utilized a new “S-Fuse” neutralization assay: reporter cells become fluorescence positive overnight. Vaccinee nasal antibodies were rarely detected. Sera from 54/58 individuals at 9 months, neutralized UK and US. However, against S-Africa, sera had a 6-fold reduction; 40% lacked activity. Only 6-weeks post full Pfizer mRNA vaccination (n=19), sera already showed 14-fold reductions against S-Africa compared to US. Thus, the S-Africa strain may pose ongoing risks even in immunized individuals.
April 16, 2021
- Exponential increase in neutralizing and spike specific antibodies following vaccination of COVID-19 convalescent plasma donors. 4/8/2021. Vickers MA. Transfusion.
In this small (n=11) case series measuring spike-specific antibody levels following Pfizer or Moderna vaccination of individuals who had recovered from COVID-19, all showed dramatic increases (~50 fold) and had at least a 20-fold increase in the IC50 neutralizing antibody titer based on plaque reduction neutralization testing (PRNT). These levels were not observed by the authors in people who had not had the virus prior to being vaccinated. The possibility of recruiting individuals who had recovered from SARS-CoV-2 infection and received a single vaccine dose to donate convalescent plasma is raised.
April 12, 2021
- Antibody responses to the BNT162b2 mRNA vaccine in individuals previously infected with SARS-CoV-2. 4/1/2021. Ebinger J. Nature Medicine.
The response to the Pfizer vaccine in individuals previously infected with SARS-CoV-2 was compared to that in individuals not previously infected. Spike-specific IgG antibody (Ab) levels and an assay for ACE2 binding inhibition as a surrogate for Ab neutralization were measured. Previously infected individuals (n=35) had a more robust neutralization response to vaccine dose #1 than naïve individuals (n=228), however after the second dose of vaccine the IgG levels and neutralization responses were similar between groups. Symptoms after dose #1 for those with prior infection more resembled those after dose #2 for naïve individuals (more severe). Authors question whether previously infected individuals need 2 vaccine doses. The question of whether previously infected individuals require 2 Pfizer vaccine doses to achieve equivalent protection from re-infection is raised, and will require further real-world study.
April 2, 2021
- Escape of SARS-CoV-2 501Y.V2 from neutralization by convalescent plasma. 3/29/21. Cele S. Nature.
Using a live virus-neutralizing assay, investigators tested the effectiveness of convalescent plasma collected from donors during the first (original) and second (S. African variant) waves of COVID-19 against both types of virus. First-wave plasma was effective against first-wave virus, however showed a 15-fold decrease in effectiveness against S. African variant virus. Second-wave plasma was effective against the then-predominant variant strain and, although it demonstrated a 2.3 fold decrease in activity against the original strain, it was still effective. This provides preliminary evidence that vaccines based on variant-of-concern sequences could retain effective activity against other SARS-CoV-2 lineages.
March 24, 2021
- Assessment of protection against reinfection with SARS-CoV-2 among 4 million PCR-tested individuals in Denmark in 2020: a population-level observational study. 3/17/21. Hansen CH. Lancet.
To define the degree to which infection with SARS-CoV-2 confers protection towards subsequent reinfection, the authors analyzed Denmark’s extensive PCR-test data from 2020. Before June, 11,727 people tested positive, and 72 (0.65%) of these again tested positive during the last three months of the year. Protection against repeat infection was 80.5%. Individuals older than 65 years had less protection (47%), and protection for males and females was equal. There was no evidence of waning protection over time (3-6 months vs over 7 months of follow-up). The lower natural immunity in people aged 65 and older underlines the need to vaccinate previously infected individuals in the age group.
SAB Comment: Though similar to a study from the Cleveland Clinic, highlighted in issue 69 of the COVID-19 Resource Newsletter, this is a much larger study with different details. - Association of Age With SARS-CoV-2 Antibody Response. 3/22/2021. Yang HS. JAMA Netw Open.
In this retrospective study, 31,426 (hospital + outpatient, age 1 – 80+) patients with COVID-19 were evaluated for both quantitative and qualitative antibody/AB tests for functional neutralizing capacity. Authors note that despite similar seroprevalence in various age groups, COVID-IgG, total receptor binding domain/ (RBD= Avidity), total antibodies (TAb), and surrogate neutralizing antibody SNAb activities displayed an inverse/ variable relation with age. These findings are likely to be applied for screening, management in selecting CP prescription and vaccine strategies. The children and their AB response explains symptomatology and represent a reservoir of virus. The included graphs are illustrative and complimentary to the article conclusions.
March 17, 2021
- Antibody Resistance of SARS-CoV-2 Variants B.1.351 and B.1.1.7. 3/8/21. Wang P. Nature.
These investigators report that the “UK variant” (B.1.1.7) remains sensitive to both convalescent plasma and serum collected from vaccinated individuals during Moderna phase I trials (both collected Spring 2020), but refractory to neutralization by most monoclonal antibodies (mAbs) to the spike N-terminal domain (NTD), and relatively resistant to a few mAbs to the receptor-binding domain (RBD). The “South African variant” (B.1.351), containing the E484K mutation is more resistant to neutralization by convalescent plasma (9.4x) and serum from vaccinated individuals (10.3-12.4x). The virus is refractory to most NTD mAbs and multiple individual mAbs to the RBD. This study reinforces concerns about emergent variants and the need for vaccines and mAbs that target them. - Reinfection Rates among Patients who Previously Tested Positive for COVID-19: a Retrospective Cohort Study. 3/15/21. Sheehan MM. Clin Infect Dis.
In a retrospective cohort study, PCR testing in the Cleveland Clinic Health System from March 2020 to February 2021 was analyzed to detect repeat SARS-CoV-2 infection. Of 8,845 individuals with initially positive PCR tests, 62 had reinfections, defined as a positive PCR test at least 90 days following the first positive PCR. Half were asymptomatic, few were hospitalized, and none required intensive care. Protection offered against reinfection was 82%. Risk of reinfection declined with time after initial infection. The authors suggest that the protection afforded by infection with SARS-CoV-2 is adequate to delay vaccination of these people, if vaccine is in short supply.
SAB Comment: A negative PCR test after the first infection was not part of their definition of reinfection therefore, the authors acknowledge that persistent shedding of virus could account for some reinfections.
March 8, 2021
- Comparison of Saliva and Nasopharyngeal Swab Nucleic Acid Amplification Testing for Detection of SARS-CoV-2: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis. 1/15/21. Butler-Laporte G. JAMA Internal Med.
This systematic review and meta-analysis compared PCR testing (here called “nucleic acid amplification testing – NAAT”) on saliva samples versus nasopharyngeal samples using data from 16 studies. In ambulatory patients with minimal or mild symptoms the pooled saliva NAAT sensitivity (83.2%) and specificity (99.2%) were comparable to the nasopharyngeal swab NAAT sensitivity (84.8%) and specificity (98.9%). Secondary analysis restricted to the 10 peer-reviewed articles gave essentially identical results. Given greater ease and lesser cost of saliva sample collection, the authors propose that saliva NAAT should be prioritized for larger-scale deployment with prospective studies conducted by clinical microbiology laboratories and public health authorities.
February 22, 2021
- mRNA vaccine-elicited antibodies to SARS-CoV-2 and circulating variants. 2/3/21. Wang Z. Nature.
This basic science article in Nature showed similar antibody and memory B cell responses in volunteers who received mRNA vaccinations vs those naturally infected. Of note, against emerging variants, whole plasma (containing many diverse antibodies) remained active, neutralizing, and protective, though reduced in both groups. Monoclonal antibodies (mAbs) from laboratory-derived single B cells remain active in neutralizing current virus. However, against emerging mutants, neutralization by the most potent single mAbs was reduced/abolished. Further, when single mAbs were placed in extended virus co-culture, virus mutations resulted. This suggests that clinically, caution is warranted in treating with single mAb infusions rather than mAb combinations as single mAbs may drive virus mutations.
February 12, 2021
- Rapid decline of neutralizing antibodies against SARS-CoV-2 among infected healthcare workers. 2/8/21. Marot S. Nature Communications.
Serological testing is used to identify individuals who are immunized and potentially “protected” against re-infection. From 28 January to 21 March 2020, 26 healthcare workers from Pitié-Salpêtrière University Hospital in France were enrolled in this study. Healthcare workers with mild COVID-19 were tested three weeks (D21), two months (M2) and three months (M3) after the onset of symptoms. All healthcare workers displayed seroconversion at D21 after symptom onset, and elicited a neutralizing antibodies response to SARS-CoV-2 correlated with the anti-receptor binding domain antibody levels. However, this neutralizing activity declines, and may even be completely lost, in association with a decrease in systemic IgA antibody levels from 2 months after disease onset.
February 10, 2021
- Global absence and targeting of protective immune states in severe COVID-19. 1/25/21. Combes A. Nature.
This fascinating study shows that immune response to COVID-19 is complex and differs between severe systemic effects in some patients and milder symptoms in others. Authors exposed the differences by studying whole blood analysis identifying individual cellular elements and expression in samples of severe and mild disease. Examination of serum in mild disease shows production of interferon-stimulated genes which blunt overproduction of anti-SARS-CoV-2 antibodies which in severe disease are higher and associated with lower viral titers than seen in mild disease. The authors make research suggestions to study modification of this response. - Occurrence and Timing of Subsequent Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 Reverse-transcription Polymerase Chain Reaction Positivity Among Initially Negative Patients. 2/5/21. Long DR. Clin Infect Dis.
The authors compared the occurrence of a discordant result of RT- PCR in two health systems. They assessed the conversion rate to a new positive in less than 7 days. They noted the conversion rate was at 3.5% (4.1% at the University of Washington, 2.8% at Stanford). Retesting was done based on clinical symptoms of patients. These observations suggest that false-negative RT-PCR results do occur, but at a low frequency. Neither team was able to calculate a true clinical sensitivity or false-negative proportion due to the lack of a gold-standard. - Transmission of COVID-19 in 282 clusters in Catalonia, Spain: a cohort study. 2/2/21. Marks M. Lancet Infect Dis.
In an attempt to identify variables that affect the transmission dynamics of SARS-CoV-2, these investigators from Spain analyzed contact tracing data associated with a randomized control trial. Quantitative RT-PCR and clinical data was analyzed on 282 adult, non-hospitalized index cases with a total of 753 contacts. The viral load of the index case was the leading determinant of the risk of PCR positivity among contacts and viral load significantly influenced the risk of developing the symptomatic disease in a dose-dependent manner. No association of risk of transmission was found with reported mask usage by contacts, with the age or sex of the index case, or with the presence of respiratory symptoms in the index case.
February 8, 2021
- Evolution of antibody immunity to SARS-CoV-2. 1/18/21. Gaebler C. Nature.
SARS-CoV-2 neutralizing antibody levels eventually decrease post-illness or vaccination. It is unknown how well memory B cells produce antibodies many months later. Eighty-seven individuals were assessed at 1.3- and 6.2-months post-infection. As expected, IgM, and IgG anti-SARS-CoV-2 spike protein receptor binding domain (RBD) antibody titers decreased significantly. Functionally, plasma viral killing activity decreased fivefold. However, at 6.2 months, memory B-cells remained unchanged and continued evolving antibodies showing antibody sequence changes with increased potency and resistance to RBD mutation. Following up on known stool SARS-CoV-2 persistence, the authors related ongoing memory B-cell evolution to lingering antigen immunoreactivity shown in intestinal biopsies 4 months post-infection. - SARS-CoV-2 viral load is associated with increased disease severity and mortality. 10/30/20. Fajnzylber J. Nature Communications.
The authors quantified SARS-CoV-2 viral load from participants with a diverse range of COVID-19 disease severity, including those requiring hospitalization, outpatients with mild disease, and individuals with resolved infection. Amongst participants hospitalized with COVID-19, the authors report that a higher prevalence of detectable SARS-CoV-2 plasma viral load is associated with worse respiratory disease severity, lower absolute lymphocyte counts, and increased markers of inflammation. Forty-four percent of those on a ventilator had detectable viremia compared to 19% of those receiving supplemental oxygen by nasal cannula and 0% of individuals not requiring supplemental oxygen. Compared to individuals who were discharged from the hospital, those who eventually died had significantly higher levels of plasma viremia at the time of initial sampling.
January 19, 2021
- Duration and key determinants of infectious virus shedding in hospitalized patients with coronavirus disease-2019 (COVID-19). 1/12/21. van Kampen JJA. Nat Commun.
The CDC currently uses a minimum disease duration of 10 days in their symptom-based strategy as the statistically estimated likelihood of recovering a replication-competent virus approaches zero after ten days of symptoms. In a study of 129 hospitalized patients, duration and key determinants of infectious SARS-CoV-2 shedding in patients with severe and critical COVID-19 was assessed. Median time for infectious virus shedding was 8 days post-symptom onset; ≤5% probability for isolating infectious SARS-CoV-2 when duration of symptoms was ≥ 15.2 days. Median viral load was significantly higher in culture + samples than culture – samples. Probability of isolating infectious virus was < 5% when neutralizing antibody titer was 1:80 or higher. Detection of subgenomic RNAs outlasted detection of infectious virus. Based on their findings, a longer disease duration could be considered for severely-ill patients.
January 13, 2021
- SARS-CoV-2 Transmission From People Without COVID-19 Symptoms. 1/7/21. Johansson MA. JAMA Netw Open.
A decision analytical model was used including multiple scenarios for the infectious period and the proportion of transmission from individuals who never have COVID-19 symptoms. Baseline assumptions were taken from meta-analyses and included an incubation period of a median of 5 days. In the various analyses peak infectiousness was varied between 3 and 7 days. Under a broad range of values for each of these assumptions, at least 50% of new SARS-CoV-2 infections were estimated to have originated from exposure to individuals who were asymptomatic at the time of transmission (combining those who never develop symptoms with those who are pre-symptomatic).
SAB Comment: This highlights the importance of mask-wearing and social distancing even as vaccines are rolled out.
January 11, 2021
- Antibody Status and Incidence of SARS-CoV-2 Infection in Health Care Workers. 12/28/20. Lumley SF. N Engl J Med.
This is an original article from 4 Oxford University Hospitals that followed its employees for SARS-CoV-2 infection. Testing was performed every 2 weeks or if symptomatic. 10% of 12,541 staff tested positive from March through November 2020. Polymerase chain reaction assays of both anti-spike IgG and anti-nucleocapsid IgG demonstrated that healthcare workers who tested positive suffered mild disease and were afforded immunity for the length of the study, 31 weeks.
January 8, 2021
- Factors Associated with Positive SARS-CoV-2 Test Results in Outpatient Health Facilities and Emergency Departments Among Children and Adolescents Aged <18 Years – Mississippi, September-November 2020. 12/17/20. Hobbs CV. MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep.
This investigation included children and adolescents younger than 18 years who received RT-PCR testing for presence of SARS-CoV-2 in nasopharyngeal swab specimens at outpatient testing health care centers or the ED during September 1–November 5, 2020. Of 397 participants, children and adolescents who received positive test results for SARS-CoV-2 were more likely than were similarly aged participants who had negative test results to have had close contact with persons with COVID-19. Exposure was attributed to gatherings with persons outside the household, and a lack of consistent mask use in school. However, attending school or childcare was not associated with receiving positive SARS-CoV-2 test results.
December 4, 2020
- SARS-CoV-2, SARS-CoV, and MERS-CoV viral load dynamics, duration of viral shedding, and infectiousness: a systematic review and meta-analysis. 11/19/20. Cevik M. Lancet.
This meta-analysis of 79 COVID-19 articles characterized viral load kinetics and dynamics, duration of viral RNA shedding, and viable virus shedding. Despite evidence of prolonged SARS-CoV-2 RNA shedding (mean 17 days) in respiratory samples, viable virus shedding appears to be short-lived (9 days maximum). Therefore, RNA detection cannot be used to infer infectiousness. High titers of SARS-CoV-2 RNA are detected from symptom onset to day 5 of illness, which probably explains the efficient spread of SARS-CoV-2 compared with SARS-CoV and MERS-CoV. These findings emphasize the importance of early case finding and prompt isolation.
December 2, 2020
- Decline in SARS-CoV-2 Antibodies After Mild Infection Among Frontline Health Care Personnel in a Multistate Hospital Network – 12 States, April-August 2020. 11/27/20. Self WH. MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep.
In this MMWR/CDC regarding 156 (median age 38, 94% female) frontline health care personnel who had a positive COVID-19 antibodies test result, 94% experienced a decline at repeat testing 60 days later and 28% sero-reverted to below the threshold of positivity. Health care workers with robust antibody responses were more likely to have a slower antibody decay. Whether the slimmer response of the antibody increases risk for reinfection remains unanswered. These results suggest that serology testing at a single point in time is likely to underestimate infection and a negative serologic test result might not reliably exclude prior infection. - Estimated SARS-CoV-2 Seroprevalence in the US as of September 2020. 11/24/20. Bajema KL. JAMA Intern Med.
Residuals of 177,919 serum samples collected for non-COVID-19 tests by two US national commercial clinical labs were retested for antibodies to SARS-CoV-2. Four sets of samples from every state were tested from periods in late July to late September 2020. Seroprevalence varied from 23% for New York State to less than 1% for several states and was less than 10% for the vast majority of states. Nowhere was seroprevalence close to the 60% to 80% estimated to be necessary to achieve herd immunity. An excellent figure summarizes the results for each period in all 50 states.
November 23, 2020
- Preexisting and de novo humoral immunity to SARS-CoV-2 in humans. 11/6/20. Ng K. Science.
Using diverse assays for antibodies recognizing SARS-CoV-2 proteins, these investigators examined preexisting humoral immunity to the novel and older coronaviruses in humans. Using flow cytometry, predominately IgG class cross-reacting antibodies particularly targeting the S2 subunit of the spike glycoprotein were detectable in the SARS-CoV-2-uninfected, especially children and adolescents. SARS-CoV-2 infection induced higher titers of SARS-CoV-2 S-reactive IgG antibodies, targeting both proteolytically-cleaved S1 (attachment) and S2 (entry) subunits, along with contemporaneous IgM and IgA. Notably, SARS-CoV-2-uninfected donor sera exhibited specific neutralizing activity against SARS-CoV-2 and SARS-CoV-2 S pseudotypes. Cross-reacting immunological memory may be critical to understand susceptibility to SARS-CoV-2 infection.
November 9, 2020
- COVID-19 seropositivity and asymptomatic rates in healthcare workers are associated with job function and masking. 11/5/20. Sims MD. Clin Infect Dis.
This prospective cross-sectional cohort study evaluated seropositivity among 40k employees of a Detroit healthcare system who were both frontline workers and support staff, including administrators. About half of the employees participated and 8.8% were seropositive, 44% of those were asymptomatic. Those wearing N95 masks had a significantly lower seropositivity rate (10.2%) compared to surgical masks (13.1%) or no masks (17.5%). - Lack of antibodies to SARS-CoV-2 in a large cohort of previously infected persons. 11/4/20. Petersen LR. Clin Infect Dis.
In this study, sera from 2,547 known PCR+ healthcare workers and first responders were tested at least 2 weeks after symptom onset for IgG against spike protein. Sero-negativity was found in 6.3%, or 1 in 16 persons. The proportion lacking antibodies increased only slightly from 14 to 90 days post-symptom onset (p=0.06), pointing to reassurance of low sero-reversion. Sero-negativity was 0% in 79 previously hospitalized, but increased to 11.0% among 308 persons with asymptomatic infections and 31.9% on immunosuppressive medications. Black race (2.7%), severe obesity (3.9%) and those with more symptoms were less likely to be seronegative. - SARS-CoV-2 Infections Among Children in the Biospecimens from Respiratory Virus-Exposed Kids (BRAVE Kids) Study. 11/3/20. Hurst JH. Clin Infect Dis.
A BRAVE Kids study demonstrates the issues beyond the science of COVID-19 spread and infection. The sociologic impact of ethnicity (Hispanic), family life, and the role of children as a potential viral reservoir are presented. The nasopharyngeal viral loads suggest that symptom-free children might be a source for disease spread in their homes and families.
October 23, 2020
- Pasteurization Inactivates SARS-CoV-2 Spiked Breast Milk. 10/22/20. Conzelmann C. Pediatrics.
Bench Research, Human Milk, and SARS-CoV-2. 10/22/20. Furman L. Pediatrics.
A team of German virologists determined that the SARS-CoV-2 virus can be shed and is detectable in human breast milk but does not replicate in that environment. Inoculation of breast milk with various strains of the virus resulted in a 40-90% decrease in viral titer due to antiviral properties of breast milk alone. Heating to 63°C (145°F) for 30 minutes (Holder pasteurization) completely inactivated the virus.
Welcoming these findings, an accompanying editorial by two US pediatricians is strongly in favor of allowing infected mothers to breastfeed their babies whenever possible as the milk duct epithelium’s lack of proteases required to allow virus entry prevents vertical transmission of COVID-19 from an infected mother.
October 21, 2020
- The duration of infectiousness of individuals infected with SARS-CoV-2. 10/13/20. Walsh KA. J Infect.
The potential duration of patient infectiousness, as derived from virus culture and contact tracing studies, for those individuals in whom SARS-CoV-2 RNA is detected is summarized. Thirteen various quality studies and 2 large contact tracing studies were included. The data suggests that COVID-19 patients with mild-to-moderate illness are highly unlikely to be infectious beyond 10 days from symptom onset. Evidence from a limited number of studies indicates that patients with severe-to-critical illness, and/or those who are immunocompromised, may be infectious for a prolonged period, possibly for 20 days or more. Research is needed to confirm these findings and to provide information on the duration of infectiousness in subgroups such as children, and asymptomatic and immunosuppressed patients. - Transmission Dynamics by Age Group in COVID-19 Hotspot Counties – United States, April-September 2020. 10/15/20. Oster AM. MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep.
CDC analyzed temporal trends in percent test positivity by age group in COVID-19 hotspot counties before and after their identification as hotspots. Among 767 U.S. hotspot counties identified during June and July 2020 (24% of counties, 63% of population) early increases in the percent positivity among persons 24 years old and younger were followed by several weeks of increasing percent positivity in persons 25 years old and older, particularly those in the South and West. Addressing transmission among young adults is an urgent public health priority.
October 5, 2020
- Detection of SARS-CoV-2 with SHERLOCK One-Pot Testing. 9/16/2020. Joung J. N Engl J Med.
Both CRISPR (clustered regularly interspaced short palindromic repeats)- based diagnostic tests and SHERLOCK (specific high-sensitivity enzymatic reporter unlocking) can detect viruses, but are not practical for Point of Care testing. The newly described “STOPCovid.v2” (SHERLOCK Testing in One Pot version-2) uses a novel magnetic bead RNA extraction with loop-mediated isothermal amplification and CRISPR-mediated detection, all in 15-45 minutes using minimal equipment and available reagents. Nasal swab testing showed a sensitivity of 93.1% and a specificity of 98.5%. STOPCovid.v2 false negative samples had RT-qPCR Ct values greater than 37. STOPCovid.v2 detected a viral load 1/30th detected by RT-qPCR.
October 2, 2020
- Patterns of COVID-19 testing and mortality by race and ethnicity among United States veterans: A nationwide cohort study. 9/22/2020. Rentsch CT. PLoS Med.
This article presents a nationwide VA data set study (~6 million patients, February 8 to July 22) comparing positive COVID-19 test results with 30-day mortality. Healthcare disparities were explored by evaluating “associations between race/ethnicity and receipt of COVID-19 testing, a positive test result, and 30-day mortality, with multivariable adjustment for demographic and clinical characteristics including comorbid conditions, health behaviors, medication history, site of care, and urban versus rural residence.” The study confirms prior reports indicating that “Black and Hispanic individuals experience excess burden of SARS-CoV-2 infection” but not increased mortality and notes that these disparities “are not entirely explained by underlying medical conditions or where they live or receive care.” The article contains interesting distinctions and reinforces the importance of designing “strategies to contain and prevent further outbreaks in racial and ethnic minority communities.” - Sensitive Detection of SARS-CoV-2-Specific Antibodies in Dried Blood Spot Samples. 9/24/20. Morley GL. Emerg Infect Dis.
Dried blood spot (DBS) samples can be obtained directly from patients without venipuncture and stored and shipped without refrigeration. DBS samples were compared to matched serum samples in 80 patients to detect coronavirus 2 spike antibodies with a relative 98.1% sensitivity and 100% specificity. The authors propose that DBS sampling offers an alternative for population-wide serologic testing in the coronavirus pandemic.
September 30, 2020
- Occurrence and transmission potential of asymptomatic and presymptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infections: A living systematic review and meta-analysis. 9/22/20. Buitrago-Garcia D. PLoS Med.Ninety-four reviewed studies identified from 25 March through 10 June 2020:
- ~20% remain asymptomatic when infected with SARS-CoV-2 (79 studies); 31% in screened populations (7 studies).
- Compared with symptomatic contacts, relative risk of transmission from asymptomatic contacts = 0.35 (95% CI 0.10–1.27); from presymptomatic contacts = 0.63 (95% CI 0.18–2.26).
- “Easing of restrictions will only be possible with wide access to testing, contact tracing, and rapid isolation of infected individuals.” Prevention measures (enhanced hand hygiene, masks, social distancing) and quarantine of close contacts are essential to prevent onward transmission during asymptomatic or presymptomatic periods.
September 14, 2020
- Non-neuronal expression of SARS-CoV-2 entry genes in the olfactory system suggests mechanisms underlying COVID-19-associated anosmia. 7/31/20. Brann DH. Science Advances.
The authors examined human and mouse olfactory epithelial cells and found ACE2 is expressed not in olfactory neurons but in dorsally located olfactory epithelial sustentacular cells and olfactory bulb pericytes support cells, goblet and ciliated cells, stem cells, and perivascular cells. Hence, neurons are not injured and the findings suggest that sensory damage is unlikely to be permanent and should usually recover within a few weeks.
September 9, 2020
- Saliva or Nasopharyngeal Swab Specimens for Detection of SARS-CoV-2. 8/28/20. Wyllie AL. N Engl J Med.
Self-obtained saliva samples and RN-obtained nasopharyngeal (NP) swabs were PCR tested every 3 days in 70 COVID-19 inpatients. Saliva samples were at least as sensitive as NP swabs, and showed more RNA copies. Also, 495 saliva tests from asymptomatic health care workers revealed 13 positive results. 7/9 who had concurrent self-obtained NP swabs were negative. All 13 were confirmed positive for COVID-19. These data, reported in a Letter to the Editor, support self-obtained saliva testing, if done in a carefully controlled manner. Methods are reported in supplementary data to the Letter. - Seroprevalence of SARS-CoV-2 Among Frontline Health Care Personnel in a Multistate Hospital Network – 13 Academic Medical Centers, April-June 2020. 9/4/20. Self WH. MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep.
A high proportion of SARS-CoV-2 infections among health care personnel appear to go undetected. Of 3248 personnel observed, 6% had antibody evidence of previous SARS-CoV-2 infection; 29% of personnel with SARS-CoV-2 antibodies were asymptomatic in the preceding months, and 69% had not previously received a diagnosis of SARS-CoV-2 infection. Prevalence of SARS-CoV-2 antibodies was lower among personnel who reported always wearing a face covering while caring for patients (6%), compared with those who did not (9%).
August 26, 2020
- A cross-sectional study of immune seroconversion to SARS-CoV-2 in frontline maternity health professionals. 8/10/20. Bampoe S. Anaesthesia.
Two hundred presumably COVID-19-free OB anesthetists, midwives and obstetricians in two tertiary London hospitals were tested for IgG to SARS-CoV-19. Fourteen percent were seropositive, most with no or minimal symptoms in retrospect. The only significant symptom was anosmia. This seroconversion rate is similar to that in the general population in London. In an effort to limit the spread of COVID-19 by infected healthcare workers, the authors suggested regular testing for staff, and isolation for those who develop anosmia or test positive. - Clinical Course and Molecular Viral Shedding Among Asymptomatic and Symptomatic Patients With SARS-CoV-2 Infection in a Community Treatment Center in the Republic of Korea. 8/6/20. Lee S. JAMA Intern Med.
Though patients may not be symptomatic, their viral load may be similar to symptomatic patients. Here, 80.9% of patients with SARS-CoV-2 who were asymptomatic at the time of detection of a positive RT-PCR remained asymptomatic during a median of 24 days from diagnosis, and the cycle threshold values in asymptomatic patients were similar to those in symptomatic patients.
August 17, 2020
- Systematic SARS-CoV-2 screening at hospital admission in children: a French prospective multicenter study. 7/25/20. Poline J. Clin Infect Dis.
In a small French study of consecutive children admitted to the hospital, 45% were not able to be diagnosed with COVID-19 on symptoms alone. A pre-existing underlying condition did not alter the rate of infection. This study demonstrates that routine symptom screening for COVID-19 frequently fails. - Tracking Changes in SARS-CoV-2 Spike: Evidence that D614G Increases Infectivity of the COVID-19 Virus. 7/2/20. Korber B. Cell.
Herd immunity and vaccines for SARS-CoV-2 are likely to be effective due to low mutation rates. D614 was the original spike protein form. G614 is now dominant, although there are other mutations. G614 is ~10x more infectious and leads to higher viral loads but does not cause more severe clinical disease. It is being targeted for the development of vaccines and therapeutics.
August 12, 2020
- Case Rates, Treatment Approaches, and Outcomes in Acute Myocardial Infarction During the Coronavirus Disease 2019 Pandemic. 8/7/20. JAMA Cardiol.
Using discharge coding of >15,000 acute MI hospitalizations over 17 months from a multi-state US health system, a significant decrease in observed vs. expected numbers during the early COVID-19 period, March-May 2020, was observed in all regions. NSTEMI patients disproportionately decreased and hospital cardiac death rates increased, particularly in STEMI patients. Trends largely normalized by study end, May 10, 2020. These data suggest that patients avoided presenting to hospital with possible AMI during the early COVID-19 period, potentially forfeiting the benefit of early reperfusion in some cases.
August 10, 2020
- Characterization of the Inflammatory Response to Severe COVID-19 Illness. 6/25/2020. McElvaney OJ. ATS.
This article offers a detailed measurement of inflammatory mediators in 20 severely ill patients compared with a group of moderately ill patients and a group of normal controls. It’s proposed that similar characterisations and treatment trials might someday allow for a tailor made treatment regimen of immune modulators to be given to each patient optimizing their recovery. The accompanying editorial highlights the finding in the original study that alpha-1-antitrypsin (AAF), which has an anti-inflammatory effect, is reduced in patients with severe Covid-19 pneumonia, and a trial of AAF supplementation may be warranted.
August 5, 2020
- Outcomes in COVID-19 Positive Neonates and Possibility of Viral Vertical Transmission: A Narrative Review. 8/1/20. Sheth S. Am J Perinatol.
This is an international review, mostly from China, of transmission from COVID-19 infected pregnant women to newborns. Of the 39 published reports, it includes only 326 COVID-19 positive women. Despite the small numbers, newborns were infrequently infected with COVID-19 at birth. Of the 23 COVID-19-positive neonates reported, no deaths resulted.
July 31, 2020
- Age-Related Differences in Nasopharyngeal Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) Levels in Patients With Mild to Moderate Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19). 7/30/20. Heald-Sargent T. JAMA Pediatrics.
Although published only as a letter, the article contains timely data regarding the potential infectivity of children lacking significant symptoms. Nasal viral load as measured by nasopharyngeal swab PCR demonstrated higher levels in young children when compared to adults. At issue is that the study was performed in a pediatric center yet describes adult testing without elaborating how those samples were obtained. Timely article with the start of school approaching.
July 27, 2020
- Review of Viral Testing (Polymerase Chain Reaction) and Antibody/Serology Testing for Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome-Coronavirus-2 for the Intensivist. 7/23/20. Motley MP. Crit Care Explor.
A nice review of nucleic acid amplification technology (PCR) and serological assays to diagnose, treat, and limit the spread of SARS-Cov-2 and it includes a discussion of the strengths and limitations of individual assays.
July 22, 2020
- Impact of delays on effectiveness of contact tracing strategies for COVID-19: a modelling study. 7/16/20. Kretzschmar ME. Lancet Public Health.
Review by the SAB
By Dr. Lance Lichtor, on behalf of the SAB
The authors used a mathematical model that describes the different steps of a symptomatic contact tracing strategy for COVID-19. They found reducing the testing delay (i.e., shortening the time between symptom onset and a positive test result, assuming immediate isolation) is the most important factor for improving contact tracing effectiveness. Reducing the tracing delay (i.e., shortening the time to trace contacts, assuming immediate testing and isolation if found positive) might further enhance contact tracing effectiveness, though this additional effect rapidly declines with increasing testing delay. - Redefining cardiac biomarkers in predicting mortality of inpatients with COVID-19. 7/17/2020. Qin JJ. Hypertension.
Detailed, retrospective analysis of available cardiac biomarkers of 3219 patients admitted to 9 hospitals in Hubei province between December 31st, 2019 and March 4th, 2020. Entry criteria included patients from 18 to 75 years old with documented COVID-19 on admission (RT-PCR and/or Chest CT) and high sensitivity cardiac troponin (hs-cTnI) or CKMB on admission with primary endpoint 28-day mortality. Statistical processing includes additional biomarker profiles, primary and secondary cardiac effects and analysis suggesting that in COVID-19 need to redefine reference range for Upper Limit of Normal to understand impact of cardiac effects.
The authors conclude “the abnormal cardiac biomarker pattern in COVID-19 patients was significantly associated with increased mortality risk, and the newly established COVID-19 prognostic cutoff values of hs-cTnI, CK-MB, (NT-pro)BNP, CK, and MYO were found to be much lower (~50%) than reference upper normal limits for the general population.” Valuable information that needs to be confirmed in different populations.
July 10, 2020
- EDITORIAL: SARS-CoV-2 viral load and antibody responses: the case for convalescent plasma therapy. 7/8/20. Casadevall A. J Clin Invest.
Review by the SAB
By Dr. David Clement, on behalf of the SAB
Using a study on the kinetics of viral load and antibody response as an introduction, this article summarizes what is known about convalescent plasma therapy for COVID-19. The case is made for using sera from patients who recovered from severe COVID-19 disease (because of higher antibody titers), certainly giving therapeutic sera earlier (less than 10 days from symptom onset), and possibly giving therapeutic sera to patients with severe disease later in the course of their disease.
July 1, 2020
- The association of lung ultrasound images with COVID-19 infection in an emergency room cohort. 6/11/20. Bar S. Anaesthesia.
Review by the SAB
For emergency room patients with suspected COVID-19 disease, the delay in RT-PCR testing results can cause unnecessary isolation of patients and a strain on hospital resources. This prospective study of 100 ER patients from France found that a POCUS protocol (BLUE) in conjunction with the quick SOFA score accurately predicted RT-PCR positive patients and worse outcomes.
June 29, 2020
- Occurrence and Timing of Subsequent SARS-CoV-2 RT-PCR Positivity Among Initially Negative Patients. 6/7/20. Long DR. Clin Infect Dis.
Review by the SAB
By Dr. Barry Perlman, on behalf of the SAB
Detailed, retrospective electronic medical record data analysis showing that a small percentage of symptomatic patients who initially test negative for SARS-CoV-2 may have a positive result on repeat testing.
A combined 21,000 patients underwent nasopharyngeal swab testing at Stanford and University of Washington. Testing was performed for either clinical reasons (symptoms with pertinent risk factors or clinical judgement) or universal asymptomatic preoperative screening.- 91% of the patients initially tested negative.
- 96% of those who initially tested negative did not have a repeat test within 7 days and did not require subsequent care.
- Of the remaining 626 patients who were initially negative and underwent repeat testing within 7 days for persistent or worsening symptoms, 14 of 338 (4.1%) UW and 8 of 288 (2.6%) Stanford patients were positive on repeat testing.
- Subgroup analysis excluding UW asymptomatic preop patients yielded similar results.
Overall occurrence of testing discordance for patients who had persistent or worsening symptoms was 3.5%, suggesting that the initial test was false negative.
Nasopharyngeal swab RT-PCR testing sensitivity or specificity cannot be determined from this analysis due to:- lack of a gold standard confirmatory test to determine whether initial or subsequent results were false positive or false negative.
- not all patients with an initial negative result were retested
- incomplete clinical information regarding patients who had a negative result but did not undergo retesting.
- possibility of newly acquired infection during the 7-day interval.
- lack of complementary serology or RT-PCR testing of samples from other sites.
However, it does support retesting of patients with a negative RT-PCR test who have persistent symptoms, although the optimal method of retesting needs to be determined.
- The Laboratory Diagnosis of COVID-19 – Frequently Asked Questions. 6/8/20. Fang FC. Clin Infect Dis.
Review by the SAB
By Dr. Lydia Cassorla, on behalf of the SAB
This review from the clinical laboratories of the University of Washington breaks down information about testing for COVID-19 in a useful question-and-answer format. Subjects include PCR, serology, point-of-care testing, correlation with clinical disease, and biomarkers.
June 5, 2020
- Prevalence of Asymptomatic SARS-CoV-2 Infection: A Narrative Review
June 3. Oran DP. Annals of Internal Medicine.
Opinion from SAB Member: Dr. David M. Clement
A well-written, concise review of 16 studies describing the prevalence and significance of asymptomatic persons infected with SARS-CoV-19. Four of five of the studies that included longitudinal serial testing to distinguish asymptomatic vs. presymptomatic persons showed otherwise healthy asymptomatic persons rarely (0-10%) became symptomatic. On the other hand, 89% of RT-PCR + nursing home patients were presymptomatic. Their conclusion is that asymptomatic infection is a significant factor in the rapid progression of the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic, and that current medical practice and public health measures should be modified to address this challenge.
June 3, 2020
- The role of SARS-CoV-2 antibodies in COVID-19: Healing in most, harm at times
May 20. French MA. Respirology.
Opinion from SAB Member: Dr. Edward S. Schulman
This is an excellent commentary that all should read. Though some antibodies to the spike glycoprotein promote virus neutralization and other protective antibody functions, particular IgG antibodies might enhance the infection of immune cells and/or disease progression. One example is antibody‐dependent enhancement of virus uptake by macrophages by enhancing antibodies as described in dengue virus infection that has also been demonstrated for SARS‐CoV‐1. Therefore, current development of antibody-dependent strategies, whether human monoclonal antibodies, convalescent plasma or choosing the right target for vaccine is complex. Depending on the peptide targeted on the spike glycoprotein by the human immune system or the vaccine lab, neutralizing or enhancing activity may result. Simply having a “positive SARS-CoV-2 antibody” on a serological test may not be a license for a “passport.” - SARS-CoV-2 Antibody Testing – Questions to be asked
May 25. Ozcurumez MK. Journal of Allergy and Clinical Immunology.
Opinion from SAB Member: Dr. Barry Perlman
Informative article by the COVID-19 Task Force of the German Society for Clinical Chemistry and Laboratory Medicine addressing the interpretation of antibody testing. Topics discussed include:- Possible indications for COVID-19 serology
- Value of antibody testing in diagnosis
- Does presence of antibodies indicate end of infectivity?
- Does presence of antibodies indicate immunity?
- Comparison of different assay technologies
- Ensuring assay quality
- Baseline samples from asymptomatic or healthy individuals
- Estimating demand for antibody testing
The paper points out that in a low prevalence setting, even a high specificity test can result in an unacceptable false positive rate, leading to an overestimate of population immunity and a lower estimate of viral mortality. False positive results may be minimized by selecting for higher prevalence with symptom screening or contact tracing.
May 28, 2020
- How did we rapidly implement a convalescent plasma program?
May 25. Budhai A. Transfusion.
Opinion from SAB Member: Dr. Louis McNabb
Impressive example of how all interested parties came rapidly together to provide convalescent plasma. Useful tables on their process.
May 27, 2020
- Chronological Changes of Viral Shedding in Adult Inpatients with COVID-19 in Wuhan, China
May 23. Huang. Clinical Infectious Diseases.
Opinion from SAB Member: Dr. Barry Perlman
This is a retrospective study of 308 COVID-19 inpatients at one hospital in Wuhan between 1/11/20 and 2/21/20 who received > 5 ORF1ab gene RT-PCR tests. Viral loads (based upon cycle threshold) peaked 2-4 days after admission and then decreased with treatment. A rebound seen around 7, 16, and 22 days after admission was more common in non-severely ill patients. 43% of patients had positive tests after 2 negative tests. On day 30 of treatment most patients had undetectable virus by RT-PCR tests. High viral loads (cycle threshold < 30) correlated with critical illness, mortality, decreased serum albumin, decreased Th and Ts cells, lower lymphocyte, eosinophil, and basophil counts, and increased neutrophil counts, serum glucose, corrected calcium, LDH, CKMB, myoglobin, ultra TnI, and NT-proBNP. Sputum viral loads were higher than in nasopharyngeal samples, and respiratory loads were higher than in GI samples. The authors suggest that positive RT-PCR test rebound reflects surviving coronavirus particles. - Olfactory and gustatory function impairment in COVID-19 patients: Italian objective multicenter-study. May 21. Angelo Vaira. Head Neck.
A 25 author study from Italy that was based on 345 patients who were either home-quarantined health care workers (161) or hospitalized patients (184), and all patients were swab positive for COVID-19. About 75% reported combined olfactory and taste disorders. Interestingly, of those who did not report any taste or smell disturbance, 30% had objective signs of odor dysfunction and those who had isolated odor or taste dysfunction had 20-30% more taste or odor dysfunction, that is the opposite dysfunction. Also, for 30%, the first sign of COVID-19 infection was chemo-sensitive dysfunction. - Predicting infectious SARS-CoV-2 from diagnostic samples
May 22. Bullard. Clinical Infectious Diseases.
Opinion from SAB Member: Dr. Barry Perlman
Many studies have assumed that “viral shedding” based on positive RT-PCR testing suggests presence of infectious virus. This is a retrospective cross-sectional Canadian study to determine whether presence of SARS-CoV-2 RNA by RT-PCR predicts infectivity. 26/90 (29%) samples positive by RT-PCR targeting the 122nt portion of the envelope gene incubated on Vero cells demonstrated viral growth. Only samples with RT-PCR cycle threshold (Ct) < 24 and symptom to test time (STT) < 8 days showed growth. Specificities for the thresholds of Ct > 24 and STT > 8 days were 97% and 96%, respectively. If confirmed by larger studies utilizing additional RT-PCR targets, these results suggest that Ct and STT can predict duration of infectivity with high specificity and would avoid the unnecessary isolation resulting from policies based upon 2 negative RT-PCR results.
May 22, 2020
- Olfactory Dysfunction and Sinonasal Symptomatology in COVID-19: Prevalence, Severity, Timing, and Associated Characteristics. May 19. Speth. Otolaryngol Head Neck Surg.
The lead author was from the United States, though the patients were from Sweden. 103 patients were studied. The prevalence of hyposmia or anosmia was 61.2%, the mean onset was 3.4 days after symptoms of COVID-19 first appeared and was severe in nature and was strongly correlated with a concomitant loss of taste. 30% to 50% of participants experienced nasal obstruction or rhinorrhea, which they attributed to COVID-19. However, there was no correlation between these symptoms and OD. Only older age was negatively associated with having OD and female sex was possibly positively associated with having OD. - Olfactory Dysfunction in COVID-19: Diagnosis and Management
May 20. Whitcroft. JAMA.
Opinion from SAB Member: Dr. J. Lance Lichtor
This is a study that examines olfactory dysfunction both with and without COVID-19. The basis of olfactory dysfunction, as the authors explain, may be due to disruption of cells in the olfactory neuroepithelium, and that the virus may actually penetrate the brain and then have downstream effects on brain regions that may adversely affect olfactory function. The authors explain also how olfactory dysfunction should be assessed and how it might be treated.
May 20, 2020
- Clinically Applicable AI System for Accurate Diagnosis, Quantitative Measurements, and Prognosis of COVID-19 Pneumonia Using Computed Tomography
May 17. Zhang. Cell.
Opinion from SAB Member: Dr. Barry Perlman
A variety of projects are investigating how artificial intelligence (AI) tools can be utilized during the COVID-19 pandemic. In this report, CT results from 4154 patients and clinical information from 843 patients in China were used to develop an AI system to diagnose COVID-19 pneumonia and differentiate it from other common (viral, bacterial, and mycoplasma) pneumonias. Data from retrospective and pilot prospective studies were used to validate the system, with sensitivities of 87-95% and specificities of 82-89%. System performance was superior to that of junior radiologists and comparable to mid-senior radiologists. It was found that lung CT findings correlated with clinical and biochemical evidence of disease severity in other organs systems. This AI system may assist in early diagnosis, prognosis prediction, management, evaluation of drug treatment efficacy, and follow up of COVID-19 patients.
May 19, 2020
- Antibody Testing For Covid-19
May 15. Mathur. American Journal of Clinical Pathology.
Opinion from SAB Member: Dr. Barry Perlman
Accurate antibody tests can help with diagnosis, identify those with asymptomatic infections, determine prevalence in a population, aid in contact tracking, and measure progression to herd immunity. The 10 antibody tests that are currently FDA-approved have, on average, a sensitivity of 84.9% and a specificity of 98.6%. Sensitivities of these tests range from 58% to 94%. 90 additional tests are available for use, but are not yet FDA approved and don’t have sensitivity and specificity established. Table 2 demonstrates that positive predictive value varies widely depending on both the accuracy of the tests and local disease prevalence. When prevalence is high, such as in the greater NY area, antibody tests with specificity and sensitivity of 98% or better can be used as reliable screening tools. In areas of low prevalence, a test would need 100% specificity to avoid false positive results that could incorrectly indicate that someone is immune to COVID-19. The authors warn against using serologic tests not yet FDA approved with unknown accuracy to guide decision making. - Variation in False-Negative Rate of Reverse Transcriptase Polymerase Chain Reaction–Based SARS-CoV-2 Tests by Time Since Exposure
May 13. Kucirka. Annals of Internal Medicine.
Opinion from SAB Member: Dr. Barry Perlman
This analysis illustrates that the predictive value of a negative SARS-CoV-2 RT-PCR test result depends on both pre test probability and test timing relative to exposure or symptom onset. Therefore, it applies more to “ruling out” infection in exposed patients and health care workers, rather than “clearing” asymptomatic patients for elective surgery. Using results from 7 previous studies reporting SARS-CoV-2 RT-PCR results, a Bayesian hierarchical model was created to estimate the false-negative rate by day since symptom onset or virus exposure. The model assumed a typical 5-day incubation period to symptom onset. The probability of RT-PCR false negative decreased from 100% on day 1 of exposure to 20% on day 8 (3 days after typical symptom onset), and then increased again to 66% on day 21. Therefore, the lowest post test probability from 1 negative RT-PCR test is achieved when the test is done on day 8, 3 days after symptoms onset. However, the post test probability from a negative day 8 sample varied from 1.2% to 14% depending on the pretest probability. The model suggests that negative RT-PCR tests early or late in infection should not be used to rule out COVID-19 if suspicion is high based on clinical and epidemiologic information.
May 16, 2020
- A serological assay to detect SARS-CoV-2 seroconversion in humans
May 12. Amanat. Nature Medicine.
Opinion from SAB Member: Dr. Jay Przybylo
A dense, technical Brief Communication stating in the first sentence that the authors developed “a serological enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay” that then proceeds to describe the purpose and method culminating in the assay to assess the presence of SARS-CoV-2 spike protein antibody. - Asymptomatic Seroconversion of Immunoglobulins to SARS-CoV-2 in a Pediatric Dialysis Unit
May 14. Hains. JAMA.
Opinion from SAB Member: Dr. Jay Przybylo
This is a Research Letter describing the futility of limiting the spread of SARS-CoV-2 using a pediatric dialysis unit as an example. A single patient presented to the unit and was isolated for therapy. This initiated testing on everyone, patients and staff, in the unit. 38% of patients and healthcare workers who presented repeatedly to this unit seroconverted positive to the virus by serum evaluation over a two-week period, proof that this virus is rapidly spreading in unrecognized ways. - Corona Viruses and the Chemical Senses: Past, Present, and Future
May 14. Pellegrino. Chemical Senses.
Opinion from SAB Member: Dr. J. Lance Lichtor
In this review of chemosensory ability in patients with COVID-19, the authors sought to determine whether chemosensory dysfunction is the same with COVID-19 as it is with other pandemics including SARS and MERS and whether COVID-19 represents a special case of viral infection attacking the olfactory system. They also discussed whether the taste disturbances with COVID-19 are a misrepresentation of olfactory disturbances rather than the direct impact of SARS-CoV-2 on taste and chemical sensitivity of skin and mucous membrane pathways. First, whether taste disturbance is olfactory-dependent or instead reflects true taste loss in COVID-19 is currently unclear. Second, olfactory disturbances may not be as prominent in SARS and MERS as with COVID-19. Third, the reduction in sensitivity being associated with reduced ability to promote the clearing of pathogenic agents from the nasal cavities can only be speculated. Certainly, distinguishing each aspect of chemo-sensation in patients with confirmed and suspected COVID-19 diagnosis as well as with other respiratory illnesses is needed to determine whether the chemical senses are uniquely affected by COVID-19 infection. - Estimating excess 1-year mortality associated with the COVID-19 pandemic according to underlying conditions and age: a population-based cohort study. May 12. Banerjee. The Lancet.
Opinion from SAB Members: Drs. Barry Perlman and Heinrich Wurm
BP: To better assess the impact of COVID-19 on mortality, EMR data from 3 862 012 individuals in the United Kingdom > 30 yrs old were used to model 1 yr mortality in excess of baseline and deaths due to underlying conditions. Based on reported prevalence, 1 yr mortality from underlying conditions were estimated. The excess COVID-19 related deaths were then modeled at varying relative COVID-19 mortality risks and suppression related prevalence scenarios. 20% of the study population had at least one high-risk condition and 10% had multiple conditions. Excess deaths from COVID-19 decreased with increasing suppression measures. At a relative risk of 2, full suppression would result in minimal excess mortality. These models could help determine appropriate social distancing and isolation measures, particularly for individuals at highest risk. However, the models don’t take into account non-linear increase in mortality rates if health systems become overwhelmed, the impact of poor compliance with social isolation policies, impact of specific morbidities or multiple co-morbidities on risk of COVID-19 mortality, or impact of social distancing on underlying conditions.
HW: In this population-based cohort study, a team of authors from the Institute of Health Informatics at the University College of London, used 3.8 million electronic health records as the basis for their modeling. They estimated the excess number of deaths over 1 year under different COVID-19 incidence scenarios based on 4 different levels of transmission suppression and differing mortality impacts based on 3 different relative risk scenarios for the disease. The result is a model and an online tool for understanding mortality – in excess of the expected – due to the COVID-19 pandemic. It signals an urgent need for sustained, stringent suppression measures.
May 15, 2020
- Currently available intravenous immunoglobulin contains antibodies reacting against severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 antigens. May 12. Díez. Immunotherapy.
Antibodies against common human coronaviruses are present in the normal population. 2 IVIG products Gamunex-C and Flebogamma DIF were tested with ELISA assays from different manufacturers for crossreactive antibodies to SARS-CoV-2 and other coronaviruses including SARS-CoV and MERS-CoV. While cross reactivity was demonstrated, further research is needed to determine clinical efficacy and safety for COVID-19 treatment. - Real-time tracking of self-reported symptoms to predict potential COVID-19
May 11. Menni. Nature Medicine.
Opinion from SAB Member: Dr. Lydia Cassorla
This interesting report may represent a sign of the future of disease prediction models. 2.6M users reported symptoms on a smartphone-based app during a 4 week period beginning 24 March 2020. 93.6% in GB (balance in US). 15,638 UK and 2,763 US app users reported having had an RT-PCR SARS-CoV-2 test, and having received the result. Of the UK cohort with a (+) COVID PCR test, 65% reported a loss of smell and taste, compared with 23% of those with a (-) test result. “We re-ran logistic regressions adjusting for age, sex and BMI to identify other symptoms besides anosmia that might be associated with being infected by SARS-CoV-2. All ten symptoms queried (fever, persistent cough, fatigue, shortness of breath, diarrhea, delirium, skipped meals, abdominal pain, chest pain and hoarse voice) were associated with testing positive for COVID-19 in the UK cohort…In the US cohort, only loss of smell and taste, fatigue and skipped meals were associated with a positive test result.” A prediction model was created including factors of age, sex, loss of smell/taste, cough, fatigue, and skipped meals. “In the UK test set, the prediction model had a sensitivity of 0.65 (0.62–0.67), a specificity of 0.78 (0.76–0.80), an area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) (that is, ROC-AUC) of 0.76 (0.74–0.78), a positive predictive value of 0.69 (0.66–0.71) and a negative predictive value of 0.75 (0.73–0.77).” Application of the model to the US cohort showed similar sensitivity and increased specificity of 0.83. Limitations include self-selection of cohorts, self-reporting, testing selection bias, and in GB the influence of media reports. The authors recommend adding loss of smell/taste to WHO symptom list for COVID-19. - Risk Factors for Viral RNA Shedding in COVID-19 Patients. May 12. Fu. Eur Respir J.
Retrospective study of 410 confirmed COVID-19 patients in China who received follow-up RT-PCR testing after symptoms started to improve. 14% had 1 negative test followed by 1 positive test. Median time to 2 consecutive negative tests was 19 days after symptom onset (range 3-44 days) and 7 days after fever resolution. 96% tested negative within 30 days of symptom onset. 40 patients had fever resolution after testing negative. Coronary heart disease, serum albumin < 35 g/L, and initiation of antiviral treatment > 7 days after symptom onset were independent risk factors for prolonged positive tests.
May 14, 2020
- Dynamic profile for the detection of anti-SARS-CoV-2 antibodies using four immunochromatographic assays. May 12. Demey. J Infect.
4 immunochromatographic lateral flow assay tests (LFA) from Asian manufacturers for Sars-CoV-2 IgM and IgG were evaluated and the kinetics of antibody detection in 22 RT-PCR positive patients were determined. Median antibody detection time from onset of symptoms ranged from 8-10 days depending on the manufacturer. Sensitivity range for detecting either IgM or IgG was 60-80% on day 10 but all assays were 100% sensitive on day 15. IgM was not detected in 3 patients with two of the assays and was not reliably detected prior to IgG. 1 cross reaction was seen with other human coronaviruses (other than SARS-CoV). - Gastrointestinal, hepatobiliary, and pancreatic manifestations of COVID-19
Apr 29. Patel. Journal of Clinical Virology.
Opinion from SAB Member: Dr. David M. Clement
This paper is a good overview of the current literature on GI disease with COVID-19. A well written, concise review of the GI symptoms, laboratory abnormalities, outcomes, possible mechanisms of GI disease, and outcomes in COVID-19 patients with GI disease are included. The prolonged Rt-PCR positivity of fecal samples is discussed, concluding that this could be a significant mode of viral transmission, and should be taken into account. - Taste Changes (Dysgeusia) in COVID-19: A systematic review and metaanalysis
May 1. Aziz. Gastroenterology.
Opinion from SAB Member: Dr. J. Lance Lichtor
The authors performed a retrospective analysis of published articles that reported on ageusia/dysgeusia as a symptom in laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 patients and found that almost half of the patients (49.8%) with COVID-19 have altered taste sensation. Though it is not certain that taste or smell changes can predict COVID-19, certainly the clinical feature can raise the suspicion of COVID-19 and lead to early testing and diagnosis.
May 13, 2020
- Prolonged Persistence of SARS-CoV-2 RNA in Body Fluids. May 9. Sun. Emerg Infect Dis.
This prospective study from China reports on the results of serial PCR tests for hospitalized SARS-CoV-2 RNA from 49 patients, beginning with onset of symptoms. 43 mild and 6 considered severe cases. They sampled throat, sputum, NP, and feces every 3d. 95% of severe patients had clearance of RNA in all samples 7-8 days later than for mild cases, on average. Throat swab cleared first in mild but not severe cases. It is difficult to comment on their statistical findings as they collected only 32.75% of their desired samples for a variety of reasons. No asymptomatic patients included. - SARS-CoV-2 in pregnancy: symptomatic pregnant women are only the tip of the iceberg. May 11. Khalil. Am J Obstet Gynecol.
A dramatically titled UK article testing all pregnant women presenting for delivery for COVID-19. During a 3-week period ending early in April, of the 129 pregnant women tested, only 1 presented with symptomatic infection. However, 7% tested asymptomatic positive. None of these women developed symptoms and all were discharged with healthy infants at ~2 days.
May 12, 2020
- COVID-19 Convalescent Plasma; Phase 2
May 6. Knudson. Transfusion.
Opinion from SAB Member: Dr. Louis McNabb
This article discusses methodological issues in using convalescent plasma for COVID-19 patients, such as: donor selection, the fact that some donors have over ten times the antibody level of other donors, the existence of many different antibody tests, factoring in the weights of recipients, and pre- and post-antibody measurements in recipients.
May 11, 2020
- Considerations for Assessing Risk of Provider Exposure to SARS-CoV-2 after a Negative Test
May 8. Long. Anesthesiology.
Opinion from SAB Member: Dr. Barry Perlman
The SARS-CoV-2 RT-PCR test is not 100% sensitive and, therefore, can result in a false negative. It has been questioned whether 1 negative test preop can be used to guide the level of PPE needed to adequately protect an anesthesiologist during an intubation or other aerosol generating procedure. Negative predictive value (NPV) and post test probability of SARS-CoV-2 infection were calculated based upon estimated prevalence in the population and test sensitivity and specificity. Using a “most likely” prevalence estimate of 1.0%, post test probabilities ranged from 1 in 89 to 1 in 1,636 with a median of 1 in 338. Based on the results: 1) If prevalence is uncommon, 1 negative test should provide “reassurance” regarding risk of exposure from an asymptomatic patient; 2) If surgical volume is high, exposure to aerosolized SARS-CoV-2 from asymptomatic, 1 test negative patients might occur on a regular basis; 3) If prevalence is high, full PPE should be used for test negative patients; 4) Due to estimate uncertainty in prevalence and testing sensitivity, there is a wide range in the calculated negative predictive value. The authors recommend that a lower threshold of NPV to justify use of universal airborne precautions regardless of preop test results be determined but be re-evaluated if prevalence estimates change. - Convalescent Plasma To Treat Coronavirus Disease 2019 (Covid-19): Considerations For Clinical Trial Design
May 6. Barone. Transfusion.
Opinion from SAB Member: Dr. Louis McNabb
This article discusses many of the issues in collecting and administering convalescent plasma, and outlines the clinical trials in the USA currently in progress. - Pilot prospective open, single-arm multicentre study on off-label use of tocilizumab in severe patients with COVID-19. May 1. Sciascia. Clin Exp Rheumatol.
Pilot, prospective, open, single arm, multi center study of off-label tociliuzamab, a humanized anti Il-6 receptor antibody, with 63 patients hospitalized with severe COVID-19 in Italy. Patients also received either lopinavir/ritonavir or darunavir/cobicistat. There was no significant survival difference with oral versus IV tociluzamab. D-dimer and CRP significantly decreased by day 1 of treatment. Administration within 6 days of hospital admission was associated with a 2x increased likelihood of survival. There were no severe-to-moderate adverse events from tociluzamab infusion. - Sample Pooling as a Strategy to Detect Community Transmission of SARS-CoV-2. Apr 6. Hogan. JAMA.
In this research letter, a group of Stanford pathologists replicated a study done to determine the prevalence of trachoma in a population using RT-PCR in pooled samples to determine whether community transmission was in fact active during the early phases of SARS-CoV-2 arrival in the US when routine testing was done only on travelers and their contacts. There were two positives among 2888 nasal and lower respiratory samples tested both late in February when COVID-19 prevalence increased sharply. The pooled screening method is a lower cost method to test large populations quickly, using less reagents, and increase overall testing efficiency at an expected slight loss of sensitivity. The result is early detection of community transmission and timely implementation of appropriate infection control measures to reduce spread. - The Role of Antibody Testing for SARS-CoV-2: Is There One?
Apr 29. Theel. Journal of Clinical Microbiology.
Opinion from SAB Member: Dr. W. Heinrich Wurm, Dr. Barry Perlman
WHW: This well-written correspondence presents a deep dive into the state-of-the-art SARS-CoV-2 serology as of mid-April 2020. While outlining the usefulness and applicability of serologic testing, the authors shed light on the absence of FDA oversight of a burgeoning industry of 91 manufacturers. This is a must read for anyone looking for: 1) A tutorial on the optimal use and interpretation of currently available serological testing; 2) verification studies used by laboratories; or 3) the role serologic testing plays in: a) Developing population immunity; b) Development of vaccine; c) Identifying convalescent plasma donors; d) Monitoring the response of vaccines. BP: Richly detailed commentary regarding the current state of SARS-CoV-2 serology testing. It points out the current lack of FDA oversight for serologic testing, which has resulted in a variety of approaches that differ in assay format, antibody detected, target antigen, and specimen type. In addition, it is not yet known whether antibody detection indicates clinical immunity. While some may decide not to read the entire article, the abstract provides a nice summary and useful information. - Tocilizumab for the Treatment of Severe COVID-19. May 5. Alattar. J Med Virol.
Retrospective review of 25 ICU patients in Doha, Qatar with confirmed severe COVID-19 who received tociluzamab and were followed for 14 days. Patients received a median of 5 other antiviral medications. 92% had at least 1 adverse event, including anemia, increased ALT, or QT prolongation. Tociluzamab was associated with a rapid decrease in oral temperature and serum CRP. Significant radiologic improvement and decreased invasive ventilation were seen on days 7 and 14.
May 8, 2020
- Interpreting Diagnostic Tests for SARS-CoV-2
May 6. Sethuraman. JAMA.
Opinion from SAB Member: Dr. Barry Perlman
Viewpoint from authors in India and Japan discusses interpretation of RT-PCR and ELISA serology testing. There are a variety of RT-PCR tests. Most target envelope, nucleocapsid, spike, RNA-dependent RNA polymerase (RdRp), or ORF1. Most have comparable sensitivities with the RdRp test showing lower sensitivity. RT-PCR nasal swab testing becomes positive as early as day one of symptom onset, peaks within the first week, and starts to decline by week 3. Sputum and fecal sample positivity persists longer than for nasopharyngeal samples. Of note, a positive result reflects presence of viral RNA and does not necessarily mean viable virus. IgM and IgG ELISA testing may be positive as early as day 4 of symptom onset, and rises in weeks 2 and 3. IgM declines by week 5 and disappears by week 7, while IgG persists beyond week 7. Antibody detection to NC protein is most sensitive, while antibody testing to the S receptor-binding domain is more specific and might indicate neutralizing antibodies. Paired testing with initial RT-PCR and then 2 weeks later can increase diagnostic accuracy. It is not known how long neutralizing antibodies will persist and provide protection.
May 7, 2020
- Molecular testing for acute respiratory tract infections: clinical and diagnostic recommendations from the IDSA’s Diagnostics Committee. May 6. Hanson KE. Clin Infect Dis.
Diagnostics Committee of the Infectious Diseases Society of America recommendations for respiratory molecular testing based on comprehensive literature review. Highly sensitive and specific nucleic acid amplification tests (NAAT) are the diagnostic gold-standard in clinical virology and also has utility for bacterial pneumonia testing. Rapid testing may decrease unnecessary antibiotic use, improve antiviral prescribing, limit additional testing, shorten hospital and ED lengths of stay, and optimize infection control, but factors such as study design, sample sizes, and test accuracy, performance and resulting negatively impact ability to combine study results to demonstrate benefits. May be most useful clinically with intermediate pre-test probability and intermediate disease severity. Questions posed by the IDSA:
• To test or not to test. Whether test result will impact therapy depends upon illness severity, symptom duration, comorbidities, possible immunosuppression, choices of testing and their availability, result turn-around time, and disease prevalence. Multiplex bacterial pneumonia panels are too new to evaluate test performance and clinical impact.
• Which test. For influenza, CDC and IDSA recommend testing. For SARS-CoV-2, there are more than 24 NAATs authorized for emergency use, and results can be impacted by sampling site (nasal, oral, or lower airway) and when in the illness the sample is obtained. Optimal approach for COVID-19 testing has not been defined. Use of multiplex NAAT with or without bacterial testing needs further study.
• Interpretation of bacterial DNA in lower resp. tract sample. Issues include colonization versus pathogen, false positive due to dead or impaired organisms, significance of organism quantitation.
• Improved antibiotic stewardship due to NAAT testing. Rapid test results may allow antibiotics to be stopped, but false positives may increase antibiotic use.
• Recommendations for future studies shown in Table 2. - What’s new in lung ultrasound during the COVID-19 pandemic. May 6. Volpicelli G. Intensive Care Med.
A highly technical description from Europe of the differential diagnosis and possibly unique lung ultrasound findings in patients with COVID-19. Good videos and excellent table. This would be helpful for a provider in the ICU or ED already trained in lung ultrasound.
May 5, 2020
- Antibody Detection and Dynamic Characteristics in Patients with COVID-19
Apr 19. Xiang. Clinical Infectious Diseases.
Opinion from SAB Member: Dr. Barry Perlman
Serologic study of 85 SARS-CoV-2 RT-PCR test confirmed COVID-19 patients, 24 patients with symptoms but negative RT-PCR testing, and 60 controls. Serologic test was an ELISA for IgM and IgG against the SARS-CoV-2 nucleocapsid N protein. COVID-19 patients showed IgM by 4 days after symptom onset with peak by day 9. IgG increased sharply 12 days after symptom onset, with all COVID-19 patients positive for both IgG and IgM by day 30. For symptom positive but test negative patients, 88% had IgM and 71% had IgG, demonstrating false negative RT-PCR results. 3 controls had IgG but not IgM, which represent either false positives or asymptomatic infection. For RT-PCR confirmed patients: IgM sensitivity 77%, specificity 100%, PPV 100%, NPV 80%. IgG sensitivity 83%, specificity 95%, PPV 95%, NPV 84%. The authors suggest that IgG can be used to diagnose COVID-19 in pneumonia patients, and if negative, serology testing should be repeated 10 days after onset. - Role of serology in the COVID-19 pandemic
May 1. Stowell. Clinical Infectious Diseases.
Opinion from SAB Member: Dr. Barry Perlman
Editorial of serologic study by Xiang et al. which demonstrated ability to measure IgG and IgM in COVID-19 patients with good sensitivity and specificity. The editorial points out that variability in kinetics and magnitude of the serologic response, especially early in infection, can result in false negative results, and IgM results may be false positive. In addition, it is not known if positive serology correlates with disease immunity. Suggested uses for serologic testing: 1) COVID-19 symptoms but RT-PCR negative; 2) Populations to determine degree of community exposure; 3) Frontline healthcare workers; 4) Convalescent plasma donation.
April 30, 2020
- Covid-19 may present with acute abdominal pain. Apr 29. Saeed. Br J Surg.
This is a report of evolving understanding of the range of presenting symptoms of Covid-19 patients. Of 76 patients presenting to the ER in Oslo, Norway, during a 15-day period with a chief complaint of abdominal pain, 9 were found to be positive for coronavirus. All 9 had other GI symptoms – 3 nausea, 5 nausea+vomiting and 1 diarrhea. 5 had fever. None complained of respiratory problems. When coronavirus infection was diagnosed, pulmonary evaluation revealed 6 had ground glass opacities on CT. The diagnoses included cholecystitis in 1 and appendicitis in 1 however the report indicates that all were discharged home for self-quarantine and none required ICU care. This led to modifications in their institutional protocols. “Droplet isolation and testing for COVID-19 are now performed on all patients with abdominal pain.”
April 28, 2020
- Updated diagnosis, treatment and prevention of COVID-19 in children: experts’ consensus statement (condensed version of the second edition)
Apr 24. Shen. World Journal of Pediatrics.
Opinion from SAB Member: Dr. Lydia Cassorla
This review provides guidance in the form of an updated consensus statement regarding COVID-19 in children. In early February 2020, an expert committee with more than 30 Chinese experts from 11 academic medical organizations formulated the first edition of consensus statement on diagnosis, treatment and prevention of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in children. According to the 28 February 2020 WHO COVID-19 situation report, pediatric cases in China accounted for 2.4% of 55,924 confirmed cases. Close contact with infected persons with or without symptoms is the main transmission route of SARS-CoV-2 to children, resulting in mostly clustered cases. “There is no direct evidence of vertical mother-to-child transmission, but newborns can be infected through close contact.”
Risk factors, diagnosis, severity classifications, early warning indicators, differential diagnosis, and treatment are discussed. Risk factors for severe disease include underlying diseases, immunosuppressant Rx and age<3 months. Most manifestations and laboratory findings are similar to adults, with atypical symptoms such as GI manifestations and listlessness noted. The group recommends antipyretics such as ibuprofen and acetaminophen if T>38.5 degrees C, and nebulizer treatments to manage mucus plugs. “Antiviral drugs without clear evidences of safety and efficiency are not recommended to be used in pediatric patients. The revised antiviral drug therapy remains interferon-alpha (IFN-alpha) sprays and aerosol inhalation. We do not recommend using lopinavir/ritonavir, ribavirin or chloroquine phosphate in pediatric patients.” Intubation and controlled ventilation is recommended if non-invasive mechanical ventilation does not result in clinical improvement after 2 hours. Plasma exchange to treat cytokine storm, immunoglobulin and anticoagulation are mentioned. 27 references provided, including the group’s initial statement.
April 24, 2020
- Alterations in Smell or Taste in Mildly Symptomatic Outpatients With SARS-CoV-2 Infection. Apr 23. Spinato G. JAMA.
Retrospective phone assessment of alteration in taste and smell among 202 consecutive patients who presented to an Italian outpatient facility. Using a symptom-based rhino-sinusitis outcome measure called Sino-Nasal Outcome Test-22 (SNOT-22), degree of impairment was assessed. 50% of patients had moderate to complete loss of taste and smell but only 12% found this to be an early symptom. There is strong evidence that the density of ACE2 receptors in the nasal mucosa is linked to this symptomatology and that it is specific to COVID-19 infection, but neither loss of taste or smell was assessed objectively in this study. - Sonographic signs and patterns of COVID-19 pneumonia
Apr 21. Volpicelli. The Ultrasound Journal.
Opinion from SAB Member: Dr. Barry Perlman
This paper describes the use of lung ultrasound (LUS) for diagnosis of COVID-19 pneumonia, and discusses signs that distinguish it from classic ARDS. Sonographic signs with COVID-19 are similar to those seen with ARDS–clusters of B lines and small peripheral consolidations. More particular to early COVID-19 pneumonia is “a shining band-form artifact spreading down from a large portion of a regular pleural line, often appearing and disappearing with an on–off effect in the context of a normal A-lines lung pattern visible on the background.” It is important to also consider clinical presentation, symptom timing, laboratory findings and co-morbid diseases when using LUS for diagnosis or following progression of COVID-19. The use of LUS in the pediatric COVID-19 population is not discussed, but at the time of this review one small preliminary study of 8 pediatric patients showed LUS utility for both diagnosing and following the resolution of disease.
April 23, 2020
- Comparison of nasopharyngeal and oropharyngeal swabs for SARS-CoV-2 detection in 353 patients received tests with both specimens simultaneously. Apr 22. Wang. Int J Infect Dis.
Using negative RT-PCR testing as criteria for hospital discharge after COVID-19 infection is hampered by the test’s false negative rate. Retrospective comparison of simultaneous nasopharyngeal and oropharyngeal swab RT-PCR tests from 353 Wuhan, China patients. Consistency was poor with nasopharyngeal testing having a 2.5 x higher positive rate overall and 3.5 x higher rate for inpatients. However, 33% of nasopharyngeal tests were negative when the simultaneous oropharyngeal test was positive, demonstrating false negatives with either technique.
April 21, 2020
- Profile of RT-PCR for SARS-CoV-2: a preliminary study from 56 COVID-19 patients. Apr 20. Xiao. Clin Infect Dis.
Preliminary RT-PCR study on 56 recovering COVID-19 patients in Wuhan, China showed that virus shedding continued up to 6 weeks after symptom onset, with a mean time to negative RT-PCR conversion of 24 days. Patients with positive RT-PCR tests more than 24 days after symptom onset tended to be older and more likely to have HTN or DM. Of note, all patients had mild-moderate illness, none required ICU admission, and all recovered. Also, a second negative test was used for confirmation, although 4 patients tested RT-PCR positive after 2 consecutive presumably false negative results. - Response to COVID-19 in Taiwan: Big Data Analytics, New Technology, and Proactive Testing. Mar 3. Wang. JAMA Network.
The rapid, coordinated and aggressive Taiwanese response to the pandemic threat that was quite successful through Feb 24. Dated article, not useful to front-line providers. - SARS-CoV-2 shedding and infectivity. Apr 19 Atkinson. Lancet.
The potential risk factors of older age, high SOFA score, and d-dimer greater than 1 μg/mL could help clinicians to identify patients with poor prognosis at an early stage. Prolonged viral shedding provides the rationale for a strategy of isolation of infected patients and optimal antiviral interventions in the future. - Smell and taste dysfunction in patients with COVID-19. Apr 19. Xydakis. Lancet Infect Dis.
As the authors note in their first sentence of this letter to the editor: “The plural of an anecdote is not evidence,” and indeed, they provide little more evidence concerning taste and smell dysfunction than what’s already been described. - Category: Diagnosis of Infection or Immunity
Testing for SARS-CoV-2: Can We Stop at Two?
Apr 19. Lee. Clinical Infectious Diseases.
Opinion from SAB Member: Dr. Lydia Cassorla
This report from Singapore highlights data as of Feb. 29, 2020 from a set of patients hospitalized with typical symptoms and a history of travel or contacts suggestive of COVID-19 illness. 72/80 (88.6%) tested negative on their first upper respiratory PCR, 5 were positive on the second day, and 3 turned positive on the third daily test. The authors stress that single or even two consecutive daily negative tests may not detect all infected patients. Their PCR test was developed and commercialized in Singapore, targeting N and ORF1ab genes. This report highlights an important point that repeated testing is often required to confirm infection. Readers should keep in mind that PCR tests are not all alike, and implementation such as swabbing location and technique vary. Therefore, sensitivity data can be expected to vary as well. - Well-aerated Lung on Admitting Chest CT to Predict Adverse Outcome in COVID-19 Pneumonia. Apr 18. Colombi. Radiology.
Retrospective study of 236 ED patients in Italy admitted with positive RT-PCR tests and chest CT findings consistent with COVID-19 pneumonia. Lower zone predominance of ground-glass opacities and consolidations were most common findings. > 27% of lung with decreased aeration on admit CT was associated with 5x greater risk of ICU admission or death. Concomitant emphysema was about 2x more common in patients who were admitted to ICU or died.
April 20, 2020
- COVID-19: the case for health-care worker screening to prevent hospital transmission. Apr 16. Black. The Lancet.
Lancet Letter to the Editor from the UK, urging universal RT-PCR testing of hospital-based HCW in an effort to limit nosocomial infection by asymptomatic or presymptomatic HCW, prevent unnecessary quarantine (which depletes an already stretched workforce) and protect HCWs. Several studies are cited to support such efforts.
April 14, 2020
- A role for CT in COVID-19? What data really tell us so far Apr 11. Hope. The Lancet
Opinion from SAB Member: Dr. Barry Perlman
Opinion piece from academic radiologists that CT should not be used to diagnose COVID-19, as the described ground-glass opacities and consolidation are not specific. The positive predictive value of CT is low unless pre-test probability is high, and in one study of confirmed COVID-19 patients from the Diamond Princess cruise ship, 1/3 did not have CT lung opacities and 20% of symptomatic patients had negative CT findings. Further, use of CT during the pandemic is “logistically challenging” in terms of resource allocation, cleaning, and potential exposure of COVID-19 to caregivers and other patients. - Neutralizing antibody responses to SARS-CoV-2 in a COVID-19 recovered patient cohort and their implications. Apr 6. Wu. medRxiv.
Study from China on 179 recovered patients hospitalized with “mild” COVID. Neutralizing antibody development peaked at day 10-15, thereafter remained stable, but 30% of patients had very low antibody titers. This information could help inform vaccine trials and selection of donors for immune globulin therapy. - The Role of Chest Imaging in Patient Management during the COVID-19 Pandemic: A Multinational Consensus Statement from the Fleischner Society Apr 3. Rubin. CHEST.
Opinion from SAB Member: Dr. Barry Perlman
Recommendations from a multidisciplinary panel of radiologists, pulmonologists, and other disciplines from 10 countries on the use of chest X-ray (CXR) and CT for managing COVID-19 patients. Ultrasound was not considered due to the panel member’s limited experience with ultrasound in COVID-19 patients at the time of the meeting. They recommend that chest imaging should not be used for patients with suspected COVID-19 and mild clinical features. Rather, it is useful when patients are at risk for disease progression, develop worsening respiratory status, or have moderate-severe disease and high pre-test probability of COVID-19 infection. CT is more sensitive than CXR in mild or early COVID-19 infection, and for alternative diagnoses such as acute heart failure or pulmonary thromboembolism. However, local resources, expertise, infection control issues, and clinical judgment impact the decision as to which modality should be used. Table 2 provides a nice summary of the recommendations.
April 13, 2020
- Developing antibody tests for SARS-CoV-2. Apr 4. Petherick. The Lancet.
Outlines the race to develop and approve a test with a different purpose—to assess not current viral infection, but immunity to severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). LC: A summary of achievements to date, test types, and challenges of widespread testing for immunity to SARS CoV-2.
April 11, 2020
- Covid-19: four fifths of cases are asymptomatic, China figures indicate. Apr 2. Day. BMJ.
Chinese authorities began publishing daily figures on 1 April on the number of new coronavirus cases that are asymptomatic, with the first day’s figures suggesting that around four in five coronavirus infections caused no illness. A total of 130 of 166 new infections (78%) identified in the 24 hours to the afternoon of Wednesday 1 April were asymptomatic. Many experts believe that unnoticed, asymptomatic cases of coronavirus infection could be an important source of contagion. - Early virus clearance and delayed antibody response in a case of COVID-19 with a history of co-infection with HIV-1 and HCV. Apr 10. Zhao. Clin Infect Dis.
Case study of patient on long-standing anti-viral agents for HIV, who developed presumed COVID disease (based on many PCR- but + serology). I’m not sure there is a useful message in the complicated, single case report.
April 10, 2020
- PCR Assays Turned Positive in 25 Discharged COVID-19 Patients Apr 8. Yuan. Clinical Infectious Diseases.
COVID-19 SAB Opinion from: Dr. Lydia Cassorla
172 patients discharged from a Shenzhen hospital following clinical improvement and 2 consecutive day negative PCR tests for COVID-19 virus. They were then followed at home with nasal and cloacal swab PCR testing every 3 days during a planned 14-day quarantine. 25 patients (14.5%) re-tested positive and were returned to hospital. Some had new symptoms. The authors suggest that the pre-discharge testing may be more reliable in detecting persistent virus carriers if separated by 48 hours.
April 9, 2020
- COVID-19 pneumonia manifestations at the admission on chest ultrasound, radiographs, and CT: single-center study and comprehensive radiologic literature review Apr 7. Lomoro. European Journal of Radiology Open.
COVID-19 SAB Opinion from: Dr. Lydia Cassorla
A retrospective review of findings on chest imaging (CXR, CT and US) from 58 COVID-19 patients at time of admission to a single Northern Italian hospital within 1 month. This report includes a summary of data from 3886 patients reported from international literature reports of >10 COVID-19 patients, through March 15, 2020. Bilateral and multifocal lesions, with likely progress from ground glass opacities to later consolidation are most common. The lesions are predominantly peripheral. This report includes illustrations of typical findings and may be useful for those assessing patients with possible COVID-19 illness.
April 8, 2020
- Covid-19: government promises 100‚000 tests per day in England by end of April. Apr 5. Iacobucci. BMJ.
A promise with no useful information. - Diagnostic value and dynamic variance of serum antibody in coronavirus disease 2019. Apr 7. Jin. Int J Infect Dis.
Pre-proof edition of a study using serology (IgM and IgG levels) to diagnose COVID-19 patients found IgG to be both highly sensitive and specific as a diagnostic tool.
April 4, 2020
- Dysregulation of immune response in patients with COVID-19 in Wuhan, China Mar 21. Qin. Clinical Infectious Diseases.
COVID-19 SAB Opinion from: Dr. Barry Perlman
Study of 452 Wuhan, China COVID-19 patients showed severe cases tended to have lower lymphocyte counts, higher neutrophil-lymphocyte ratios, lower monocytes, eosinophils, and basophils, decreased memory helper and regulatory T-cells.
April 3, 2020
- Developing antibody tests for SARS-CoV-2 Mar 3. Petherick. The Lancet.
COVID-19 SAB Opinion from: Dr. Lydia Cassorla
Outlines the race to develop and approve a test with a different purpose-to assess not current viral infection, but immunity to severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). A summary of achievements to date, test types, and challenges of widespread testing for immunity to SARS CoV-2.
April 2, 2020
- The COVID-19 Pandemic: Effects on Low and Middle-Income Countries. Apr 1. Bong. Anesthesia & Analgesia.
Explains why the effects of COVID-19 could be more dire in low and middle-income countries.
April 1, 2020
- SonoSite COVID-19 YouTube Channel. FujiFILM Sonosite, Inc.
Brief instructional videos on using point-of-care ultrasound in treating COVID-19 patients. (IARS does not endorse any company’s products or services.)
March 31, 2020
- What Takes So Long? A Behind-The-Scenes Look At The Steps Involved In COVID-19 Testing. Mar 30. Appleby. KHN.
Experts explain why the turn-around time for results can vary widely — from hours to days or even a week — and how that might be changing.
March 30, 2020
March 27, 2020
March 22, 2020
March 16, 2020
- Immunogenicity, safety, and reactogenicity of heterologous COVID-19 primary vaccination incorporating mRNA, viral-vector, and protein-adjuvant vaccines in the UK (Com-COV2): a single-blind, randomised, phase 2, non-inferiority trial. 12/9/2021. Stuart ASV. Lancet.
- Diagnosis of Infection or Immunity (Including Organization / Reliability)
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- Risk Factors / Demographics / Resource Requirements / Outcomes
January 10, 2022- Post-ICU Syndrome in a Cohort of COVID-19 Survivors in New York City. 12/22/2021. Weidman K. Ann Am Thorac Soc.
Post intensive Care Syndrome (PICS) is a recognized sequelae of critical illness requiring ICU admission. Specific consequences following COVID admissions requring mechanical ventilation and prolonged stays are unknown. Retrospective cohort study of patients attending an ICU recovery clinic compared with non- attending matched group. Overall PICS prevalence 90% with depressive illness (28%), anxiey (21%), post traumatic stress disorder (PTSD/13%), and cognitive impairment (25%) reported among attendees. Similar results seen in non-attendees. No associations found with ICU LOS, benzodiazepine, steroids or paralytic use. Prevalence of PICS suggests importance of careful follow up post discharge. Non-attendees more likely discharged to SNF’s receiving followup care.
December 13, 2021
- BNT162b2 Vaccine Booster and Mortality Due to Covid-19. 12/8/21. Arbel R. N Engl J Med.
This report comes from the records of 843,308 Clalit Health (providing 50% of Israeli healthcare) patients older than 50 years with 2 doses of BNT162b2 for at least 5 months. During the study from 8/6/2021 – 9/29/2021, as patients received a third dose, they were compared to those having only 2 doses, with a primary outcome of mortality and a secondary outcome of testing positive for SARS-CoV-2. At the end of the study, 90% of patients had received a third dose. For the primary outcome the relative risk of mortality after the third dose was 0.10, a 90% lower mortality rate. - HSV-1 reactivation is associated with an increased risk of mortality and pneumonia in critically ill COVID-19 patients. 12/7/21. Meyer A. Crit Care.
This French prospective, observational study examined Herpes simplex virus-1 (HSV-1) reactivation in 153 severe COVID-19 patients. Outcomes were mortality, hospital-acquired pneumonia, ventilator-associated pneumonia (HAP/VAP) and bloodstream infection (BSI). HSV-1 respiratory and blood samples were collected in patients admitted for 48 hours or more (Feb-2020 to Feb-2021). HSV-1 reactivation occurred in 40/153 (26.1%) of patients. Respiratory samples were positive in 19/61 (31.1%) and/or blood samples positive in 36/146 (24.7%). HSV-1 reactivation in critically ill COVID-19 patients was associated with marked increased risk of day-60 mortality (57.5% with versus 33.6% without, p=0.001) and with HAP and VAP (p=.037), but not BSI.
SAB Comment: This and other smaller studies document HSV-1 reactivation during COVID and non-COVID ARDS. To date, no study has determined worsening outcomes because of HSV-1 reactivation producing further lung injury or whether reactivation is an “epiphenomenon” resulting from disease-induced immunosuppression (e.g., lymphopenia, etc.) and not further lung injury. Also, thus far, only poorly powered studies have failed to show that initiation of antivirals improve outcomes. Much research remains in this area of viral reactivation in ARDS.
November 8, 2021
- Assessment of Cognitive Function in Patients After COVID-19 Infection. 10/22/2021. Becker JH. JAMA Netw Open.
Research letter reporting on a cross-sectional observational cohort study of 740 patients complaining of “brain fog” several months after being diagnosed with COVID-19 as either inpatient, outpatient, or Emergency Department visitor over a 13-month period ending in May 2021. Cognitive function was tested counting frequency of impairment on each of 4 neuropsychological assessment tools. Processing speed and executive functioning topped the list of impairments and a correlation with severity of illness and age was highlighted as well as parallel features with patients recovering from influenza. - Brain MRI and neuropsychological findings at long-term follow-up after COVID-19 hospitalisation: an observational cohort study. 10/28/2021. Hellgren L. BMJ Open.
Observational cohort study from southern Sweden attempting to correlate neurocognitive dysfunction in 158 COVID-19 survivors exhibiting signs of higher cerebral dysfunction with brain MRI abnormalities. White matter changes observed in 35 symptomatic patients did not always correlate with severity of illness. A small sample size and lacking both baseline data and a control population prohibit the authors from drawing specific conclusions from their results and represent important limitations of this study. - Neurological complications after first dose of COVID-19 vaccines and SARS-CoV-2 infection. 10/26/2021. Patone M. Nat Med.
This self controlled case series examined 32 million people in the UK for neurological complications leading to hospital admission in the 28 days after vaccine administration and compared the incidence to those testing positive for SARS-CoV-2 infection. There were 3.8 excess cases of Guillain Barré syndrome per million people among Astra-Zeneca vaccine recipients not seen in the Pfizer cohort. Compared to baseline, a higher incidence of Bell’s palsy and myasthenic syndrome was seen in all vaccine recipients, with higher numbers of hemorrhagic strokes seen in only one of two populations examined. Individuals who tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 were 4-times more likely to develop Guillain-Barré syndrome as well as multiple other neurological complications, demonstrating a clear risk differential between vaccination and infection in this UK population.
SAB Comment: This study did not identify cases of post-vaccination cerebral venous thrombosis with and without Vaccine Induced Immune Thrombotic Thrombocytopenia.
October 18, 2021
- External validation of prognostic scores for COVID-19: a multicenter cohort study of patients hospitalized in Greater Paris University Hospitals. 9/29/21. Lombardi Y. Intensive Care Med.
This retrospective study of 14,343 consecutive COVID-19 patients hospitalized in Paris facilities between 1/2020 and 4/2021 analyzed the efficacy of 32 published prognostic scores for predicting 30-day mortality, or need for ICU admission in addition to mortality. Areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUC) were computed for each of the prognostic scores using the data for the Paris patients. Accuracy was defined as an AUC of 0.8. With AUCs of 0.79 for 30-day mortality, the 4C Mortality Score and the ABCS stand out. They performed as well in this cohort as in their initial validation cohort, and in secondary analyses during the first epidemic wave, subsequent waves, and in younger and older patients. A separate table summarizes data for the 7 best prognostic scores. For those clinicians needing to apply a prognostic instrument, the tables and supplemental material are a treasure trove of information.
September 20, 2021
- Machine Learning Prediction of Death in Critically Ill Patients With Coronavirus Disease 2019. 9/3/21. Churpek MM. Crit Care Explor.
This observational study (67 US ICUs, N=5075, March-June 2020) addressed the variable mortality of ICU/COVID-19 patients with a machine learning tool ~eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBM) on 28-day mortality. XGBM had the highest discrimination and calibration of all the machine learning models tested including, SOFA Score, NEWS and CURB-65. It is a simple bedside tool that provides pertinent information for goals of care discussions, triage decisions and for prognostic clinical trials. The area under the receiver operating curve was 0.81 (CI 79-85) with a discrimination power X 10 fold. Mortality was 36.4% at day 28 from day of ICU admission. Age, number of ICU beds, creatinine, and lactate were important contributions to mortality.
September 13, 2021
- 1-year outcomes in hospital survivors with COVID-19: a longitudinal cohort study. 8/28/21. Huang L. Lancet.
This extensive study reports the condition at 12 months of a cohort of 1,307 COVID-19 patients discharged January-May 2020 from a single hospital in China. Patients in nursing or care homes, immobile or with osteoarthritis, and with psychiatric disorders or dementia were excluded from the study. A review of the report of their condition at 6 months appears in Newsletter 51. Intensive evaluations included multiple standardized questionnaires, physical exam, blood tests, pulmonary evaluation, use of healthcare resources and work status. Patients with at least one persistent symptom decreased from 68% at 6 months to 49% at 12 months. The most common problem, fatigue and muscle weakness decreased from 52% to 20%. The proportion with dyspnea and anxiety or depression worsened slightly. Of those who were employed prior to hospitalization, 88% had returned to work. Outcome with regard to severity of initial disease, males vs. females and patients vs. matched community controls is characterized.
August 9, 2021
- Characterisation of in-hospital complications associated with COVID-19 using the ISARIC WHO Clinical Characterisation Protocol UK: a prospective, multicentre cohort study. 7/18/2021. Drake TM. Lancet.
Utilizing the ISARIC WHO CCP-UK protocol, a plan for evaluating severe emerging infections, 80,388 patients from 302 health care facilities in 4 countries were followed prospectively from January-August 2020 for acute complications occurring during SARS CoV-2 infection. Data was collected at 1,3,9 and 28 days after admission. Pre-existing comorbidity was present in 81% and 49.7% had complications: renal (24%), respiratory (18%), systemic (coagulopathy and sepsis) (18%), cardiovascular (12%), and neurological (4%). The large number of participants allowed for, among other observations, the effect of individual complications on outcome, the increased impact of complications in younger victims, and the incidence of decreased self-care ability. It is accompanied by an editorial.
July 26, 2021
- Performance Analysis of the National Early Warning Score and Modified Early Warning Score in the Adaptive COVID-19 Treatment Trial Cohort. 7/19/21. Colombo CJ. Crit Care Explor.
This study demonstrated moderate prognostic performance of predictive scores in patients with severe coronavirus disease and validates the addition of age as a predictor in severe COVID-19 disease. Predictive scores remain an aid to clinician’s experience in decision making and add value under resource constraints.
June 4, 2021
- Risk factors for illness severity among pregnant women with confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection – Surveillance for Emerging Threats to Mothers and Babies Network, 22 state, local, and territorial health departments, March 29, 2020 -March 5, 2021. 5/22/2021. Galang RR. Clin Infect Dis.
This public health SET-NET protocol evaluation of 7950 pregnant women with SARS-CoV-2 reported from 22 states and cities between March 2020 and March 2021, sought to identify factors associated with more severe illness. Using NIH and WHO illness categories, patients with moderate, severe and critical disease were compared to those categorized as asymptomatic or mild. Similar to the general population, increasing age and chronic health conditions were associated with more severe disease, as were obesity (RR 1.36), chronic lung disease (1.37), chronic HTN (1.45) and pre-gestational DM (1.66). Comment: Missing data in reports confounds interpretation of the results.
May 10, 2021
- 3-month, 6-month, 9-month, and 12-month respiratory outcomes in patients following COVID-19-related hospitalisation: a prospective study. 5/8/21. Wu X. Lancet Respir Med.
This is a prospective, longitudinal cohort study from China of 83 severe COVID-19 patients (admitted February and March 2020, so none received glucocorticoids) who did not require IMV, yet still had 29-day hospital stays. Patients with HTN, DM, CVD, cancer, any pulmonary disease or tobacco use had been excluded. At 3-, 6-, 9- and 12-months post admission, they underwent pulmonary function testing, documenting abnormalities with gradual improvement even after 9 months. Radiological abnormalities (24%) and DLCO less than 80% of predicted (33%) persisted at 12 months despite near normal lung volumes, 6M walk and dyspnea assessment.
SAB Comment: These results indicate that even previously healthy patients who have recovered from COVID-19 may warrant pulmonary evaluation and consideration of timing regarding elective surgery. - Mortality after In-Hospital Cardiac Arrest in Patients with COVID-19: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis. 5/8/21. Ippolito M. Resuscitation.
This is a well-performed meta-analysis of resuscitation (CPR) following in-hospital cardiac arrest, confirming bleak survival statistics. The article includes an interesting debate regarding universal do not resuscitate orders for COVID-19 arrest resuscitation and comparison with ICU resuscitation of comparably ill patients without COVID-19. The authors suggest further discussion and data analysis is necessary following improved results for in-hospital cardiac arrest (IHCA) over time. Conclusion: Although one of three COVID-19 patients undergoing IHCA may achieve return of spontaneous circulation, 90% are not expected to survive 30 days or to hospital discharge.
May 7, 2021
- Trends in Patient Characteristics and COVID-19 In-Hospital Mortality in the United States During the COVID-19 Pandemic. 5/3/21. Roth GA. JAMA Netw Open.
This analysis of mortality trends in the US among 20,736 patients in 107 hospitals in 31 states comes from the American Heart Association COVID-19 cardiovascular disease registry. In comparison with March/April patients, the odds ratio of mortality decreased approximately one-third later in the year, after adjusting for age, sex, medical history, and COVID-19 severity. ICU length of stay, use of mechanical ventilation, and mortality in age groups over 50 decreased, although mortality remained highly associated with age. Use of corticosteroids and remdesivir increased. Reasons and other independent risk factors are discussed.
May 3, 2021
- Hospital-Level Variation in Death for Critically Ill Patients with COVID-19. 4/23/21. Churpek MM. Am J Respir Crit Care Med.
This multicenter cohort study utilized the STOP-COVID database to explore the wide variation in published mortality rates for critically ill COVID-19 patients. Data were evaluated on 4019 adult ICU patients admitted to 70 US hospitals between March-June 2020. Thirty-eight percent of patients died within 28 days, with an unadjusted interhospital mortality range of 12-91% (OR 2.06). After mixed-effect regression adjustment for patient- and hospital-level domains, the interhospital range attenuated to 32-44% (OR 1.22). In individual patients, acute physiology contributed 49%, demographics, comorbidities and socioeconomic status 32%, hospital strain and quality 17%, and treatments 3% to mortality risk. The authors emphasized that lower socioeconomic status of the community served by the hospital (characterized by a high percentage of patients who traveled more than 45 min to get to work) is an important contributor to interhospital variability, suggesting that COVID-19 exacerbates disparities in US healthcare. Individual mortality is also impacted by hospital ICU-bed capacity and strain, but treatments had the least impact on outcome variability. [Readers should note that the study reflects an early stage of the pandemic, prior to the positive evidence of steroid therapy on outcome in ventilated patients.]
April 16, 2021
- Provisional Mortality Data – United States, 2020. 4/8/2021. Ahmad FB. MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep.
The estimated age-adjusted death rate in the US increased by 15.9% from 2019 to 2020, representing the first increase since 2017. COVID-19 caused or contributed to 377,883 or 11.3% of total death and ranked third behind heart disease (21%) and cancer (17%). When sorted by age, race, ethnicity and sex, this report by the CDC’s National Vital Statistics System found age-adjusted death rates to be highest in the over 85-year old population, the non-Hispanic Black and the non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native people. Males died at 33% higher rate from COVID than females.
These provisional data are the result of a streamlined reporting mechanism which provides expanded mortality data for 2020 with a mere 4 month (prior 11 month) delay. - The Society for Obstetric Anesthesia and Perinatology (SOAP) COVID-19 Registry: An analysis of outcomes among pregnant women delivering during the initial SARS-CoV-2 outbreak in the United States. 4/8/2021. Katz D. Anesth Analg.
This study initiated by the Society for Obstetric Anesthesia and Perinatology (SOAP), involved consecutive patients and controls at 14 institutions in the US from March-May 2020. There were 964 controls and 490 COVID parturients, 64% of whom had asymptomatic disease. COVID parturients were more likely to have C-section (OR1.6) and pre-term labor (OR2.1). They were less likely to receive neuraxial anesthesia for labor, and more likely to have GA for C-section due to respiratory failure.
April 12, 2021
- 6-month neurological and psychiatric outcomes in 236 379 survivors of COVID-19: a retrospective cohort study using electronic health records. 4/6/21. Taquet M. Lancet Psychiatry.
This study provides a rich source of data covering a multitude of neurological and psychiatric symptoms in the wake of COVID-19. Using anonymized records from 62, mostly US healthcare organizations, from 3 patient cohorts, one with COVID-19 and two with other contemporaneous illnesses, the authors identify a COVID-specific incidence of neurologic and psychiatric diagnoses of 34% overall, with 13% receiving their first such diagnosis. They convincingly show a link to severity of illness with an incidence of 46% among all patients admitted to ICUs and to a diagnosis of delirium and encephalopathy where the overall incidence rose to 62%. The long-term impact of prolonged recovery due to neurological or psychiatric sequelae of COVID-19 represents a global public health challenge.
April 7, 2021
- Mortality and Readmission Rates Among Patients With COVID-19 After Discharge From Acute Care Setting With Supplemental Oxygen. 4/1/21. Banerjee J. JAMA Netw Open.
A retrospective study of 621 adult COVID-19 pneumonia patients (65% male) who were discharged from inpatient care (76%) or ED (24%) from 2 large urban public hospitals with a carefully executed, patient-focused discharge and follow-up plan showed excellent outcomes. 76% were insured by Medicaid and 84% were Spanish-speaking. Interventions included pre-discharge patient education, non-automated daily telephone contact 7 days/week until not needed, facility-dispensed equipment (pulse oximeter, O2 tank, concentrator), and vendor support. All-cause mortality was low – 1.3% (95% CI, 0.6%-2.5%) with none outside hospital, and 30-day hospital readmission rate was 8.5% (95% CI, 6.2%-10.7%). Median follow-up time was 26 days. Readmission rates were lower than the overall post-acute care 30-day readmission rate (15.2%) for California Dept. of Health Care Services patients in 2020, and compare favorably to privately insured pre-COVID patients in an earlier, referenced report.
April 2, 2021
- Association Between Renin-Angiotensin-Aldosterone System Inhibitors and Clinical Outcomes in Patients With COVID-19: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis. 3/31/2021. Baral R. JAMA Netw Open.
This is a meta-analysis of 52 studies involving approximately 100,000 COVID-19 patients, 26% of whom were taking ACE inhibitors or angiotensin blockers. Of those with hypertension, 42% were taking these medications. The risk of mortality was decreased (OR .57) as was that of severe adverse events (OR .68) in those on ACE inhibitors or AR blockers. Similar odds ratios were found in patients with hypertension. The authors state previous studies have shown only a lack of adverse outcomes in those on these medications.
March 26, 2021
- Racial and Ethnic Disparities in COVID-19 Incidence by Age, Sex, and Period Among Persons Aged <25 Years – 16 U.S. Jurisdictions, January 1-December 31, 2020. 3/18/21. Van Dyke ME. MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep.
This is a data-rich CDC report on nearly 700,000 COVID-19 cases in young people from jurisdictions representing 23% of the US population. (Included cases represent 77% of total cases due to absent ethnicity data in the remainder.) Incidences among multiple minorities ranged from 0.77 to 4.57 relative to non-Hispanic Whites and disparities evolved during 2020. Large disparities January–April generally decreased May–December, primarily due to higher incidence among Whites. Children <10 rarely tested positive, however incidence increased stepwise from ages 10-24. The largest persistent disparities involved Native Hawaiian and Pacific Islanders, Native Americans, and Hispanics. Ethnic minorities often live in multigenerational homes and include essential workers unable to shelter at home. Equitable and timely access to testing, prevention, and vaccination is urged.
March 17, 2021
- Increased mortality in community-tested cases of SARS-CoV-2 lineage B.1.1.7. 3/8/21. Davies NG. Nature.
The B.1.1.7 “UK” variant is known to be more infectious. This British study shows it is more lethal. B.1.1.7 is identified with PCR, as the S gene is not amplified: S gene target failure = SGTF. Based on 4,945 deaths within 28 days of community testing of 1,146,534 patients with known SGTF status, authors estimate that the associated adjusted hazard of death is significantly increased across age groups. For example, in 55-69 year old subjects, estimated absolute risk of death within 28 days after a positive test in the community for males increased from 0.6% to 0.9% (95% CI 0.8–1.0%); for females it increased from 0.18% to 0.28% (0.25–0.31%).
SAB Comment: In a separate retrospective British study with similar results ~55,000 adults >30 years old with the B.1.1.7 variant were matched with an equivalent number of controls. It was highlighted in our Newsletter Issue 68, and can be found here.
February 12, 2021
- Occurrence and Timing of Subsequent Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 Reverse-transcription Polymerase Chain Reaction Positivity Among Initially Negative Patients. 2/5/2021. Long DR. Clin Infect Dis.
The authors compared the occurrence of a discordant result of RT- PCR in two health systems. They assessed the conversion rate to a new positive in less than 7 days. They noted the conversion rate was at 3.5% (4.1% UW, 2.8% Stanford). Retesting was done based on clinical symptoms of patients. These observations suggest that false-negative RT-PCR results do occur, but at a lower frequency. Neither team was able to calculate a true clinical sensitivity or false-negative proportion due to the lack of a gold-standard.
February 8, 2021
- A rapid review of the pathoetiology, presentation, and management of delirium in adults with COVID-19. 12/25/20. Hawkins M. J Psychosomatic Res.
In this in-depth literature review of delirium in COVID-19, the authors initially identified 10,000 publications and after removing duplicates and screening abstracts, 229 studies were included in the review. This review serves as a source of reference for intensivists dealing with various aspects of diagnosing and treating delirium. After reviewing current information on prevalence, symptoms and etiology, prevention and management are highlighted in a summarizing table. In the absence of randomized clinical trials on this topic, the discussion is limited to reporting diverse empirical management with and without pharmacological intervention, stressing the fact that delirium can be a core symptom at presentation and may be under-recognized and under-diagnosed.
January 13, 2021
- 6-month consequences of COVID-19 in patients discharged from hospital: a cohort study. 1/8/21. Huang C. Lancet.
175-199 days after symptom onset, 1733 of 2469 discharged Wuhan COVID-19 patients (median age 57) completed questionnaires to evaluate symptoms and quality of life along with physical examinations, a 6-min walking test, and blood tests. Reduced 6-min walk, fatigue, pulmonary abnormalities, and anxiety or depression were prevalent. 73% of men and 81% of women reported at least one symptom (76% overall). Most common were fatigue or muscle weakness (63%), sleep difficulties (26%), and anxiety or depression (23%). Symptoms were positively correlated with previous COVID-19 illness severity.
SAB Comment: Many with mobility or neurologic issues were excluded, therefore accurate percentages may be higher.
January 6, 2021
- Factors Associated With Severe SARS-CoV-2 Infection. 12/16/20. Ouldali N. Pediatrics.
This 60-hospital French national study used an established meningitis surveillance network to study demographics of COVID-19 pediatric patients. Data collection was from February 15-June 1, with 397 children and included an estimated 38.5% of the total cases in France. The primary outcome was the proportion of patients with disease progression, and secondary outcomes were defined by age groups. The median age was 16 months. Three percent of children (4/135) <90 days old developed severe disease. MIS-C increased with age. There was severe disease overall in 11% (23/306). Of the 6 mortalities only one was entirely due to COVID-19. Findings suggested that the rate of severe forms was the lowest in very young children and was the highest for children ≥ 10 years.
December 16, 2020
- Prevalence and prognostic value of elevated troponins in patients hospitalised for coronavirus disease 2019: a systematic review and meta-analysis. 12/9/20. Zhao BC. J Intensive Care.
Elevated troponin levels on admission were linked to a higher risk of death in patients admitted for COVID-19. This retrospective article of worldwide reports demonstrated a 20.8% elevated troponin concentration at admission resulting in a 42% mortality vs. 9% in those admitted with normal levels. Mortality was not linked to cardiac deaths, but included deaths from all causes suggesting that troponin might indicate infectious-related injury beyond the heart. The article is extremely deep in the description of data collection and evaluation making for a difficult read. 51 studies were included for the review. - Update: Characteristics of Symptomatic Women of Reproductive Age with Laboratory-Confirmed SARS-CoV-2 Infection by Pregnancy Status — United States, January 22–October 3, 2020. 11/6/20. Zambrano LD. MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep.
In a CDC analysis of 409,000 women aged 15–44 with symptomatic, laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 and known pregnancy status, pregnancy (n=23,434) notably increased the risk of ICU admission, invasive ventilation, ECMO, and death. Pregnancy status was reported in 35.5% of women with COVID-19 during the study period. Compared with non-pregnant women, adjusted risk ratios were 3.0 for ICU admission, 2.9 for invasive ventilation, 2.4 for ECMO, and 1.7 for death, a mortality of 1.5 per 1000. Hispanic, Black and older pregnant women had even greater risks of death. All pregnant women should be counseled on the additional importance of precautions against SARS-CoV-2 infection.
December 11, 2020
- Tobacco use as a well-recognized cause of severe COVID-19 manifestations. 11/30/20. Gupta AK. Respir Med.
Though we have reviewed articles, some saying that COVID-19 is worse in smokers and others that it is not, the authors reviewed 23 articles that met their criteria. The authors noted that pre-existing comorbidities in tobacco users such as cardiovascular diseases, diabetes, respiratory diseases, and hypertension are found to further aggravate the disease manifestations. More generally, smoking is a potential risk factor for, not only contracting the viral infection, but also making the treatment of such COVID-19 patients more challenging.
December 4, 2020
- Association Between ABO and Rh Blood Groups and SARS-CoV-2 Infection or Severe COVID-19 Illness: A Population-Based Cohort Study. 11/24/20. Ray JG. Ann Intern Med.
This population-based study of adults and children who had previous ABO blood group assessed, and who subsequently had SARS-CoV-2 testing found that O (adjusted odds ration 0.89) and Rh− (adjusted odds ration 0.80) blood groups may be associated with a slightly lower risk for SARS-CoV-2 infection and severe COVID-19 illness. Data came from 225,556 persons with a + PCR test for SARS-CoV-2 between 15 January and 30 June 2020 of 2,659,328 who had ABO/Rh measured during 2007-2019 in Ontario, Canada, a province with universal health care.
November 30, 2020
- Clinical characteristics and day-90 outcomes of 4244 critically ill adults with COVID-19: a prospective cohort study. 10/29/20. COVID-ICU Group on behalf of the REVA Network and the COVID-ICU Investigators. Intensive Care Med.
In this multi-center (149 ICUs) European cohort study, the results of 4244 COVID-positive patients admitted 02/25-05/04 with ICU and 90-day follow-up were reported; ARDS severity, ventilator management and outcome at 90 days. Detailed demographic information, ventilator management, laboratory findings, ICU LOS, additional interventions and 90 day outcome reported. Overall mortality was 31% with a decrease in overall mortality noted during study; mortality was higher in older, immunocompromised, obese, diabetic patients and those with increasing ARDS severity. Higher mortality was noted in patients with shorter time between first symptoms and ICU admission.
November 9, 2020
- COVID-19: what the clinician should know about post-mortem findings. 11/3/20. Jonigk D. Intensive Care Med.
This succinct and easily read editorial summarizes multisystem pathologic findings in COVID-19. Clinical presentation does not always correlate with organ involvement at autopsy. The figure illustrates alterations frequently identified in each organ system at autopsy.
October 28, 2020
- Characteristics Associated With Racial/Ethnic Disparities in COVID-19 Outcomes in an Academic Health Care System. 10/21/20. Gu T. JAMA Netw Open.
In this cohort study of 5698 University of Michigan Health System patients tested for or diagnosed with COVID-19, preexisting type 2 diabetes or kidney diseases and living in high–population density areas were associated with higher risk for COVID-19 hospitalization. Adjusting for covariates, non-Hispanic Black patients were 1.72-fold more likely to be hospitalized than non-Hispanic White patients, though the reasons for hospitalization were not defined. However, no significant race differences were observed in intensive care unit admission and mortality.
October 26, 2020
- Prediction models for covid-19 outcomes. 10/21/2020. Sperrin M. BMJ.
A risk prediction algorithm to estimate hospital admission (n=10,776) and mortality (n=4,384) from covid-19 was created and validated using a UK dataset derived from 6.08 million 19-100 year old patients and validated with data from an additional 2.17 million. Study period was Jan 24-April 30 for the initial cohort and May 1-June 30, 2020 for the validation cohort. The model, including age, ethnicity, deprivation, BMI, and a range of comorbidities, predicted ¾ of deaths with excellent discrimination (Harrell’s C statistics >0.9). People in the top 20% of predicted risk of death accounted for 94% of deaths. - Living risk prediction algorithm (QCOVID) for risk of hospital admission and mortality from coronavirus 19 in adults: national derivation and validation cohort study. 10/21/2020. Clift AK. BMJ.
Editorial discussing the potential utility of prediction models referencing article 1528 and a second BMJ report published in September on the 4C mortality score (calculated at hospital admission to predict in-hospital mortality for patients with confirmed or likely covid-19). Models have serious shortcomings and require constant updating however may also inform public health policies, vaccine allocation, and provide decision support for treatment.
October 2, 2020
- SARS-CoV-2 Infection Among Hospitalized Pregnant Women: Reasons for Admission and Pregnancy Characteristics – Eight U.S. Health Care Centers, March 1-May 30, 2020. 9/25/20. Panagiotakopoulos L. MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep.
This Vaccine Safety Datalink (VSD) surveillance program studied hospitalized pregnant patients (n= 105; OB-62 pregnant women with SARS-CoV-2 infection who were asymptomatic vs. 43 who were symptomatic). COVID-19 was identified in higher rates of complications in pregnant women with infection due to changes in immunity/respiratory compromise, exaggeration of comorbidities leading to adverse outcome in pregnancy, ICU admission, and death. This article highlights the importance of all pregnant women attending antenatal care irrespective of insurance coverage and follow general guidelines. There’s a nice infographic showing that hospitalized pregnant women with COVID-19 can have severe illness.
September 21, 2020
- Racial/Ethnic Variation in Nasal Gene Expression of Transmembrane Serine Protease 2 (TMPRSS2). 9/10/20. Bunyavanich S. JAMA.
Nasal epithelium contains a protease (transmembrane serine protease 2 – TMPRSS2) which facilitates SARS-CoV-2 virus entry into the body. In a racially diverse cohort participating in an asthma study between 2015 – 2018, Black individuals exhibited a significantly higher expression of TMPRSS2 in nasal epithelium compared with other self-identified races/ethnicities. This finding may shed further light on the observed higher burden of COVID-19 among Black individuals. Protease inhibitors, like camostat mesylate, are undergoing clinical trials to test their utility for COVID-19 treatment via TMPRSS2 inhibition.
September 16, 2020
- Increased Odds of Death for Patients with Interstitial Lung Disease and COVID-19: A Case-Control Study. 9/8/2020. Esposito AJ. Am J Respir Crit Care Med.
This letter to the editor compares the COVID-19 mortality rate in a group of 42 PCR positive patients with previously diagnosed interstitial lung disease (ILD) to a group of matched PCR positive controls. Mortality was 33% in the patients with ILD and 13% in the matched controls. Increased mortality was observed even after adjustment for age, sex, race, smoking status, cardiovascular disease (congestive heart failure and/or coronary artery disease), and any chronic immunosuppression. - Risk stratification of patients admitted to hospital with covid-19 using the ISARIC WHO Clinical Characterisation Protocol: development and validation of the 4C Mortality Score. 9/10/20. Knight SR. BMJ.
Observational study utilizing the Coronavirus Clinical Characterization Consortium Mortality Score (Model-4C) to assess mortality in two groups of COVID-19 patients, using health data from 260 UK hospitals. Both groups demonstrated 32.2% mortality (February to May, N= 35,463 and May to June, N=22,361). The Model-4C Mortality Score incorporates 8 clinical admission criteria: age, sex, number of comorbidities, respiratory rate, peripheral oxygen saturation, level of consciousness, urea level, and C reactive protein. The score showed high discrimination for mortality with an ROC of 0.79. Relevant statistics, graphs and tables are included in the article.
September 2, 2020
- Viral dynamics and immune correlates of COVID-19 disease severity. 8/28/20. Young BE. Clin Infect Dis.
One hundred COVID-19 patients from Singapore underwent prospective study of infectivity and immune response on days 1, 3, 7,14, 21 and 28 after enrollment. No positive viral cultures were found in respiratory samples (n=21) obtained more than 14 days after symptom onset and all positive viral cultures occurred in patients with PCR cycle threshold values <30. Disease severity was associated with earlier seroconversion, higher peak IgM and IgG levels, and higher levels of inflammatory markers, but not duration of viral shedding by PCR. Results have implications for duration of isolation/quarantine and from whom to potentially obtain convalescent plasma.
August 31, 2020
- How Do Presenting Symptoms and Outcomes Differ by Race/Ethnicity Among Hospitalized Patients with COVID-19 Infection? Experience in Massachusetts. 8/22/20. McCarty TR. Clin Infect Dis.
Association of Race With Mortality Among Patients Hospitalized With Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) at 92 US Hospitals. 8/18/20. Yehia BR. JAMA Netw Open.
Two studies are combined here, a retrospective analysis of nine Massachusetts hospitals including all consecutive adult patients hospitalized with laboratory-confirmed COVID-19; and another of patients enrolled in the Ascension hospitals, in a cohort of 92 hospitals across 12 states. Both groups of authors found no association between race/ethnicity and clinically relevant outcomes of hospitalization, including mortality, among patients hospitalized with COVID-19. As has been seen in other research, older age and male sex were significantly associated with risk of death. - Sex differences in immune responses that underlie COVID-19 disease outcomes. 8/26/20. Takahashi T. Nature.
Preliminary data show different immune capabilities and responses for males and females, with implications for disease prevention and treatment strategies. Viral loads, antibody levels, plasma cytokines/chemokines, and blood cell phenotypes were measured in 98 COVID-19 inpatients and 43 healthy controls. Forty-eight patients had longitudinal analysis. Multiple pro-inflammatory immune chemokine and cytokine levels were higher in males, while females demonstrated a more robust baseline T-cell response. T-cell response was negatively correlated with age in males only. Disease progression was inversely associated with T-cell response in males and positively associated with innate immune cytokine levels in females.
August 17, 2020
- Role of children in household transmission of COVID-19. 8/7/2020. Kim J. BMJ.
Contact Tracing during Coronavirus Disease Outbreak, South Korea, 2020. 7/16/2020. Park YJ. Korea Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.
These two articles from the South Korean Centers for Disease Control and Prevention describe their thorough contact tracing program and results at the beginning of the pandemic, when quarantining was compulsory and rigorous in South Korea. The details of the tracing, follow-up and protocol are informative. Across all ages of index patients, contact positivity was 11.8% (in household contacts) and 1.9% (in non-household contacts). For index patients 1 – 18 years old, the contact positivity rate was 0.5%. This information has been noted while trying to reopen schools, though the public health standards in schools are different than during lockdown in South Korea.
August 14, 2020
- SARS-CoV-2 viral load in the upper respiratory tract of children and adults with early acute COVID-19. 8/6/20. Baggio S. Clin Infect Dis.
This prospective cohort study from Switzerland compared the viral load in patients of all ages during the first 5 days of COVID-19 symptoms. Viral loads as measured by cycle thresholds of RT-PCR testing were similar across all age groups (0-82 years old). This study of viral load in symptomatic patients helps clarify confusing results from other studies and may be especially pertinent as schools try to reopen.
August 7, 2020
- Post-discharge venous thromboembolism following hospital admission with COVID-19. 8/3/20. Roberts LN. Blood.
These authors identified 1,877 patients with COVID-19 discharged from the hospital, and noted that there were nine episodes of Hospital Associated Venous Thromboembolism (HA-VTE) diagnosed within 42 days compared with 2019 hospital discharge data. The authors calculated an odds ratio of 1.6 compared to historically “similar” groups of patients. They concluded that hospitalization of patients with COVID-19 does not appear to increase the risk of post-discharge HA-VTE compared to hospitalization with other acute medical illnesses. Their data suggests empiric post-discharge thromboprophylaxis is not necessary, thereby supporting the ACCP recommendations to not offer post-discharge thromboprophylaxis. - SARS-CoV-2 Infection and COVID-19 During Pregnancy: A Multidisciplinary Review. 5/30/2020. Narang K. Mayo Clin Proc.
A long summary: 15 pages. There’s obviously different physiology concerning gestation and pregnancy. Earlier reports suggest higher rates of preeclampsia and other pregnancy-related complications. Angiotensin-converting enzyme 2 receptor is upregulated in normal pregnancy. So, with higher ACE2 expression, pregnant women may be at elevated risk for complications from SARS-CoV-2 infection. Upon binding to ACE2, SARS-CoV-2 causes its downregulation, thus lowering angiotensin-(1-7) levels, which can mimic/worsen the vasoconstriction, inflammation, and pro-coagulopathic effects that occur in preeclampsia. Indeed, early reports suggest that, among other adverse outcomes, preeclampsia may be more common in pregnant women with COVID-19.
August 3, 2020
- NIH Launches Platform to Serve as Depository for COVID-19 Medical Data. 7/29/20. Rubin R. JAMA.
Though not a research article, the news report, based on an NIH news release, summarizes an NIH effort to store and study medical record data from people across the country who have been diagnosed with coronavirus disease 2019. Certainly, research articles will be published in the future that will be based on this effort. For more information for institutions on how to contribute data, visit https://ncats.nih.gov/n3c/about/program-faq.
July 22, 2020
- Outcomes from intensive care in patients with COVID‐19: a systematic review and meta‐analysis of observational studies. 6/30/20. Armstrong B. Anaesthesia.
Fascinating meta-analysis of 10,150 adult patients in 24 studies (enrollment was December 16, 2019 until May 28, 2020) from 11 countries with ICNARC (UK) database (national, rapidly updated registry) accounted for most cases in the study (results were unchanged when removed) with ICU death as primary endpoint. Mortality trended down from ~50% to 41.6% over time with confirmed by meta regression analysis by publication date indicating decreasing mortality. Discussion includes possibility of increasing sophistication of care outside ICU and despite likely increasing severity of ICU patients, therapeutic sophistication improvement was likely responsible for better outcome.
Excellent analysis with interesting discussion and conclusions emphasizing need for better national data reporting in real time to better follow disease progression and resource utilization.
July 20, 2020
- Individualizing Risk Prediction for Positive COVID-19 Testing: Results from 11,672 Patients. 6/20/20. Jehi L. Chest.
Review by the SAB
By Dr. Lance Lichtor, on behalf of the SAB
The authors of this article developed an online risk calculator that can identify individualized risk of a positive COVID-19 test. All patients from Cleveland Clinic in Ohio and Florida were tested, not just those who had the disease. Findings included: lower risk for Asians vs whites; lower risk for those who had pneumococcal polysaccharide vaccine and flu vaccine; higher risk with poor socioeconomic status; and reduced risk of testing positive in patients who were on melatonin, carvedilol, and paroxetine. - The Impact of Coronavirus Disease 2019 Pandemic on U.S. and Canadian PICUs. 7/8/20. Sachdeva R. Pediatr Crit Care Med.
Review by the SAB
By Dr. Philip Lumb, on behalf of the SAB
This report is from a large pediatric ICU registry (Virtual Pediatric Systems, Los Angeles, CA), with data from over 200 hospital units and >1.5 million patient admissions. In order to determine the manner in which COVID-19 was affecting PICU’s, VPS expanded data collection related to COVID-19 to all Canadian and US PICU’s regardless of prior VPS membership to provide a near real-time dashboard including admissions, patient demographics and comorbidities, therapeutic interventions, deaths and length of stay. Data collection, from March 4 to May 20, represented 3,228 bed capacity comprising most US and Canadian resources from major teaching institutions to smaller hospitals with multifunctional PICU’s. At the peak of the admissions in late April, ~40% of admissions >18yo and ~12% >30yo indicating unusual age disparity than normally seen and providing insight into future PICU adjustments. Detailed description of analysis and future research directions are provided, demonstrating the value of high reliability registry with capability to provide rapid resource allocation and patient demographic, therapeutic and outcome information.
May 28, 2020
- A simple algorithm helps early identification of SARS-CoV-2 infection patients with severe progression tendency. May 21. Li Q. Infection.
This study based on over 300 Chinese patients, creates a simple algorithm, named age-LDH-CD4 model, to identify COVID-19 patients with increased likelihood of disease progression. - COVID-19 and NSAIDS: A Narrative Review of Knowns and Unknowns
May 24. Pergolizzi Jr. JV. Pain and Therapy.
Opinion from SAB Member: Dr. Robert L. Coffey
A brief commentary article reviewing the possible mechanisms for an increase in susceptibility to COVID-19 or for a worsened prognosis in patients taking NSAIDs. The possibility that the anti-inflammatory effects might in fact be helpful is noted. The previously reported association of NSAID use and poor outcome is described, but this may be due to the association of higher NSAID use with increasing age. The review of the literature presented here indicates that “to date there is no strong evidence in favor or disputing the use of NSAIDs in patients diagnosed with COVID-19.” - RAAS inhibitors do not increase the risk of COVID-19
May 22. Fernández-Ruiz I. Nature Reviews Cardiology.
Opinion from SAB Member: Dr. David M. Clement, Dr. Jay Przybylo
DC: This editorial briefly reviews 5 recent retrospective studies that all confirm prior speculation that pre-COVID-19 use of ACE2 inhibitors and ARBs is not associated with increased susceptibility to COVID-19 and does not have harmful effects in patients with COVID-19. These results justify prior guideline advice to continue ACE2is and ARBs in the COVID-19 era.
JP: An editor for Nature combined the results of multiple papers investigating the effect of ACEi and ARB therapy on the susceptibility to COVID-19, concluding that despite the lack of controlled studies, the aggregate of the cited studies provides proof that these drugs do not provide an entry portal for the infection and are safe to continue. This easily understood paper serves as a valuable resource for physicians of any specialty caring for patients on RAAS therapy who are infected with COVID-19.
May 27, 2020
- Association of renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system inhibitors with COVID-19-related outcomes in Korea: a nationwide population-based cohort study
May 22. Jung. Clinical Infectious Diseases.
Opinion from SAB Member: Dr. Jay Przybylo
In a Korean population of patients taking Renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system (RAAS) inhibitors, the risk of death was higher compared with non-users. However, after adjustment for age, sex, Charlson Comorbidity Index, immunosuppression, and hospital type, the use of RAAS inhibitors was not associated with higher mortality. - Factors associated with hospital admission and critical illness among 5279 people with coronavirus disease 2019 in New York City: prospective cohort study. May 22. Petrilli. BMJ.
An extensive prospective outcome study from NYC from 4 Ac Care Hospitals with 394 ICU beds and 1357 non-ICU beds. Out of about 12,000 patients for that period, 5,279 patients were positive for COVID-19: 48.1% were treated as outpatients, and 51.9% required admission to hospital. Out of those who got admitted: 63.4% were discharged, 36.1% experienced critical illness, 24.3% who were discharged to a hospice or among the 990 patients with critical illness, 63.4% required mechanical ventilation, 10.3% required non-ICU care.
The study involved those admitted without critical illness, and those admitted to ICU, mechanical ventilation, discharge to hospice, or death. Then fitted multivariable logistic regression models with admission and with critical illness as the outcomes to identify factors associated with those outcomes. Authors also looked at admission values objectively for prediction of outcome as well. They found mortality to be 57% among all ICU or ventilated patients slightly higher than ARDS mortality. Some of the markers (either admission or admission to hospital) were common for worse outcome: Admission from March 16 to April 5, age > 55 years, unknown for smoking history, BMI > 40, CHF, O2 Sat % < 92, low Lymphocyte, high normal for C reactive, D Dimers, Procalcitonin, Troponin.
Overall, they found that age and comorbidities are powerful predictors of requirement for admission to hospital rather than outpatient care; however, the degree of oxygen impairment and markers of inflammation are most strongly associated with poor outcomes during hospital admission. The study has very elaborate, descriptive analysis backed by statistics. It has a self-explanatory graph of several categories of clinical values to outcome. - Incidence, clinical outcomes, and transmission dynamics of severe coronavirus disease 2019 in California and Washington: prospective cohort study
May 12. Lewnard JA. BMJ.
Opinion from SAB Member: Dr. W. Heinrich Wurm
For the practicing clinician, this study represents an epidemiological deep dive using the Kaiser Permanente database of 1840 patients (as of April 22, 2020) in a prospective cohort study aimed to:- Assess population-based rates of COVID-19 disease over time in three distinct geographic areas (Southern CA: 15.6, Northern CA 23.3, WA 14.7)
- Model
- estimated hospital length of stay for survivors (9.3 days) and non-survivors (12.7 days)
- ICU admission rates and median length of stay for males (48.5% and 10.6 days) and females (32% and 14.9 days)
- Fatality risk by age group (median 18.9%; >80yrs: 37.3)
- Study transmission dynamics by following the effective reproduction number over the study period within each region.
The authors conclude that hospitalizations have substantial lengths of stay, that probability of ICU stay is high, and that the effective reproduction number has fallen over time, coincident with social isolation regulations.
- Proposed Modifications in the 6-minute Walk Test for Potential Application in Patients with mild Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19): A Step to Optimize Triage Guidelines. May 19. Mantha. Anesthesia & Analgesia.
The authors propose to have patients perform the 6 minute walk test (while wearing a mask) to better discriminate between Covid-19 patients with mild pneumonia and those with severe pneumonia. They recommend adding this test to the established WHO criteria for severe pneumonia that includes 1) severe respiratory distress, 2) a respiratory rate of >30 breaths/min, or 3) an SpO2 ≤93% on room air. They propose a 1400 foot distance covered as the point of discrimination (approx 3 METS), but do not provide any patient data.
May 19, 2020
- Age and sex differences in soluble ACE2 may give insights for COVID-19. May 14. Edsfeldt. Crit Care.
Research letter detailing longitudinal study of soluble ACE2 (sACE2) levels by gender and age to determine potential differences and possible determinants of COVID-19 susceptibility for elderly male patients based on observation that disease more prevalent in adults>children and men>women. sACE2 levels analyzed from individuals registered in the pediatric osteoporosis prevention (POP) study; from age 7.7 years to 23.5 years at 2 to 3 year intervals. Results indicated that sACE2 levels increase more as boys age than girls. Authors suggest results support for observations re: age and sex prevalence for COVID-19 susceptibility.
May 16, 2020
- Characteristics and Outcomes of Coronavirus Disease Patients under Nonsurge Conditions, Northern California, USA, March-April 2020. May 14. Ferguson. Emerg Infect Dis.
This report from Stanford presents data from 72 Covid-19 patients in their hospitals over a 4-week period. Their patients had similar risk factors but better outcomes than have generally been reported. Overall death rate was 8.3% with a 14% death rate for ICU patients. The potential explanations are discussed, including non-surge conditions. They observed different standards of care between their two hospitals and call for standardized, well-publicized guidelines for new pathogens early on in an epidemic.
May 14, 2020
- COVID-19 and Racial/Ethnic Disparities
May 11. Hooper. JAMA.
Opinion from SAB Member: Dr. J. Lance Lichtor
In this viewpoint article, the authors highlight the health disparities among African Americans and Latinos. The incidence of COVID-19 disease is higher, and the number of patients who die from the disease is greater in these groups of patients. It’s hard to know why, but social and structural determinants of health, racism and discrimination, economic and educational disadvantages, health care access and quality, individual behavior, and biology may be determinants. This is not the first time, in that pulmonary tuberculosis, for example, disproportionately affects persons of lower socioeconomic status. As the authors note, the “pandemic presents a window of opportunity for achieving greater equity in the health care of all vulnerable populations.”
May 13, 2020
- Prognostic Value of Leukocytosis and Lymphopenia for Coronavirus Disease Severity. May 8. Huang. Emerg Infect Dis.
In this meta-analysis report from Los Angeles CA and Winston-Salem NC investigators analyzed data from 8 English-language studies representing 1280 unique adult cases of COVID-19 from China and Singapore, of which 46% were classified severe. “Pooled data across early studies validate a significant correlation between elevated leukocyte count and decreased lymphocyte count among patients with severe cases of COVID-19 compared with those with mild cases. Why lymphopenia is associated with severe illness remains unclear.”
May 11, 2020
- Association between ABO blood groups and risk of SARS-CoV-2 pneumonia. May 7. Li. Br J Haematol.
In this brief study report of 265 COVID-19 patients from Wuhan, China, “The ABO blood group … showed a distribution of 39.3 %, 25.3 %, 9.8 % and 25.7 % for A, B, AB and O, respectively. The proportion of blood group A in patients infected with SARS-CoV-2 was significantly higher than that in healthy controls (39.3 % versus 32.3 %, P= 0.017), while the proportion of blood group O in patients infected with SARS-CoV-2 was significantly lower than that in healthy controls (25.7 % versus 33.8 %, P< 0.01).” The theory that adhesion of SARS-CoV-2 to ACE-2 receptor is inhibited by human natural anti-A antibodies is discussed. - Association Between Hypoxemia and Mortality in Patients With COVID-19. Apr 6. Xie. Mayo Clin Proc.
Single center retrospective study of 140 patients with moderate to critical suspected or confirmed COVID-19 pneumonia in Wuhan, China. Those with SpO2 90% or less were more likely to be older, male, have HTN, and present with dyspnea. 26% died. Cutoff SpO2 of 90.5% showed a 85% sensitivity and 97% specificity for survival. Hypoxemia (SpO2 < 90%) despite O2 or dyspnea were independently associated with increased risk of death.
May 8, 2020
- Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II Score as a Predictor of Hospital Mortality in Patients of Coronavirus Disease 2019
May 7. Zou. Crit Care Med.
Opinion from SAB Member: Dr. David M. Clement, Dr. Jagdip Shah
DC: Especially in healthcare settings with overextended resources, accurately predicting mortality may or may not be useful for frontline providers. In this retrospective, single referral hospital study from China of 154 ICU patients with COVID-19, an admitting Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) II score of equal to or greater than 17 predicted mortality with a sensitivity of 96% and a specificity of 86%, better than other predictive indices.
JS: This single, tertiary center, retrospective, small study (N= 154) in China compared three ICU scoring systems on day one of ICU admission to decide which one is a better predictive tool for survival (e.g. a futility index) with COVID-19 patients with MOF. The three scoring systems compared were APACHE II (age, Glasgow Coma Scale, vital signs, oxygenation, chemistry values, hematology values & organ insufficiency [0 to 71]; used for general critical illness), Sequential Organ Failure Assessments (PaO2:fiO2 ratio, mean arterial pressure, creatine, GCS, platelet count, bilirubin [0 – 24]; used for general critical illness), and Confusion, Urea, Respiratory rate, Blood pressure, Age 65 (CURB65; used for pneumonia). Their aim was to describe the difference of epidemiologic and clinical characteristics between survivors and deaths in an attempt to provide an effective clinical tool to predict the probability of death among patients with COVID-19 based on data about admission and the first day in the ICU. The APACHE II score performed better to predict hospital mortality in patients with COVID-19 compared with SOFA and CURB65 scores. APACHE II scores greater than or equal to 17, serve as an early warning indicator of death, which may help to provide guidance for making further clinical decisions. The authors’ conclusion is useful and applicable when you have a tremendous surge of ICU admissions in a short time, shortage of equipment, manpower (DRs & RNs), and patients with comorbidities. The authors capture a few hallmark comorbidities: hypoxic encephalopathy, abnormal Na & K, abnormal hepatic panel, a higher platelet:lymphocyte ratio, (an index of inflammatory process?). ROC & AUC is a tool for sensitivity/specificity index: AUC FOR APACHE II = 0.966, SOFA = 0.867, CURB65 = 0.844.
May 7, 2020
- An Italian programme for COVID-19 infection in multiple sclerosis
Apr 30. Sormani. The Lancet Neurology.
Opinion from SAB Member: Dr. Barry Perlman
This article describes a program developed by the Italian MS Society, Italian MS Foundation, and MS Study Group of the Italian Neurological Society to help guide management of patients with multiple sclerosis during the COVID-19 pandemic. Case report forms were sent to >200 neurologists in Italy and data was collected on 232 patients with known or suspected COVID-19. 96% had mild infection. Of the 3% with critical infection, 1 recovered and 5 died. Further data collection is needed to determine if MS disease or treatment impacts COVID-19 infection.
May 6, 2020
- Association Between Clinical Manifestations and Prognosis in Patients with COVID-19. May 5. Yu. Clin Ther.
This is a chart review study from China. Older age and higher BMI were independent risk factors associated with COVID-19 patients with pneumonia. - Establishment and Management of Mechanical Circulatory Support During the COVID-19 Pandemic. May 4. Pham. Circulation.
This short report from a multinational group of cardiac surgeons suggests that planning and an algorithmic approach to ECMO may assist decision making and resource allocation in centers with capability. While meaningful outcome data is not yet available, there are survivors and a joint registry between North America and Europe. VV Ecmo is recommended for isolated respiratory failure and VA ECMO for cardiac or cardiopulmonary failure. The argument is made to make establishing a criteria a priority.
May 5, 2020
- Clinical and laboratory predictors of in-hospital mortality in patients with COVID-19: a cohort study in Wuhan, China. May 4. Wang. Clin Infect Dis.
Are there factors that might predict mortality? Based on this study of almost 300 patients, age, history of hypertension, and coronary heart disease were predictive and another analysis that included high-sensitivity C-reactive protein, higher D-dimer and thrombin time and lower activated partial thromboplastin time also predicted a higher incidence of death. All interesting findings, but again, what is the practitioner to do with such a study based on only 1 hospital. - Risk Factors Associated with Clinical Outcomes in 323 COVID-19 Hospitalized Patients in Wuhan, China. May 4. Hu. Clin Infect Dis.
The authors analyzed over 300 patients, cared for in Wuhan, China, to identify some risk factors with outcome. The authors found 27 risk factors associated with COVID-19 clinical outcomes. Unlike some other studies, the authors found that smoking was an independent factor for poor outcome. Hypnotic administration was significantly associated with favorable outcomes and higher hypersensitive troponin I were found to predict poor clinical outcomes. So many factors were considered and with such studies, any factor can be found significant. If the study had been more focused, the findings would have been more credible.
May 1, 2020
- Correlation between Heart fatty acid binding protein and severe COVID-19: A case-control study. Apr 30. Yin. PLoS One.
In patients who had measurements of heart fatty acid binding protein (HFABP), a serum cardiac specific biomarker for myocardial injury, the authors found a correlation between elevated HFABP and progression to severe COVID-19 illness. However only 46 of 245 patients had the test and the study had no control group. During hospitalization, severe illness was observed in 87.5% of HFABP positive patients vs. 40% in those who were HFABP negative (P = 0.002). We do not know why some patients had HFABP measured, making the results difficult to interpret. - COVID-19 Related Genes in Sputum Cells in Asthma: Relationship to Demographic Features and Corticosteroids
Mar 27. Peters. American Journal of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine.
Opinion from C19SAB: Dr. Louis McNabb, Dr. Jay Przybylo
LM: African Americans, males, and diabetics have increased expression of ACE2 and TMPRSS2 which might theoretically explain why these groups are at increased risk for COVID-19. Inhaled corticosteroids decreased expression of ACE2 and TMPRSS2 and theoretically might favorably modify the risk from COVID-19. JP: Thorough study demonstrating asthmatics taking inhaled corticosteroids might be at lower risk of significant COVID-19 infection via activity on the ACE2 receptor. - Obesity could shift severe COVID-19 disease to younger ages. Apr 30. Kass. The Lancet.
A Lancet “Correspondence” from Johns Hopkins describing a negative correlation between age and BMI in 265 COVID-19 patients. - Patients with cancer appear more vulnerable to SARS-COV-2: a multi-center study during the COVID-19 outbreak
Apr 29. Dai. Cancer Discovery.
Opinion from C19SAB: Dr. J. Lance Lichtor
Based on a retrospective analysis of patient information collected from 14 hospitals in Hubei Province, China, patients affected by the SARS-CoV-2 coronavirus for 105 hospitalized patients with cancer and 536 patients without cancer were compared. Patients with hematological cancer (1st), lung cancer (2nd), and cancers in metastatic stages demonstrated higher rates of severe events compared to patients without cancer. In addition, patients who underwent cancer surgery showed higher death rates and higher chances of having critical symptoms. In addition, patients on immunotherapy had the highest death rate and the most severe illness. It is expected that people with systemic disease should do less well. Unfortunately, the authors did not compare the two groups to hospitalized patients with cancer but without COVID-19. - Variation in COVID-19 Hospitalizations and Deaths Across New York City Boroughs. Apr 29. Wadhera. JAMA.
New York City has emerged as the epicenter of the COVID-19 outbreak. New York City is composed of 5 boroughs (the Bronx, Brooklyn, Manhattan, Queens, and Staten Island), each with unique demographic, socioeconomic, and community characteristics. Prior analyses have shown health inequities across these boroughs. The author relied on available public records from the recent past (census, age, M: F, race / ethnicity, education level, annual average income, available hospital bed, etc.) & current death rate from Covid-19 for each borough. Graphs & table suggests – Bronx: highest hospitalization & death rate, black population, lowest education, poverty & lowest income population of all the boroughs of NYC.
The author provides raw data for comparison. Author provided table numbers but failed to make any conclusion for important health policy answers. Assumption people did not travel to another borough? Surge capacity for each hospital was not taken in account. The study is ongoing?
April 30, 2020
- ABO blood group predisposes to COVID-19 severity and cardiovascular diseases. Apr 29. Dai. Eur J Prev Cardiol.
The authors state “Although ABO blood type and/or cardiovascular diseases are prognostic of COVID-19 patient severity, they are not risk factors predisposing to the risk of getting SARS-CoV-2 infection”. However, their report is of a proposed theory that relative differences in ACE and ACE2 receptor activity in persons with differing ABO blood types results in higher Covid-19 severity in A-type individuals, with no data or citations to back up the idea. - Mild versus severe COVID-19: laboratory markers. Apr 29. Velavan. Int J Infect Dis.
Discusses biochemical markers as an index of severity in COVID-19 patients. Concludes that low lymphocyte count and elevated serum levels of CRP, D-dimers, ferritin and IL-6 may help in stratifying risk.
April 29, 2020
- Early risk factors for the duration of SARS-CoV-2 viral positivity in COVID-19 patients. Apr 27. Lin. Clin Infect Dis.
Study from China on 137 COVID+ (PCR) patients, looking at lab and clinical characteristcs that correllated with duration of PCR positivity. Older age, lower lymphocyte counts, eosinophils, CD8+ T cells and higher levels of IL-6 and IL-10 correlated with longer PCR positivity. - Large-Vessel Stroke as a Presenting Feature of Covid-19 in the Young
Apr 28. Mocco. NEJM.
Opinion from SAB Member: Dr. W. Heinrich Wurm
Report of 5 patients under 50 presenting with large vessel arterial occlusion and stroke symptoms and testing positive for COVID-19. Clinical characteristics are presented and delay in seeking medical care due to fear of contracting the virus is highlighted.
April 28, 2020
- Clinical value of immune-inflammatory parameters to assess the severity of coronavirus disease 2019. Apr 26. Zhu. Int J Infect Dis.
Pre-proof retrospective study from China of 127 in-patients with COVID-19. IL-6, CRP and hypertension were the best predictors of severe disease. - Hypertension prevalence in human Coronavirus: The role of ACE system in infection spread and severity. Apr 27. Ruocco. Int J Infect Dis.
Review of Angiotensin, associated second messengers and inflammation mediators, effects of ACE-I and ARBs, and possible implications with SARS-CoV2 infection. - SARS-Cov-2 (human) and COVID-19: Primer 2020
Apr 24. Ramakrishna. Hepatology International.
Opinion from SAB Member: Dr. J. Lance Lichtor
This is a pictorial original paper that illustrates basics concerning where the disease came from, what the virus looks like, how it enters the body, disease prognosis, how it replicates in the lung and the liver, and generally how it replicates.
April 24, 2020
- COVID-19 and diabetes mellitus: what we know, how our patients should be treated now, and what should happen next. Apr 23. Angelidi AM. Metabolism.
Wanders between basic science and clinical implications in a number of organ systems and occasionally mentions diabetes. Provides no new or novel treatments but encourages further research. - D-dimer Levels on Admission to Predict In-Hospital Mortality in Patients With Covid-19. Apr 19. Zhang L. J Thromb Haemost.
D-dimer >= 2 ug/ml on admission may be an early predictor for COVID-19 in-hospital mortality. Retrospective study of 343 RT-PCR confirmed COVID-19 patients in Wuhan, China. A D-dimer cutoff of 2 ug/ml (4x normal) correlated with increased risk of in-hospital mortality with a sensitivity of 92% and specificity of 83%. Patients with D-dimer levels >= 2 ug/ml had a higher incidence of co-morbidities — DM, HTN, CAD, and stroke. They also had higher incidence of other abnormal lab values — lower lymphocyte count, hemoglobin, and platelet count, and higher neutrophil count, CRP, and PT — but D-dimer showed the highest concordance index. - Ethnicity and COVID-19: an urgent public health research priority. Apr 21. Pareek. The Lancet.
A Lancet Correspondence stressing the need to collect and report ethnic data when reporting on the pandemic. It seems there may be differences in the way SARS-CoV-2 infects people of different ethnicity, and accurate reporting of ethnicity could be important. - Potential association between COVID-19 mortality and health-care resource availability. Feb 25. Ji. The Lancet Global Health.
A Lancet “Correspondence” from February documenting an association in China between increased COVID-19 mortality and the “healthcare burden” of Hubei vs. other provinces. The graphs are dramatic, but not proof, that Hubei has higher mortality (2.9% vs. 0.7% outside Hubei) because of an overextended healthcare system.
April 23, 2020
- COVID-19 and African Americans. Apr 15. Ingraham. JAMA.
A very important social/cultural aspect of the pandemic, with preliminary data clearly laid out by author. But this will not help front-line workers, and as the author states, what to make of the disparities is not clear: “Data fully adjusted for comorbidities have not been reported but it is likely that some, if not most, of these differences in disease rates and outcomes will be explained by concomitant comorbidities.”
Blacks have disproportionately been victims of COVID-19. Evidence of potentially egregious health care disparities is now apparent. Persons who are African American or black are contracting SARS-CoV-2 at higher rates and are more likely to die. COVID-19 has become the herald event that now fully exposes the deep and chronic social wounds in US communities. The Johns Hopkins University and American Community Survey indicate that to date, of 131 predominantly black counties in the US, the infection rate is 137.5/100,000 and the death rate is 6.3/100,000.5. This infection rate is more than 3-fold higher than that in predominantly white counties. Moreover, this death rate for predominantly black counties is 6-fold higher than in predominantly white counties. Comorbidities (HBP, DM, Obesity……) and preventive measures may not be able to be practiced, health care access…author claims many unstated factors are playing out. Public health is complicated and social reengineering is complex, but change of this magnitude does not happen without a new resolve. - Is Adipose Tissue a Reservoir for Viral Spread, Immune Activation and Cytokine Amplification in COVID-19. Apr 22. Ryan. Obesity (Silver Spring).
Obesity has been recognized as a risk factor for poor outcome with COVID-19 infection. The paper theorizes that adipose tissue may act as a reservoir for increased viral spread, immune activation, and cytokine amplification. Nice review of adipose tissue cytokine pathways. Areas of research are suggested. - Symptom Screening at Illness Onset of Health Care Personnel with SARS-CoV-2 Infection in King County, Washington. Apr 17. Chow. JAMA.
Typical symptom screening for Covid-19 will miss 20 percent of health care workers with the virus. Perhaps more alarming is that health care personnel worked a median of two days with symptoms.
April 21, 2020
- Binding of SARS-CoV-2 and angiotensin-converting enzyme 2: clinical implications. Apr 18. Murray. Cardiovasc Res.
Literature review, mostly on a molecular cell-biology level, of the RAAS system as it may interact with SARS-CoV-2. Nothing new, and the conclusion is to follow the guidelines of many organizations to continue ACEI and ARBs in patients already on such drugs. - Diabetic patients with COVID-19 infection are at higher risk of ICU admission and poor short-term outcome
Apr 9. Roncona. Journal of Clinical Virology.
Opinion from SAB Member: Dr. Jagdip Shah
A detailed, retrospective meta-analysis from 3 centers in northern Italy. 9 articles were included, which notably included data from China. This meta-analysis demonstrated that diabetic patients with COVID-19 infection have a higher risk to be admitted to the ICU during the infection. Moreover, diabetes increased the risk of mortality during the infection. Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines were followed in abstracting data and assessing validity. Quality assessment was performed using the Newcastle-Ottawa quality assessment scale. The main outcome was the risk of ICU admission in diabetic patients with COVID-19 infection while the second was the overall mortality risk in COVID-19 patients with diabetes. Data was pooled using the Mantel-Haenszel random effects models reporting odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence interval (CI). Statistical heterogeneity between groups was measured using the Higgins I-squared statistic. Results: Among 1382 patients (mean age 51.5 years, 798 males), diabetes was the second most frequent comorbidity. Diabetic patients had a significantly increased risk of ICU admission (OR: 2.79, 95% CI 1.85–4.22, p < 0.0001, I-squared=46%). In 471 patients (mean age 56.6 years, 294 males) analyzed for the secondary outcome, diabetic subjects had higher mortality (OR 3.21, 95% CI 1.82–5.64, p < 0.0001, I-squared=16%). - Inflammatory bowel diseases and COVID-19: the invisible enemy. Apr 20. D’Amico. Gastroenterology.
More of an opinion paper than anything, reviewing past literature on infections in IBD patients on immunosuppresives and biologics. Will not help those treating COVID-19 much.
April 20, 2020
- A Tool to Early Predict Severe Corona Virus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) : A Multicenter Study using the Risk Nomogram in Wuhan and Guangdong, China. Apr 17. Gong J. Clin Infect Dis.
A nomogram was developed to help predict which COVID-19 patients are at increased risk of progression to severe disease. Retrospective 3 center study of 372 Covid-19 patients. 19% developed severe COVID-19 within 15 days of admission, as defined by: (1) Shortness of breath, Respiratory rate ≥ 30/min, (2) Resting O2 saturation ≤ 93%, or (3) PaO2/ FiO2) ≤ 300mmHg. A nomogram based on data from 189 patients and then validated with 2 additional patient groups consisting of older age, higher LDH, CRP, RDW, DBIL, and BUN, and lower ALB on admission correlated with higher odds of progression to severe COVID-19. Increased RDW as a risk factor for progression to severe COVID-19 is a new finding.
April 17, 2020
- Does COVID-19 Disprove the Obesity Paradox in ARDS? Apr 16. Jose RJ. Obesity (Silver Spring).
A disporportionate number of non-survivors of COVID-19 patients are obese. The authors postulate that factors may include a chronic pro-inflammatory status, difficult airway, pulmonary elastance, compliance, potential pulmonary hypertansion and RV function may be contributing factors. - Prediction models for diagnosis and prognosis of covid-19 infection: systematic review and critical appraisal. Apr 7. Wynants, L. BMJ.
A review and appraisal of 27 prediction model studies for diagnosis, prognosis, and risk of hospital admission due to COVID-19. Age, temperature, and signs/symptoms were the most reported predictors of suspected disease. Age, sex, CT, CRP, LDH, and lymphocyte count predicted severe prognosis. However, all studies had high risk of bias due to reporting and methodology flaws, such as small sample sizes, non-representative control patients, exclusion of those who had not reached the clinical event of interest by the conclusion of the study, and model overfitting. The authors warn against using prediction models based on questionable data, and recommend that better and more standardized data collection and reporting methodologies are needed to determine the predictors that could be used to guide clinical decisions during the COVID-19 pandemic.
April 14, 2020
- SARS-Cov-2 in Spanish Intensive Care: Early Experience with 15-day Survival In Vitoria. Apr 13. Barrasa. Anaesth Crit Care Pain Med.
The manuscript was not well written. 48 patients from 2 hospitals in Spain admitted to an ICU with COVID-19 are described. Unlike China, where the majority of patients only received non-invasive ventilation, in this series 45/48 had their tracheas intubated and only 13 were discharged alive from the hospital.
April 13, 2020
- Covid-19: death rate is 0.66% and increases with age, study estimates. Apr 4. Mahase. BMJ.
Based on aggregate data on cases and deaths in mainland China, the overall death rate from covid-19 was estimated at 0.66%, rising sharply to 7.8% in people aged over 80 and declining to 0.0016% in children aged 9 and under. They estimated that nearly one in five people over 80 infected with covid-19 would probably require hospital admission, compared with around 1% of people under 30. They also estimated that the average time between a person displaying symptoms and dying was 17.8 days, while recovering from the disease was estimated to take slightly longer, with patients being discharged from hospital after an average of 22.6 days. Estimated case fatality ratio for symptomatic patients in China was 1.38% (1.23% to 1.53%). For all infected patients, the ratio was. 0.66% (0.39% to 1.33%). Data on underlying health conditions was not available.
April 11, 2020
- Covid-19: death rate is 0.66% and increases with age, study estimates. Apr 1. Mahase. BMJ.
Based on aggregate data on cases and deaths in mainland China, the overall death rate from covid-19 was estimated at 0.66%, rising sharply to 7.8% in people aged over 80 and declining to 0.0016% in children aged 9 and under. They estimated that nearly one in five people over 80 infected with covid-19 would probably require hospital admission, compared with around 1% of people under 30. They also estimated that the average time between a person displaying symptoms and dying was 17.8 days, while recovering from the disease was estimated to take slightly longer, with patients being discharged from hospital after an average of 22.6 days. Estimated case fatality ratio for symptomatic patients in China was 1.38% (1.23% to 1.53%). For all infected patients, the ratio was. 0.66% (0.39% to 1.33%). Data on underlying health conditions was not available. - Factors associated with prolonged viral RNA shedding in patients with COVID-19. Apr 10. Xu. Clin Infect Dis.
Prolonged viral RNA shedding associated with male sex, treatment with steroids, and worse illness. Two-thirds of patients had prolonged viral RNA shedding (>15 days). RT-PCR testing, and not viral cultures were the tests used. This is a paper that could be combined with other PCR/culture papers in the future, to help clinicians. - Prediction for Progression Risk in Patients with COVID-19 Pneumonia: the CALL Score Apr 9. Ji. Clinical Infectious Diseases.
Opinion from SAB Member: Dr. Jack Lance Lichtor
The authors, based on a retrospective analysis of 208 COVID-19 patients who were admitted to 1 of 2 hospitals in the Fuyang province in China, developed a score based on multivariate COX analysis. There was a stable group and the progressive group. These factors were found to be significant: age, comorbidity, lymphocyte count, D-dimer, and LDH. The nomogram demonstrated good accuracy in estimating the risk of progression of illness. The diagnosis of COVID-19 was based on real-time reverse-transcriptase polymerase chain reaction. The score may help to decide where to put patients with the disease: either at a district hospital or a tertiary center. A prospective study is needed to confirm.
April 9, 2020
- COVID-19 rapid guideline: managing symptoms (including at the end of life) in the community. Apr 3. NICE (UK).
A Great Britain published guide to caring for their patients. While they advise the use of benzodiazepines that I find encouraging, much of the paper is general care advice rudimentary for a physician audience and many of the medications are specific to their country (eg paracetamol).
April 8, 2020
- Baseline Characteristics and Outcomes of 1591 Patients Infected With SARS-CoV-2 Admitted to ICUs of the Lombardy Region, Italy. Apr 7. Grasselli. JAMA.
- Positive RT-PCR Test Results in Patients Recovered From COVID-19. Feb 27. Lan. JAMA.
Though a patient may be recovered after a COVID-19 illness, they could still have a positive PCR test as shown in this study that tracked the recovery of four medical professionals in Wuhan, China who showed coronavirus traces up to 13 days after the end of symptoms. The communicability of those with a positive PCR who have recovered from the illness is still not well studied. - Unprecedented Solutions for Extraordinary Times: Helping Long-Term Care Settings Deal with the COVID-19 Pandemic Mar 30. Gaur. Infection Control & Hospital Epidemiology.
COVID-19 SAB Opinion from: Dr. David Clement
Hospitals need to discharge COVID-19 and PUI inpatients, not infrequently to long-term care facilities. This is a carefully thought out summary of actions LTC facilities should take for such situations, stressing accepted guidelines, common sense and cooperation.
April 7, 2020
- Prone Positioning in Severe Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome June 6, 2013. Guérin. NEJM.
SAB COVID-19 Opinion from: Dr. Jay Przybylo
Title is self-explanatory.
April 2, 2020
- Simulation as a tool for assessing and evolving your current personal protective equipment: lessons learned during the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic. Mar 27. Lockhart. Can J Anaesth.
How one hospital used low-fidelity airway simulation to assess and evolve the personal protective equipment (PPE) used for airway management of patients with COVID-19. - Use of in situ simulation to evaluate the operational readiness of a high‐consequence infectious disease intensive care unit. Mar 27. Fregene. Anaesthesia.
How in situ simulation helps identify risks of use of PPE in treating a COVID-19 patient in the ICU.
March 31, 2020
- Care for Critically Ill Patients With COVID-19. Mar 11. Murthy. JAMA.
Initial reports suggest that COVID-19 is associated with severe disease that requires intensive care in approximately 5% of proven infections. Critical care will be an integral component of the global response to this emerging infection. - Discontinuation of Home Isolation for Persons with COVID-19 (Interim Guidance). Mar 16. CDC.
New guidance for a strategy to discontinue home isolation without testing. - Respiratory support for patients with COVID-19 infection. Mar 5. Ñamendys-Silva. The Lancet.
Recommendations regarding the use of high-flow nasal oxygen therapy and non-invasive ventilation in patients with COVID-19 infection. - Some COVID-19 patients test positive days after recovery. Feb 28. Van Beusekom. CIDRAP.
Four medical professionals with COVID-19 who met criteria for hospital release or lifting of quarantine in China had positive diagnosis 5 to 13 days later, suggesting that current criteria for hospital release or lifting of quarantine and continued treatment should be re-evaluated.
March 30, 2020
February 13, 2020
- Post-ICU Syndrome in a Cohort of COVID-19 Survivors in New York City. 12/22/2021. Weidman K. Ann Am Thorac Soc.
- Risk Factors / Demographics / Resource Requirements / Outcomes
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- Emerging Clinical Data and Guidelines (USA / International)
January 10, 2022- SAB Comment: The IARS COVID-19 SAB recommends to readers the following group of opinion articles recently published in JAMA written by several members of a pandemic scientific advisory board that counseled President Biden during his transition. We provide these links not as an IARS SAB endorsement of the views expressed, but to encourage readers to review this reflective and forward-looking discussion at the two-year mark of the COVID-19 pandemic and during the current Omicron variant surge.
- The Pandemic Preparedness Program: Reimagining Public Health. 1/6/22. Adashi EY. JAMA.
- A National Strategy for COVID-19: Testing, Surveillance, and Mitigation Strategies. 1/6/22. Michaels D. JAMA.
- A National Strategy for COVID-19 Medical Countermeasures: Vaccines and Therapeutics. 1/6/22. Borio LL. JAMA.
- A National Strategy for the “New Normal” of Life With COVID. 1/6/22. Emanuel EJ. JAMA.
- The First 2 Years of COVID-19: Lessons to Improve Preparedness for the Next Pandemic. 1/6/22. Nuzzo JB. JAMA.
- Characteristics and Outcomes of Hospitalized Patients in South Africa During the COVID-19 Omicron Wave Compared With Previous Waves. 12/30/21. Maslo C. JAMA Netw Open.
This report is from the South African Netcare health system representing 49 acute care hospitals. The authors compared outcomes of 17,200 patients evaluated across four COVID-19 waves (ancestral, Beta, Delta and Omicron variants). Compared with the previous waves, the Omicron wave demonstrated a decreased incidence of hospital admission (41.3 v 68-69%) despite only 24.2% of patients known to be vaccinated. Patients were younger (median 36 years v 59 years with Delta), more likely to be female and less likely to have comorbidities. Compared to the Delta wave, the proportion of admitted patients presenting with an acute respiratory condition (31.6 v 91.2%), requiring oxygen therapy (17.6 v 74%), ICU admission (18.5 v 29.9%) and mechanical ventilation (1.6 v 12.4%) was significantly less during the Omicron than the Delta wave. Median length of stay (3 v 9 days) and hospital mortality (2.7 v 29.1%) were also significantly lower. The authors acknowledge the absence of genotyping (but 95% of variants were Omicron at the time of study) and varying public health restrictions during different waves.
SAB Comment: This is one of a number of databases, and one of the very first peer-reviewed publications, suggesting that the Omicron wave is associated with less severe illness, hospitalization and death. At present it is not clear whether this difference results from enhanced acquired or natural population immunity or innately lower Omicron variant pathogenicity. It is also important to recognize that surge patterns in one country are not directly applicable to another. - Decreased severity of disease during the first global omicron variant covid-19 outbreak in a large hospital in tshwane, south africa. 12/31/21. Abdullah F. Int J Infect Dis.
This retrospective cohort study compared 466 SARS-CoV-2 PCR+ inpatients since 11/14/21 to 3976 PCR+ inpatients during pre-Omicron waves. Deaths and ICU admissions were 4.5% vs. 21.3% (p<0.00001), and 1% vs. 4.3% (p<0.00001); length of stay was 4 vs. ~9 days; and mean age was 39 years during Omicron wave vs. 49 years for previous waves. Admissions peaked and declined rapidly with peak bed occupancy at 51% of highest previous peak. Only 1/3 of patients had COVID-19 pneumonia (45% on oxygen vs. 99% previously). Nearly 2/3 of positive PCR results were incidental to admission for other illnesses.
December 20, 2021
- Disorders of Consciousness Associated With COVID-19: A Prospective, Multimodal Study of Recovery and Brain Connectivity. 12/4/21. Fischer D. Neurology.
Disorders of consciousness (DoC) in severe COVID-19 disease carry a serious if not ominous prognosis. This prospective, longitudinal, multimodal study screened 1,105 consecutive patients admitted to MGH/Brigham’s critical care units during a 9-month period ending in March 2021 to clarify short and long-term outcomes of DoC unexplained by sedation. Only 12 patients satisfied study criteria which included scheduled advanced MRI studies to assess functional and structural brain injury. All 8 survivors regained consciousness, 50% within a week after sedation and 75% regained normal cognition and had minimal disability at 6 months. Eighty-two percent of patients demonstrated microhemorrhages and/or leukoencephalopathy on imaging, findings which did not correlate with severity of DoC and point towards a multifactorial etiology that includes, sedation, hypoxia and inflammation. Despite obvious limitations, this study adds a measure of optimism to an arena of tragic outcomes.
October 18, 2021
- Clinical Characteristics of Multisystem Inflammatory Syndrome in Adults: A Systematic Review. 9/22/21. Patel P. JAMA Netw Open.
Multisystem Inflammatory Syndrome in Adults (MIS-A) is exceedingly rare. These CDC authors identified 221 patients aged 18 and older, 122 of which were previously included in the CDC Multisystem Inflammatory Syndrome in Children (MIS-C) database which included 18–21-year-olds. In MIS-A, median age was 21; 70% male, 36% non-Hispanic Black, 58% without comorbidity, and most with a previous symptomatic COVID-19 like illness. Most present febrile and hypotensive, with half exhibiting cardiac dysfunction, dyspnea and diarrhea and 7% died. MIS-A is a serious hyperinflammatory condition that presents approximately 4 weeks after onset of COVID-19 with extrapulmonary multiorgan dysfunction.
SAB Comment: A conundrum presented by this paper is that the authors, themselves members of the CDC, changed the CDC definition of MIS-C from less than 21 years of age to less than 18 years of age. It could be argued that the division of MIS into MIS-C and MIS-A at a particular age is in fact arbitrary, and that MIS is a continuum of one pathologic process: a delayed inflammatory response to SARS-CoV-2, whose manifestations change with age under the influence of a changing immunomodulatory milieu.
October 4, 2021
- Clinical Characteristics of Multisystem Inflammatory Syndrome in Adults: A Systematic Review. 9/22/2021. Patel P. JAMA Netw Open.
These CDC authors provide an improved description of Multisystem inflammatory syndrome in adults (MIS-A). Of 221 patients identified, the median age was 21, 70% male, 36% non-Hispanic Black, 58% without comorbidity, 68% – previously (medium 28 days) symptomatic with a COVID-19–like illness. Most (96%) present febrile, 60% hypotensive, 54% cardiac dysfunction, 52% SOB, 52% diarrhea; multiorgan (medium five) involvement, hospital stay 8 days. 57% required ICU, 47% respiratory support and 7% died. 98% current/past SARS-CoV-2 laboratory findings; 86% lymphopenia. Ten patients presented with Kawasaki disease. Conclusion: MIS-A presents approximately 4 weeks after acute COVID-19 with extrapulmonary multiorgan dysfunction. - Myocarditis With COVID-19 mRNA Vaccines. 8/10/21. Bozkurt B. Circulation.
This report summarizes the available information regarding myocarditis occurring after mRNA vaccination against SARS-CoV-2. The CDC reports an incidence of 12.6 per million of those between ages 12 and 39, mostly men. The FDA will add a warning label to both mRNA vaccines. Case definition, symptoms, treatment, and course are presented, as well as a chart listing published cases. Rapid resolution usually occurred. The mechanism of development is unclear, but proposed mechanisms are discussed. It includes an illustration of the risk-benefit which favors vaccination for all people older than 12.
September 20, 2021
- Convalescent plasma for hospitalized patients with COVID-19: an open-label, randomized controlled trial. 9/10/2021. Bégin P. Nat Med.
This open-label, randomized controlled trial of O2-requiring Covid patients examined convalescent plasma antibody profiles on intubation/death by day 30. The trial was terminated for futility. Intubation/death occurred in 199/614 (32.4%) patients in the plasma arm and 86/307 (28.0%) in the standard arm (P= 0.18). The plasma arm had more serious adverse events (33.4% versus 26.4%; P= 0.034). Each log increase in viral neutralization or antibody-dependent cellular cytotoxicity reduced the potential harmful effects of plasma. IgG against the full transmembrane spike protein, containing both relevant and irrelevant Ig’s increased harmful effects. Convalescent plasma qualitative antibody profiles, not total anti-spike IgG, may strongly influence clinical effects. - Evolution of COVID-19 symptoms during the first 12 months after illness onset. 9/2/2021. Wynberg E. Clin Infect Dis.
342 Dutch Covid-19 patients were followed with a monthly symptom questionnaire from May 2020 to May 2021. At 12 weeks 87% of 98 with severe or critical illness had at least 1 symptom compared with 64% of 145 with moderate disease and 31% of 99 with mild disease. 12 months post illness onset 41% of all participants continued to report >1 symptom. Recovery was slower in females and those with BMI >30 kg/m2.
August 30, 2021
- An outbreak caused by the SARS-CoV-2 Delta variant (B.1.617.2) in a secondary care hospital in Finland, May 2021. 7/29/21. Hetemäki I. Eurosurveillance.
Authors describe a Delta variant outbreak that originated from one inpatient. It spread within the hospital and to three primary care facilities. Fifty-eight patients and 45 healthcare workers became infected; 18 elderly patients admitted with other conditions died following infection. Among infected individuals, 19% were fully vaccinated, 47% had 1 dose and 34% were unvaccinated. Over 90% of vaccinations were with BioNTech-Pfizer vaccine. Both symptomatic and asymptomatic infections were found among vaccinated healthcare workers, and secondary transmission occurred from patients with symptomatic infections despite use of PPE. Presymptomatic and asymptomatic individuals also infected others. Authors recommend FFP2/3 respirators (~N95 or higher grade) while treating COVID-19 patients.
SAB Comment: The above report, based upon careful contact tracing, highlights the value of universal masking with respirators of FFP2 of N95-level or greater when caring for COVID-19 patients.
August 16, 2021
- SAB Comment: The following two studies on vaccine-induced immune thrombocytopenia (VITT) provide two different views of a complex therapeutic question that remains unresolved. What is the appropriate dose (therapeutic versus prophylactic) and timing of anticoagulant therapy in the treatment of COVID-19 and what is the incidence of VITT in the general population stratified by age and sex following vaccination?
- Clinical Features of Vaccine-Induced Immune Thrombocytopenia and Thrombosis. 8/11/21. Pavord S. N Engl J Med.
A study of 294 patients presenting to UK hospitals (03/22-06/06 2021) found incidence of vaccine-induced immune thrombocytopenia and thrombosis (VITT) following ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 (AstraZeneca) vaccination among individuals younger than 50 years at least 1:50,000 which is consistent with previous reports. The study details diagnosis, patient demographics and common timeline for vaccination to symptomatology. Useful tables detail definition criteria (definite, probable, possible, unlikely) and clinicopathological findings. Age stratification notes incidence in older than 60 years at least 1/100,000. The authors conclude “The high mortality associated with VITT was highest among patients with a low platelet count and intracranial hemorrhage. Treatment remains uncertain, but identification of prognostic markers may help guide effective management.” - Cerebral venous thrombosis after vaccination against COVID-19 in the UK: a multicentre cohort study. 8/9/21. Perry RJ. Lancet.
Investigators studied 95 patients from 43 UK hospitals with image-confirmed cerebral venous thrombosis following vaccination for COVID-19 looking for vaccine-induced immune thrombotic thrombocytopenia (VITT), which was defined as acute thrombosis accompanied by D-dimer greater than 2,000 along with a minimum platelet count less than 150,000. Seventy-six (80%) of 95 patients were investigated for anti-PF4 antibodies, a reliable marker for VITT. Seventy in 96 had VITT, all following AstraZeneca vaccine. Of 26 without VITT, 21 had received AstraZeneca vaccines, and four had received Pfizer vaccines. VITT patients were younger (mean 47 vs. 57), more likely to have multiple venous thromboses (14% vs. 0) or hemorrhages (33% vs. 14%), and more disabled at discharge compared with non-VITT patients. Mortality was 29% in the VITT cohort vs. 4% in the non-VITT cohort. One non-VITT patient had serious extra-cerebral thrombosis. Non-heparin anticoagulant and intravenous immunoglobulin treatments were associated with an improved outcome. Diagnosis criteria are proposed.
- Clinical Features of Vaccine-Induced Immune Thrombocytopenia and Thrombosis. 8/11/21. Pavord S. N Engl J Med.
- Persistent Endotheliopathy in the Pathogenesis of Long COVID Syndrome. 8/10/21. Fogarty H. J Thromb Haemost.
Findings of pulmonary endotheliopathy and microvascular immunothrombosis have been highlighted in autopsies in acute COVID, but their contributions to Long-COVID are unknown. Long-COVID patients (n=50, age 50 + 17 years, medium post-COVID =68 days) showed that prothrombic markers (endogenous thrombin potential, peak thrombin, etc.) and endothelial activation markers (VWF:Ag, Factor VIII, etc.) and plasma soluble thrombomodulin were significantly elevated vs. controls (nonhospitalized asymptomatic, n=17, mean age 47 ± 12 years), especially in elderly, hospitalized and patients with co-morbidities. Typical acute phase markers (e.g., CRP, neutrophil counts, IL-6) were normal. Endotheliopathy assays (e.g., VWF) correlated inversely with the 6-Minute Walk Test.
August 9, 2021
- Endothelium-associated biomarkers mid-regional proadrenomedullin and C-terminal proendothelin-1 have good ability to predict 28-day mortality in critically ill patients with SARS-CoV-2 pneumonia: A prospective cohort study. 8/3/21. van Oers JAH. J Crit Care.
This observational cohort study assessed baseline levels of two inflammatory markers, midregional proadrenomedullin (MR-proADM) and C-terminal proendothelin-1 (CT-proET-1) as predictors of 28-day mortality in 105 critically ill COVID-19 pneumonia patients. The area under the curve for prediction of 28-day mortality for MR-proADM and CT-proET-1 were 0.84 and 0.79 respectively. An MR-proADM level of d≥1.57 nmol/L or a CT-proET-1 level of ≥ 111 pmol/L at baseline were significant predictors for 28-day mortality (HR 6.80 and HR 3.72 respectively) and were significantly better predictors than other, more common, inflammatory markers.
July 9, 2021
- Age and Acute Ischemic Stroke Outcome in North American Patients With COVID-19. 7/5/2021. Dmytriw AA. J Am Heart Assoc.
This is a detailed prospective database analysis of 126 patients with COVID-19 who suffered acute ischemic strokes (AIS) and were treated at 19 stroke centers in the US and Canada between March and September 2020. The study looked at 3 separate age groups and corroborates earlier observations of better outcomes and lower rates of mortality among patients under 55 years of age with AIS and COVID-19 and adds the observation of a higher incidence of large vessel occlusion in this cohort. In addition, using multivariable binary logistic regression models, the study finds that the risk of poor outcomes, including death, increases with every year of age. - Risk factors for long covid in previously hospitalised children using the ISARIC Global follow-up protocol: A prospective cohort study. 7/2/21. Osmanov IM. Eur Respir J.
This is a study of 518 COVID-19 infected children admitted to a pediatric hospital in Moscow and followed for 5-12 months — the largest follow-up pediatric study to date. Parents were interviewed using an internationally designed and accepted protocol. Average age was 10.4 years (<1-18 years range) and near equal distribution between sexes. Long COVID was found in 24.3% of children. Fatigue and sleep disturbance were the most common complaints followed by loss of smell. Symptoms declined over time. Risk factors for persistent symptoms were patients older than 6 years old and a history of allergic disease. Psycho-social issues were uncommon and no deaths were reported.
June 28, 2021
- Underlying Medical Conditions Associated With Severe COVID-19 Illness Among Children. 6/7/21. Kompaniyets L. JAMA Netw Open.
A data rich CDC review studying 43,465 children 18 years old and younger hospitalized with COVID-19 infection through January 2021. After a complete description on data retrieval and analysis, results revealed children with diabetes, obesity and those with cardiac anomalies were more commonly hospitalized than previously healthy children. Overall children with any chronic disease were hospitalized 3 times more frequently. Asthma was a risk for severe infection. Children younger than 2 years old and born prematurely were prone to hospitalization. Finally, Hispanic and Black children suffered severe infection more frequently than Whites.
June 14, 2021
- Hospitalization of Adolescents Aged 12-17 Years with Laboratory-Confirmed COVID-19 – COVID-NET, 14 States, March 1, 2020-April 24, 2021. 6/10/21. Havers FP. MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep.
In the US, “Most COVID-19-associated hospitalizations occur in adults, but severe disease occurs in all age groups, including adolescents aged 12–17 years. COVID-19 adolescent hospitalization rates from COVID-NET peaked at 2.1 per 100,000 in early January 2021, declined to 0.6 in mid-March, and rose to 1.3 in April. Among hospitalized adolescents, nearly one third required intensive care unit admission, and 5% required invasive mechanical ventilation; no associated deaths occurred. Recent increased hospitalization rates in spring 2021 and potential for severe disease reinforce the importance of continued COVID-19 prevention measures, including vaccination and correct and consistent mask wearing among persons not fully vaccinated or when required.” –MMWR Summary - Rehabilitation post-COVID-19: cross-sectional observations using the Stanford Hall remote assessment tool. 5/27/21. O’Sullivan O. BMJ Mil Health.
These authors report the development and use (April to Nov 2020) of a video teleconferencing tool to evaluate rehabilitation needs for patients with ongoing post-COVID-19 symptoms and included patients with COVID syndromes who never had a confirmatory COVID-19 viral test. They found that the initial severity of symptoms did not predict the level of ongoing disability. They conclude that post-COVID-19 symptoms should be considered in all patients, regardless of the acute illness severity and whether they have had laboratory confirmation. They find that a significant proportion of patients require assessment and management, with symptoms such as shortness of breath, fatigue, and mood disorders impacting activities of daily living and return to work.
May 24, 2021
- Coronavirus Disease 2019-Associated PICU Admissions: A Report From the Society of Critical Care Medicine Discovery Network Viral Infection and Respiratory Illness Universal Study Registry. 5/9/21. Tripathi S. Pediatr Crit Care Med.
A country-wide study from the Society of Critical Care Medicine reporting on COVID-19 infected children admitted to intensive care over an 11-month period with and without associated MIS-C. Age, gender and race were similar between groups. The low numbers enrolled provide evidence that the disease incidence of either variety is low in children. MIS-C resulted in longer-lasting severe illness, but the overall mortality of 3.8% was low and similar between groups.
May 7, 2021
- Association of Maternal SARS-CoV-2 Infection in Pregnancy With Neonatal Outcomes. 4/29/21. Norman M. JAMA.
To determine the outcome in newborn infants of mothers testing positive for SARS-CoV-2 in pregnancy, this prospective cohort study looked at the outcomes of 88,159 infants born in Sweden during the first 10 months of the pandemic. After matching infants by maternal characteristics, the 2,323 infants of SARS-CoV-2-positive mothers were found to have more respiratory problems (2.8% vs 2.0%, OR 1.42), mostly explained by a more preterm birth. Mortality, breastfeeding rates at discharge, length of stay in neonatal care, hypoxic-ischemic encephalopathy, meconium aspiration, pneumonia, sepsis, and hypoglycemia did not differ significantly between the two groups. Twenty-one (0.9%) of the 2,323 infants of SARS-CoV-2-positive mothers had positive PCR tests, most with no morbidity and none with pneumonia. View a pertinent accompanying editorial here.
April 2, 2021
- ABCDEF Bundle and Supportive ICU Practices for Patients With Coronavirus Disease 2019 Infection: An International Point Prevalence Study. 3/31/21. Liu K. Crit Care Explor.
This is an international, 2-day (June 3 and July 1) survey on the compliance of nutrition, sleep hours and ABCDEF Bundles for 262 COVID-19 patients in 212 ICUs. The authors reported that 47.3% of patients were on mechanical ventilation and 4.6% were on ECMO. Each element of the ABCDEF Bundle was implemented at alarmingly low percentages (16% to 52% compliance), while nutritionally recommended protein was provided to only 50% of ICU patients. Because these supportive measures are known to prevent ICU patients from developing the physical, cognitive and mental disabilities of post-intensive care syndrome, authors strongly suggest that efforts be made to adhere to all evidence-based gold standards of the ABCDEF Bundles including protein supplements and avoiding sleep deprivation in ICU patients. - Post-covid syndrome in individuals admitted to hospital with covid-19: retrospective cohort study. 4/1/21. Ayoubkhani D. BMJ.
This is a study of post-COVID syndrome in 47,000+ hospitalized COVID-19 patients individually matched to United Kingdom NHS controls. Patients were discharged by 8/31/2020 and followed for a mean of 140 days, with the study ending on 9/30/2020. The readmission rate was 29% (3.5 times that of controls), and mortality was 12% (7.7 times that of controls). New respiratory disease was 27% more frequent than controls. The risk of diabetes increased 1.5 times, and that of a major cardiovascular event by three times. Younger and ethnic minority patients had greater relative risk than those over age 70. There is an accompanying editorial expressing a need for adjustment of the NHS patient follow-up practices.
March 26, 2021
- Predictors of clinical deterioration in patients with suspected COVID-19 managed in a ‘virtual hospital’ setting: a cohort study. 3/24/21. Francis NA. BMJ Open.
The authors actively followed up on 900 UK COVID-19 patients to determine rates of overnight hospitalization or death over a median period of 21 days from outpatient diagnosis (n=455) or hospital discharge (n=445). 76 patients (8.4%) experienced clinical deterioration. 15 previously hospitalized patients and 3 never-hospitalized patients died, and 58 others required COVID-related hospitalization. Of 35 clinical and laboratory features examined, including O2 saturation, the only predictors of clinical deterioration were increased age (OR 1.04 per year of age), severe renal insufficiency (OR 9.1 for eGFR <30), a history of cancer (OR 2.9), or mental health problems (OR 1.76).
March 15, 2021
- Attributes and predictors of long COVID. 3/11/21. Sudre CH. Nat Med.
This letter addresses cases of so-called “long COVID” that are rising. These authors examine prevalence and early predictive risk factors. Starting when they were pre-symptomatic, individuals prospectively self-reported symptoms between 3/2020-9/2020 using the COVID Symptom Study app. In 558/4,182 (13.3%) incident cases, symptoms lasted ≥4 weeks; 189 (4.5%) for ≥8 weeks and 95 (2.3%) for ≥12 weeks. Symptoms of fatigue, headache, dyspnea and anosmia increased with age, BMI and female sex. Experiencing >5 symptoms in week 1 predicted long COVID (odds ratio = 3.53 (2.76–4.50)). A simple model identifies at-risk individuals with early symptom patterns for trials of prevention or treatment and plan education and rehabilitation. - Body Mass Index and Risk for COVID-19-Related Hospitalization, Intensive Care Unit Admission, Invasive Mechanical Ventilation, and Death – United States, March-December 2020. 3/11/2021. Kompaniyets L. MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep.
From March-December 2020, the authors evaluated the association between body mass index (BMI) and risk for severe COVID-19 outcomes in 148,494 adults who were diagnosed with COVID-19 during an emergency department or inpatient visit at 238 US hospitals. Of those patients, 28.3% were overweight and 50.8% were obese. Authors conclude that being overweight and obesity are risk factors for hospitalization, ICU admission, and death among patients aged ≥65 years. There was a downslope for death in patients with BMIs of 23.7 to 25.9; an upswing was similar for patients with a median age of 55 years at the dynamic point. The authors discuss the clinical and public health implications of higher BMI, the need for COVID-19 illness management, vaccine prioritization and policies to increase access to nutrition and physical activities to help address the increases in obesity severity.
March 12, 2021
- Association between ABO blood types and coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), genetic associations, and underlying molecular mechanisms: a literature review of 23 studies. 3/9/21. Zhang Y. Ann Hematol.
International reports generally agree that blood type O is a protective factor. Most, but not all, report that the blood type conferring greatest risk for infection is A. One of the largest retrospective cohort studies indicated risk ratios for infection of 0.87, 1.09, 1.06, and 1.15 for O, A, B, and AB individuals, respectively. Although some report no correlation between blood type and COVID-19 severity or mortality, most studies found that types A and AB had higher risk of severe illness or death, while type O was protective against severe outcomes or death. Potential molecular mechanisms are discussed. - Risk of mortality in patients infected with SARS-CoV-2 variant of concern 202012/1: matched cohort study. 3/10/21. Challen R. BMJ.
The authors gauged the mortality and future healthcare needs resulting from the new COVID-19 infection variant, B.1.1.7 (VOC-202012/1, from southeast UK in late 2020). The absence of the S gene was found to be a proxy for the B.1.1.7 variant. Patients with this variant were matched for age, sex, ethnicity, and region, with patients with the prior common variants to produce 54,906 pairs. The mortality hazard ratio associated with infection with VOC-202012/1 compared with infection with previously circulating variants was 1.64 in patients who tested positive for COVID-19 in the community. In this comparatively low-risk group, this represents an increase in deaths from 2.5 to 4.1 per 1,000 detected cases. - Timing of surgery following SARS-CoV-2 infection: an international prospective cohort study. 3/10/21. COVIDSurg Collaborative. Anaesthesia.
This prospective cohort study included 140,000 patients undergoing surgery in 1647 hospitals in 116 countries during October 2020. Thirty-one hundred twenty-seven patients with SARS-CoV-2 diagnosed, 0-2, 3-4, 5-6, and >7 weeks prior to surgery were compared with those without SARS-CoV-2. Mortality was increased in all SARS-CoV-2 groups except the >7-week group, as were pulmonary complications. Patients with symptoms lasting >7 weeks also had increased mortality. Mortality in all patients from 0-6 weeks was increased from 1.5% up to 4%. Even asymptomatic patients in the 0-6 week group had increased mortality. Deferring elective surgery for seven weeks, and even longer in the presence of ongoing symptoms is recommended. The report explains statistical methods and includes many graphs.
March 10, 2021
- Neurological outcome and quality of life three months after COVID-19: a prospective observational cohort study. 3/8/21. Rass V. Eur J Neurol.
This prospective, multicenter, observational study (n=135) includes patients from 3 categories of disease: severe (n=32 in ICU), moderate (n=72 in COVID-19 ward) and mild (n=31 outpatient). The authors conducted a detailed and systemic evaluation for neurological, psychological, and functional outcomes with a battery of tests at 3 months post COVID-19 infection. The article notes an alarming frequency of central and peripheral nervous systems and functional long-term issues. New onset of neurological disease was found in 20 patients while 82 patients showed neurological signs and symptoms on follow-up. There were disturbing numbers of quality of life, cognitive and functional outcome as well. The majority of those numbers came from ICU patients.
March 3, 2021
- Development of Severe COVID-19 Adaptive Risk Predictor (SCARP), a Calculator to Predict Severe Disease or Death in Hospitalized Patients With COVID-19. 3/1/21. Wongvibulsin S. Ann Intern Med.
This article presents a simple web-based calculator for the risk of developing severe disease (requiring high-flow nasal oxygen, non-invasive or mechanical ventilation) or of death in the following day or in the following week. The input values include only the worst O2 saturation, and highest O2 flow rate in the last 6 hours and in the last 24 hours, plus, for milder cases, the absolute neutrophil and lymphocyte count. Development was facilitated by a machine learning tool used to analyze 105 parameters from 3294 patients hospitalized from May to December in Baltimore area hospitals. The final calculator requiring only the above few measures showed an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.89 for one-day predictions and 0.83-0.87 for one-week predictions.
February 26, 2021
- Progesterone in Addition to Standard of Care Versus Standard of Care Alone in the Treatment of Men Hospitalized with Moderate to Severe COVID-19: A Randomized, Controlled Pilot Trial. 2/23/21. Ghandehari S. Chest.
This is a small, early pilot study based on the observation that men are faring worse than women when contracting severe COVID-19. It also discusses the theory that progesterone may modulate the immune response to the SARS-CoV-2 virus, decrease severity of illness and shorten the need for supplemental oxygen. A group of 42 men with respiratory symptoms of COVID-19 were randomized 1:1 to receive a 5-day course of progesterone or standard care. Over a 7-day observation period, the progesterone group improved significantly by 1.5 points on a 7-point clinical status scale. Other results of 2.5 fewer days in the hospital and 3 fewer days on supplemental oxygen did not reach significance. There were no side effects, specifically no increase in thromboembolic events.
February 8, 2021
- Assessment of Maternal and Neonatal Cord Blood SARS-CoV-2 Antibodies and Placental Transfer Ratios. 1/29/21. Flannery DD. JAMA Pediatr.
This data rich article is from a single institution describing a study in which 6% of 1714 women became infected with COVID-19 during pregnancy. This multi-ethnic/race study revealed that of the 83 women infected, 72 (87%) passed igG antibodies to the fetus offering neonatal protection from infection.
SAB Comment: Maternal infections during pregnancy (HIV) can alter IgG transfer to the fetus. Reference: Immunohorizons. 2018 Jan 1; 2(1): 14–25.
February 1, 2021
- Core Outcome Measures for Trials in People With Coronavirus Disease 2019: Respiratory Failure, Multiorgan Failure, Shortness of Breath, and Recovery. 1/5/21. Tong A. Crit Care Med.
This is a multinational effort of 130 panel participants to establish standardized core outcome measures for research trials involving COVID-19 patients. Definitions and scoring criteria were established for respiratory failure, multiple organ failure, shortness of breath and recovery. If adopted in all trials, these relevant, meaningful, and feasible to implement sets of core outcome measures can strengthen the evidence basis for decision-making and can reduce wasted research efforts. - Pediatric Eye Injuries by Hydroalcoholic Gel in the Context of the Coronavirus Disease 2019 Pandemic. 1/21/21. Martin GC. JAMA Ophthalmol.
This is a brief report describing a 7-fold increase in pediatric eye injuries during the COVID-19 pandemic resulting from increased prevalence and use of alcohol-based hand sanitizer. The authors urge for the safe use of hand sanitizers and to warn parents and caregivers of the danger presented to children.
January 27, 2021
- Development and validation of the ISARIC 4C Deterioration model for adults hospitalised with COVID-19: a prospective cohort study. 1/11/21. Gupta R. Lancet Resp Med.
ISARIC4C is a global initiative with the purpose of preventing illness and death from infectious disease outbreaks. This article presents information on development and validation of a multivariable logistic regression model for in-hospital clinical deterioration (defined as any requirement of ventilatory support or critical care, or death) among consecutively hospitalized adults with suspected or confirmed COVID-19 prospectively recruited to ISARIC4C study across 260 hospitals in England, Scotland, and Wales. The authors contend that the 4C Deterioration model, designed to be used on admission, has strong potential for clinical utility and generalizability to predict clinical deterioration and inform decision-making among adults hospitalized with COVID-19. The Mortality and Deterioration calculator can be accessed with the following link: isaric4c.net/risk/.
SAB Comment: While the SAB does not endorse management strategies or interventions, its members believe this manuscript and accompanying calculator to evaluate risk of disease progression or death MAY be useful in supplementing case management decisions. - Improving clinical management of COVID-19: the role of prediction models. 1/11/21. Wynants L. Lancet Resp Med.
This is an editorial indicating that the main clinical advantage of the ISARIC4C predictive model is that required patient specific data is available from daily routine care and may help inform stratification of patients on the basis of clinical severity. In combination, the 4C Deterioration and Mortality models could be utilized in creating an evidence-based clinical pathway for patients with COVID-19. Validated predictive models may improve clinical management and resource utilization.
January 25, 2021
- Neutralizing antibody titres in SARS-CoV-2 infections. 1/4/21. Lau E. Nature Communications.
SARS-CoV-2 infection elicits effective neutralizing antibody titers in most individuals. Using plaque reduction neutralization (PRNT) assays, a “gold-standard,” kinetics of virus neutralizing antibody responses were examined from a cohort of 195 infections collected days 0 to 209 after symptom onset. Of 115 sera collected ≥61 days after onset of illness tested, 99.1% remained seropositive for both 90% (PRNT90) and 50% (PRNT50) neutralization endpoints. Investigators estimated it takes at least 372, 416 and 133 days for PRNT50 titers to drop to the detection limit for severe, mild, and asymptomatic patients, respectively. Results were uninfluenced by age or corticosteroid use.
January 6, 2021
- Variation in US Hospital Mortality Rates for Patients Admitted With COVID-19 During the First 6 Months of the Pandemic. 12/22/20. Asch DA. JAMA Intern Med.
This cohort study from a US-managed health company evaluated outcomes for 38,517 adults with COVID-19 admitted to 955 US hospitals during two time periods (January to April and May to June). The primary outcome was the hospitals’ risk-standardized event rate (RSER) of 30-day in-hospital mortality or referral to hospice, adjusted for patient-level characteristics. RSERs declined from 16.6% to 9.3%. Individual hospitals did better when the prevalence of COVID-19 in their surrounding communities was lower. The article speculates on possible causes for this improvement, including fewer overwhelmed hospitals, improved knowledge and medical care, and possibly smaller infective inoculums as mask-wearing became more common.
December 18, 2020
- Evidence of thrombotic microangiopathy in children with SARS-CoV-2 across the spectrum of clinical presentations. 12/8/20. Diorio C. Blood Adv.
This study, designed for researchers, examined 50 COVID-19 pediatric hospitalized patients for soluble C5b9 and thrombotic microangiopathy. C5b9 were found to correlate with the severity of disease and serum creatinine. Thrombotic microangiopathy was found in 17 of the 19 patients examined. These data help characterize COVID-19 disease in the pediatric population and help form the building blocks for further study. - On the whereabouts of SARS-CoV-2 in the human body: A systematic review. 10/30/20. Trypsteen W. PLOS Pathogens.
This article is a well-presented review of available literature through June 2020. The strength of this paper resides in its focus on viral presence and evidence of replication and infectivity in different organ systems. It acknowledges the fact that the presence of an ACE2 receptor does not control viral cell entry per se. It concludes that while we have a good understanding of the presence and replication mechanisms in the respiratory system, a full understanding of the underlying mechanism of organ toxicity – direct viral, micro-vascular or inflammatory – in other systems (heart, kidney, CNS) remains inconclusive.
December 11, 2020
- Characteristics of Adults aged 18-49 Years without Underlying Conditions Hospitalized with Laboratory-Confirmed COVID-19 in the United States, COVID-NET – March-August 2020. 12/3/20. Owusu D. Clin Infect Dis.
This article describes a Center for Disease Control-funded, cross-country study of non-pregnant adults younger than 50 years old providing the causes of hospital admissions due to COVID-19. While fever was a common presenting symptom, the illness primarily affected the pulmonary system. 22% were admitted to ICU although death occurred in <1%. 74% of patients were male and authors discuss the possibility of genetics linked to ACE2 receptor as a cause of infection severity.
Of note, 42% of patients were Hispanic/Latino; treatment was not controlled; obesity and the use of steroids were not reported; 20% of patients were healthy prior to infection; 12% received remdesivir. - Pulmonary embolism in COVID-19 patients: Prevalence, predictors and clinical outcome. 12/3/20. Scudiero F. Thromb Res.
This retrospective database study from 7 Italian hospitals looked over the echocardiogram results of 224 patients with COVID-19 of whom 14% had PE confirmed by CTA. The purpose was to identify which echocardiographic findings best predict pulmonary embolism. PE patients were hospitalized a longer time after symptom onset, showed higher D-dimer level and a higher prevalence of myocardial injury. At multivariable analysis, tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion (TAPSE) and systolic pulmonary arterial pressure were the only parameters independently associated with PE. Mortality rates (50% vs 27%; p = 0.010) and cardiogenic shock (37% vs 14%; p = 0.001) were significantly higher in PE patients. - The ADAMTS13-von Willebrand factor axis in COVID-19 patients. 11/23/20. Mancini I. J Thromb Haemost.
This study examines the VWF antigen to ADAMTS13 activity ratio in 50 COVID-19 hospitalized patients and demonstrates that this ratio was strongly associated with COVID-19 severity. Three groups of patients were studied, namely those receiving nasal oxygen, CPAP treatment, or intubation with ventilatory support. The authors suggest that these data represent potential new markers of disease severity and further support the concept of micro thrombogenesis in patients with severe COVID-19.
SAB Comment: This is new scientific information to help understand pathophysiology of micro thrombosis but routine ADAMTS13 testing isn’t recommended.
December 7, 2020
- Loneliness, Mental Health, and Substance Use among US Young Adults during COVID-19. 10/28/20. Horigian VE. J Psychoactive Drugs.
Frequently discussed in mass media, this paper presents the psychologic issues associated with the COVID-19 pandemic. In addition, intensivists and anesthesiologists should be aware of possible alcohol and drug use intended by the patient to relieve depression associated with this illness and its treatment. - Olfactory transmucosal SARS-CoV-2 invasion as a port of central nervous system entry in individuals with COVID-19. 11/30/20. Meinhardt J. Nature Neurosci.
Viral penetrance of the CNS is likely through diverse routes. These investigators demonstrate in 33 autopsies morphological changes associated with SARS-CoV-2 neurotropism, such as thromboembolic ischemic infarction of the CNS and the presence of SARS-CoV-2 RNA and protein in anatomically distinct regions of the nasopharynx and brain. By exploiting the proximity of olfactory mucosal, endothelial and nervous tissue, including olfactory and sensory nerve endings, virus can cross into the olfactory CNS. Subsequently, SARS-CoV-2 appears to penetrate other areas of the CNS, including the primary respiratory and cardiovascular control centers in the medulla oblongata. - Tissue-specific Immunopathology in Fatal COVID-19. 11/20/20. Dorward DA. Am J Respir Crit Care Med.
In eleven post-mortems these authors investigated whether inflammation is primarily a direct reaction to SARS-CoV-2 or an independent organ-specific immunopathologic reaction. Using multiplex PCR and in situ viral spike protein detection, SARS-CoV-2 organotropism was mapped. Multiple virus-independent aberrant immune responses mostly in lungs and reticuloendothelial system were found. These viral-independent immunopathologic features included monocyte/myeloid-rich pulmonary artery vasculitis, pulmonary parenchymal expansion of monocytes/macrophage-lineages and in the reticuloendothelial system, iron-laden macrophages and plasma cell responses. They concluded that a disconnect between viral presence and inflammation implicates immunopathology as a primary mechanism of organ injury in severe COVID-19.
December 4, 2020
- Assessment of 135,794 Pediatric Patients Tested for Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 Across the United States. 11/23/20. Bailey LC. JAMA Pediatr.
This is an epidemiologic, retrospective study of 135,794 patients younger than 25 years old tested for SARS-CoV-2 during the first 9 months of 2020 — 3% of the nation’s 2.5 million children — in a country-wide study of a consortium of children’s hospitals admissions. An overall low positive COVID-19 rate of 4% was found. Black, Hispanic and Asian youth were underrepresented yet produced higher positive results. Of the 5374 children testing positive, only 359 were hospitalized and 8 died. Six of the deaths had complex preexisting comorbidities.
Preexisting respiratory and cardiac morbidity was not a significant issue in those hospitalized. Endocrine, metabolic and malignancy-associated illnesses were linked to hospitalizations from COVID-19. Obesity was not defined. - Dosing of thromboprophylaxis and mortality in critically ill COVID-19 patients. 11/23/20. Jonmarker S. Crit Care.
This is a retrospective analysis for 2 ICUs in Stockholm. In March, patients received low-dose LMWH and in April, all got medium- or high-doses. The baseline characteristics for these 152 COVID-19 patients were similar. For patients who received high-dose prophylaxis, 28-day mortality was lower (13.5%) compared to those who received medium dose (25.0%) or low-dose (38.8%), p = 0.02. Hazard ratio was 0.33 among those who received high-dose prophylaxis. There were fewer thromboembolic events in the high- (2.7%) vs medium- (18.8%) and low-dose thromboprophylaxis (17.9%) groups, p = 0.04. Bleeding rates were similar.
December 2, 2020
- Comprehensive health assessment three months after recovery from acute COVID-19. 11/21/20. van den Borst B. Clin Infect Dis.
This is a well-performed and conducted study on 124 mild (not admitted), moderate and severe (ICU survivors) COVID-19-positive patients at 3-month follow-up. The comprehensive (anthropometric, psycho-social, exercise tolerance, frailty, social coping, PTSD, etc.) study indicates that significant abnormalities persisted in majority of patients irrespective of initial illness severity. Improvement in lung radiography was present in severe cases, but pulmonary function remained mildly depressed including decreasing pulse oximetry on 6-minute walk test. The conclusion is that COVID-19, as previously noted, presents long-term health care challenges including physical, psychological, neurologic and quality of life which could lead to significant future personal and societal health care burden.
November 30, 2020
- Delirium in Older Patients With COVID-19 Presenting to the Emergency Department. 11/19/20. Kennedy M. JAMA Netw Open.
Delirium at presentation occurred in 28% of patients older than 65 years presenting to 7 US Emergency Departments. In this retrospective chart review, a total of 817 patients (mean age 78) with COVID-19 were analyzed and 16% presented with delirium as a primary symptom. Associated conditions and multivariant risk factors were identified, and impaired consciousness was listed as the predominant symptom occurring in 54% of patients with a delirium diagnosis. Delirium as a leading symptom is frequently underreported but associated with adverse outcomes and hence an important marker for poor patient outcomes (ICU stay, intubation and hospital death).
November 23, 2020
- Immune suppression in the early stage of COVID-19 disease. 11/18/20. Tian W. Nat Commun.
Using elegant quantitative advanced mass spectrometry proteomics and integrated data analysis with hierarchical clustering and functional correlational network strategies, these authors analyzed urine samples from COVID-19 (n=14), non-COVID-19 pneumonia cases (n=13) and healthy donors (n=10). A total of 5991 proteins were identified; 1986 proteins were significantly changed in the COVID-19 vs the other groups. More than 10 pathways significantly changed and 10x were more down-regulated than up-regulated. Showing heatmaps and protein interaction diagrams, the molecular signatures suggested a two-stage pathogenesis: immunosuppression and tight junction/cell-cell adhesion impairments early on and an activated immune response in late stages of severe COVID-19 pneumonia. - Safety and efficacy of inhaled nebulised interferon beta-1a (SNG001) for treatment of SARS-CoV-2 infection: a randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled, phase 2 trial. 11/15/20. Monk PD. Lancet Respir Med.
A small company-sponsored pilot study comparing the clinical course of 48 patients treated for 14 days with a daily dose of nebulized interferon beta-1a to the clinical course of 50 placebo-treated patients as assessed by 9-point WHO Ordinal Scale for Clinical Improvement [OSCI]. Patients receiving the medication had greater odds of improvement on the OSCI scale (odds ratio 2.32) and a higher percentage of recovered patients (58% vs 35%) at the end of the observation period (day 28). The medication was well tolerated compared with placebo. Larger studies are planned. These results contrast with the absence of effect noted in a prior trial of interferon beta-1a given subcutaneously.
November 18, 2020
- Acute Cardiovascular Manifestations in 286 Children with Multisystem Inflammatory Syndrome Associated with COVID-19 Infection in Europe. 11/9/20. Valverde I. Circulation.
A European multi-institutional study of 287 children admitted with COVID-19 demonstrated a high incidence of cardiac involvement. Most children admitted suffered GI symptoms, rash and conjunctival changes in addition to cardiac involvement. Forty percent presented with cardiac shock. Markers of cardiac involvement were present on admission including D-dimers. Treatment was not controlled. 286 were eventually discharged. Twenty-five percent had a diagnosis of coronary artery dilation by echocardiography, requiring follow-up. - Comparison of Clinical Features and Outcomes in Critically Ill Patients Hospitalized with COVID-19 versus Influenza. 11/13/20. Cobb NL. Ann Am Thorac Soc.
This is a retrospective cohort analysis “case matching” 74 seasonal influenza with 65 COVID-19 patients from 01/01/19 to 04/15/20. Diagnoses were confirmed by RT-PCR and ICU courses studied. COVID-19 patients had different demographics, longer prodrome, increased numbers of presenting symptoms and co-morbidities, higher incidence of ARDS, longer duration of mechanical ventilation and higher mortality. Includes an interesting discussion with tables. - Review of Cardiac Involvement in Multisystem Inflammatory Syndrome in Children. 11/9/20. Alsaied T. Circulation.
Though the prevalence of multisystem inflammatory syndrome in children is unknown, there have been more than 300 cases now reported in the literature. It is more common in the US in Black and Hispanic children; typically occurs a few weeks after acute infection and the putative etiology is a dysregulated inflammatory response to SARS-CoV-2 infection. Persistent fever and gastrointestinal symptoms are the most common symptoms. Cardiac manifestations are common and include ventricular dysfunction, coronary artery dilation and aneurysms, arrhythmia and conduction abnormalities, vasodilatory or cardiogenic shock requiring fluid resuscitation, inotropic support, and in the most severe cases mechanical ventilation and extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO). Most patients recover within days to a couple of weeks and mortality is rare. Long-term cardiovascular complications are not yet known. - Ventilation management and clinical outcomes in invasively ventilated patients with COVID-19 (PRoVENT-COVID): a national, multicentre, observational cohort study. 11/10/2020. Botta M. Lancet Respir Med.
This multicenter, retrospective, epidemiological study from the Netherlands examines 553 COVID-19 positive VE patients from 18 ICUs regarding the ventilatory variables (modes, TV, PEEP, *P, CTL) and its outcomes in 28 days in a comparative way.- The variations of ventilatory parameters were not different between ICUs,
- COVID-19 ARDS allows for better use of lung-protective ventilation than does ARDS due to other causes,
- All patients had low compliance,
- No conclusion for Best PEEP,
- Majority prefer to treat the refractory hypoxia by prone positioning,
- An enormous burden on ICUs/hospital systems,
- High tidal volume and low respiratory system compliance on the first day of ventilation were associated with a higher risk of 28-day mortality.
The study supports low TV, Ppl< 30, low driving pressure, prone position in ICU.
November 16, 2020
- Association between red blood cell distribution width and mortality of COVID-19 patients. 11/7/2020. Lorente L. Anaesth Crit Care Pain Med.
Red blood cell distribution width (RDW), a parameter of RBC form and size variability, is associated with increased mortality in a number of disease states. This prospective observational study from 8 Canary Islands ICUs analyzed data from 118 survivors and 25 deaths with COVID-19. RDW performed comparably to APACHE II and SOFA scores in predicting mortality and is easier to measure. Levels were higher on admission to ICU and when >13% predicted mortality. RBC transfusion, hemoglobin disorders, and myelodysplastic syndromes increase RDW values. - Frequency of venous thromboembolism in 6513 patients with COVID-19: a retrospective study. 11/2/20. Hill JB. Blood Adv.
This single health-system venous thromboembolism (VTE) study described the use of standard heparin or LMWH prophylaxis in most of the 6513 COVID-19 patients. Dose was increased if BMI >40 and decreased if creatinine clearance < 30. Ninety-day VTE rate was 2.2% (n=86) when receiving prophylaxis vs. 11% without. Eighty-four of 86 VTE patients had received prophylaxis. PADUA Score was high in 89%. Including arterial thrombosis in 7 patients, the overall incidence of VTE was 3.1% and 7.2% if mechanically ventilated. Fifty percent inpatient VTEs met the definition of prophylaxis failure. Only three of 2075 hospitalized patients (0.14%) without VTE surviving to discharge had VTE after discharge. The authors conclude these data support a traditional approach to VTE prophylaxis both during and following hospitalization.
SAB Comment: We note a surprisingly low rate of VTE in this large, retrospective study, equally divided between DVT and PE. It did not include thrombosis in the microcirculation or ECMO circuit. Most were failures or breakthroughs on VTE prophylaxis. One may question the use of so few risk factors for modification of standard dosing and the conclusion that the data support a traditional approach.
November 11, 2020
- Birth and Infant Outcomes Following Laboratory-Confirmed SARS-CoV-2 Infection in Pregnancy – SET-NET, 16 Jurisdictions, March 29-October 14, 2020. 11/5/20. Woodworth KR. MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep.
The authors of this article about pregnant women with SARS-CoV-2 state, “Among 3,912 infants with known gestational age born to SARS-CoV-2 infected women, 12.9% were preterm (<37 weeks), higher than a national estimate of 10.2%. Among 610 (21.3%) infants with testing results, 2.6% had positive SARS-CoV-2 results, primarily those born to women with infection at delivery.” Half of positive infants were preterm. Median maternal age was 28.9 years. Forty-six percent were Hispanic/Latina. One or more underlying medical condition was reported for 45.1%. Pre-pregnancy obesity was the most common (35.1%). Eight-four point four percent had infection identified in the third trimester. None had neonatal IgM, placental tissue or amniotic fluid testing; thus, routes of transmission could not be assessed. - Cytokine elevation in severe and critical COVID-19: a rapid systematic review, meta-analysis, and comparison with other inflammatory syndromes. 10/16/20. Leisman. Lancet.
The hypothesis that a “cytokine storm” occurring later in severe COVID-19 disease may be causative for the excess inflammatory response noted in terminal disease has provoked studies of anti-cytokine therapies, specifically interleukin-6 antagonists. This systematic review and meta analysis of studies published between November 1, 2019 and April 14, 2020, including interleukin-6 levels in the results, compared cytokine levels in four disease categories associated with elevated levels: sepsis (5,320); cytokine release syndrome (72); ARDS unrelated to COVID-19 (2,767); and COVID-19 (1,245). While COVID-19 levels were raised, the mean interleukin-6 levels in all three other conditions were statistically higher than noted in COVID (e.g. 27 times higher in sepsis and 12 times higher in non-COVID ARDS while over 1,000 times in CRS). The authors question the impact of a “cytokine storm” in COVID-19 organ dysfunction. Other arguments offered a detailed, well-presented discussion. - Cytokine Levels in Critically Ill Patients With COVID-19 and Other Conditions. 9/3/20. Kox. JAMA.
This retrospective, single-center study admitted 204 patients between 2010 and 2020 with sampling recorded plasma concentrations of proinflammatory cytokines TNF, IL-6 and IL-8 and determined (2020) in consecutively ventilated COVID-19 patients (49) with ARDS. Previously recorded levels in patients with bacterial septic shock with ARDS (51), septic shock without ARDS (15), out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (30), and multiple traumas (62) were compared with those from the COVID-19 population. COVID-19 patients had higher BMI, co-morbidities and cardiac dysfunction; however, cytokine levels were lower than in other diseases mentioned questioning the importance of a “cytokine storm” as a primary therapeutic target in COVID-19 disease.
November 9, 2020
- Decision-making around admission to intensive care in the UK pre-COVID-19: a multicentre ethnographic study. 11/3/2020. Griffiths F. Anaesthesia.
As triage of ICU beds during COVID-19 becomes a topic of concern, this multicenter ethnographic study conducted between June 2015 and May 2016 in six UK NHS hospitals attempts to explore the decision-making process applied to ICU admissions through observations, interviews and retrospective analysis outside the pandemic. Fifty-five decision events were observed and analyzed and 44 physicians, varying in training and specialty, were interviewed. Results are reported in multiple vignettes and the heuristic nature of the decision-making process is reviewed. Suggestions for improving transparency, consistency and equity of decision‐making around ICU admission are offered.
October 30, 2020
- COVID-19 Gastrointestinal Manifestations Are Independent Predictors of PICU Admission in Hospitalized Pediatric Patients. 10/26/20. Gonzalez Jimenez D. Pediatr Infect Dis J.
This multicenter Spanish brief report describes 91 patients with an average age of 10. GI symptoms were the initial cause for reporting ill in 10% of children. 40% were found to have elevated LFTs. Children overall were less ill than adults; however, all 11 severely ill children suffered GI symptoms.
SAB comment: Although pediatric cases are uncommon compared to adults with multi-system illness, GI symptoms might be overlooked in children and are significant in the progress of the disease. - Improving Survival of Critical Care Patients With Coronavirus Disease 2019 in England: A National Cohort Study, March to June 2020. 10/26/20. Dennis JM. Crit Care Med.
This retrospective, observational study of COVID-19 inpatients reviewed mortality by week of admission. High dependency unit (n = 15,367) survival went from 71.6% in March/April to 92.7% in May/June while ICU (n = 5,715) went from 58% to 80.4% in the same time period. The authors attributed this to the introduction of effective treatments as part of the RECOVERY trial, improved physician understanding of the disease process, and a falling critical care burden rather than to any changes in age, sex, ethnicity or major comorbidity burden in the patient population.
October 28, 2020
- Aspergillosis Complicating Severe Coronavirus Disease. 10/21/20. Marr KA. Emerg Infect Dis.
Mounting evidence suggests that severe respiratory virus infections, especially influenza and coronavirus 2 infections, can be complicated by Aspergillus airway overgrowth with pulmonary infection characterized by mixed airway inflammation and bronchial invasion. This article reviews these issues succinctly and adds data on 20 COVID-19 patients to the growing world literature. The authors note that the syndromes of pulmonary aspergillosis complicating severe viral infections are distinct from classic invasive aspergillosis. They state that combined with severe viral infection, aspergillosis in COVID-19 pneumonia comprises a constellation of airway-invasive and angio-invasive disease and see an urgent need for strategies to improve diagnosis, prevention, and therapy.
SAB comment: An article previously highlighted in the Newsletter clarifies some of the important issues specific to diagnosing and treating pulmonary aspergillosis in COVID-19 patients.
October 19, 2020
- A score combining early detection of cytokines accurately predicts COVID-19 severity and intensive care unit transfer. 10/2/2020. Nagant C. Int J Infect Dis.
These investigators prospectively examined (n=63) levels of twelve serum cytokines following admission (days 0-3) to seek combinations that could discriminate progression to severe (PaO2 <93% or PaO2/FiO2≤300 mmHg) vs non-severe disease and predict ICU transfer (ventilator/ICU monitoring). Combinatorial (multiplication of levels of IL-6, IL-10, IL-8) score had the highest sensitivity and specificity to predict severe disease (n=44) at a cutoff value of 2068 pg/mL vs non-severe disease (n=19). Levels of IL-6 x IL-10 (cut-off value of 178 pg/mL) predicted ICU transfer (n=35) vs non-critically ill (n=28). Use of this score could improve patient triage and therapeutic strategies within clinical trials. - Longitudinal Profile of Laboratory Parameters and Their Application in the Prediction for Fatal Outcome Among Patients Infected With SARS-CoV-2: A Retrospective Cohort Study. 10/13/2020. Zeng HL. Clin Infect Dis.
In this retrospective study of 642 patients with COVID-19, 55 laboratory values profiled along the entire disease course. Three distinct clinical stages were identified: a. acute stage 1-9 days after symptoms, slightly deviated indicators of liver damage, renal damage, and impaired immunity; b. the second stage, 10–15 days after disease onset, with corresponding ICU admission, and c. a third or convalescence stage with clinical symptoms beginning to resolve and laboratory measurements gradually reverting to normal, compared to thrombocytopenia and decreases in monocytes, exclusively observed in fatal cases; LDH, PCT, lymphocyte count, and IL-6 t were highly important prognostic markers.
October 14, 2020
- In-hospital cardiac arrest in critically ill patients with covid-19: multicenter cohort study. 9/30/20. Hayek S. BMJ.
This article discusses a multicenter (68 sites) US study which followed 5019 admitted COVID-19 patients, 701 (14%) of whom had in-hospital cardiac arrest. The influence of patient demographics, co-morbidities and critical care facilities on outcome are also described. Patients younger than 45 years were more likely to receive CPR with 21.2% (11/52) surviving to hospital discharge with normal or mild neurocognitive deficit compared to 2.9% in patients 80 years or older. The article confirms generally poor results of CPR in COVID-19 but provides interesting discrimination between age, ICU size and co-morbidities. It raises key questions regarding triage and informed assent discussions.
October 12, 2020
- Clinical criteria for COVID-19-associated hyperinflammatory syndrome: a cohort study. 9/29/20. Webb BJ. Lancet Rheumatol.
Defining the scourge of COVID-19 hyperinflammatory syndrome. 9/29/20. Cron RQ. Lancet Rheumatol.
These authors are first to propose specific criteria for COVID-19-associated hyperinflammatory (cytokine storm) syndrome (cHIS). They validated the cHIS scale using retrospective data from 299 COVID-19 inpatients from their 22-hospital system. The six-criterion additive scale: fever, macrophage activation (hyperferritinemia), hematological dysfunction (neutrophil to lymphocyte ≥10:1 ratio), hepatic injury (lactate dehydrogenase or aspartate aminotransferase), coagulopathy (D-dimer), and cytokinemia (C-reactive protein, interleukin-6, or triglycerides). Meeting ≥2 criteria was associated with increased mortality and mechanical ventilation risk. External validation is needed. The cHIS scale may better target populations for trials and immunomodulation and diminish heterogeneity of treatment effect analyses of trials with undifferentiated patients.
October 7, 2020
- Clinical Outcomes of In-Hospital Cardiac Arrest in COVID-19. 9/28/20. Thapa S. JAMA Int Med.
This research letter reports single-center results of CPR in 60 COVID-19 patients out of 1309 admitted between March 15 and April 3 who developed cardiac arrest (4.6%). Non-shockable rhythms presented in 52 (96.3%) with no patients surviving to discharge. The discussion notes results of CPR with those previously reported for in-hospital cardiac arrest (25% with 86% presenting non-shockable) and provides potential consequences of COVID-19. The authors suggest the importance of further research and consideration of guidelines for CPR in COVID-19. - Outcomes of Cardiopulmonary Resuscitation in Patients With COVID-19—Limited Data but Further Reason for Action. 9/28/20. Modes M. JAMA Int Med.
Important discussion based on dismal post-CPR outcomes in accompanying research letter. While recognizing the difficulties of performing CPR in COVID-19 patients, the importance of developing a clearly defined care plan following a detailed, continuing discussion on outcome prognosis between the healthcare team and patient-family unit is emphasized. The concept of initiating an informed assent with the family in which the care team makes real-time decisions on DNAR (do not attempt resuscitation) is raised. Additionally, healthcare disparities and associated availability of advanced care directives highlight need for healthcare systems to adopt clearly defined protocols and emphasizes “goals of care” discussion between patients and families. Resource links provided.
October 5, 2020
- High Frequency of SARS-CoV-2 RNAemia and Association With Severe Disease. 9/23/20. Hogan CA. Clin Infect Dis.
Paired nasopharyngeal and plasma samples from 85 COVID-19 patients, median age 55, revealed plasma RNAemia in 28/85 (32.9%), including 22/28 (78.6%) who required hospitalization, and older age (63 vs. 50 years; P = .04). In models adjusted for age, RNAemia was more frequent in individuals who developed severe disease including ICU admission (32.1% vs 14.0%; P = .04), invasive mechanical ventilation (21.4% vs. 3.5%; P = .02), and all 4 deaths. Plasma RNA persisted for a maximum of 10 days. Authors suggest potential utility as a prognostic indicator. - Reduced Monocytic Human Leukocyte Antigen-DR Expression Indicates Immunosuppression in Critically Ill COVID-19 Patients. 9/14/20. Spinetti T. Anesth Analg.
Major histocompatibility complex (MHC) Class II molecules present processed extracellular proteins and are only expressed on the surface of “professional” antigen presenting cells such as dendritic cell and macrophages/monocytes. As such, there are clear implications for SARS-CoV-2. This small monocentric prospective study examined CD14+ monocytic HLA-DR (mHLA-DR) expression in 9 ICU vs. 7 non-ICU hospitalized COVID-19 patients. The investigators found on flow cytometry significant downregulation of surface expression of this marker indicating immunosuppression. The decrease found on ICU admission persisted on days 3 and 5. The authors suggest that immune monitoring in the ICU could indicate who might benefit from immunological intervention (e.g. GM-CSF, IFNγ).
October 2, 2020
- Association of Race and Ethnicity With Comorbidities and Survival Among Patients With COVID-19 at an Urban Medical Center in New York. 9/25/2020. Kabarriti R. JAMA Netw Open.
Among 5902 patients with positive COVID-19 diagnosis treated at a single academic center in urban New York, non-Hispanic Black and Hispanic patients had a higher proportion of more than 2 medical comorbidities and were more likely to require inpatient hospitalization, but had outcomes including mortality that were at least as good as, and maybe even marginally superior to, their non-Hispanic White counterparts when controlling for age, sex, and comorbid conditions at presentation. - Association of Red Blood Cell Distribution Width With Mortality Risk in Hospitalized Adults With SARS-CoV-2 Infection. 9/23/20. Foy BH. JAMA Netw Open.
Review of 1641 COVID-19 patients from the Boston Partners Health System found that increased red blood cell distribution width (RDW) at admission was associated with increased in-hospital mortality by multivariate analysis (ROR of 2.7) and correlated with the presence and degree of increased RDW. This effect was increased with age and an increase in RDW over the hospitalization also correlated with mortality. This finding is not novel but is simple, easily accessible and useful. This test is part of the routine complete blood count with differential that is available worldwide. - Racial Disparities in Incidence and Outcomes Among Patients With COVID-19. 9/25/2020. Muñoz-Price LS. JAMA Netw Open.
This article investigates the goal-described patterns and outcomes of COVID-19 by race, controlling for age, sex, socioeconomic status, and comorbid conditions among 2595 urban patients. COVID-19 positivity was associated with Black race. Among patients with COVID-19, both race and poverty were associated with higher risk of hospitalization, but only poverty was associated with higher risk of intensive care unit admission. The findings also imply that adverse outcomes and greater population mortality associated with Blacks early in the course of the US pandemic were primarily attributable to greater incidence of COVID-19 among African American residents rather than worse survival once hospitalized. - Risk factors associated with adverse fetal outcomes in pregnancies affected by Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19): a secondary analysis of the WAPM study on COVID-19. 9/25/20. Di Mascio D. J Perinat Med.
This is a small sample article which labels COVID-19 infection in first trimester as associated with “adverse perinatal outcomes.” A high cesarean delivery rate of over 50% and a 4% neonate mortality are listed although no control statistics for comparison are provided.
September 30, 2020
- SARS-CoV-2-Associated Deaths Among Persons Aged <21 Years – United States, February 12-July 31, 2020. 9/18/20. Bixler D. MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep.
This CDC Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report describing deaths in <21 year old population. Most patients are Hispanic or Black, and 45% had 2 or more associated illnesses. Most of the deaths occurred in 18-20 year olds. Of curiosity, only 8% exhibited the inflammatory illness possibly due to the large number that died out-of-hospital or in the ER. Most significant is that although 391,814 cases were reported in the age group, only 121 deaths occurred, a fatality rate of 0.08%.
September 25, 2020
- Probative Value of the D-Dimer Assay for Diagnosis of Deep Venous Thrombosis in the Coronavirus Disease 2019 Syndrome. 9/15/20. Gibson CJ. Crit Care Med.
The authors tested the utility of the D-dimer assay for the diagnosis of deep vein thrombosis. Despite the excellent correlation between the D-dimer and the presence of DVT, the positive predictive value was 21.8%. DVT is only one aspect of the thrombotic problems in these patients. Many do not recommend leg duplex scanning using the sole criteria of D-dimer. One interesting aspect of this study was that all ICU patients received therapeutic anticoagulation. That may have been reflected in the low incidence of DVT discovered in these patients. Unfortunately, there are no data presented regarding the incidence of bleeding in these patients. - Stroke Risk, phenotypes, and death in COVID-19: Systematic review and newly reported cases. 9/15/20. Fridman S. Neurology.
This is a complex study of stroke characteristics in COVID-19 patients by an international team of neurologists who pooled results from 10 studies with their own case series for a total of 160 patients. Their goal is to estimate overall incidence of stroke (1.8%) and mortality (34.4%), determine risk factors, particularly in patients under age 50, and identify clinical phenotypes and associated mortality separating all strokes from ischemic etiology. Large vessel occlusion contributed to a high percentage of strokes in younger patients and occurred before the onset of COVID-19 symptoms in 49% of those cases, while pulmonary involvement correlated with strokes in older patients and poor outcomes.
September 23, 2020
- Guiding Principles for the Conduct of Observational Critical Care Research for Coronavirus Disease 2019 Pandemics and Beyond: The Society of Critical Care Medicine Discovery Viral Infection and Respiratory Illness Universal Study Registry. 9/15/20. Walkey AJ. Crit Care Med.
The article describes developed guiding principles for use of observational data. Topics covered include research workforce and infrastructure, rapid, harmonized data collection, processes for choosing research questions, state-of-the-art observational methods, accounting for random error, innovative peer-review pathways, and implementation/improvement. It is likely to be a valuable, timely tool during the current pandemic and beyond. - Risk Factors for COVID-19-associated hospitalization: COVID-19-Associated Hospitalization Surveillance Network and Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System. 9/18/2020. Ko JY. Clin Infect Dis.
Well-conducted study including 5,416 confirmed COVID-19 patients comparing hospitalized patients identified from the COVID-19-Associated Hospitalization Surveillance Network (COVID-NET) cataloguing hospital admissions with the Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System, a telephone survey instrument which identifies populations of interest (co-morbidities previously reported as increased risk for disease severity and outcome; e.g. age, hypertension, diabetes, etc.). Extensive statistical analysis and well-written discussion summarized: “Severe obesity, chronic kidney disease, diabetes, obesity, hypertension, asthma, age ≥45, male sex, and non-Hispanic black and other race/ethnicity are associated with increased risk of COVID-19-associated hospitalizations.”
September 21, 2020
- Neurological and neuropsychiatric complications of COVID-19 in 153 patients: a UK-wide surveillance study. 6/25/20. Varatharaj A. Lancet Psychiatry.
Report on a nationwide, cross-specialty surveillance study of acute neurological and psychiatric complications of COVID-19 in the UK combined with a call for similar initiative to collect data on short- and long-term neurological and psychiatric sequelae of COVID-19 worldwide. The authors used a secure rapid-response case report notification portal that was made available to all pertinent professional organizations and obtained valuable and timely data to be reviewed by clinicians, researchers and funders.
September 16, 2020
- Bacterial and viral co-infections in patients with severe SARS-CoV-2 pneumonia admitted to a French ICU. 9/7/2020. Contou D. Ann Intensive Care.
In this retrospective single center study, 92 patients were cultured within 48 hours of admission to the ICU. Twenty-eight percent of these patients were culture positive for bacteria, and as the authors state in their discussion “might” have had a respiratory bacterial co-infection upon ICU admission. The leading involved bacteria were methicillin-sensitive Staphylococcus aureus (31%), Streptococcus pneumoniae (22%), Haemophilus influenzae (19%) and Enterobacteriaceae (16%) with no infection related to atypical bacteria and no viral co-infection especially no influenza infection. - Prognostic Value of Elevated Cardiac Troponin I in Hospitalized Covid-19 Patients. 8/27/20. Shah P. Am J Cardiol.
Elevated troponins were found in a significant number of COVID-19 positive patients admitted to hospital. Elevated levels were predictive of increasing disease severity and poor outcome.
September 9, 2020
- Acute kidney injury in patients with SARS-CoV-2 infection. 9/3/20. Joseph A. Ann Intensive Care.
French authors noted COVID-19 reports lacked consistent definitions of AKI. Using the standardized Kidney Disease Improving Global Outcomes (KDIGO) criteria in a retrospective study of 100 COVID-19 ICU patients, they found 81% had AKI and 35% died at 28 days (vs. 1%), higher than previously reported. 90% who died with AKI were intubated; 50% required vasopressors. Relative risk of AKI was 1.3 for each adjusted SOFA score point. AKI was not independently associated with PEEP levels, complement activation, fibrinogen or inflammatory markers. 28-day Kaplan–Meier curves without (n=19) and with (n=81) 3 stages of AKI are provided. - The effect of coronavirus infection (SARS-CoV-2, MERS-CoV, and SARS-CoV) during pregnancy and the possibility of vertical maternal-fetal transmission: a systematic review and meta-analysis. 9/4/20. Diriba K. Eur J Med Res.
A worldwide retrospective report (biased with Chinese studies) on the effect of coronavirus in pregnancy. Includes over 100 patients with all 3 coronavirus diseases of note — SARS, MERS and COVID-19. No transmission to neonates was detected with any virus, hypothesized to be due to the lack of placental angiotensin converting enzyme 2 (ACE-2) receptors. Maternal pulmonary involvement presented the greatest complicating factor in pregnancy. Deaths were rare and mostly related to MERS infected mothers. - Update Alert 3: Risks and Impact of Angiotensin-Converting Enzyme Inhibitors or Angiotensin-Receptor Blockers on SARS-CoV-2 Infection in Adults. 8/26/2020. Mackey K. Ann Intern Med.
Report of an updated review of new literature studying association of ARB’s and ACEI’s use with severity and COVID-19 adverse outcomes. No data found to suggest adverse effect; signal to suggest slight decrease in disease severity in patients on medications.
September 4, 2020
- COVID-19-associated hyperinflammation and escalation of patient care: a retrospective longitudinal cohort study. 8/21/20. Manson JJ. Lancet Rheumatol.
A retrospective observational cohort study of 269 consecutive adult inpatients from the UK during March 2020 identified a “hyperinflammatory” subgroup predictive of a considerably higher risk of severe disease or death based upon C-reactive protein >150 mg/ml or a doubling from >50 mg/L w/in 24 hours, or Ferritin levels >1500 μg/L. These simple biomarkers had a predictive hazard ratio of 2.2 (1.6-2.9) for next-day escalation of support or death. 40% of the subgroup died vs. 26% of others. Follow-up was > 28 days or until death. - Marked factor V activity elevation in severe COVID-19 is associated with venous thromboembolism. 8/24/2020. Stefely JA. Am J Hematol.
This article studies Factor V association with COVID-19 in 102 patients. This is a well-done study and offers possible clinical effects on care and future routes for investigation. The authors found an extraordinary level of factor V elevation in COVID-19 patients which had not been observed in any patient group in the past. A number of other clotting parameters were also analyzed. This patient group consisted primarily of those representing severe cases requiring ventilators. Factor V changes were associated with the wide variety of other clotting parameters and clinical events. This reviewer is not surprised at alterations in factor V levels since this disease is associated with an incredible degree of activation of clotting and related systems.
August 31, 2020
- A meta-analysis of the incidence of venous thromboembolic events and impact of anticoagulation on mortality in patients with COVID-19. 8/9/20. Lu YF. Int J Infect Dis.
This well-written meta-analysis describes DVT and COVID-19 and the effect of anticoagulation on mortality. It raises good points for discussion.
August 26, 2020
- Angiotensin Converting Enzyme Inhibitor and Angiotensin II Receptor Blocker Use Among Outpatients Diagnosed With COVID-19. 7/11/20. Bae DJ. Am J Cardiol.
This is a single center retrospective study comparing patients diagnosed with COVID-19 taking ACE/ARB medications versus not taking these medications. Use of ACE/ARB medications was not associated with risk of hospital admission or, if admitted, no differences in all cause mortality, ICU stay, mechanical ventilation requirements or inotrope use. This article confirms prior recommendations to continue use of ACE/ARB medications in COVID-19 patients. - Association Between Youth Smoking, Electronic Cigarette Use, and Coronavirus Disease 2019. 8/11/20. Gaiha S. J Adolescent Health.
This was an online survey conducted of 4,351 adolescents and young adults, aged 13-24 years, from 50 states, DC, and 3 US territories. Users (ever or long-term) of e-cigarettes/tobacco cigarettes were at a higher risk of getting COVID-19 and dual users are even more prone to contract COVID-19. Better screening and education may be indicated. - Epidemiology of invasive pulmonary aspergillosis among COVID-19 intubated patients: a prospective study. 7/28/20. Bartoletti M. Clin Infect Dis.
This prospective multicenter trial evaluated 108 mechanically ventilated COVID-19 pneumonia patients for pulmonary aspergillosis by clinical features, bronchoalveolar lavage for fungal culture and galactomannan assay, and serum galactomannan assay. Probable “coronavirus-associated pulmonary aspergillosis” (CAPA) was diagnosed in 28%. “Putative invasive pulmonary aspergillosis” (PIPA) was diagnosed in 63% of the CAPA patients. Kaplan-Meier curves showed a significantly higher 30-day mortality rate among patients with either CAPA (44% vs 19% in non-CAPA patients) or PIPA (74% vs 26% in non-PIPA patients). Patients treated for aspergillosis with voriconazole showed a trend towards improved mortality. - The challenge of managing COVID-19 associated pulmonary aspergillosis. 8/18/20. Brüggemann RJ. Clin Infect Dis.
This excellent editorial can serve as a good primer on current approaches to diagnosing clinically significant pulmonary aspergillosis in the general patient population and clarifies some of the important issues specific to diagnosing and treating pulmonary aspergillosis in COVID-19 patients.
August 25, 2020
- COVID-19 and global health: Influences and implications for education and training support in low- and middle-income countries. 8/12/20. Cooper MG. Anaesth Intensive Care.
Cooper et al present an editorial from Australia and the South Pacific reviewing the pandemic challenges faced by low- and middle-income countries (LMIC). Though COVID-19 numbers are surprisingly low in many LMIC countries, surges are expected. If this happens, the lack of ICU capability, the vulnerability of healthcare workers with limited PPE, the restriction of healthcare worker training, and even lack of oxygen will likely cause major problems, from crumbling of already fragile healthcare systems, to surging poverty and a worsening supply of healthcare workers. - Highly sensitive quantification of plasma SARS-CoV-2 RNA sheds light on its potential clinical value. 8/17/20. Veyer D. Clin Infect Dis.
Testing plasma for SARS-CoV-2 RNAaemia with an ultrasensitive droplet-based technique is now possible. It provides more quantitative data than standard RT-PCR tests (free of potential influence by viral inhibitors). This preliminary study of 58 COVID-19 patients and 12 healthy controls showed correlation between both test positivity and RNAaemia level with disease severity. Whether or not positive serum tests detect viable virus is unknown. If validated in larger studies, this tool may provide insights regarding possible viral seeding of organs remote from initial respiratory strongholds, elucidate disease mechanisms, and help identify those at increased risk for poor outcomes. - Increased mortality in patients with severe SARS-CoV-2 infection admitted within seven days of disease onset. 8/11/20. Azoulay E. Intensive Care Med.
This is a multicenter, retrospective study of 379 COVID-19 patients admitted to four Paris ICUs between 02/20 and 04/24 analyzing mortality and disease severity. The study found that ICU admission within one week of symptom onset was associated with increased mortality due to overall disease severity and multi-organ failure rather than primary respiratory failure. The article provides stimulus for further research to follow progression of disease with opportunity to target therapy depending on disease stage.
August 19, 2020
- Delirium and encephalopathy in severe COVID-19: a cohort analysis of ICU patients. 8/8/20. Helms J. Crit Care.
Following up on the concept that neurotropism of the SARS-CoV-2 virus has been confirmed, French investigators focused on the neurological status of 140 consecutive patients with COVID-19 linked ARDS (mean age 62, 71% male) to determine the incidence of delirium and abnormal neurological exams. 84% developed delirium and of those, 69% presented with agitation and 63% had long-tract signs. Of 28 patients who underwent lumbar puncture and MRI, 65% had perfusion abnormalities and 61% had signs of a disturbed blood brain barrier, 64% showed inflammatory signs in CSF and one was PCR positive for SARS-CoV-2 in CSF. Delirium associated with ARDS and COVID-19 is a distinct entity caused by the corona virus which prolongs and complicates recovery, both short term and possibly in the long term as well. - Prominent coagulation disorder is closely related to inflammatory response and could be as a prognostic indicator for ICU patients with COVID-19. 8/8/20. Liu Y. J Thromb Thrombolysis.
Interesting discussion highlighting interrelationship between inflammatory and coagulation systems; suggests coagulation abnormalities (PT, D-Dimer, FDP and AT III) can predict deterioration and mortality; also notes the neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio is a potential inflammatory marker in disease. Recognizes importance of prophylactic thromboprophylaxis and accurate timing of systemic anticoagulation. - Unspecific post-mortem findings despite multiorgan viral spread in COVID-19 patients. 8/12/20. Remmelink M. Crit Care.
The authors found in this study of 17 patients, a great heterogeneity of COVID-19-associated organ injury and the remarkable absence of any specific viral lesions, even when RT-PCR identified the presence of the virus in many organs. Pulmonary findings revealed early-stage diffuse alveolar damage 15/17; microthrombi in small lung arteries in 11 patients and no evidence of myocarditis, hepatitis, or encephalitis. Onset of symptoms and death ranged from 2 to 40 days.
August 17, 2020
- Characteristics and outcomes of pregnant women admitted to hospital with confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection in UK. 6/8/20. Knight M. BMJ.
At all 194 obstetric units in the United Kingdom, 4.9 per 1000 pregnant women (n=427) were hospitalized with confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection between March 1, 2020 and April 14, 2020. Sixty-nine percent were overweight or obese. Fifty-eight percent had symptom onset >32 weeks gestational age. By study end, 62% (n=266) had completed pregnancy with 259 live births, 3 still births and 4 lost pregnancies. Of those, 74% (n=196) were term births,16% (n=42) had C/section “due to COVID-19,” and 44% (n=114) had C/section for other reasons. Among all hospitalized, 10% needed ICU, 1% were placed on ECMO, and 1% died. Five percent of 265 infants were RNA+ for SARS-CoV-2. Results resemble USA reports. - COVID-19 and Dexamethasone: A Potential Strategy to Avoid Steroid-Related Strongyloides Hyperinfection. 7/30/20. Stauffer WM. JAMA.
Dexamethasone is recommended for critically ill COVID-19 patients. One of its uncommon preventable complications is strongyloides hyperinfection caused by a nematode (roundworm). Seroprevalence of strongyloides ranges from 10-15% among migrants from less developed countries. The infection can last a lifetime. Hyperinfection appears to be independent of dose or duration of steroid. Its possibility should be considered if the patient deteriorates acutely. For outpatients, the authors recommend screening for strongyloides and treating with ivermectin if positive. For inpatients, they recommend presumptive treatment with ivermectin for patients not previously tested or treated for strongyloides. - Impact of the Coronavirus Infection in Pregnancy: A Preliminary Study of 141 Patients. 7/7/20. Nayak AH. J Obstet Gynaecol India.
They studied 141 pregnant COVID positive women and 836 pregnant controls in Mumbai, India from April 1, 2020 to May 15, 2020. COVID-19 did not have a major adverse effect on maternal or newborn outcomes. Mortality was 2% and morbidity was low among COVID-positive mothers. Out of a total of 131 babies tested, only 3 tested positive on first swab and all tested negative on day 5. Vertical transmission of COVID-19 infection from mother to newborn was rare. This study reports fewer adverse outcomes than some others.
August 14, 2020
- Cerebrovascular Complications of COVID-19. 8/8/20. Katz JM. Stroke.
Retrospective case review focusing on imaging confirmed stroke incidence among COVID-19 inpatients treated in a largely metropolitan health care system. 86 stroke patients were identified and compared to 499 stroke patients admitted a year earlier. COVID-19 patients were significantly more likely to have a stroke while hospitalized (48% vs 5%). Additional important findings among the COVID-19 group includes a predominance of ischemic stroke and a high frequency (67%) of non-focal neurologic presentations and a higher incidence among racial minorities.
In-hospital stroke among COVID-19 patients is a strong independent risk factor and deserves a high grade of suspicion when patients develop neurologic symptoms. - Multisystem Inflammatory Syndrome in Children (MIS-C) Associated with SARS-CoV-2: A Systematic Review. 8/4/20. Abrams JY. J Pediatr.
This article is a comprehensive description of multisystem inflammatory syndrome in children (MIS-C) authored by Centers for Disease Control scientists.
August 12, 2020
- Evaluation of Coronavirus Disease 2019 Severity Using Urine Biomarkers. 8/9/2020. Katagiri D. Crit Care Explor.
A urinary, 58 pts study testing for severity and progression of COVID-19. Levels of β2-microglobulin, liver-type fatty acid-binding protein (L-FABP) were correlated to severity and progression of active infection. Not accurate in presence of renal disease nor does the paper describe specificity to COVID-19.
August 10, 2020
- Determination of brain death/death by neurologic criteria: the World Brain Death Project. 8/30/20. Sung GY. JAMA.
Published by a panel of 40+ international experts, this is a thorough and comprehensive guideline aiming to establish worldwide recognized brain death criteria and testing methods. - Feasibility and clinical impact of out-of-ICU non-invasive respiratory support in patients with COVID-19 related pneumonia. 8/3/20. Franco C. Eur Respir J.
This is a retrospective analysis of 670 patients admitted to nine hospitals in northern Italy between March 1 and May 10 with documented COVID-19 infection and whom required oxygen support beyond nasal oxygen treated with non-invasive support methods (HFNC, CPAP, NIV) in specialized respiratory but non-ICU settings. Units were staffed (N/P ratios ranged from 1:6-1:2) and all units were well ventilated with natural air flow. Patients were spaced more than 5 feet apart. All staff engaged in care wore appropriate PPE. Outcomes were effectiveness of treatment (28 day unadjusted mortality of 26.9%) and HCW infection (11.4%; 3.3% ill). Adjusting for confounders, there was no difference between HFNC, CPAP and NIV. Discussion includes advanced directive understanding/use in Italy and value of pre-allocated respiratory wards.
August 5, 2020
- EDITORIAL: COVID-19: a complex multisystem disorder. 6/30/20. Roberts CM. Br J Anaesth.
COVID-19 has extensive effects on virtually all the organs. The virus binds to angiotensin converting enzyme 2 (ACE2) receptors present in vascular endothelial cells, lungs, heart, brain, kidneys, intestines, liver, pharynx, and other tissue. It can directly injure these organs. In addition, systemic disorders caused by the virus lead to organ malfunction. It can cause cytokine storm which can culminate in death. It causes inflammation, endotheliitis, vasoconstriction, hypercoagulability, and edema. Lymphocytopenia, elevated D-dimer, elevated fibrin degradation products (FDPs), and disseminated intravascular coagulation (DIC) are observed. Deep vein thrombosis (DVT), venous thromboembolism, pulmonary embolism (PE), systemic and pulmonary arterial thrombosis and embolism, and ischemic stroke are reported. In the heart, it can cause acute coronary syndrome, congestive heart failure, myocarditis, and arrhythmias. Kidney injury is usually secondary to systemic abnormalities. Stroke occurs even in young patients. Delirium and seizures are common. Anosmia and impaired sense of taste are reported. Psychological problems are common among patients as well as providers. Stool may contain virus. Lactate dehydrogenase may be elevated. Various skin manifestations including patchy erythematous rash are reported. Injury to an organ may become apparent long after the acute infection has subsided. Different organs may be affected at different times. Chronic injury may occur. Rehabilitation can be long and difficult.
August 3, 2020
- Characteristics and Strength of Evidence of COVID-19 Studies Registered on ClinicalTrials.gov. 7/27/20. Pundi K. JAMA Intern Med.
As an indication of how difficult it is to obtain quality data, this evaluation of 1,551 clinical studies of COVID-19 patients listed on ClinicalTrials.gov up to May 19, 2020 found that only 29.1% were designed in a way that the results could possibly change clinical practice (i.e., be classified as Level 2 evidence by the Oxford Centre for Evidence-Based Medicine level of evidence framework). In the 664 randomized clinical studies included, only 14% included mortality as a primary or composite outcome (arguably the most important research question). The authors state that, “Even before results are known, most studies likely will not yield meaningful scientific evidence at a time when rapid generation of high-quality knowledge is critical.”
July 31, 2020
- COVID-19 pandemic and the skin: what should dermatologists know? 3/24/20. Darlenski R. Clin Dermatol.
Skin manifestations of COVID-19 are like those of other viruses and chronic inflammatory diseases like acne, eczema, psoriasis, and rosacea. Vascular problems associated with skin manifestations can be neurogenic, microthrombotic, or immune complex-mediated.
Of the patients with skin manifestations, a majority have patchy erythematous rash. Some have widespread urticaria or hives. A few also have chickenpox-like fluid-filled vesicles or blisters. They can have measles-like rashes. The most affected area is the trunk. Itching is mild or absent. Some patients have skin eruptions at symptom onset, and others after hospitalization. Lesions usually heal in a few days. Skin manifestations do not correlate with the severity of COVID-19.
Patients may develop livedo reticularis. It is a purplish net-like discoloration of the skin, often a result of blood clotting abnormalities. Lacy, dusky rashes, including dead skin cells are observed on the arms, legs, and buttocks. They are associated with hypercoagulability. Petechiae are present. Nonpruritic blanching livedoid vascular eruption, possibly due to vaso-occlusion may be present. They appear as mottled, netlike red or pink patches. Also present are chilblains, which are purplish, slightly firm and often tender. COVID toes and fingers have frostbite-like areas with red or purple rash or hive-like eruption. - Distinct clinical and immunological features of SARS-COV-2-induced multisystem inflammatory syndrome in children. 7/23/2020. Lee PY. J Clin Invest.
The authors retrospectively studied 28 confirmed cases of multisystem inflammatory syndrome in children at Boston Children’s Hospital from March to June 2020. Pediatric Multisystem Inflammatory Syndrome that includes classic features of Kawasaki disease, heterogeneous manifestations of systemic inflammation and shock. These children may exhibit heart failure, shock and coronary artery abnormalities, with a disproportionate representation among Blacks and Hispanics. Preexisting risk factors include obesity, asthma and heart disease. Acute respiratory distress syndrome was not a feature, but instead preponderance of cardiac complications including ventricular dysfunction and coronary abnormalities. The degree of inflammation as measured by CRP and procalcitonin is much greater in these children compared to those patients with COVID-19 pneumonia. Rapid diagnosis, multidisciplinary management and suppression of systemic inflammation was associated with a favorable outcome. - Genomewide association study of severe Covid-19 with respiratory failure. 6/17/20. Ellinghaus D. N Engl J Med.
Genetic differences may in part explain the difference in response of different persons to SARS-CoV-2. They compared hospitalized patients with respiratory failure with controls. They studied 835 patients and 1255 controls from Italy and 775 patients and 950 controls from Spain.
They found 3p21.31 gene cluster is a genetic susceptibility locus. Patients with blood group A were found to be at a higher risk of infection (odds ratio, 1.45) and develop more severe symptoms. Patients with blood type O were found to be at a lower risk of infection (odds ratio, 0.65). Although the results are statistically significant, the effect size is small. Results on the association with blood group has been reviewed by the SAB in several articles previously.
July 29, 2020
- Characterization of experimental and clinical bioaerosol generation during potential aerosol-generating procedures. 7/15/20. Doggett N. Chest.
This prospective study from Toronto quantified aerosol production pre and post two presumed aerosol generating procedures (AGPs); intubations in pigs (n=16) and elective bronchoscopies in human adults (n=39). Though overall, there was a significant reduction in larger particle aerosols during the procedures, and no significant increase in small particle aerosolization during the procedures, some bronchoscopies did produce significantly increased small particle aerosols. The authors conclude that the variability of aerosol generation reinforces the need for PPE during AGPs, and that more research is needed, especially in the more uncontrolled environments typical of a COVID-19 surge. - Thrombosis in Hospitalized Patients With COVID-19 in a New York City Health System. 7/20/20. Bilaloglu S. JAMA.
This research letter reports retrospective data analysis from 3,334 consecutive hospitalized COVID-19 patients from four NYC hospitals. “Most” received low-dose thromboprophylaxis. Sixteen percent experienced thrombotic events defined as DVT, PE, MI, or CVA (no screening). ICU patients: 13.6% venous, 18.6% arterial. Ward points: 3.6% VTE, and 8.4% arterial. Mortality with event was 43% vs. 21% without. Age, male sex, Hispanic ethnicity, CAD, prior MI, and higher D-dimer at hospital presentation were associated with a thrombotic event, but not BMI or current smoking Hx.
July 27, 2020
- Pulmonary immune responses against SARS-CoV-2 infection: harmful or not? 7/19/20. Guillon A. Intensive Care Med.
A brief, well written review of the literature on COVID-19 immune responses claiming that the critical processes occur primarily in the lung and that the immune injury phase of the disease is not well described as a generalized “cytokine storm.” A T-cell subpopulation called innate T-cells appears to be diminished and have impaired function in peripheral blood but is found in increased numbers and activation in the airways of these patients.
July 24, 2020
- Prospective study in 355 patients with suspected COVID-19 infection. Value of cough, subjective hyposmia, and hypogeusia. 7/21/20. Martin-Sanz E. Laryngoscope.
Review by the SAB
By Dr. Lance Lichtor, on behalf of the SAB
Of 355 patients who were healthcare personnel, there was a significant association between positive PCR and subjective hyposmia. If cough was added, the odds of having a positive RT-PCR increased significantly. The measurement of fever as the only method for screening of COVID-19 infection resulted in a poor association.
July 22, 2020
- Dexamethasone in Hospitalized Patients with Covid-19 — Preliminary Report. 7/17/20. The RECOVERY Collaborative Group. N Engl J Med.
Review by the SAB
These authors (Nuffield /Oxford) provide preliminary results (recruitment ended on June 8) of the controlled, open-label-randomized evaluation of COVID-19 Therapy (RECOVERY) trial of dexamethasone in patients hospitalized with COVID-19. The primary outcome was mortality within 28 days after randomization.
In patients hospitalized with COVID-19, the use of dexamethasone (6mg either IV or PO up to 10 days) resulted in lower 28-day mortality among those who were receiving either invasive mechanical ventilation or oxygen alone at randomization but not among those receiving no respiratory support (may harm). In a 2:1 randomization, 2,104 patients received dexamethasone and 4,321 received the usual care. In the dexamethasone group, the incidence of death was lower than that in the usual care group among patients receiving invasive mechanical ventilation (29.3% vs. 41.4%; rate ratio, 0.64) and among those receiving oxygen without invasive mechanical ventilation (23.3% vs. 26.2%; rate ratio, 0.82). There was a trend showing the greatest absolute and proportional benefit among patients who were receiving invasive mechanical ventilation (11.5 by chi square test for trend). Patients in the dexamethasone group had a shorter duration of hospitalization than those in the usual care group (median, 12 days vs. 13 days) and a greater probability of discharge alive within 28 days (rate ratio, 1.10; 95%). It is likely that the beneficial effect of glucocorticoids in severe viral respiratory infections is dependent on a selection of the right dose, at the right time, in the right patient. Viral replication peaks in the second week of illness in SARS, while viral shedding in SARS-CoV-2 appears to be higher early in the illness and declines, thereafter when dexamethasone is most effective. At that stage, the disease may be dominated by immunopathological elements, with active viral replication playing a secondary role. - Hospitalization and Mortality among Black Patients and White Patients with Covid-19. 6/25/20. Price-Haywood EG. N Engl J Med.
Review by the SAB
By Heinrich Wurm, on behalf of the SAB
This retrospective cohort study takes a critical look at incidence, mortality and concomitant risk factors among black and white non-Hispanic members of the Ochsner integrated delivery health system.
Black patients far exceeded white non-Hispanics in getting infected (70 vs. 30% of enrolled patients were PCR positive), requiring hospital admission (77%) and dying (71%). But black race was not independently associated with a higher mortality (HR death vs. white race 0.89; 95 CI, 0.68-1.17) when adjustments for differences in socio-demographic and clinical characteristics were made.
Blacks had a greater prevalence of underlying disease (obesity, diabetes, hypertension, chronic kidney disease), presented with higher levels of inflammatory markers, elevated creatinine and were more likely to live in low-income areas and receive public insurance. Greater occupational exposure in service industries and higher incidence of morbid obesity and chronic kidney disease were also discussed. - Neurobiology of COVID-19. 6/30/20. Fotuhi H. J Alzheimer’s Dis.
Review by the SAB
By Heinrich Wurm, on behalf of the SAB
This review by a panel of U.S. experts goes beyond analyzing neurological manifestations of COVID-19 and provides us with plausible and well-illustrated pathophysiological theories and a 3-stage evolution of a condition termed Neuro-COVID. A synopsis of worrisome post-COVID-19 neurological sequelae, ranging from poor memory and slow processing speed to lasting depression, Parkinson’s, multiple sclerosis and Alzheimer’s, concludes this remarkable publication and points us towards a future of COVID-related sequelae. - Race, Postoperative Complications, and Death in Apparently Healthy Children. 7/1/20. Nafiu OO. Pediatrics.
In a retrospective article of over 170,000 healthy children with care provided by anesthesiologists, African American children suffered more postsurgical complications, especially bleeding and death.
July 20, 2020
- Deep immune profiling of COVID-19 patients reveals distinct immunotypes with therapeutic implications. 7/15/20. Mathew D. Science.
Review by the SAB
By Dr. Uday Jain, on behalf of the SAB
Previously uncharted role of lymphocytes in COVID-19 is discussed. A wide variability in immune response was observed among hospitalized COVID-19 patients. Responses were barely detectable in about one-fifth of the patients. This was associated with pathology due to the virus and reduced survival. Remaining patients had CD8 and/or CD4 T lymphocyte and plasmablast responses that were heterogeneous among the patients and were divided into immunotypes. In many patients who became seriously ill with Covid-19, helper and killer cells do not work well cooperatively. An overabundance of helper cells is proinflammatory. An overabundance of killer T cells is not ideal but consistent with survival. - Therapeutic Plasma Exchange: A potential Management Strategy for Critically Ill COVID-19 Patients. 7/16/20. Tabibi S. J Intensive Care Med.
Review by the SAB
By Dr. Lydia Cassorla, on behalf of the SAB
This report briefly discusses various approaches currently being investigated to treat SARS-CoV-2 with a focus on potential benefits of therapeutic plasma exchange (TPE). TPE may alleviate the need for polypharmacy to combat various cytokines along with their associated side effects and necessary adjustments for comorbidities. TPE has been used to treat H1N1-associated ARDS, myasthenia gravis, Kawasaki disease, early septic shock, and various multi-organ dysfunction syndrome phenotypes including thrombocytopenia purpura. Reports of its use to treat severe COVID-19 are reviewed. TPE appears generally safe. Concerns involve blood supply, availability, and potentially cost. A proposed set of criteria that overlap with those for convalescent plasma and Spectra Optia Apheresis System is outlined, including early ARDS, severe disease, and life-threatening disease. Clinical trials are underway.
July 17, 2020
- COVID-19 Disease Severity Risk Factors for Pediatric Patients in Italy. 7/16/20. Bellino S. Pediatrics.
Review by the SAB
By Dr. Jay Pryzbylo, on behalf of the SAB
This large pediatric study demonstrates that infection by COVID-19 increases with age (severe illness in the youngest) is uncommon in the pediatric age group with only 1.8% of total infections over all ages. The study reported only 4 deaths, all in children with complex underlying medical issues. - Covid-19: What do we know about “long covid”? 7/14/20. Mahase E. BMJ.
Review by the SAB
By Dr. Barry Perlman, on behalf of the SAB
This non-peer reviewed article discusses “Long COVID,” a term used for lasting effects after recovering from COVID-19 infection or symptoms that persist longer than expected.
Ongoing health problems may include “breathing difficulties, enduring tiredness, reduced muscle function, impaired ability to perform vital everyday tasks, and mental health problems such as post-traumatic stress disorder, anxiety, and depression.”
HNS England will be launching an online portal for those with long-term effects of COVID-19 to communicate with nurses, physiotherapists, and mental health specialists.
A Facebook “long Covid Support group” has >7000 members, and the hashtag “longcovid” enables personal experiences to be shared on social media.
Research on the long-term effects of COVID-19 infection is needed. The Post-hospitalization COVID-19 Study plans to follow 10,000 UK patients for a year, but it will not include milder cases that didn’t require hospital care. - Neurological manifestations of COVID-19: a systematic review. 7/15/20. Nepal G. Crit Care.
Review by the SAB
By Dr. Heinrich Wurm, on behalf of the SAB
This well-organized review of the world literature up to May 20, 2020 analyses 37 articles, many of them case reports. The authors critically review each neurological symptom or disease entity currently known to exist with the intent to provide practitioners with an overview of a host of manifestations ranging from mild headaches to taste and smell disorders to strokes, hemorrhage and central and peripheral nervous system inflammatory reactions like encephalo-myelits and Guillain-Barré syndrome. - Relationship between ABO blood group distribution and clinical characteristics in patients with COVID-19. 6/21/20. Wu Y. Clin Chim Acta.
Review by the SAB
By Lydia Cassorla, on behalf of the SAB
Retrospective case controlled study of Wuhan patients admitted to a single Chinese hospital 1/20/20 – 3/5/20. 187 study patients were admitted with COVID-19 while 1991 control patients were COVID negative individuals admitted during the same time period. The proportion of patients with type A blood in the COVID-19 group was significantly higher than that in the control group (36.90% vs. 27.47%, P = 0.006), while the proportion of patients with type O blood in the COVID-19 group was significantly lower than that in the control group (21.92% vs. 30.19%, P = 0.018). Blood group A patients had a higher risk of COVID-19 than non-A blood group patients. (OR = 1.544, 95% CI = 1.122–2.104, P = 0.006). Blood group O patients had a lower risk of COVID-19 than non-O blood group patients (OR = 0.649, 95% CI = 0.457–0.927, P = 0.018).
July 15, 2020
- Clinical Implications of SARS-CoV-2 Infection in the Viable Preterm Period. 7/3/20. Gulersen M. Am J Perinatol.
Review by the SAB
The authors in this article conducted a retrospective, logistic regression analysis for preterm birth (PTB) from boroughs in New York of patients diagnosed with COVID-19 infection with pregnancy between 23 and 37 weeks of gestation during March and April of 2020. PTB was noted to be in two groups: 23 to 33 weeks (n = 7/36) and the other one was 34+ (n = 18/29) with p= 0.0001. Most women with COVID-19 infection in the early preterm period recovered and were discharged home. The majority of PTB were indicated and not due to spontaneous preterm labor. Delivery during the current admission was noted as statistically significant for the group of patients with 34+ weeks. No correlation was noted with severity of the COVID-19 disease grade or treatment regimes (antibiotics and antimalarial) but no interleukins or steroids were given to the late group. Gestational age at diagnosis of COVID-19 infection had an odds ratio of 2.9. - Risk factors for myocardial injury and death in patients with COVID-19: insights from a cohort study with chest computed tomography. 7/8/20. Ferrante G. Cardiovasc Res.
Review by the SAB
By Dr. Philip Lumb, on behalf of the SAB
Interesting study reporting admission CT Scan results on 332 consecutive patients with documented COVID-19 disease. Of these, 123 had myocardial injury defined as high-sensitivity troponin I above 20 ng/ml. Included patients had a median follow up of 12 days with 20.5% (68) deaths. Co-morbidities and course are well described; however, CT findings are consistent with lung involvement in COVID-19.
The study concludes that “myocardial injury, as assessed by cardiac troponins, occurs in approximately one third of COVID-19 cases and is associated with an adjusted two-fold mortality increase. An increased PA diameter, as assessed on chest CT, is an independent predictor of both myocardial injury and death.” - Tocilizumab for treatment of mechanically ventilated patients with COVID-19. 7/11/20. Somers EC. Clin Infect Dis.
Review by the SAB
By Dr. David Clement, on behalf of the SAB
An observational, controlled study of 154 adult, ventilated COVID-19 patients, half of whom received tocilizumab. Tocilizumab-treated patients had a 45% reduction in hazard of death, improved status on some secondary outcomes, and twice as many superinfections. Extensive tables, figures and statistical analysis provide insight. A randomized study is needed to confirm these findings.
July 13, 2020
- Characteristics and serological patterns of COVID-19 convalescent plasma donors: optimal donors and timing of donation. 7/6/20. Li L. Transfusion.
Review by the SAB
By Dr. Barry Perlman, on behalf of the SAB
Study from Wuhan, China of 49 blood donors who recovered from mild-moderate COVID-19 to determine optimum convalescent plasma donor strategy.
Nucleocapsid (N) and Spike protein receptor-binding domain (S-RBD) antibodies were measured by ELISA assay. S-RBD ELISA results were correlated with a SARS-CoV-2 viral neutralization assay, as the authors state that recent studies suggest that S-RBD antibodies may provide immunity.
N specific IgM declined 3 weeks after infection and reached low levels after 6 weeks. S-RBD and N specific Ig G increased after 4 weeks from symptom onset.
Those who donated > 28 days from symptom onset, and whose fever > 38.5°C or lasted longer than 3 days, had higher levels of S-RBD IgG.
Further studies with larger sample size, plasma from asymptomatic donors, and clinical validation are needed. - COVID-19 Clinical Trials: Unravelling a Methodological Gordian Knot. 7/7/20. Mathioudakis AG. J Thromb Thrombolysis.
Review by the SAB
By Dr. Lance Lichtor, on behalf of the SAB
During a pandemic, in part because of the limit in a patient population that might shrink in the coming months, clinical trials might need to enroll a patient for more than 1 trial. In addition, because of the need to get information out quickly, interim data meta-analyses (or network meta-analyses) powered to evaluate key outcomes, may be useful. At least, strategies and methodologies need to be developed to allow the best use of data collected. - How to Quantify and Interpret Treatment Effects in Comparative Clinical Studies of COVID-19. 7/7/20. McCaw ZR. Ann Intern Med.
Review by the SAB
By Dr. Jay Pryzbylo, on behalf of the SAB
Concise but in depth explanation using the example of two previously published articles to demonstrate that the statistical techniques used do not necessarily accurately describe the outcomes achieved. At issue is that negative outcomes (e.g., deaths) are not adequately accounted for in positive outcome statistical evaluation (days to recovery). The authors advance a method to do so that alters the outcomes of the studies. - Treatment with Hydroxychloroquine, Azithromycin, and Combination in Patients Hospitalized with COVID-19. 6/29/20. Arshad S. Int J Infect Dis.
Review by the SAB
By Dr. Barry Perlman, on behalf of the SAB
Multi-center retrospective observational study of 2,541 consecutive RT-PCR confirmed COVID-19 admissions from March 10 to May 2 in Detroit to determine impact of hydroxychloroquine +- azithromycin on inpatient mortality.
Standard, uniform treatment guidelines established by a system-wide interdisciplinary COVID-19 task force also included corticosteroids and tocilizumab, which were used in 68% and 4.5% respectively.
In hospital mortality:- Overall 18%
- No hydroxychloroquine or azithromycin 26%
- Azithromycin alone 22%
- Hydroxychloroquine + azithromycin 20%
- Hydroxychloroquine alone 13.5%
- Mortality predictors were age > 65, CKD, decreased O2 sat on admit, ventilator use, and in contrast to previous studies, white race.
Propensity matched regression analysis showed a mortality hazard ratio of .49 for patients who received hydroxychloroquine.
Of note, no deaths due to major cardiac arrhythmias, such as torsades, were seen with hydroxychloroquine treatment.
The authors suggest that early medication treatment (91% within 48 hours of admission), standardized dosing, and inpatient telemetry with electrolyte protocols may have accounted for the positive results seen with hydroxychloroquine.
July 10, 2020
- Incidence of pulmonary embolism in non-critically ill COVID-19 patients. Predicting factors for a challenging diagnosis. 6/29/20. Mestre-Gómez B. J Thromb Thrombolysis.
Review by the SAB
By Dr. Barry Perlman, on behalf of the SAB
Retrospective review of EMR data of 452 consecutive patients admitted to the general ward with COVID-19 (based on WHO clinical criteria and/or RT-PCR) in Madrid to determine the incidence of PE in non-critically ill COVID-19 patients and identify predictive factors.- 91 of these patients had CT pulmonary angiography (CTPA) to rule out PE, with 29 (32%) positive for acute PE.
- Incidence of PE was 6.4% — 29/452 patients.
- Of note, 79% were receiving prophylactic LMWH at the time PE was diagnosed
- PE was not associated with a significantly increased risk of ICU admission or mortality
- Multivariate analysis showed lack of history of dyslipidemia and elevated D-dimer were independent predictors of PE.
- D-Dimer peak median was 2x higher in PE patients. Cut off predictor was > 5000 ug/dl.
- Patients with history of dyslipidemia had a 9x lower risk of PE. It is not known if this is due to statin use prior to admission. Hospital statin administration was not significantly different among the two groups.
While the study concludes that an elevated D-Dimer > 5000 ul/dl and lack of dyslipidemia history are independent predictors of COVID-19 related PE risk, it is limited by small sample size, retrospective nature, and lack of DVT studies.
July 8, 2020
- Impact of SARS-CoV-2 Viral Load on Risk of Intubation and Mortality Among Hospitalized Patients with Coronavirus Disease 2019. 6/30/20. Magleby R. Clin Infect Dis.
Review by the SAB
By Dr. David Clement, on behalf of the SAB
This retrospective observational study of 678 inpatients in NYC shows that SARS-CoV-2 viral loads, as determined by cycle time (Ct) values of the RT-PCR test, are independently associated with intubation and death among hospitalized patients. This suggests that Ct values should be reported to assist clinicians in identifying patients at high risk for adverse COVID-19-related outcomes. - Long-Term ACE Inhibitor/ARB Use Is Associated with Severe Renal Dysfunction and Acute Kidney Injury in Patients with severe COVID-19: Results from a Referral Center Cohort in the North East of France. 7/5/20. Oussalah A. Clin Infect Dis.
Editorial: ACE inhibitors/ARB use and COVID-19. Time to change practice or keep gathering data?. 7/4/20. de Feria A. Clin Infect Dis.
Review by the SAB
By Dr. Heinrich Wurm, on behalf of the SAB
This well-designed retrospective longitudinal cohort study on patients admitted for severe COVID-19 to a tertiary referral university hospital in France finds that chronic ACE inhibitor and ARB use was associated with an increased risk of acute kidney injury as well as a potential interaction with the occurrence of acute respiratory failure. Although retrospective, this study stands out in its use of large amounts of high quality data and their sophisticated analysis allowing identification of potential groups of patients at higher risk for poor outcomes.
The accompanying editorial poses the question whether and when this and similar studies will impact clinical decision making.
July 6, 2020
- Compassionate Use of Tocilizumab for Treatment of SARS-CoV-2 Pneumonia. 6/23/20. Jordan SC. Clin Infect Dis.
Review by the SAB
By Dr. Heinrich Wurm, on behalf of the SAB
Single center review by a multidisciplinary team from Cedars-Sinai following 27, mostly intubated, patients with confirmed SARS-CoV-2 pneumonia who received a single dose of 400 mg tocilizumab intravenously under a compassionate use protocol. Decreasing vasopressor support and oxygen requirements as well as lower C-reactive protein levels and temperature were observed in a majority of subjects monitored to assess anti-inflammatory effectiveness and clinical improvement.
Tocilizumab proved beneficial in reducing inflammation and improving clinical outcome including mortality. Final proof of the drug’s efficacy awaits a placebo-controlled trial, now underway.
July 1, 2020
- COVID and Coagulation: Bleeding and Thrombotic Manifestations of SARS-CoV2 Infection. 6/3/20. Al-Samkari H. Blood.
Review by the SAB
This is a retrospective observational study of data from 400 COVID-19 in-patients with D-dimer on admission to 5 affiliated Boston area hospitals between March 1 – April 5, 2020 with a data cutoff of April 8, 2020. All received prophylactic anticoagulation except one who was fully anticoagulated. Incidence of thrombosis and bleeding was similar to that reported in non-COVID-19 patients with equivalent illness severity. (9.5% had thrombosis and 4.8% hemorrhage w/ higher fractions in the critically ill.) There were no deaths from thrombosis and 1 from intracerebral hemorrhage. D-dimer on admission was predictive of thrombosis, bleeding, illness severity and death. The authors recommend that clinicians await the results of randomized clinical trials before increasing thromboprophylaxis dosages for COVID-19 patients, including the critically ill.
June 8, 2020
- Association of hypertension and antihypertensive treatment with COVID-19 mortality: a retrospective observational study. June 4. Gao C. Eur Heart J.
This is a large retrospective observational cohort study regarding a history of hypertension in 2877 consecutive patients admitted to a Covid-19 hospital in Wuhan. No HTN: n=2027. HTN n=850. “A total of 34/850 (4.0%) patients died in the hypertension cohort and 22/2027 (1.1%) died in the no hypertension cohort (crude HR 3.75, 95% CI 2.19–6.41, P < 0.001; Figure 1A). After adjustment for confounders, hypertension was still associated with a two-fold increase in the risk of mortality as compared with no hypertension (adjusted HR 2.12, 95% CI 1.17–3.82, P = 0.013; Table 2). The time from symptom onset to discharge was comparable between the two cohorts; however, patients with hypertension had the propensity to develop more severe/critical COVID-19 disease (P for trend < 0.001) and were more likely to receive invasive mechanical ventilation (P < 0.001).”
The SBP on admission was 10mmHg higher (136 vs. 126) in the HTN cohort, and DBP 80 vs. 83.5. Among the HTN group, there was no difference in admission BP between those on Rx. vs. those w/o Rx, and no difference between RAAS Rx and other anti-HTN Rx. 90 (64.3%) of the HTN by history patients that were untreated on admission received anti-HTN Rx after admission, none with RAAS inhibitors. 95% of patients on anti HTN Rx were continued, largely on the drugs they were on. (There appears to be an error in the percent calculations of RAAS inhibitor patients in their flow chart).
Results of a meta-analysis including 3 additional Chinese studies with a combined total of 808 patients are also included in their discussion.
“The main findings of this analysis can be summarized as follows: (i) after adjustment for confounders and compared with the non-hypertensive patients, the hypertensive patients continued to demonstrate a two-fold relative increase in the risk of COVID-19 mortality; (ii) the patients with a history of hypertension but without antihypertensive treatment were associated with a significantly higher risk of mortality compared with those with antihypertensive treatments; and (iii) the relative rates of mortality, the severity of COVID-19, and percentages of ventilation were not statistically different between the patients treated with RAAS inhibitors and non-RAAS inhibitors. However, in the meta-analysis, RAAS inhibitors tend to be associated with a lower risk of mortality.”
As described above, these data showed that untreated hypertensive patients are at the highest risk. There are remaining questions: (i) which kind of medication should be given to those patients (CCBs or RAAS inhibitors); (ii) could such medications mitigate the risk of these patients; and (iii) will the use of RAAS inhibitors affect the risk of infection when equally exposed to the virus?
Limitations: Retrospective, observational study. “While 2877 patients enrolled, only 183 patients with RAAS inhibitors and 527 patients with non-RAAS inhibitors were compared. (Statistically underpowered), our findings should be interpreted cautiously.” Short-term outcome study. - Characteristic of COVID-19 infection in pediatric patients: early findings from two Italian Pediatric Research Networks. June 3. Parri N. Eur J Pediatr.
We published a summary from China. Also, Docmatter had another summary from the MMWR which was a summary from the US. Is another similar one needed? They did reference that article: clinical presentation was only available in 9%. Yet their findings were similar to others: COVID-19 in children is mostly a mild disease. - Renin-angiotensin system inhibitors in the COVID-19 pandemic: consequences of antihypertensive drugs. June 4. Ruilope LM. Eur Heart J.
An editorial concurring with the conclusions of the large retrospective by C. Gao et al. on the association of HBP and HBP Rx on mortality in Covid-19 patients. The author points out that after pooling previously published data in a study-level meta-analysis, patients taking RAAS blockers were actually shown to have decreased mortality rates, and suggests a need to investigate RAAS blockers as possible specific treatment for COVID-19 patients.
June 5, 2020
- Impact of anticoagulation prior to COVID-19 infection: a propensity score-matched cohort study
May 27. Tremblay D. Blood.
Opinion from SAB Member: Dr. Joseph Anthony Caprini, Dr. Anil Hingorani
JC: This is a very clever analysis looking at patients who did or did not have therapeutic anticoagulation prior to developing the viral infection as a result of their underlying condition. The same analysis was done in patients on antiplatelet therapy. The results showed no benefit of either anticoagulation or antiplatelet therapy in changing all-cause mortality, mechanical ventilation, and hospital admission. They comment that the results of this study do not rule out the possibility that among some groups of patients suffering from the virus therapeutic anticoagulation following diagnosis may be important and beneficial. They further comment that their findings agree with the current recommendations of the American Society of Hematology that state that the benefit of therapeutic anticoagulation in patients with COVID-19 is unknown.
AH: These data are from Mount Sinai. The authors use retrospective propensity matching for anticoagulation usage before COVID-19 diagnosis. No benefit of any single anticoagulation type was noted. The article suggests we may need multiple types of treatment. This paper is novel and raises good questions. - Mortality and pulmonary complications in patients undergoing surgery with perioperative SARS-CoV-2 infection: an international cohort study
May 29. CovidSurg Collaborative. The Lancet.
Opinion from SAB Member: Dr. Anil Hingorani, Dr. Joseph Anthony Caprini
AH: 30-day results of an international cohort study assessing postoperative outcomes in 1128 adults with COVID-19 who were undergoing a broad range of surgeries. SARS-CoV-2 infection was diagnosed postoperatively in more than two-thirds of the patients (806 [71·5%]). The primary outcome was overall postoperative mortality at 30 days, and the rate was high at 23·8% (268 of 1128 patients). Pulmonary complications occurred in 577 (51·2%) patients and 30-day mortality in these patients was 38·0% (219 of 577).
JC: This represents a very important study demonstrating a high incidence of relatively severe complications including death postoperatively. There are obvious flaws in this study as expressed by both the authors and in the subsequent editorial. Nevertheless, these data emphasize the importance of improved preventative measures including the vaccine as well as a multimodal therapeutic approach involving drugs representing hematologic immunologic and inflammatory pathways.
June 3, 2020
- Characterization and clinical course of 1000 patients with coronavirus disease 2019 in New York: retrospective case series. May 29. Argenziano MG. BMJ.
Extensive data on demographics, presenting symptoms, comorbidities on presentation, hospital course, time to intubation, complications, mortality, and disposition. Lacked information on anticoagulation and incidence of VTE. - Nasal Gene Expression of Angiotensin-Converting Enzyme 2 in Children and Adults
May 20. Bunyavanich S. JAMA.
Nasal ACE2 Levels and COVID-19 in Children
May 20. Patel AB. JAMA.
Opinion from SAB Member: Dr. J. Lance Lichtor
Why do children seem to have a lower incidence of COVID-19 infection? The authors Bunyavanich, et al studied nasal epithelium samples obtained between 2015-2018 from 305 individuals 4-60 years both with and without asthma as part of a research study on nasal biomarkers of asthma to examine ACE2 gene expression. They found a positive association between ACE2 gene expression and age that was independent of sex and asthma. In the accompanying editorial, the authors note that since ACE2 binds to the receptor binding domain of SARS-CoV-2, by decreasing ACE2 gene expression, that might help mitigate transmission of COVID-19. Patel et al provide a nice editorial on the topic that references the Bunyavanich, et al study.
June 1, 2020
- Extremely High Incidence of Lower Extremity Deep Venous Thrombosis in 48 Patients with Severe COVID-19 in Wuhan
May 15. Ren B. Circulation.
Opinion from SAB Member: Dr. Anil Hingorani
AH: The duplex exam were performed in 48 ICU patients in China. 84% were positive for DVT. All but one was on LWMH. 10% of lower extremity DVTs were proximal. This is not a bad paper but the series is small. - Nasal Gene Expression of Angiotensin-Converting Enzyme 2 in Children and Adults. May 20. Bunyavanich S. JAMA.
Why do children seem to have a lower incidence of COVID-19 infection? The authors studied nasal epithelium samples obtained between 2015-2018 from 305 individuals 4-60 years both with and without asthma as part of a research study on nasal biomarkers of asthma to examine ACE2 gene expression. They found a positive association between ACE2 gene expression and age that was independent of sex and asthma. In the accompanying editorial, the authors note that since ACE2 binds to the receptor binding domain of SARS-CoV-2, by decreasing ACE2 gene expression, that might help mitigate transmission of COVID-19.
May 29, 2020
- Covid-19, Angiogenesis, and ARDS Endotypes
May 21. Hariri L. The New England Journal of Medicine.
Opinion from SAB Member: Dr. Anil Hingorani, Dr. Louis McNabb
AH: Editorial points out limitations of the Ackermann paper: n=7, none intubated, only 20% with noninvasive ventilation. Exact correlation with the time course of the disease and the findings are not clear.
LM: Complimentary article to Ackermann’s paper suggesting that the small vessel disruption in COVID-19 may represent a specific ARDS histologic phenotype. - Pulmonary Vascular Endothelialitis, Thrombosis, and Angiogenesis in Covid-19
May 21. Ackermann M. The New England Journal of Medicine.
Opinion from SAB Member: Dr. Anil Hingorani, Dr. Louis McNabb
AH: This is an autopsy study of 7 COVID-19 patients compared to 7 H1N1 patients, age and gender matched with 10 controls. Tests performed: histology, electron microscopy and gene array. Widespread thrombosis with microangiopathy were seen. COVID-19 patients had more alveolar capillary microthrombi and new vessel growth–predominantly through a mechanism of intussusceptive angiogenesis. Gene analysis also showed more angiogenesis.
LM: This study compared lung histology of 7 patients dying of COVID-19 vs. 7 patients dying of influenza. Key Points: 1) COVID-19 patients had 9 times more capillary micro-thrombi, 2) Disrupted capillary cell membranes with intracellular virus were seen, 3) Perivascular t-cell infiltration was seen, and 4) COVID-19 patients had 2.7 more times new vessel growth through the mechanism of intussusceptive angiogenesis. - The association of low serum albumin level with severe COVID-19: a systematic review and meta-analysis. May 26. Aziz M. Crit Care.
Meta-analysis of 11 studies with 910 patients finding a significantly lower admission serum albumin (3.5 g/dL) in severe COVID-19 patients than in those with non-severe disease (4.0 g/dL). Of note, patient mean age was 48. The primary cause and clinical significance of this difference is not known.
May 28, 2020
- Alterations in Gut Microbiota of Patients With COVID-19 During Time of Hospitalization. May 14. Zuo T. Gastroenterology.
Pilot, prospective comparison of fecal microbiomes in samples from 15 hospitalized COVID-19 patients in Hong Kong with samples from 6 patients hospitalized with community acquired pneumonia and 15 controls. Samples were collected 2-3 times a week until hospital discharge. Samples from COVID-19 patients had increased opportunistic pathogens and decreased beneficial commensals. Bacterial levels remained low and altered from a healthy microbiome even after RT-PCR tests became negative and respiratory symptoms had resolved. COVID-19 patients treated with antibiotics showed a larger change from a healthy microbiome. Baseline (but after admission) Coprobaccillus, Clostriium ramosum, and Clostridium hathewayi correlated with COVID-19 severity, while amounts of the anti-inflammatory Faecalibacterium inversely correlated with severity. Several Bacteroides species, which down regulate ACE2 expression, inversely correlated with viral load, suggesting that it may play a protective role. Study is limited by small sample size, unknown baseline microbiome prior to disease onset, lack of patients with asymptomatic or mild COVID-19. - Famotidine Use is Associated with Improved Clinical Outcomes in Hospitalized COVID-19 Patients: A Propensity Score Matched Retrospective Cohort Study. May 14. Freedberg DE. Gastroenterology.
This retrospective cohort study from a single NY institution looked at the relationship between famotidine exposure of Covid-19 patients within 24 hours of hospitalization and death or endotracheal intubation from hospital day 2 to 30. They studied all Covid-19 positive patients from 2/25/20-4/13/20. 84 patients, representing 15% of 1,620 analyzed, were in the famotidine exposed group. Doses and route of adminstration varied. Median length of treatment was 5.8 days. Adjusted hazard risk of death or intubation was 0.42. PPIs did not show a protective effect. Next, 784 patients w/o COVID-19 were analyzed and famotidine exposure did not show a protective effect. A lower peak ferritin value was observed among famotidine-exposed patients, supporting the hypothesis that cytokine release in famotidine exposed patients may be lower in the setting of Covid-19. An untargeted computer modeling analysis identified famotidine as one of the highest-ranked matches for drugs predicted to bind 3CL (3), a SARS-CoV-2 protease.
May 27, 2020
- Critically ill patients with COVID-19 in New York City
May 19. Grasselli. The Lancet.
Opinion from SAB Member: Dr. Jagdip Shah
This editorial describes the study by Matthew J. Cummings, et al as a high-quality example of research even when facing an overwhelming clinical workload. The authors claim that further studies are required to improve and personalize patient treatment, with particular attention to the role of initial non-invasive respiratory support strategies, timing of intubation, optimal setting of mechanical ventilation, and efficacy and safety of immunomodulating agents and anticoagulation strategies. - Detection of SARS-CoV-2 in human breastmilk. May 21 Groß. Lancet.
In this study of 2 women with severe COVID-19 disease, one mother shed SARS-CoV-2 RNA from breast milk for 4 days. Interesting but a small study. - Epidemiology, clinical course, and outcomes of critically ill adults with COVID-19 in New York City: a prospective cohort study
May 19. Cummings. The Lancet.
Opinion from SAB Member: Dr. Jagdip Shah
1150 adults were admitted in this prospective study from 2 hospitals (Columbia, New York). Both hospitals were able to utilize more than double the ICU surge capacity. 257 were critically ill with confirmed COVID-19. The median age of patients was 62 years, 67% were men, 82% of patients had at least one chronic illness, (HTN, DM, BMI > 30). A high incidence of critical illness among racial and ethnic minorities in this pandemic is noted. 39% of patients had died and 37% remained hospitalized, 79% patients had to be mechanically ventilated for 18 days, 66% of 257 patients received vasopressors and 31% RRT. The authors present extensive respiratory and critical illness parameters on the first day of critical illness (medians): SOFA = 11, lowest PaO2:FiO2 = 129 mmHg, plateau airway pressure = 27 cmH2O, highest PEEP = 15 cmH2O.
In the multivariable Cox model, older age (HR 1.31 per 10-year increase), chronic cardiac disease (HR 1.76), chronic pulmonary disease (HR 2.94), higher concentrations of interleukin-6 (HR 1.11 per decile increase), and higher concentrations of D-dimer (HR 1.10 per decile increase) were independently associated with in-hospital mortality. Univariate and multivariate HRs being somewhat similar suggest a higher confidence in the study and the group composition.
Patients hospitalized with COVID-19 had a high frequency of invasive mechanical ventilation, extrapulmonary organ dysfunction, and substantial in-hospital mortality. - Features of 20‚133 UK patients in hospital with Covid-19 using the ISARIC WHO Clinical Characterisation Protocol: prospective observational cohort study
May 22. Docherty. BMJ.
Opinion from SAB Member: Dr. David M. Clement
This is a somewhat different twist on the numerous studies describing symptoms, co-morbidities and outcomes with COVID-19 inpatients. It is a prospective, observational cohort study from the UK of 20,100 inpatients who were tracked with a pandemic protocol written before the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic in response to the H1N1 and MERS epidemics. An army of 2,468 research nurses, administrators and medical students collected data using a pre-pandemic standardized form and protocol in 208 hospitals on about a third of RT-PCR positive patients. Of note, symptoms were present in overlapping clusters reflecting organ systems involved (lung, GI, musculoskeletal and musculo-cutaneous). Overall, symptoms, comorbidities and outcomes were somewhat similar to previous studies: 41% of patients were discharged alive, 26% died and 34% were still inpatients. In ICU patients, 32% died and 41% were still admitted. The utility of pre-pandemic preparation for many facets of care was apparent. - Pulmonary fibrosis and COVID-19: the potential role for antifibrotic therapy
May 15. George. Lancet Respir Med.
Opinion from SAB Member: Dr. Louis McNabb, Dr. Edward S. Schulman
LM: This is an opinion article raising the issue of long-term pulmonary fibrosis in survivors of severe COVID-19 pneumonia/ARDS. The authors discuss the logic for considering anti-fibrotic drugs such as: pirfenidone and nintedanib. They also discuss many other experimental anti-fibrotic drugs and their potential mechanism of action in COVID-19.
ESS: While it may eventually become pertinent to consider the theoretical role of anti-fibrotic agents in the treatment of COVID-19, it must be noted that we do not yet know the natural history of lung injury in survivors and whether fibrosis is a persistent feature. With regards to pirfenidone and nintedanib, these agents carry significant side-effect profiles including nausea, vomiting, diarrhea and liver injury that may preclude their use in critically ill COVID-19 patients. Furthermore, the authors of this paper acknowledge relationships including “personal fees with the companies marketing pirfenidone and nintedanib.” - Pulmonary fibrosis secondary to COVID-19: a call to arms?
May 15. Spagnolo. Lancet Respir Med.
Opinion from SAB Member: Dr. Louis McNabb
This is a short article pointing out the potential for a large population of COVID-19 survivors with residual pulmonary fibrosis and its consequences. - Therapy with agents acting on the renin-angiotensin system and risk of SARS-CoV-2 infection
May 22. Gnavi. Clinical Infectious Diseases.
Opinion from SAB Member: Dr. Jay Przybylo
This is a study with controls demonstrating that patients treated with ACE inhibitors (ACEi) or Angiotensin II Receptor Blockers (ARBs), in particular those with diabetes or cardiovascular disease, were not more susceptible to SARS-CoV-19 infection due to drug therapy.
May 22, 2020
- Tracheostomy in the COVID-19 era: global and multidisciplinary guidance
May 15. McGrath. Lancet Respir Med.
Opinion from SAB Member: Dr. Jay Przybylo
Presented by an international, multidisciplinary team, this article attempts to limit “conflicting recommendations” that have arisen in this pandemic regarding tracheostomies. Using COVID-19 as the example, the paper reviews the history of pandemics, searches the literature for guidance, and describes the issues of tracheostomy–in non-COVID-19 patients less than 50% of trached patients survive to leave the hospital and 12% are functional at 1 year while in COVID-19 the statistics are worse, suggesting a longer wait prior to tracheostomy. Using data on the infectious nature of COVID-19, the wait allows the detectable virus to drop below 50% of patients while allowing antibodies to become detectable in most. With this timing, the incidence of trach is 0.5%. The location of the procedure and the optimal procedure are discussed. The care of patients with emphasis on healthcare provider safety is discussed. The paper contains multiple, easily interpretable tables and graphs. Not a science paper with statistics and errors supplied, this paper promotes standards that can (should) be met worldwide.
May 21, 2020
- Cardiovascular implications of the COVID-19 pandemic: a global perspective
May 10. Boukhris. Canadian Journal of Cardiology.
Opinion from SAB Member: Dr. Jagdip Shah
Cardiologists from across the world provide a holistic review of the present and future of their acute and chronic issues with clinical practice in this article. The article provides a comprehensive overview with evidence-based input of the pathophysiology and the dynamic cardiovascular implications of COVID-19. The authors have made an excellent effort to explain pathophysiology for noncardiac conditions, drug implication and their interactions as well. They noted that the information in references here is contemporary and relevant. It offers a detailed recommendation of existing pathways of care, the role of modern technologies (AI, social media, smartphones, telemedicine, etc.) to tackle the patient care issues in this pandemic, which other specialties can adopt. This is a practical, realistic proposal of novel management algorithms for the most common acute cardiac conditions with excellent tables and figures that are easy to read and follow.
Although respiratory symptoms dominate the clinical presentation, COVID-19 is known to have potentially serious cardiovascular consequences, including myocardial injury, myocarditis, acute coronary syndrome, pulmonary embolism, stroke, arrhythmias, heart failure, and cardiogenic shock. The cardiac manifestations of COVID-19 may be related to the adrenergic drive, systemic inflammatory milieu and cytokine-release syndrome caused by SARS-CoV-2, direct viral infection of myocardial and endothelial cells, hypoxia due to respiratory failure, electrolytic imbalances, fluid overload, and side effects of certain COVID-19 medications known to be in practice currently. - Cardiovascular Safety of Potential Drugs for the Treatment of Coronavirus Disease 2019
May 20. Aggarwal. The American Journal of Cardiology.
Opinion from SAB Member: Dr. J. Lance Lichtor
Any drug might have an effect on the heart. The authors have provided a nice summary of the cardiac safety of various drugs used to treat patients with COVID-19, including chloroquine/hydroxychloroquine, azithromycin, remdesivir and lopinavir/ritonavir, interferon-alpha, and briefly concerning some other therapies. - Neurologic complications of COVID-19
May 10. Bridwell. American Journal of Emergency Medicine.
Opinion from SAB Member: Dr. W. Heinrich Wurm
Announced by the authors as, “A practical review of the literature aimed at the emergency medicine clinician”, this review of 60 recent papers dealing with the neurological impact of COVID-19 adds value for the clinician without being superficial. The avenues of direct viral assault via endothelial ACE-2 receptors, retrograde migration via the nasopharynx into the olfactory system, or via transsynaptic transmission, are highlighted, as well as the impact of secondary events like the systemic inflammatory response evoked by the virus and its impact on the blood brain barrier or the effect hypoxia may exert on cerebral autoregulation.
In addition to highlighting clinical presentations, this review points to pre-existing neurological disease like stroke and Parkinson’s as an important risk factor not only for added neurological complications, but for severity of illness and mortality. A table listing the side effects of various pharmaceuticals used to treat COVID-19 provides another helpful addition for the practitioner. - The Relationship between Status at Presentation and Outcomes among Pregnant Women with COVID-19. 5/20/20. London V. Am J Perinatol.
Review by the SAB
By Dr. Lydia Cassorla, on behalf of the SAB
This is a single-center retrospective cohort study of pregnant women who tested positive for COVID-19 at one Brooklyn hospital from March 15 to April 15, 2020. Fifty-five SARS-CoV-2 positive pregnant women were followed to term and 1 had fetal demise at 17 weeks. Among parturients with COVID-19 symptoms at presentation (n = 33), 16 (48.5%) had Cesarean delivery, 9 (27.3%) had preterm birth <37 weeks of whom 7 were C/Section for maternal respiratory distress. Twelve (26%) required respiratory support including 1 who required mechanical ventilation. Among those who were asymptomatic at presentation (n = 22), 6 (27%) had Cesarean delivery, and there were no preterm births. Pregnant women who present without symptoms remained asymptomatic to a greater degree than has been reported from cohorts of older individuals. Initially, patients were only tested because of symptoms of potential exposure. Universal testing began during the study period and 13.3% of 76 asymptomatic patients tested after that date were COVID-19 positive. Of 48 neonates tested on day 0 by PCR, none tested positive for COVID-19. Conclusion: Pregnant women with COVID-19-related symptoms have a high rate of severe disease and preterm birth due to Cesarean delivery to treat maternal respiratory distress.
May 20, 2020
- Are Gastrointestinal Symptoms Specific for COVID-19 Infection? A Prospective Case-Control Study from the United States. May 19. Chen. Gastroenterology.
Though this is the first prospective study of GI symptoms in COVID-19 patients, its findings are not surprising. This study from Baltimore was a prospective, case-controlled study of 340 consecutive patients tested by RT-PCR. Symptoms of anorexia and diarrhea, combined with the loss of smell and taste and fever predicted a positive test with 99% specificity. No mention is made of how patients were chosen for RT-PCR testing, no discussion of the influence of false negative test was given, and no patients under 18 yo were included. - COVID-19 update: Covid-19-associated coagulopathy
May 15. Becker. Journal of Thrombosis and Thrombolysis.
Opinion from SAB Member: Dr. Anil Hingorani, Dr. Lydia Cassorla, Dr. Joseph Anthony Caprini
AH: This article contains very detailed data on COVID-19 and its effects on coagulopathy that includes basic science.
LC: This comprehensive and detailed analysis of COVID-19 associated coagulopathy (bleeding and thrombosis phenotypes) is a deep dive into both what is known and speculation about pathophysiology. Overlapping and distinguishing features relative to DIC and thrombotic microangiopathies (including TTP, HUS, pre/eclampsia) are reviewed. Lab features of COVID coagulopathy more resemble DIC, with the exception of the absence of low platelet count. A useful table for comparison is provided. Virchow’s triad of pro-thrombotic factors holds strong. (Abnormal blood flow, vascular injury and abnormalities within the circulating blood). US and international guidelines regarding thromboprophylaxis are reviewed as the world awaits more definitive data from ongoing clinical trials.
JC: This is an incredibly important paper describing the sophisticated array of changes associated with this viral infection. It is must reading for those interested in learning more about the pathophysiology of the disease. There are too many important points in this paper to repeat otherwise we would rewrite the paper. Most sentences are packed with information. What is important for all of us to understand is that this viral infection is much more than the coagulation system gone wild. In addition, no amount of heparin anticoagulation will be the answer to controlling the morbidity and mortality associated with this disease. The important take away is a concept introduced nearly 50 years ago by the famous hematologist Oscar Ratnoff. He described a “tangled hemostatic web” where contact activation pathways of the blood beginning with factor XII (Hageman factor) resulted in a triggering of platelet, coagulation, fibrinolysis, complement, and kallikrein pathways. The clinical result was not only thrombosis but also systemic vascular changes consistent with activation of both the inflammatory and immunologic pathways. The implications of this work quite clearly involved therapeutic approaches not only involving anticoagulation but also perhaps antiplatelet, anti-fibrinolytic, anti-inflammatory, and anti-immunologic therapy. We know there are various stages of the disease and introducing these modalities at different times may also be important. I personally feel that this knowledge intensifies my zeal for providing early and adequate anticoagulation to these patients along with anti-inflammatory and anti-immunologic therapy to prevent the progression of the disease. - Below are three recent literature reviews on neurological manifestations and complications of COVID-19 as well as possible psychiatric and neuropsychiatric effects on patients that are now available. Relying primarily on case reports and pre COVID-19 coronavirus research there is strong suspicion that SARS-CoV-2 gains access to both the central and peripheral nervous system directly and possibly to a larger extent than observed in SARS or MERS. While the etiological mechanisms of anosmia remain unclear, this early sign may be a clue to the neurotropism of the SARS-CoV-2 virus. Separating primary neurologic injury from secondary effects of severe illness, hypoxia, hyper-inflammatory state and multi-organ failure, represents an additional hurdle. While new onset psychiatric illness is unlikely to follow COVID-19 recovery, patients are prone to suffer post-traumatic stress disorder and its complex symptomatology.
- Neurological manifestations of COVID-19 and other coronavirus infections: A systematic review
Apr 28. Montalvan. Clinical Neurology and Neurosurgery.
Opinion from SAB Member: Dr. W. Heinrich Wurm
This is a systematic review of 67 studies dealing with neurological manifestations of COVID-19, including encephalitis, Guillain Barre, multiple sclerosis, and stroke, but also reviewing available evidence of neurotropism of CoV observed during SARS and MERS. Direct viral access to the CNS through the cribriform plate and olfactory bulb and dissemination via trans-synaptic transfer to the peripheral nervous system remains under investigation, as is the invasion of the medullary cardiorespiratory center as a postulated cause of refractory respiratory failure observed in COVID-19. Future research into the expression of ACE2 receptors in neurological tissues could be the key to some of these questions. - Psychiatric and neuropsychiatric presentations associated with severe coronavirus infections: a systematic review and meta-analysis with comparison to the COVID-19 pandemic
May 18. Rogers. The Lancet Psychiatry.
Opinion from SAB Member: Dr. W. Heinrich Wurm
This systematic review and meta-analysis of 70+ papers deals primarily with psychiatric sequelae of SARS-CoV and MERS-CoV and suggests that among patients admitted to hospital for severe SARS or MERS coronavirus infections, delirium is common acutely, whereas post-traumatic stress disorder, depression, anxiety, and fatigue are common in the following months. COVID-19 patients are likely to experience delirium, confusion, agitation, and altered consciousness, as well as symptoms of depression, anxiety, and insomnia but at this point there is not enough data to determine the overall extent and impact of such sequelae. Based on their review, the authors believe there is no indication that COVID-19 results in new onset mental illness. - Neurological manifestations and complications of COVID-19: A literature review
Apr 24. Ahmad. Journal of Clinical Neuroscience.
Opinion from SAB Member: Dr. W. Heinrich Wurm
Narrative review covering the neurological manifestations of COVID-19 based on an English language literature search which at the time of submission (April 24th) consisted of only two series: one retrospective chart review from China (245 patients, 45% neurologic involvement), and one observational study from France (58 patients, 84% neurological involvement). Following a brief discussion of SARS-CoV2’s access to central and peripheral neurons, the authors postulate the two prime mechanisms responsible for neurological injury to be hypoxia and the COVID-19 immune response. What follows are a series of case reports of central and peripheral nervous system effects, including encephalopathies, encephalitis, and strokes, as well as anosmia, myelitis, Guillian Barre syndrome and a poorly defined but not infrequently seen syndrome of skeletal muscle damage accompanied by CPK elevations, severe muscle pain and signs of concomitant kidney and liver injury. The authors conclude with a call for clinicians to track and report more detailed information on neurological manifestations of COVID-19.
- Neurological manifestations of COVID-19 and other coronavirus infections: A systematic review
- Unique Patterns of Cardiovascular Involvement in COVID-19. May 11. Hendren. J Card Fail.
The authors described the variable presentations of cardiac involvement in COVID-19 within the broader spectrum of symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infection, something that has previously been proposed. There are two phenotypes: cardiac involvement superimposed on top of the typical pulmonary predominate symptoms or isolated or predominate cardiac presentation. Though fever is common with typical pulmonary involvement, not so in the predominate cardiac phenotype. The troponin level with an isolated cardiac presentation can be absent or markedly elevated depending on the presentation. Though with a cardiac predominate disease there may be chest pain due to a myocardial infarction, patients with COVID-19 disease superimposed on pulmonary disease. Much speculation.
May 19, 2020
- Angiotensin II infusion in COVID-19-associated vasodilatory shock: a case series
May 15. Zangrillo. Critical Care.
Opinion from SAB Member: Dr. Philip Lumb
This research letter details a trial of angiotensin II (ANGII) in 16 patients with vasodilatory shock resistant to high dose catecholamine (norepinephrine > 0.25 mcg/kg/min) as either first line or rescue infusion in a compassionate use protocol. Patients demonstrated improvement in oxygenation parameters associated with ANGII infusion; catecholamines were withdrawn or significantly reduced after 24 hours. Small series with interesting and favorable results. - Risk Factors of Severe Disease and Efficacy of Treatment in Patients Infected with COVID-19: A Systematic Review, Meta-Analysis and Meta-Regression Analysis. May 14. Zhang. Clin Infect Dis.
This is an extensive meta-analysis and meta-regression of 45 studies (Asia only) with 4,203 patients, noted rates of intensive care unit (ICU) admission (10.9%), mortality (4.3%) and acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) (18.4%). The investigators followed up with the regression analysis of these patients and studied the associations with the key epidemiological features, clinical characteristics, laboratory investigations, radiological findings, treatment details for outcomes of COVID-19. The investigators have statistically significant proof for their finding that: 1. elevated LDH is a significant predictive marker of ARDS; 2. Both elevated leukocyte count and elevated LDH suggests clinically a secondary infection and its complication on multi-systems which also predict the mortality; 3. Treatment with the anti-retroviral drug lopinavir-ritonavir was not associated (antiviral treatment likely to be all 6, 4 or 2 drugs) with any additional significant benefit on complications or outcome; and 4. corticosteroids were associated with possible harm.
Strength: Extensive statistical proof while addressing biases. The publications included were GRADE (A method of exclusion) then addressed by several filters for the non-validity, has excellent graphs and tables. The secondary outcome (infection – 8.9% cardiac injury 7.8 %..) noted. Subgroup analysis for antiviral drugs and steroids are also complementary to the investigation.
Weakness: No mention of -> Prone benefits, convalescent plasma therapy OR HCQ, LDH and its association with shock or antiviral Meds. Asian patients only (High tobacco?). - Smell and taste alterations in Covid-19: a cross-sectional analysis of different cohorts
May 14. Paderno. Allergy & Rhinology.
Opinion from SAB Member: Dr. J. Lance Lichtor
In this study of a little over 500 patients who were either hospitalized or in quarantine with laboratory confirmed SARS-CoV-2 disease, whose data was collected between March 27 and April 1 via survey, the prevalence of olfactory and gustatory dysfunction was greater than 50%. There was a higher prevalence in home-quarantined patients (79% vs 72%). Hospitalized patients, though, had more dyspnea and a lower rate of flu-like syndrome. Indeed, because of a severe clinical condition and a decrease in oral intake, the perception of olfactory and gustatory dysfunction in the inpatient setting was likely lower than for outpatients. Outpatients were also younger, healthier, were less likely to smoke, and were more likely female. - Understanding pathophysiology of hemostasis disorders in critically ill patients with COVID-19
May 15. Joly. Intensive Care Medicine.
Opinion from SAB Member: Dr. Anil Hingorani, Dr. Joseph Anthony Caprini
AH: This review of the literature of COVID-19 and its effects on coagulation is complete and bridges into the clinical effects of this knowledge.
JC: This paper describes a number of interesting observations regarding the pathophysiology and clinical manifestations of this disease. The focus of this paper on heparin, while important, does not adequately reflect to the reader what is involved in the correlation between pathophysiology and various treatment modalities. The Becker paper captures more fully the myriad of pathophysiologic mechanisms, and provides a good source for the interested reader regarding these interactions in COVID-19. The bottom line for the treating physician is there is going to be a combination of therapeutic modalities including heparin at various stages of the disease needed to blunt the pathophysiologic changes described in this paper. Thromboelastography is mentioned in this paper as a possible way to measure the sum total of these effects using a global test. I’m a strong proponent of this method, having worked with it for many years, but it is not quite ready for clinical application except in prospective studies correlating the results with known hemostatic tests. Reminding us that evidence-based data is not available for full anticoagulation isn’t very helpful, especially since there are a number of reports showing a variety of beneficial effects with these treatment doses.
May 16, 2020
- A Game Plan for the Resumption of Sport and Exercise After Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) Infection
May 13. Phelan. JAMA Cardiology.
Opinion from SAB Member: Dr. Barry Perlman
Expert consensus opinion from members of the American College of Cardiology’s Sports & Exercise Cardiology Council, with input from national leaders in sports cardiology, regarding when those recovered from COVID-19 can return to recreational or competitive sports. Acute cardiac injury, based on elevated troponin, EKG changes, or ECHO abnormalities, occur in up to 22% of hospitalized COVID-19 patients. After myocarditis, return to play should require “normalization of ventricular function, absence of biomarker evidence of inflammation, and absence of inducible arrhythmias.” ECHO, stress testing, and rhythm monitoring are used to determine risk stratification after 3-6 months of exercise restriction. An algorithm is provided based on COVID-19 testing and symptoms: 1) Asymptomatic COVID-19 positive athletes or those who have detected antibodies indicating prior infection can slowly resume activity after 2 weeks; 2) If mild or moderate symptoms, a minimum of 2 weeks cessation of exercise training after symptoms resolve is recommended, and if cardiovascular evaluation including cardiac biomarkers and imaging reveal evidence of cardiac involvement, myocarditis return-to-play guidelines should be followed; 3) For those who were hospitalized or had more severe COVID-19, myocarditis return-to-play guidelines should be followed, and if cardiac biomarkers and imaging are normal after cardiac reevaluation graded, resumption of exercise can start at a minimum of 2 weeks after symptom resolution. - AGA Institute Rapid Review of the GI and Liver Manifestations of COVID-19, Meta-Analysis of International Data, and Recommendations for the Consultative Management of Patients with COVID-19
May 1. Sultan. Gastroenterology.
Opinion from SAB Member: Dr. David M. Clement
This is an excellent paper from the American Gastroenterological Association for frontline workers wanting to understand and care for patients with GI disease during the COVID-19 pandemic. It starts with a detailed meta-analysis (47 studies with 10,890 patients) of GI symptoms and abnormal LFTs in patients with COVID-19. Overall, 10% of COVID-19 patients had GI symptoms and 15% had elevations of AST and/or ALT. Both GI symptoms and elevated LFTs were more common outside China. Occasionally, GI symptoms presented before other COVID-19 symptoms. Though fecal RT-PCR testing is commonly positive, culture of SARS-CoV-2 is rarely successful. Numerous tables are included, such as the GI side effects of commonly used COVID-19 drugs. Based on all pooled information, guidelines are presented for frontline providers dealing with GI symptoms in the COVID-19 era. These include, among others, checking for other etiologies of GI symptoms in outpatients, following LFTs on COVID-19 inpatients, not testing stool, and following outpatients with GI symptoms alone in case they develop COVID-19. - Anaesthesia and intensive care in obstetrics during the COVID-19 pandemic. May 6. Morau. Anaesth Crit Care Pain Med.
This is a complete recommendation list to all personnel, how to prepare for COVID-19 environments at labor and delivery (L&D) room. The author points out that L&D cannot afford to hold back and has to continue to perform the duty irrespective of the pandemic which is of high transmissibility and infectivity of this virus. The authors have provided management skills required for this disease in detail regarding all system involvements and their complications that pertain to parturient. The authors review the antenatal, post and intra natal care, role of triage, role of testing for COVID-19, anesthetic care, pain treatment, staff training…and stresses the need for PPE but be prepared for telemedicine where it’s possible, infection control, and a need to be vigilant of known complications to mother/fetus and offers practical points. A helpful guide to all L&D staff. - Development and Validation of a Clinical Risk Score to Predict the Occurrence of Critical Illness in Hospitalized Patients With COVID-19. May 12. Liang. JAMA Intern Med.
Developed a prediction model for composite end point of ICU admit, need for a ventilator, and death based on ten variables: cxray abnormality, age, hemoptysis, dyspnea, unconsciousness, # of comorbidities, cancer hx, neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio, LDH, and direct bilirubin. - Gastrointestinal and Liver Manifestations of COVID-19. Mar 1. Agarwal. J Clin Exp Hepatol.
A brief literature review of GI symptoms and elevated LFTs in COVID-19 patients. Mostly data from China, somewhat dated.
May 15, 2020
- An outbreak of severe Kawasaki-like disease at the Italian epicentre of the SARS-CoV-2 epidemic: an observational cohort study
May 13. Verdoni. The Lancet.
Opinion from SAB Member: Dr. Jay Przybylo
A study of Kawasaki-like illness comparing children presenting over a five-year period prior to SARS-CoV-2 to a group of children presenting in a two-month period after SARS-CoV-2. The disease is further broken down into children presenting with circulatory dysfunction vs immune system disorder. An included table describes in depth all possible variables of the COVID-19 patients. Compared with adults, children have a more benign respiratory illness, yet suffer from vasculitis and cytokine storm. All received immunoglobulin in addition to aspirin. Steroids were administered to a minority of patients. No children were reported to die. The report contains a discussion of Kawasaki Syndrome and links the probable cause to a virus. - Manifestations and prognosis of gastrointestinal and liver involvement in patients with COVID-19: a systematic review and meta-analysis. May 12. Mao. The Lancet Gastroenterology and Hepatology.
Lengthy meta-analysis from China detailing the GI symptoms and LFTs in COVID-19 patients. The pooled prevalence of digestive symptoms was 15%, and of abnormal liver functions was 19%. Of note, pediatric patients with COVID-19 had a similar prevalence of gastrointestinal symptoms to those of adult patients. More severe GI symptoms and abnormal liver tests were more common in patients with severe COVID-19 disease.
May 14, 2020
- Liver injury is associated with severe Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) infection: a systematic review and meta-analysis of retrospective studies. May 10. Parohan. Hepatol Res.
From 212 articles from around the world (English & non-English literature), 20 articles were selected from various sources by Iranian investigators, 3,428 patients were entered in meta-analysis with complete records. They followed by a systematic review and meta-analysis, analyzing the laboratory findings and trying to ascertain the mechanism of liver injury caused by COVID-19 infection. Here is an excellent effort for the collection, analyzing and applying of appropriate statistics for the data by the authors. They noted that a mild to moderate derangement of liver profile (AST, ALT, total Bilirubin and Albumin levels) was associated with severe outcome from COVID-19 infection. But offer a limited inference of mode of injury except to point out a derangement of endothelial ACE2 cells in liver and or in biliary tree, perhaps toxicity of anti-viral drugs and inflammatory cytokine production abnormality or maybe part of MOF. - RAAs inhibitors and outcome in patients with SARS-CoV-2 pneumonia. A case series study. May 9. Conversano. Hypertension.
Retrospective, observational study of 191 confirmed COVID-19 patients from one Italian hospital. 50% had HTN, and 70% of those were on ACEI or ARBs. 28 patients were still hospitalized at the end of the study. Age, HF, and CKD were univariate predictors of mortality, but HTN and ACEI/ARB treatment were not.
May 13, 2020
- Characteristics and clinical significance of myocardial injury in patients with severe coronavirus disease 2019. May 12. Shi. Eur Heart J.
No real news here, but large number of cases and associated data illustrate that cardiac involvement is an important predictor of death with COVID-19. All consecutive patients admitted to Renmin Hospital of Wuhan University between 1/1/20 and 2/23/20 with laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 were included in this retrospective study. Data from 671/1001 unique severe cases with adequate information was analyzed. Study period ended on a given date, not with definitive outcome. A great deal of data is presented, not only regarding myocardial injury. 62(9.2%) died of whom 75.8% had elevated initial cardiac troponin (cTnl), vs 9.7% of survivors. Among many other factors, (none surprising), elevated cTnI, CK-MB and NT-ProBNP levels were predictors of risk for in-hospital death, along with age, CV morbidities and inflammatory response. cTnI > 0.026 ng/mL was associated with a hazard ratio of 4.56. - Characteristics and outcomes of patients hospitalized for COVID-19 and cardiac disease in Northern Italy. May 9. Inciardi. Eur Heart J.
A retrospective case review of 92 consecutive COVID-19 patients admitted to a single center in Italy. Those with pre-existing heart disease (AF, CHF, CAD) had higher rates of thrombo-embolic and pulmonary complications, and higher death rates. - Clinical and histological characterization of vesicular COVID-19 rashes: A prospective study in a tertiary care hospital
May 8. Fernandez‐Nieto. Clinical and Experimental Dermatology.
Opinion from SAB Member: Dr. Barry Perlman
There are now many reports of COVID-19 patients presenting with or having associated cutaneous lesions. This is a prospective observational study of vesicular lesions in 24 COVID-19 patients in Spain. 29% had prior history of dermatologic conditions. 75% had a disseminated pattern with the rest having a more localized one. Median rash duration was 10 days. Rashes developed a median 14 days after COVID-19 diagnosis, prior to COVID-19 treatment in 71%. Skin biopsy in 2 patients showed histology consistent with viral infection. PCR tests performed on vesicular fluid in 4 patients were negative in 4/4 for SARS-CoV-2 and herpes virus. - Clinical course of severe and critical COVID-19 in hospitalized pregnancies: a US cohort study. 5/12/20. Pierce-Williams RAM. Am J Obstet Gynecol MFM.
Review by the SAB
By Dr. Jay Pryzbylo, on behalf of the SAB
Data-rich, multicenter study of COVID-19 severe and critically ill women in third trimester pregnancy. Of the many findings, critically ill women required intubation, delivered prematurely mostly for maternal risk, the newborns were COVID-19 negative, 1 of 64 women required a tracheostomy. Matched to a non-pregnant control group, pregnancy did not alter outcome. - Coronavirus Disease-2019 with Dermatologic Manifestations and Implications: An Unfolding Conundrum. May 9. Almutairi. Dermatol Ther.
4 categories of dermatological effects of COVID-19 are discussed:
1. Cutaneous manifestations. Include urticaria, varicella-like vesicles, transient livedoid eruptions, livedoid vasculopathy, purpuric eruptions, lichenoid photodermatitis, erythroderma, photo-contact dermatitis, and generalized pustular figurate erythema
2. Skin changes from lifestyle alterations, such as prolonged PPE contact and excessive personal hygiene
3. Medication adverse cutaneous effects. For example, chloroquine and hydroxychloroquine can aggravate pre-exisitng psoriases or cause potentially severe cutaneous reactions
4. Effect on primary skin diseases and their treatment. Guidelines recommend continuing immune-modulating treatments despite COVID-19 - Cutaneous manifestations of the Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19): a brief review. May 7. Tang. Dermatol Ther.
Review of 14 PubMed articles on cutaneous manifestations of COVID-19 in 88 patients. Skin lesions were typically erythematous, urticarial, or vesicular. 1 patient had no other symptoms. - Cutaneous Signs in COVID-19 Patients: A Review
May 10. Wollina. Dermatologic Therapy.
Opinion from SAB Member: Dr. Barry Perlman
Detailed review describing reported cutaneous symptoms of COVID-19. ACE2 receptors are found in skin and adipose tissue. SARS-CoV-2 associated pulmonary and cutaneous fibrosis both involve transdifferentiation of adipocytes or lipo-fibroblasts into myofibroblasts. Adipocytes can act as a viral reservoir. The different cutaneous manifestations are described, along with differential diagnosis and associated COVID-19 presentation. Chilblain-like acral eruptions, purpuric and erythema multiforme-like lesions have been seen in children and young adult patients with asymptomatic or mild COVID-19. Acro-ischemic lesion and maculopapular rash are often seen in adult patients with more severe disease. Urticaria with pyrexia can be an early symptom of SARS-CoV-2 infection. Attention to cutaneous signs may aid in diagnosis, triage, and risk stratification of COVID-19 patients.
May 12, 2020
- In-hospital cardiac arrest outcomes among patients with COVID-19 pneumonia in Wuhan, China
Apr 2. Shao. Resuscitation.
Opinion from SAB Member: Dr. David M. Clement
This study documents the poor outcomes for in-hospital cardiac arrest (IHCA) in severe COVID-19 patients. It is a retrospective, observational study from China, of 136 patients with IHCA. Most were monitored, had witnessed arrests, and received CPR in under a minute. Most IHCA had respiratory causes, 94% had asystole or PEA, and only 6% had shockable rhythms. Return of spontaneous circulation was achieved in 13%, with 3% surviving at least 30 days and only one patient surviving with an acceptable neurologic outcome at 30 days. - Misinformation During the Coronavirus Disease 2019 Outbreak: How Knowledge Emerges From Noise
Apr 1, 2020. Rochwerg. Critical Care Explorations.
Opinion from SAB Member: Dr. Lydia Cassorla
This well articulated narrative review by authors from Canada, New Zealand, and the US outlines the challenges and opportunities for both the media and researchers to develop knowledge in the face of an information storm. Much of the media is driven by corporate interests rather than a desire to meticulously vet sources and research quality, fanning hysteria. There are important benefits to the “live update” culture, however, consumers are advised to carefully consider the reliability of their sources in both lay press and medical publications. During a pandemic, conventional research and publishing practice are out of synch with the need for rapid information and dissemination, as they require months to years. Major publications have prioritized and made accessible COVID-19 related work to help overcome barriers to rapid, peer-reviewed work and combat misinformation. Nonetheless, some reports remain questionable. The concept of “living guidelines”, frequently updated as evidence emerges, is discussed. The authors highlight the benefit of advance planning to accelerate clinical trials, governmental support, targeted funding and collaboration with industry to optimize the reliability of research output when pandemics occur. - Parachute use to prevent death and major trauma related to gravitational challenge: systematic review of randomised controlled trials. Dec. 18, 2003. Smith. BMJ.
Parachute use to prevent death and major trauma when jumping from aircraft: randomized controlled trial. The study highlights a. The importance of the conclusion when writing and reading a manuscript and b. Randomization might not always be possible: in designing studies, investigators must always consider equipoise. - Seven alternatives to evidence based medicine. Dec. 19, 1999. Isaacs. BMJ.
A short, easy to read, tongue in cheek (maybe) analysis of decision making styles when there is inadequate evidence on which to base a clinical decision. Cheer up! We have all been there in the past, and frequently find ourselves in this situation with COVID-19.
May 11, 2020
- Respiratory advice for the non-respiratory physician in the time of COVID-19
May 4. Bennett. Clinical Medicine Journal.
Opinion from SAB Member: Dr. David M. Clement
A pre-print review from the British Thoracic Society mostly describing one approach to the pre-ICU respiratory care of hospitalized COVID-19 patients. The emphasis is on coordinated assessments, cooperation between personnel, and the systematic alteration of respiratory treatments as patient parameters hit certain thresholds. Healthcare worker safety and efficiency, do-not-intubate preferences (“ceilings of care”), proning before intubation, oxygen therapy (esp. CPAP) and triggers for transfer to the ICU are reviewed. Several tables and diagrams help explain this strategy. - Should COVID-19 take advice from rheumatologists?
May 7. Kernan. Lancet Rheumatology.
Opinion from SAB Member: Dr. J. Lance Lichtor
Anakinra is a drug that has had success treating patients with auto-inflammatory diseases and now, there is evidence that the drug may also be useful in managing patients with COVID-19 disease who also have acute respiratory distress syndrome. The authors summarized the results seen in the study “Interleukin-1 blockade with high-dose anakinra in patients with COVID-19, acute respiratory distress syndrome, and hyperinflammation: a retrospective cohort study” (below). As the authors note: “these and other emerging data rightly focus more attention on the host inflammatory response and might herald a shift in how we approach the host-virus relationship.” - Interleukin-1 blockade with high-dose anakinra in patients with COVID-19, acute respiratory distress syndrome, and hyperinflammation: a retrospective cohort study
May 7. Cavalli. Lancet Rheumatology.
Opinion from SAB Member: Dr. J. Lance Lichtor
The authors first noted that of 16 patients treated between March 10 and March 17, 2020 with COVID-19, ARDS, and hyper-inflammation who were managed with CPAP outside of the ICU, that 21-day survival was 56%. Another similar group of patients receive low dose anakinra (100 mg twice a day) and did not do much better. But when instead high-dose intravenous anakinra (5 mg/kg twice daily) was used, survival increased to 90% at 21 days. - Targeting the inflammatory cascade with anakinra in moderate to severe COVID-19 pneumonia: case series. May 6. Aouba. Ann Rheum Dis.
When some people are fighting a COVID-19 infection, it may not be the virus itself that’s causing distress, but the exaggerated host response in the form of a cytokine storm the body uses to fight off the infection. In this letter to the editor, the authors used anakinra, an anti-IL-1 blocking drug, in this study administered subcutaneously for 9 consecutive patients with SARS-CoV-2 infection confirmed by reverse transcription-PCR on nasopharyngeal swabs hospitalized in a non-ICU, with oxygen flow of ≤6L/min, and C reactive-protein levels ≥50mg/L. One patient developed acute respiratory failure 6 hours after the first and only dose of anakinra, leading to premature treatment cessation and ICU admission. The other 8 patients had good outcomes and C reactive protein (CRP) levels decreased steadily but only partially by 6 days in all, and normalized in 5/8 patients by day 11. In addition, at last followup, all patients were alive. The study was not randomized, but the results are promising.
May 9, 2020
- Lupus Anticoagulant and Abnormal Coagulation Tests in Patients with Covid-19
May 5. Bowles. The New England Journal of Medicine.
Opinion from SAB Member: Dr. Philip Lumb
Authors note that while a prolonged aPTT may indicate caution in prescribing anticoagulants, they report a coagulation screening series of 216 patients positive for COVID-19 of which 44 (20%) had a prolonged aPTT. Lupus anticoagulant assays were performed in 34 patients and 31 (91%) tested positive. Authors suggest that a persistent presence of Lupus anticoagulant can be associated with a “thrombotic tendency within the antiphospholipid syndrome” and that a prolonged aPTT in the presence of COVID-19 should not “withhold use of anticoagulants for thrombosis while awaiting further investigation of a prolonged aPTT, nor withhold thrombolytic therapy in the face of high risk PE on the basis of a prolonged aPTT alone.”
May 8, 2020
- Autoimmune hemolytic anemia associated with Covid-19 infection. May 7. Lazarian. Br J Haematol.
Opinion from SAB Members: Drs. Philip Lumb and Joseph Anthony Caprini
PL: Series of 7 Covid-19 positive patients from six different French and Belgian hospitals who developed autoimmune hemolytic anemia during admission. Patient demographics presented with associated co-morbidities; timeframe consistent with development of cytokine storm. Authors recommend screening for presence of a lymphoid clone in patients with Covid-19 infections and autoimmune cytopenias.
JAC: The abstract states it well and I include it here- “Although the pathophysiology underlying severe Covid‐19 remains poorly understood, accumulating evidence argue for hyperinflammatory syndrome causing fulminant and fatal cytokines release associated with disease severity and poor outcome (Mehta et al, 2020).
However, the spectrum of complications is broader and include among others various autoimmune disorders such as autoimmune thrombocytopenia, Guillain-Barré and antiphospholipid syndrome (Zhang et al, 2020; Zulfiqar et al, 2020; Toscano et al, 2020). In this report we describe 7 patients from 6 French and Belgian Hospitals who developed a first episode of autoimmune hemolytic anemia (AIHA) during a Covid-19 infection.” - Autopsy Findings and Venous Thromboembolism in Patients With COVID-19: A Prospective Cohort Study
May 6. Wichmann. Annals of Internal Medicine.
Opinion from SAB Member: Dr. Lydia Cassorla, Dr. Joseph Anthony Caprini
LC: This fascinating report from Hamburg Germany describes the findings of complete autopsy reports, as mandated by law, of the first 12 consecutive known COVID-19 deaths in their city. “In all cases the cause of death was in the lungs or the pulmonary vascular system”. Unsurprisingly, patients were older (10/12 >60 yrs) and all had pre-existing co-morbidities and pneumonia at death. They trended obese with BMI of >30 in 5 and nearly 30 in a sixth. The focus of the report is on the high incidence (7/12 or 58%) of venous thrombosis with 4/12 dying of PE. D-dimer was measured in 5 patients on admission, all elevated. 3/5 of those with elevated D-dimer had venous thrombosis including 2 PE deaths. 3 patients had some form of anticoagulation therapy, including 2 PE deaths. There is a trove of additional information in this report as each death resulted in a full autopsy, a post mortem total body CT in all but 2, histopathology and virology. SARS–CoV-2 RNA was present in high titers in the lungs in all, and in the blood in 6/10. The authors suggest that their findings support proactive anticoagulant therapy for hospitalized patients as well as potentially for outpatients. JC: In this autopsy study of 12 consecutive patients who died of COVID-19, we found a high incidence of deep venous thrombosis (58%). One third of the patients had a pulmonary embolism as the direct cause of death. Furthermore, diffuse alveolar damage was demonstrated by histology in 8 patients (67%). The CT images of the ground glass appearance in the lungs is chilling. They indicate the need for more than heparin and some have raised the possibility of steroids. The association between fatal outcomes and pre-existing risk factors, particularly CV disease is also striking.
May 7, 2020
- ACE2, COVID-19, and ACE Inhibitor and ARB Use during the Pandemic: The Pediatric Perspective. May 6. South AM. Hypertension.
A thorough description of the effect of COVID-19 on renin-angiotensin including perspective particular to pediatrics including small percentage of affected patients. The significance is that pediatrics is the focus with the conclusion: At this time, there is no evidence that children with hypertension, cardiovascular disease, or chronic kidney disease, and/or those who are taking ACE inhibitors or ARBs, are at increased risk of SARS-CoV-2 infection or more-severe COVID-19. - Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) and the renin-angiotensin system: a closer look at angiotensin-converting enzyme 2 (ACE2)
May 5. Zemlin. Annals of Clinical Biochemistry: International Journal of Laboratory Medicine.
Opinion from SAB Member: Dr. Barry Perlman
In depth review of SARS-CoV-2, COVID-19, the renin-angiotensin system, the relationship between ACE2 and COVID-19, use of ACE-I and ARB with COVID-19, and possible RAS related targets for COVID-19 treatment. - Early recovery following new onset anosmia during the COVID-19 pandemic – an observational cohort study. May 6. Hopkins C. J Otolaryngol Head Neck Surg.
Post-viral loss of sense of smell accounts for up to 40% of anosmia cases. Nasal respiratory and epithelial cells and olfactory epithelial cells have high levels of ACE2. Survey of 382 patients with presumed COVID-19 — only 15 had been tested and of those 80% were positive. 86% had complete anosmia and 12% had severe anosmia. For 17% this was their only symptom. 80% reported improvement in 1 week. Recovery plateaued after 3 weeks. Limitation of study was low rate of confirmatory COVID-19 testing. - High risk of thrombosis in patients with severe SARS-CoV-2 infection: a multicenter prospective cohort study
May 4. Helms. Intensive Care Medicine.
Opinion from SAB Member: Dr. Louis McNabb, Dr. Joseph Anthony Caprini
LM: Study of 150 patients in an ICU setting. The main clinical threat was PE at 16%. There was a high incidence of catheter clotting, particularly for patients on dialysis (28/29). Most of patients were on at least prophylactic anticoagulation. 67% of patients were still intubated at time of data analysis, which may have led to underestimation of thrombotic risk, Lupus anticoagulant was found in 50/57 patients. No DIC was noted, but this result may reflect early termination of the study. Curiously, non-COVID-19 patients with ARDS had higher D-dimer levels. JC: In a prospective cohort study, we have shown that sixty-four clinically relevant thrombotic complications were diagnosed in 150 patients with COVID-19 ARDS during their ICU stay, mainly pulmonary embolisms (25 patients, 16.7%). Despite anticoagulation, a high number of patients with COVID-19 ARDS developed life-threatening thrombotic complications, meaning that higher anticoagulation targets than in usual critically ill patients should probably be considered. - Incidence of venous thromboembolism in hospitalized patients with COVID-19
May 5. Middeldorp. Journal of Thrombosis and Haemostasis.
Opinion from SAB Member: Dr. Louis McNabb
This is an article describing 198 hospitalized patients of which 38% were in the ICU. 20% were diagnosed with VTE, of which 13% were symptomatic. Most patients were on prophylactic anticoagulation in the medical units. Patients in the ICU received BID prophylactic anticoagulation (double standard regimen). The key point to this paper is that clinicians need to be vigilant looking for VTE in patients with less severe COVID-19 disease. - Interim Guidance for Basic and Advanced Life Support in Children and Neonates With Suspected or Confirmed COVID-19. May 6. Topjian A. Pediatrics.
A prepublication Scientific Statement from the American Association of Critical Care Nurses and including authorship of physicians across North America. A step by step guide to resuscitating children from time of birth on with special attention to COVID-19. - Olfactory Dysfunction: A Highly Prevalent Symptom of COVID-19 With Public Health Significance. May 6. Sedaghat AR. Otolaryngol Head Neck Surg.
In this state of the art review, the scientific evidence that relates to olfactory dysfunction in the face of COVID-19 is reviewed. A high prevalence of olfactory dysfunction is noted in patients with COVID-19 using objective measures of olfactory testing. Also, the presence of olfactory dysfunction might also be useful to predict patients who might develop COVID-19. Most patients with olfactory dysfunction will note improvement after 1-2 weeks just as symptoms of COVID-19 improve. - The Prevalence of Olfactory and Gustatory Dysfunction in COVID-19 Patients: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis. May 6. Tong JY. Otolaryngol Head Neck Surg.
In this meta-analysis of 10 studies, all published in 2020, that included patients from studies in North America, Europe, and Asia, 1600 patients were analyzed. Over 50% of patients had some level of olfactory dysfunction and almost 50% had some level of gustatory dysfunction. For many patients also, olfactory dysfunction was a presenting symptom. Screening patients for olfactory dysfunction may be indicative of COVID-19 infection. - Understanding Observational Treatment Comparisons in the Setting of Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19)
May 5. Thomas. JAMA Cardiology.
Opinion from SAB Member: Dr. J. Lance Lichtor
In this editorial, concerning patients with COVID-19, hypertension, diabetes, and cardiovascular disease may be vulnerable and are more likely to be taking angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors (ACEIs) and angiotensin II receptor blockers (ARBs). Based on the Mehta study (below), patients taking those drugs can continue taking the drugs given the current pandemic given the fact that these patients are not more likely to be susceptible to the disease, though based on a secondary analysis, the severity of disease might be greater in terms of need for hospitalization and ICU admission. Yet, it’s possible also that the presence of cardiovascular disease and other comorbidities lowers the threshold on the part of referring clinicians to hospitalize and move to the ICU those individuals considered to be at higher risk than the general population. These secondary findings, though real, should not be considered as causal.- Association of Use of Angiotensin-Converting Enzyme Inhibitors and Angiotensin II Receptor Blockers With Testing Positive for Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19)
May 5. Mehta. JAMA Cardiology.
Opinion from SAB Member: Dr. J. Lance Lichtor
As has been discussed in previous articles this newsletter has referenced, SARS-CoV-2 binds to the extracellular domain of the transmembrane angiotensin-converting enzyme 2 (ACE2) receptor to gain entry into host cells; patients who are taking angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors (ACEI) and angiotensin II receptor blockers are theoretically at an increased risk for becoming infected with SARS-CoV-2 or may have worse outcomes; upregulation of angiotensin-converting enzyme 2 may improve outcomes in infection-induced acute lung injury in patients with SARS-CoV or SARS-CoV-2 infections; and in certain high-risk patients, the withdrawal of ACEIs or ARBs may be harmful. In this retrospective analysis of 18,472 patients tested for SARS-CoV-2, taking either an angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors or angiotensin II receptor blockers was not associated with an increase in the likelihood of testing positive for SARS-CoV-2 infection.
- Association of Use of Angiotensin-Converting Enzyme Inhibitors and Angiotensin II Receptor Blockers With Testing Positive for Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19)
- Venous thromboembolism and heparin use in COVID-19 patients: juggling between pragmatic choices, suggestions of medical societies
May 4. Profidia. Journal of Thrombosis and Thrombolysis.
Opinion from SAB Member: Dr. Lydia Cassorla, Dr. Joseph Anthony Caprini
LC: This editorial states that while most guidelines are currently recommending antithrombotic prophylaxis for all hospitalized COVID-19 patients, and full anticoagulation for a subset, questions remain about which population may benefit from therapeutic doses of anticoagulation. It is a call to share data via registries and arrive at a consensus at a time when randomized controlled clinical trials may not be able to answer the question in a timely manner. JC: This is a very good discussion from the data driven point of view including extrapolation of pre-existing data to the clinical presentation and course of patients with COVID-19. Unfortunately, it is a whole new ball game and we need to learn on the job.
May 6, 2020
- Management of acute ischemic stroke in patients with COVID-19 infection: Report of an international panel
May 3. Qureshi. International Journal of Stroke.
Opinion from SAB Member: Dr. Barry Perlman
Multinational expert consensus for management of acute ischemic stroke in COVID-19 patients. 5% incidence of acute ischemic stroke is noted in COVID-19 patients, and such events are associated with older age, hepatic and renal dysfunction, HTN, DM, cerebrovascular disease, and elevated D-dimers. Mortality rate of 38% dependent on severity of COVID-19 infection. Possible undiagnosed COVID-19 infection should be suspected in patients with acute stroke, as some may have difficulty communicating due to the stroke. Since renal insufficiency is common with COVID-19 infection, risk of contrast-induced nephropathy should be considered prior to neuroimaging. Coagulation assessment can help determine risk benefit of IV rt-PA. Mechanical thrombectomy with low threshold for intubation and general anesthesia may be considered on case-by-case basis. Single or dual antiplatelet therapy may be considered for patients who do not receive IV rt-PA or mechanical thrombectomy. Risk of healthcare provider infection and mitigation strategies are also discussed. - Medical treatment options for COVID-19. May 4. Delang. Eur Heart J Acute Cardiovasc Care.
There is an urgent need for treatment for this COVID-19 pandemic from all quarters of the world. Several clinical trials with COVID-19 patients are evaluating “repurposed drugs”, but there is no uniformity in timing, duration of treatment and study endpoints. Currently, there are registered clinical trials pertaining to one or more clinical outcomes in 66% of the studies, virological in 23%, radiological in 8%, or immunological in 3%. Repurposing of existing antiviral and immunomodulating drugs is an important strategy, because the safety profile of these drugs is well known. In the solidarity (started in April worldwide), a clinical trial launched by the WHO, is appealing due to simplicity. On 7 March 2020, the most frequently evaluated antiviral therapies were lopinavir/ritonavir (LPV/r) (n=15), chloroquine (n= 11), arbidol (n= 9), hydroxychloroquine (n= 7), favipiravir (n=7) and remdesivir (n= 5). Immune modulating drugs: IL-6 inhibitors – receptor antagonist – Tocilizumab (Actemra) and Granulocyte-macrophage colony-stimulating factor. Both critical role immune response and/or macrophage activation syndrome (MAS).
May 5, 2020
- Acute myocardial injury is common in patients with Covid-19 and impairs their prognosis
Apr 6. Wei. Heart.
Opinion from SAB Member: Dr. Philip Lumb
101 patient prospective study from January to March 10, 2020 in Sichuan, China with primary endpoints including cardiac injury defined by above normal high-sensitivity troponin T (hs-TnT) levels. Study confirms that myocardial involvement in COVID-19 is common and that elderly and patients with underlying cardiovascular disease at increased risk. - Cardiac considerations in patients with COVID-19
May 1. Calvillo-Argüelles. CMAJ.
Opinion from SAB Member: Dr. Louis McNabb
Five key points on cardiac considerations for COVID-19 in a convenient one-page summary. - Cardiovascular Considerations for Patients, Health Care Workers, and Health Systems During the Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) Pandemic
Mar 17. Driggen. JACC.
Opinion from SAB Member: Dr. Jay Przybylo
An exhaustive State-of-the-Art Review with complete recommendations concerning every phase of COVID-19 cardiac involvement from presentation by phone through hospitalization and including all forms of cardiac pathology to healthcare worker precautions. Multiple tables with reviews from previous studies and 100+ references included. - Characteristics, treatment, outcomes and cause of death of invasively ventilated patients with COVID-19 ARDS in Milan, Italy. May 1. Zangrillo. Crit Care Resusc.
Many with COVID-19 end up requiring critical care and then die. It might be useful to better predict who might die to better plan critical care resources. Of 73 invasively ventilated patients with COVID-19 ARDS in a referral centre in Milan, Italy male sex and hypertension were disproportionately common; one in 15 patients was treated with ECMO; and one in five with RRT. Most patients received vasopressors and neuromuscular blocking agents, three out of four patients were treated with prone positioning, and three in ten received a tracheostomy. After a medical followup of 20 days, about 15% died. This was a single center study, and though more granular data was provided, this was not really a guide concerning who should or should not receive intensive care. - Clinical course and outcome of 107 patients infected with the novel coronavirus, SARS-CoV-2, discharged from two hospitals in Wuhan, China. May 2. Wang. Crit Care.
Retrospective study of 107 COVID-19 patients discharged from 2 hospitals in Wuhan, China.
Week 1 after onset — fever, though dyspnea, lymphopenia, multi-lobar pulmonary infiltrates. In severe cases, thrombocytopenia, acute kidney injury acute myocardial injury and ARDS.
Week 2. Fever, cough, systemic symptoms, and thrombocytopenia began to resolve with persistent lymphopenia in mild cases, while in severe cases leukocytosis, neutrophilia, and multi-organ dysfunction were seen.
Week 3. Mild cases clinically resolved with persistent lymphopenia. Severe cases showed persistent lymphopenia, severe ARDS, refractory shock, anuria, coagulopathy, thrombocytopenia, and death.
88 survived. Duration of active viral shedding in survivors was 13 days. Non-survivors were older, predominantly male, had more co-morbidites such as HTN or CV disease, and were more likely to present with with dyspnea, diarrhea. They had higher neutrrophil count, D-dimer, BUN, creatinine, HS-troponin I, CK, CK-MB, LDH, ALT, and AST and had lower platelets. Causes of death included refractory ARDS, septic shock, sudden cardiac arrest, hemorrhagic shock and AMI. - Coagulopathy associated with COVID-19
May 4. Lee. CMAJ.
Opinion from SAB Member: Dr. Louis McNabb
5 key points in a concise one-page summary on where we are in our understanding of coagulopathy issues for COVID-19. - COVID-19 and acute myocardial injury: the heart of the matter or an innocent bystander?
Apr 30. Cheng. Heart.
Opinion from SAB Member: Dr. Philip Lumb
Short but valuable review of myocardial involvement in COVID-19 with relevant literature reviews, and a useful table of potential mechanism and diagnostic limitations in myocardial injury. Recognizes the current therapeutic dilemmas facing clinicians in order to maximize myocardial preservation and/or recovery. - COVID-19 and Neonatal Respiratory Care: Current Evidence and Practical Approach. May 3. Shalish. Am J Perinatol.
An international group of perinatologists reviewed reports of COVID-19 infections under 10 y/o noting the incidence is rare, less than 1% of all cases. In newborns the number is lower. Recommendations for care are listed. - Inhibitors of the Renin-Angiotensin-Aldosterone System and Covid-19
May 1. Jarcho. The New England Journal of Medicine.
Opinion from SAB Member: Dr. David M. Clement
Editorial reviewing the theoretical concerns for the use of ARB/ACEI drugs during the COVID-19 epidemic, and three observational clinical studies that conclude these drugs seem not to influence the course of the disease. This is consistent with other studies and guidelines from pertinent organizations; that ARB/ACEI drugs should be continued if a patient develops COVID-19 disease. - Olfactory and Gustatory Dysfunction in Coronavirus Disease 19 (COVID-19)
May 1. Luers. Clinical Infectious Diseases.
Opinion from SAB Member: Dr. J. Lance Lichtor
72 patients with polymerase chain reaction confirmed COVID-19 agreed to participate and were enrolled in this study. Reduced olfaction was noted in 74% and a reduced sense of taste was noted in 69%. 68% reported both symptoms. Both symptoms occurred on average on the 4th day after first symptoms were noted, though 13% noted reduced olfaction and taste on the first day of COVID-19 symptoms. - Renin-Angiotensin-Aldosterone System Inhibitors and Risk of Covid-19. May 2. Reynolds. N Engl J Med.
A retrospective, observational study from New York of 12,594 patients on various anti-hypertensive medications. Sophisticated statistical analysis showed no association of any class of drugs (including ARBs/ACEIs) and the presence or severity of COVID-19 disease. - The Renin-Angiotensin-Aldosterone System in Coronavirus Infection-Current Considerations During the Pandemic. May 4. Augoustides. J Cardiothorac Vasc Anesth.
An editorial reviewing what is known, being studied, and speculated about the RAAS system’s contributions to the clinical spectrum of COVID-19 disease.
May 2, 2020
- Cardiovascular Consequences and Considerations of Coronavirus Infection – Perspectives for the Cardiothoracic Anesthesiologist and Intensivist During the Coronavirus Crisis
May 1. Augoustides. Journal of Cardiothoracic and Vascular Anesthesia.
Opinion from C19SAB: Dr. Barry Perlman
Editorial discussing causes of cardiovascular collapse in patients with severe COVID-19, focusing on Cardiogenic shock, vasoplegic shock, acute coronary ischemia, and right ventricular failure. - COVID-19 and the cardiovascular system: implications for risk assessment, diagnosis, and treatment options
Apr 30. Guzik. Cardiovascular Research.
Opinion from C19SAB: Dr. Philip Lumb, Dr. Lydia Cassorla
PL: Detailed, research-oriented discussion on cardiovascular implications of COVID-19 infection. Mechanisms of infection described with experimental justification for potential interventions; recognizes supportive care required for most cases. Discusses (albeit briefly) progression to invasive therapies including ECMO. Basic science oriented with clearly described mechanisms and exhaustive review of available literature with references to match. LC: This comprehensive review of COVID-19 illness with a particular eye toward cardiovascular ramifications may raise more questions than it answers. However, it is well written and thoroughly referenced to be consumed when time permits careful reading. Regarding CV complications: “The most common cardiac complications include arrhythmia (AF, ventricular tachyarrhythmia, and ventricular fibrillation), cardiac injury (elevated hs-cTnI and CK), fulminant myocarditis, and heart failure.” The authors point out that since cardiac manifestations often occur >15 d after onset of symptoms, they are possibly a result of host-driven phenotypes and/or secondary effects of medications. They mention that inclusion bias may result from specific factors in the area where a pandemic begins and expect data to differ as the disease population changes. Surprisingly, a history of smoking or chronic lung disease is less of a risk for poor outcomes than with SARS-CoV (2003) or MERS. HTN/CV disease are risk factors for advanced disease and death but not for infection and may partly be a proxy for age. When acute myocardial injury occurs, PCI may not always benefit patients as their ischemia may be due to Type 2 MI or myocarditis. - Venous and arterial thromboembolic complications in COVID-19 patients admitted to an academic hospital in Milan, Italy
Apr 23. Lodigiania. Thrombosis Research.
Opinion from SAB Member: Dr. J. Lance Lichtor, Dr. Joseph Anthony Caprini
JLL: Venous and arterial thromboembolic complications in COVID-19 patients admitted to an academic hospital in Milan, Italy. The study is based on retrospective data for 388 admitted hospitalized patients with COVID-19. All ICU patients received thromboprophylaxis and 75% of those admitted to general wards also had thromboprophylaxis. Thromboembolic events occurred in almost 8% of patients which included pulmonary embolism. A little over half of the patients with PE did not receive anticoagulant treatment. Hospital mortality was associated with a high rate of thromboembolic complications. Rapidly increasing D-dimer levels were observed in non-survivors. A true incidence is difficult to determine since, as the reader is told in the discussion, a low number of specific imaging tests were performed. JC: The low incidence of thrombotic events on the ward compared to the ICU is one feature of this series. The fact that 58% of thrombotic events were not on anticoagulation is telling. We know all patients should be on anticoagulation. That has not been their routine practice in the past in many medical patients not in ICU. The paper sends the wrong message advocating for more tests which exposes scanners and machines to risks that may be avoided. Giving everyone anticoagulation and adjusting the dose based on co-morbidities and when the D-dimers skyrocket using full dose anticoagulation. We are learning as we go along but more heparin or LMWH is the developing trend.
May 1, 2020
- Classification of the cutaneous manifestations of COVID-19: a rapid prospective nationwide consensus study in Spain with 375 cases
Apr 29. Casas. British Journal of Dermatology.
Opinion from C19SAB: Dr. Barry Perlman
Description of 5 clinical patterns of cutaneous lesions associated with 375 COVID-19 cases in Spain, in order of associated severity of disease: 1. Acral areas of erythema with vesicles or pustules (Pseuo-chilblain). Appears late, more common in younger patients; 2. Other Vesicular eruptions. More common in middle aged patients; 3. Urticarial lesions; 4. Maculopapular eruptions. Most common; 5. Livedo or Necrosis. Consistent with occlusive vascular disease. - Factors associated with mortality in patients with COVID-19. A quantitative evidence synthesis of clinical and laboratory data. Apr 20. Martins-Filho. Eur J Intern Med.
For this meta-analysis a literature search performed January 1- April 06, 2020 led to screening 8692 titles and abstracts among which 73 full-text articles were assessed for eligibility and 69 were excluded, 11 due to potential overlapping data. Data in the report is from only four retrospective Chinese studies encompassing 852 unique patients (489 male and 363 female) with confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection by RT-PCR: 603 survivors and 249 non-survivors. The study reports increased risk for in-hospital death in older patients (MD= 13.8, 95%CI 8.0 to 19.7), male gender (RR= 1.3, 95%CI 1.1 to 1.4), with comorbidities (RR= 1.6, 95%CI 1.4 to 2.0) and dyspnea (RR= 1.8, 95%CI 1.4 to 2.2). The report details the relative risk for death of dozens of clinical and laboratory findings. There are no surprises. - Hypercoagulation and Antithrombotic Treatment in Coronavirus 2019: A New Challenge. Apr 30. Violi. Thromb Haemost.
The authors analyzed variables regarding clotting and fibrinolysis along with platelet count in COVID-19 patients, according to disease severity and survival. Tables and algorithms are clearly presented. The conclusion of this report is to treat those with pneumonia that is severe or associated with elevated D-dimer levels but not those with mild disease without additional risk factors for thrombosis. In contrast, opinion in the US appears to be swinging toward prophylaxis in most if not all hospitalized COVID-19 patients. - Persistent hiccups as an atypical presenting complaint of COVID-19. Apr 30. Prince. Am J Emerg Med.
A case report of a patient who presented with hiccups, for which a CT was obtained. This was abnormal and SARS-CoV-2 testing was positive. Hiccups resolved on hydroxychloroquine. - Renal Involvement and Early Prognosis in Patients with COVID-19 Pneumonia
Apr 30. Pei. Journal of the American Society of Nephrology.
Opinion from C19SAB: Dr. Barry Perlman
Retrospective study of EMR data from 333 COVID-19 patients hospitalized with pneumonia in China. Patients with CKD or on dialysis were excluded. 75% had hematuria, proteinuria, or acute kidney injury. 82% had suspected intrinsic AKI. Severity of pneumonia was an independent risk factor for AKI. 46% with AKI had complete recovery of kidney function within 3 weeks of illness onset. Renal involvement correlated with a 9X increased rate of mortality. No deaths occurred in patients with pre-renal AKI, or in whom hematuria or proteinuria resolved.
April 30, 2020
- Clinical phenotypes of SARS-CoV-2: Implications for clinicians and researchers
Apr 11. Rello. European Respiratory Journal.
Opinion from C19SAB: Dr. Barry Perlman
Discussion of COVID-19 clinical experience in Italy and Spain. Lymphocytopenia, low procalcitonin, and elevated LDH and CRP are characteristic. Hypercoagulability is common, with increased risk of thrombotic and embolic events. Severe cases have elevated D-Dimer and INR, and low fibrinogen and platelet count. Use of prophylactic unfractionated heparin is suggested for all hospitalized COVID-19 patients. 5 phenotypes of COVID-19 infection are described to guide individualized therapy (Table 2): 1. Most common is benign, with fever, headache, mild respiratory symptoms, malaise. Normal CXR and no hypoxemia; 2. 80% of hospitalized patients. Hypoxemia or small CXR opacities. Should be monitored closely due to risk of rapid deterioration. Typically hypovolemia and hyper-inflamed. Good candidates for clinical trials of anti-virals, anti-inflammatories, or anti-fibrotics; 3. 15% of China hospitalizations. Greater hypoxemia and high respiratory rates. High IL6. Also candidates for clinical trials. Prone position may help avoid intubation. Consider intubation if respiratory alkalosis with increasing hyperventilation on high O2; 4. Severe hypoxemia requiring intubation. Pulmonary hypoxic vasoconstriction with normal lung compliance. Probably due to pulmonary microvascular thrombosis. Advise no delay in intubation, especially when BB coalescent lines are present in more than 3 fields. Nitric oxide or prostacyclin may be helpful. PEEP typically should be 8-10 cm H2O with tidal volumes 6-9 mL/kg. Avoid recruitment maneuvers, prone positioning; 5. Less common. Advanced disease with acute lung injury or co-infection causing high procalcitonin. More common when intubation is delayed by non-invasive ventilation treatment. Low lung compliance < 40 mL/cm H2O. Suggest ARDS strategy with high PEEP and prone positioning. - Fatal Invasive Aspergillosis and Coronavirus Disease in an Immunocompetent Patient. Apr 29. Blaize. Emerg Infect Dis.
The gold standard to prove invasive disease is to show fungal invasion in tissue samples. Although at least 4 out of 6 reported patients died, there was no corroboration with autopsy findings. Also the “immunocompetent patient” had asymptomatic and untreated myelodysplastic syndrome. - Objective evaluation of anosmia and ageusia in COVID-19 patients: a single-center experience on 72 cases
Apr 27. Vaira. Head & Neck.
Opinion from SAB Member: Dr. J. Lance Lichtor
Among 72 COVID-19 patients, almost 75% had chemosensory dysfunctions during the course of their COVID-19 disease, with taste disorders in 12%, 14% with olfactory dysfunction, and 41% with combined dysfunction. 66% had recovery of chemosensitive dysfunction, with recovery in <5 days in 19 patients. Using an objective test, 80% of these patients still revealed a certain degree of residual hypoosmia or hypogeusia after resolution of their illness. - Updates on What ACS Reported: Emerging Evidences of COVID-19 with Nervous System Involvement. Apr 29. Baig. ACS Chem Neurosci.
Author claims that there is a CNS connection with COVID-19. Anosmia, dysgeusia, ataxia, and altered mental status could be early signs of the neurotropic potential of this virus. There are reported cases of acute necrotizing hemorrhagic encephalopathy (was reported in a female with a 3 day history of cough, fever, and altered mental status who was COVID-19 positive), Acute G, B & Encephalitis. This is a view point.
April 29, 2020
- Infectious Diseases Society of America Guidelines on the Treatment and Management of Patients with COVID-19. Apr 27. Bhimraj. Clin Infect Dis.
This publication serves as “Guidelines 1.0” from the IDSA, put together from a panel in the US, Canada, and China. There is lack of knowledge and uncertainty regarding all therapies. Chloroquine with or without Azithromycin, lopinavir+ritonavir, tocilizumab, and convalescent plasma are recommended to hospitalized patients only in the context of a clinical trial. Corticosteroids are of uncertain value for pneumonia due to COVID-19 and recommended only in the context of a clinical trial for patients with associated ARDS. The document will be updated as new data emerges and will remain posted on the IDSA website. - Neurologic Manifestations of Hospitalized Patients With Coronavirus Disease 2019 in Wuhan, China
Apr 10. Mao. JAMA.
Opinion from SAB Member: Dr. Jay Przybylo
This article lists some of the neurologic findings that occur in 36+% of patients admitted in China. Includes disrupted mentation and vascular insults and adds musculoskeletal injury caused by the disease. - Profile of IgG and IgM antibodies against severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). Apr 27. Qu. Clin Infect Dis.
Analysis of serological responses to SARS-CoV-2 nucleocapsid protein and spike glycoprotein in 41 patients in Shenzhen China. Serum from 10 influenza patients and 28 patients having routine checkups were used as control. Most patients developed antibody responses 1-23 days after illness onset. Critically ill patients had delayed but stronger antibody responses. Median time of seroconversion was 11 days for IgG and 14 days for IgM. Of note, 5 patients had not developed IgM antibodies by the end of serum collection period, suggesting a longer study is needed.
April 28, 2020
- Cardiac injury is associated with mortality and critically ill pneumonia in COVID-19: A meta-analysis. Apr 26. Santoso. Am J Emerg Med.
A retrospective, cardiac injury causes death. Conclusion unable to link the deaths to cytokine storm or myocarditis, but able to state all who died had elevated troponin. - Incidence of thrombotic complications in critically ill ICU patients with COVID-19
Apr 13. Kloka. Thrombosis Research.
Opinion from C19SAB: Dr. Anil Hingorani, Dr. Lydia Cassorla
AH: This paper presents real world data on thromboembolism with COVID-19 patients in the ICU. It gives the clinician realistic expectations of the incidence of thromboembolism in these critically ill patients and explores prophylaxis strategies.
LC: The incidence of the composite outcome of symptomatic acute pulmonary embolism (PE), deep-vein thrombosis, ischemic stroke, myocardial infarction or systemic arterial embolism in all COVID-19 patients admitted to the ICU of 2 Dutch university hospitals and 1 Dutch teaching hospital was observed for 4 weeks. (March 7-April 5, 2020). Among 184 ICU patients with proven COVID-19 pneumonia, 23 died (13%), 22 were discharged alive (12%) and 139 (76%) were still in the ICU at the conclusion of the observation period. All patients received at least standard doses of thromboprophylaxis. The cumulative incidence of the composite outcome was 31% (95%CI 20-41), of which CT pulmonary angiography and/or ultrasonography confirmed venous thrombosis in 27% (95%CI 17-37%) and arterial thrombotic events in 3.7% (95%CI 0-8.2%). PE was the most frequent thrombotic complication (n = 25, 81%). Age (adjusted hazard ratio 1.05/per year) and coagulopathy were independent predictors of thrombotic complications. None developed DIC. The findings were all the more striking given that ¾ of the study patients were still in ICU at the end of the observation period. The authors recommend low molecular weight heparin prophylaxis in higher dose ranges in all ICU patients, vigilance, and a low bar for diagnostic tests to confirm thrombosis but not full therapeutic anticoagulation for all ICU patients with COVID-19 illness “even in the absence of randomized evidence”. There have been many other reports regarding the high incidence of thrombotic complications in COVID-19 patients. The question of when to use prophylactic or therapeutic anticoagulation in severely ill patients that will likely be further clarified as data and studies emerge.- UPDATE: Confirmation of the high cumulative incidence of thrombotic complications in critically ill ICU patients with COVID-19: An updated analysis
May 9. Klok. Thrombosis Research.
Opinion from SAB Member: Dr. Louis McNabb, Dr. Anil Hingorani
LM: This article reported on 184 COVID-19 patients in the ICU. The initial evaluation demonstrated a thrombotic rate of 31%. Follow up 17 days later showed a thrombotic rate of 49%. The PE rate was 65/184, and most patients were on prophylactic anticoagulation. Given the high risk of VTE in COVID-19 patients, we need immediate trials on regimens of anticoagulation to reduce thrombotic complications.
AH: A review of 184 ICU COVID-19 patients in the Netherlands. The patients had a high incidence of VTE despite prophylaxis and 3% had arterial thrombosis. Patients with thrombotic complications had five-fold increased risk of all-cause death.
- UPDATE: Confirmation of the high cumulative incidence of thrombotic complications in critically ill ICU patients with COVID-19: An updated analysis
- Myocarditis in a patient with COVID-19: a cause of raised troponin and ECG changes. Apr 27. Doyen. Lancet.
Case report of COVID-19 related myocarditis. 69 yr old with history of HTN on b-blocker admitted in Nice with COVID-19 ARDS. EKG showed LVH and diffuse inverted T waves. HSTI was 9000 nl/L. ECHO showed LVH with normal wall motion and EF. Initially started on antiplatelet therapy but coronary angiography was negative. MRI was consistent with apical and inferolateral myocarditis. Negative workup for other causes of myocarditis. He was treated with hydrocortisone for 9 days and discharged from ICU after 3 weeks. Suggestion for measuring troponin and ruling out myocardial infarction if myocarditis is suspected in COVID-19 patients. - No SARS-CoV-2 detected in amniotic fluid in mid-pregnancy. Apr 26. Yu. Lancet Infect Dis.
In this letter to the editor, 2 pregnant women developed COVID-19 infection early during their pregnancy and in the second trimester, the two women were both positive for SARS-CoV-2 total antibodies in their serum and negative for SARS-CoV-2 RNA in throat swabs. RT-PCR tests of the patients’ amniotic fluid collected during their second trimester were negative, and tests for SARS-CoV-2 IgM and IgG in amniotic fluid were also negative. As the authors admit, the virus might not have been detectable due to gestation age, ideally performed after 18–21 weeks’ gestation, based on Zika virus data. The sample size was also very small. - Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) Vertical Transmission in Neonates Born to Mothers With Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) Pneumonia. Apr 26. Hu. Obstet Gynecol.
In this research letter, the authors describe 7 pregnant women diagnosed with COVID-19, who were otherwise healthy during pregnancy and who after pregnancy recovered from COVID-19. 6/7 mothers underwent C-section and for one, the baby was delivered vaginally before the C-section could be performed. 1/7 infants was positive for COVID-19, but that infant as well as the other children subsequently were without symptoms of the disease. What’s not clear is if the mothers were chosen sequentially, if there were inclusion and exclusion criteria, when the mothers acquired COVID-19 and when they recovered.
April 25, 2020
- Association of Renin-Angiotensin System Inhibitors With Severity or Risk of Death in Patients With Hypertension Hospitalized for Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) Infection in Wuhan, China. Apr 24. Li J. JAMA Cardiol.
In this single-center retrospective study of hospitalized COVID-19 patients from Wuhan, China, although in-hospital mortality of those with hypertension (21.3%) was 3x that of non-hypertensive patients, ACEI/ARB treatment was not independently associated with disease severity or outcomes. Of 1178 patients, 30.7% had hypertension of which 31.8% were taking ACEI/ARBs. There was no difference in the percentage of severe vs. non-severe infections, survivors vs. non-survivors, or ACEI vs. ARB treatment. In the data table, death of those with hypertension was significantly associated with male sex, age over 60, diabetes, cerebrovascular disease, coronary artery disease, and chronic kidney disease. These results support current guidelines and recommendations for treating hypertension. - How does coronavirus kill? Clinicians trace a ferocious rampage through the body, from brain to toes. Apr 17. Wadman. Science.
A summary article about the biology of the COVID-19 pandemic, written by staff members of Science Magazine. An excellent overview that touches on some of the controversial aspects of the infection (i.e. cytokine storm and hypercoagulability).
April 24, 2020
- Multicenter initial guidance on use of antivirals for children with COVID-19/SARS-CoV-2
Pediatric Infectious Diseases Society. Apr 22, 2020.
Kathleen Chiotos; Molly Hayes; David W Kimberlin; Sarah B Jones; et al
Opinion from SAB Member: Dr. Barry Perlman
Recommendations from a multidisciplinary panel of infectious disease physicians and pharmacists from 18 North American institutions regarding the use of antiviral treatment for severe COVID-19 infection in children.
The panel addressed the following questions:
1. Are antiviral agents indicated in children with COVID-19?
2. What criteria define the pediatric population in whom antiviral use may be considered?
3. Does presence of any underlying medical condition or characteristic warrant different criteria for antiviral use based on increased risk of COVID-19-related morbidity or mortality?
4. What agents are preferred if antiviral therapy is offered to children with COVID-19?
The panel concluded that most pediatric COVID-19 patients have mild disease and just require supportive care. A small proportion develop severe illness requiring respiratory support. Most of these, and some children with critical illness, also only require supportive care. In the absence of available data, possible risk factors for severe COVID-19 in children were discussed–cardiovascular or pulmonary disease, diabetes, cancer, obesity, young age, immunocompromise. On a case by case basis, if antiviral medication is used, remdesivir is recommended as the preferred agent, with hydroxychloroquine as an alternative if remdesivir is contraindicated or not available. Hydroxychloroquine/azithromycin combination and lopinavir-ritonavir are not recommended. Preferably, antivirals should be used as part of a clinical trial, but as of 4/14/20 no US trials are enrolling children < age 12. Of note, subsequent to acceptance of this manuscript, preliminary results from a hydroxychloroquine retrospective analysis and a remdesivir clinical trial, both involving adult COVID-19 patients, did not show benefit. Additional studies are ongoing. - Radiological findings from 81 patients with COVID-19 pneumonia in Wuhan, China: a descriptive study. April 2020. Shi. The Lancet Infectious Diseases.
Another chest CT article, this time with 81 patients. - Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) Infection in Children and Adolescents: A Systematic Review. Apr 23. Castagnoli R. JAMA Pediatr.
Italian authors, retrospective, metanalysis of literature (PUBMD, Cochrane…) from all China except one Singapore, Pediatric population with + PCR. They Identified 815 articles, selected 18 studies (Bias, exclusion criteria addressed with a referee author). N= 1065 includes 444 < 10 years age and 553 >10 but < 19. Slightly higher M >: F ratio. Software assistance, tightness of statistics – but no mention. Majority had mild symptoms, moderate < 20 patient & 1 kid < Shock. No vertical transmission but mainly contact from family. Asymptomatic manifestation for majority noted. 8 patients with rectal swab + ve in spite of – ve NP. Author concludes weakness of study: 3 month window, China factor, no adult comparison, no viral load to clinical picture or viral to immunity…. - Viral load dynamics and disease severity in patients infected with SARS-CoV-2 in Zhejiang province, China, January-March 2020: retrospective cohort study. Apr 23. Zheng S. BMJ.
In this retrospective cohort study, 3497 respiratory, stool, serum, and urine samples were collected from 96 hospitalized Covid-19 patients and evaluated for SARS-CoV-2 RNA viral load. Disease severity was mild in 22 and severe in 74. Infection confirmed in all patients by sputum and saliva testing. RNA was detected in the stool of 55 (59%) and in the serum of 39 (41%) patients. The urine was positive in 1 patient. The median duration of virus in stool (22 days, interquartile range 17-31 days) was longer than in respiratory (18 days, 13-29 days; P=0.02) and serum samples (16 days, 11-21 days; P<0.001). The median duration of virus in the respiratory samples of patients with severe disease (21 days, 14-30 days) was longer than in patients with mild disease (14 days, 10-21 days; P=0.04). In the mild group, the viral loads peaked in respiratory samples in the second week from disease onset, whereas viral load continued to be high during the third week in the severe group. Virus duration was longer in patients > 60 yrs old and in males. 78 (81%) patients received glucocorticoids and 33 (34%) antibiotic treatment. All patients received antiviral Rx with interferon α inhalation, lopinavir-ritonavir combination, arbidol, favipiravir, and darunavir-cobicistat combination. The authors claim no deaths in this group. The main conclusions were that the virus persists for a longer time in stool than in respiratory or serum samples and that patients with more severe disease have a longer respiratory viral persistence with a greater load. This potentially affects their ability to transmit disease to others.
April 23, 2020
- Central Nervous System Involvement by Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus -2 (SARS-CoV-2). Apr 22. Paniz-Mondolfi. J Med Virol.
In this case report of 1, a 74 yo patient with Parkinson’s with a positive nasopharyngeal swab test for SARS-CoV-2 by real-time reverse-transcription-polymerase-chain-reaction amplification was noted to be confused when admitted. He expired on day 11 and at post-mortem, was noted to have viral particles in brain capillary endothelium and actively budding across endothelial cells, though the nature of the virus in the brain was not otherwise defined. - Clinical features of patients infected with 2019 novel coronavirus in Wuhan, China. Feb 24. Huang. The Lancet.
Detailed review of clinical features of COVID-19 presentation and progression from Wuhan; patient data collected prospectively on 41 patients with COVID-19 confirmed by real-time RT-PCR and next-generation sequencing admitted between December 16th, 2019 and January 2nd, 2020. Analysis and information well presented. - CT imaging features of 4,121 patients with COVID-19: a meta-analysis. Apr 22. Zhu. J Med Virol.
Meta-analysis of 34 retrospective studies that describes the lung CT characteristics of patients with COVID-19. The most common charachteristics were bilateral and multi-lobar ground glass opacities. 8% of CTs were normal. Analysis did not include any clinical or outcome information, and suggested CT could help with diagnosis. - Faecal calprotectin indicates intestinal inflammation in COVID-19. Apr 22. Effenberger. Gut.
Austrian PAP Letter to the Editor of GUT noting that fecal calprotectin levels are elevated in 40 COVID-19 inpatients with active diarrhea. - Kidney disease is associated with in-hospital death of patients with COVID-19. Mar 20. Cheng. Kidney International.
A retrospective study, regression analysis, single center 701 (600 + 101 with possibly raised baseline serum creatinine, BUN & low GFR) patient in Wuhan with a possible renal insuffiency and one without. Preexisting renal compromise will progress to acute kidney injury and to a higher mortality. In this cohort, approximately 13% of patients had underlying kidney disease. More than 40% had evidence of abnormal kidney function and 5.1% had acute kidney injury (AKI) during their hospital stay. There was a dose dependent relationship between AKI stages and death, with an excess risk of mortality by at least 4 times among those with stage 3 AKI. Kidney disease is a major complication of COVID-19 and a significant risk factor of death. Nonetheless, the study findings suggest that early identification of those at risk, interventions to provide appropriate support, and avoidance of nephrotoxins, vigilance may help to improve the prognosis of patients with COVID-19. Sudden loss of kidney function, ACE2 association are part of hypothesis. Hazard ratio (3 to 8) with increasing proteinuria, hematuria, AK Stage 3, rising kidney markers. - Lung–kidney interactions in critically ill patients: consensus report of the Acute Disease Quality Initiative (ADQI) 21 Workgroup. Dec. 9, 2019. Joannidis. Intensive Care Medicine.
Consensus report summarizing findings of a June 2018 conference on lung and kidney interactions in critical illness (18 pages, 123+ references). Using ADQI 21 methodology, including critical review of available clinical and research evidence, an international panel of pulmonologists, nephrologists and critical care specialists created clinical recommendations and suggestions for future research.
Clinical recommendations with high quality evidence included lung protective ventilation, conservative fluid management and early recognition and treatment of pulmonary infections. Consensus statements linking AKI and ARDS were developed and the effect of ECMO and RRT on either organ system was explored.
COVID-19 attacks both organ systems and much of this work applies to clinical scenarios clinicians face daily in critical care units around the globe. Despite its volume, this report (18 pages, 123 references), may be of value to clinicians dealing with the impact of COVID-19 on the front lines today. - Presenting Characteristics, Comorbidities, and Outcomes Among 5700 Patients Hospitalized with COVID-19 in the New York City Area
Apr 22. Richardson. JAMA.
Opinion from SAB Member: Dr. David M. Clement, Dr. J. Lance Lichtor
DC: This is a case review of a 12 hospital system in New York City, detailing the characteristics and outcomes of 5,700 patients admitted between March 1 and April 4. Besides the usual co-morbidities (hypertension, obesity and diabetes), only 31% of patients were febrile at triage, 14% needed ICU admission, 12% were intubated and of those intubated, 88% died. This provides an early window into the US experience. The supplementary tables provide a wealth of clinical data. JLL: In this review of 5700 patients admitted between March 1, 2020, and April 4, 2020 to any of 12 Northwell Health acute care hospitals, some clinical characteristics and outcomes were described. The median time to obtain polymerase chain reaction testing results was 15.4 hours, and common morbidities included hypertension, obesity and diabetes. 30% were febrile, almost 20% had a respiratory rate greater than 24 and almost 30% needed supplemental oxygen. The overwhelming majority had a positive COVID-19 test result on the first attempt. About 15% were treated in the ICU; 12% were treated with mechanical ventilation and 3% were treated with kidney replacement. About 20% died. Patients between 18 and 65 were more likely to be treated in the ICU, receive mechanical ventilation, compared to patients older than 65 years. Mortality rates were lower than reported in China.
April 22, 2020
- Audiological profile of asymptomatic Covid-19 PCR-positive cases. Apr 21. Mustafa MWM. Am J Otolaryngol.
Viral infections can cause hearing loss. 20 confirmed positive but asymptomatic COVID-19 patients were compared with 20 controls with normal hearing. The COVID-19 patient group had significantly worse high frequency pure-tone thresholds and transient evoked otoacoustic emission amplitudes, suggesting damage to cochlea hair cells. The paper recommends further research to determine the mechanism of this effect. - COVID-19: impact on cancer workforce and delivery of care. Apr 20. Mayor. The Lancet Oncology.
A Lancet “News” piece stressing the adaptations being made to care for cancer patients during COVID-19. Centralization of cancer care, telemedicine, modifying chemo and radiation treatments and splitting teams of cancer care workers are mentioned. - Category: Emerging Clinical Data and Guidelines
Diarrhea is associated with prolonged symptoms and viral carriage in COVID-19
Apr 13. Wei. Clinical Gastroenterology and Hepatology.
Opinion from SAB Member: Dr. J. Lance Lichtor
In this retrospective analysis of 84 patients with SARS-CoV-2, diarrhea occurred in 31% of patients, and patients with diarrhea had a higher incidence of headache, myalgia or fatigue, cough, sputum production, nausea and vomiting and duration of symptoms and hospital stays were longer for patients who had diarrhea. The digestive system is also a potential pathway for SARS-CoV-2 infection. Though the diarrhea could have been due to antibiotic use–all patients received antibiotics (46% used two antibiotics) and intestinal probiotics relieved diarrhea, which is consistent with diarrhea secondary to antibiotic use. - Dynamic profile of RT-PCR findings from 301 COVID-19 patients in Wuhan, China: a descriptive study. Apr 11. Xiao. J Clin Virol.
More than 2 negative RT-PCR tests may be needed to document viral clearing. Retrospective study of of 301 Wuhan COVID-19 patients with mild – moderative symptoms. Average contagious period (positive RT-PCR test) was 20 days, with 26% still testing positive after 4 weeks. Patients < 65 converted on average earlier than older patients. 23% of the 70 patients with 3 documented consecutive RT-PCR tests had a positive test after 2 negative tests. Throat swab tests had a higher flare negative rate of 41%. - What Has the COVID-19 Pandemic Taught Us so Far? Addressing the Problem from a Hepatologist’s Perspective. Apr 21. Méndez-Sánchez. J Clin Transl Hepatol.
Editorial with 12 international authors.
The authors outline that hepatic injury during COVID-19 illness may be due to systemic inflammation, liver ischemia and hypoxia, exacerbation of pre-existing liver diseases, and drug-related liver injury. ACE2 is expressed in the epithelial cells of bile ducts “however, in the studies conducted so far, no increase in bile duct injury markers, such as gamma-glutamyl transferase and alkaline phosphatase, has been observed.” “It is a matter of debate whether COVID-19 is directly responsible for the development of liver injury, or whether the observed changes are secondary to the systemic inflammation triggered by infection.“ The authors make no specific recommendations other than to emphasize adherence to general recommendations such as social distancing and appropriate hand washing to curtail spread of the virus until treatment or vaccines are available.
April 21, 2020
- Cancer patients in SARS-CoV-2 infection: a nationwide analysis in China. Mar 1. Liang. The Lancet Oncology.
In this letter to the editor, the authors note that COVID-19 patients can have cancer and note that patients with cancer might have a higher incidence of COVID-19 than the general population and that patients with cancer may also have a worse outcomes with COVID-19 disease. - Digestive Symptoms in COVID-19 Patients With Mild Disease Severity: Clinical Presentation, Stool Viral RNA Testing, and Outcomes. Apr 18. Han. Am J Gastroenterol.
Patients with mild Covid-19 illness may present with GI symptoms. This study from Wuhan China identified 206 Covid-19 patients with mild disease of whom 48 had GI symptoms (nausea, vomiting, or diarrhea) alone, 69 had both GI and Respiratory symptoms, and 89 had only respiratory symptoms. All were followed until they had two consecutive daily PCR tests for SARS-CoV-2. Those who presented with GI symptoms waited longer on average to seek treatment, (16 vs. 11.6 days) a longer duration of illness until PCR tests were negative, and a greater likelihood to have positive stool tests. - Endoscopy in inflammatory bowel diseases during the COVID-19 pandemic and post-pandemic period
Apr 16. Iacucci. The Lancet.
Opinion from SAB Member: Dr. W. Heinrich Wurm
This is an international consensus paper by 9 academic centers and 4 societies on the management of inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) and the indications for urgent endoscopy during and after the COVID-19 pandemic. The panel identified 4 clinical scenarios requiring urgent endoscopy and provides well-organized algorithms for each situation. If urgent endoscopy is indicated, ruling out COVID-19 infection and a diagnosis of irritable bowel syndrome (IBS) are high priorities, as COVID-19 infection frequently starts with GI symptomatology (52% in one study). Strict precautions are advised to protect providers and the environment from aerosolized transmission during an endoscopy. An algorithm dealing with post-pandemic gridlock in the endoscopy suite is helpful in prioritizing postponed diagnostic and therapeutic interventions. - Risk Factors Associated with Disease Severity and Length of Hospital Stay in COVID-19 Patients. Apr 20 Liu. J Infect.
Pre-Proof article from China which reptrospectively studied 99 patients who recovered from COVID-19 and identified risk factors for severe disease. Since study was retrospective, did not include deaths, and had nothing new. - The performance of chest CT in evaluating the clinical severity of COVID-19 pneumonia: identifying critical cases based on CT characteristics. Apr 19. Lyu. Invest Radiol.
Retrospective study from a single center in China regarding utility of CT scan in diagnosis of COVID19. N= 51. Three groups: mild, moderate, and severe. All groups were tested and scored on: 1. clinical score, 2. qualitative score, 3. quantitative, 4. AI score. Don’t know who were excluded. Stastics had fitness test besides standard tests (P…… ) Comparing mild to severe. Their conclusion: “The combined use of qualitative and quantitative indicators could distinguish cases at different clinical stages, might provide help to facilitate the fast identification and management of critical cases, thus reducing the mortality rate. Critical cases had higher total severity score (>10) and total score for crazy-paving and consolidation (>4) than ordinary cases, and had higher mean lung density (>-779HU) and full width at half maximum (>128HU) but lower relative volume of normal lung density (≦50%) than ordinary/severe cases. CT imaging findings could help to continuously monitor the treatment effects objectively in the follow-up as well as provide guidance for clinical management and treatment.”
April 20, 2020
- Joint statement on safely resuming elective surgery after the COVID-19 pandemic
Apr 17. American College of Surgeons; American Society of Anesthesiologists; Association of periOperative Registered Nurses; American Hospital Association.
Opinion from SAB Member: Dr. Jagdip Shah
In response to the COVID-19 pandemic, the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS), the U.S. Surgeon General and many medical specialties such as the American College of Surgeons and the American Society of Anesthesiologists recommended interim cancelation of elective surgical procedures. Physicians and health care organizations have responded appropriately and canceled non-essential cases across the country. Many patients have had their needed, but not essential, surgeries postponed due to the pandemic. When the first wave of this pandemic is behind us, the pent-up patient demand for surgical and procedural care may be immense, and health care organizations, physicians and nurses must be prepared to meet this demand. Facility readiness to resume elective surgery will vary by geographic location. The following is a list of principles and considerations to guide physicians, nurses and local facilities in their resumption of care in operating rooms and all procedural areas. - Sequential analysis of viral load in a neonate and her mother infected with SARS-CoV-2. Apr 17. Han MS. Clin Infect Dis.
An interesting manuscript: 27-day old neonate, born almost at 39 wks and her mother were diagnosed with COVID-19. About a month after the baby was born, her mother and father developed symptoms of COVID-19 and the baby and mother both tested positive and were hospitalized. Though at its early stage, the viral load was highest in the nasopharynx, up until the 18th day it was high in the infant’s stool, when respiratory specimens were negative. It’s not clear if virus detected in stool and urine was viable, still important to wash hands after changing a diaper.
April 17, 2020
- COVID-19 pneumonia: different respiratory treatments for different phenotypes? Apr 16. Gattinoni L. Intensive Care Med.
Clinical observations from experienced researchers conclude two types of lung disease exist variably in COVID-19 patients; patient presentation may depend on severity of infection, initial patient response to hypoxemia and the time from symptom onset to hospital admission. Type L is described as low elastance with retained lung compliance, low VA/Q ratio and normal lung weight. As hypoxemia worsens, patient generated large tidal volumes increase negative intrathoracic pressure which may cause further lung damage. Type H is defined as high elastance due to increased pulmonary edema, high shunt, high lung weight and high lung recruitability. Excellent discussion and physiologic explanation for managing patients with different lung support strategies and ventilatory assistance in both stages. Important discussion for all physicians engaged in treating COVID-19 patients who may present at different stages of the disease which require different ventilatory strategies which may prevent deterioration if treated early in the course.
April 16, 2020
- Prediction models for diagnosis and prognosis of Covid-19 infection: systematic review and critical appraisal. Apr 9. Wynants L. BMJ.
Reviews 31 predictive models for risk of Covid-19 pneumonia, risk of hospital admission, and risk of disease severity/death. The author didn’t recommend any of them because of poor design, bias, and poor patient follow-up. Accompanying editorial points out explosion of poorly written articles on Covid-19. Asks the question? Do we really need anymore “case studies” on CT imaging of covid-19, when there are over 250 artilcles already published.
April 15, 2020
- Battling COVID-19: Critical care and peri-operative healthcare resource management strategies in a tertiary academic medical centre in Singapore. Apr 9. Lee CCM. Anaesthesia.
This report from Singapore describes the experience of a 1250 bed tertiary care hospital, outlining their overall strategies for dealing with the SARS-CoV-2 epidemic. The authors outline planning, administrative efficiency, training of personnel to perform expanded or new roles, and pre-defined, tiered conversions of care facilities to accommodate needs. ORs became ICU beds, wards were converted to higher levels of care. The authors emphasize the predetermined triggers to implement next steps.
April 11, 2020
- Interim Guidance for Basic and Advanced Life Support in Adults, Children, and Neonates With Suspected or Confirmed COVID-19: From the Emergency Cardiovascular Care Committee and Get With the Guidelines-Resuscitation Adult and Pediatric Task Forces of the American Heart Association in Collaboration with the American Academy of Pediatrics, American Association for Respiratory Care, American College of Emergency Physicians, The Society of Critical Care Anesthesiologists, and American Society of Anesthesiologists: Supporting Organizations: American Association of Critical Care Nurses and National EMS Physicians Apr 9. Edelson. Circulation.
Opinion from SAB Member: Dr. Jack Lance Lichtor
It can be a challenge resuscitating a patient with COVID-19. To that end, the AHA, along with some other organizations of pediatrics, respiratory care, emergency physicians, critical care physicians, and anesthesiologists provided some interim guidance for rescuers treating patients with COVID-19 who are victims of cardiac arrest. Key points include protection from unnecessary exposure, prioritize oxygenation and ventilation strategies that minimize risk of aerosolization, and consider how appropriate it is to start or continue resuscitation. For patients who do not have COVID-19 or if COVID-19 is not suspected, cardiac arrest resuscitation should follow standard algorithms.
April 10, 2020
- Coagulopathy and Antiphospholipid Antibodies in Patients with Covid-19. Apr 9. Zhang. NEJM.
Case report and comparison with 2 other COVID-19 patients in Wuhan who presented with coagulopathy, antiphospholipid antibodies, and multiple cerebral infarcts. SARS-CoV-2 was confirmed with RT-PCR or serologic testing. All three patients had histories of multiple co-morbidities. The case report patient was age 69 with a history of HTN, DM, and CVA. He had leukocytosis, thrombocytopenia, elevated PT. aPTT, fibrinogen, and D-dimer. Patients 2 and 3 did not have leukocytosis or as markedly elevated D-dimer, and patient 3 had a normal Plt count. All 3 showed presence of anticardiolipin IgA and anti-B2-glycoprotein I IgA and IgG antibodies, and negative lupus anticoagulant.
April 9, 2020
- Clinicolaboratory study of 25 fatal cases of COVID-19 in Wuhan. Apr 8. Tu. Intensive Care Med.
An interesting read that just reaffirms what we already know about the subset of patients who are most likely to die and their abnormal lab values more likely associated with death, i.e., interleukin-6, C-reactive protein and D-dime. Single center retrospective analysis focusing on fatality markers of the disease by comparing lab data of survivors with non-survivors. Among 174 patients, mortality was 14.4%. Older males with comorbidities (diabetes, heart disease, COPD) were at higher risk and non-survivors had pronounced lymphocytopenia, abnormal coagulation, elevated D-dimer levels and showed evidence of cytokine abnormalities with high IL-6 and CRP levels.
April 8, 2020
- Characteristics of peripheral lymphocyte subset alteration in COVID-19 pneumonia. Mar 30. Wang. The Journal of Infectious Diseases.
COVID-19 SAB Opinion from: Dr. Jay Przybylo
A short but significant article that demonstrates that a variety lympohocyte subset counts change as the severity of COVID-19 infection increases. Specifically, drop in CD8+ level is a predictor of disease severity. A cautionary note: This is a study of a small and specific population. The treatment discussed is neither controlled nor available everywhere. - Clinical characteristics of 25 death cases with COVID-19: a retrospective review of medical records in a single medical center, Wuhan, China. Apr 7. Li. Int J Infect Dis.
Interesting early observations; however, newer data is probably more relevant and complete. - Covid-19 worldwide: we need precise data by age group and sex urgently. Apr 5. Bhopal. BMJ.
An editorial plea for data collection that simply is too late for much of the world. - Delivery of infection from asymptomatic carriers of COVID-19 in a familial cluster. Apr 6. Ye. Int J Infect Dis.
This article is from China and demonstrates that Covid-19 can indeed be transmitted before symptoms begin by their examination of a family cluster of infection. - Global coalition to accelerate COVID-19 clinical research in resource-limited settings. Apr 6. COVID-19 Clinical Research Coalition. Lancet.
Lancet article authored by COVID-19 Clinical Research Coalition briefly discussing the issues that face poorer countries worldwide, an expected fatality rate approaching 5% and asking for the various care groups to share information for the good of all. - Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on care activity in interventional cardiology in Spain. Feb 4. Oriol Rodríguez-Leor. REC Interv Cardiol.
The number of emergency procedures for heart attacks in Spain during the last week in March was reduced by 40% compared to the period just before the start of the pandemic. It’s not just the streets that have less activity now. - Original Article: Covid-19 Does Not Lead to a “Typical” Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome. 3/30/20. Gattinoni. American Thoracic Society.
Review by the SAB
Excellent discussion based upon 16 ventilated COVID-19 patients that the virus does not cause a typical ARDS and these patients may benefit from low PEEP and prone positioning. - Reply to: Hedenstierna et al, Haouzi et al, Maley et al, Fowler et al, Bhatia and Mohammed, Bos, & Koumbourlis and Motoyama. 6/24/20. Gattinoni L. Am J Respir Crit Care Med.
Review by the SAB
By Dr. Barry Perlman, on behalf of the SAB
Response to correspondence regarding previously reviewed letter to the Am J Respir Crit Care Med by Gattinoni et al on COVID-19 and ARDS. The response reiterates two phenotypes of COVID-19 pneumonia:- Early L phenotype — atypical ARDS with lower elastance, lower Va/Q, lower recruit ability and lower lung weight.
- Late H phenotype — typical ARDS with higher elastance, higher R->L shunt, higher recruit ability, and higher lung weight.
They suggest the “contradictory results” reported by others may be due to the time of observation and reflect progression to the late H phenotype of the disease. They reiterate that the important feature of the L phenotype is not the high respiratory system compliance per se but the Va/Q mismatch induced hypoxia with a lung gas volume greater than is seen with ARDS “baby lung.”
They re-discuss mechanical ventilation management for the different phenotypes and suggest that the wide global disparity in COVID-19 ICU mortality rate may reflect the impact of “standard ARDS” treatment. - Prepare to adapt: Blood supply and transfusion support during the first 2 weeks of the 2019 Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic affecting Washington State Mar 21. Pagano. Transfusion.
COVID-19 SAB Opinion from: Dr. Lydia Cassorla
A report from Seattle documenting reduced supply and utilization of blood products as the epidemic spreads in their area.
April 5, 2020
- Early Lessons From the Frontline of the 2019-nCoV. Feb. 11. Zhang. The Lancet.
C19SAB Opinion from: Dr. Jack Lance Lichtor
A physician working on the frontline in Wuhan explained what treating patients with this disease taught him. Though we complain in the US about the lack of early detection, a lack of understanding that patients may be contagious during the incubation period, the lack of availability of protective equipment, the inability to get certain drugs, the lack of hospital beds for patients with other diseases, and the lack of enough hospital beds for patients with COVID-19 disease, this physician explained that in China they had the same issues as we have here. - Preparing for a COVID-19 Pandemic: A Review of Operating Room Outbreak Response Measures in a Large Tertiary Hospital in Singapore. Mar 11. Wong. Canadian Journal of Anaesthesia.
COVID-19 SAB Opinion from: Dr. Lydia Cassorla
This is a well-illustrated in-depth discussion of multiple aspects of a major Singapore medical center’s approach to caring for patients in the COVID-19 era, with 72 references cited. Preparation for a pandemic involves considering the different levels in the hierarchy of controls as well as the different phases of the pandemic. In the OR setting, these measures include the modification of infrastructure and processes, management of staff and patients, infection prevention strategies, and clinical recommendations.
April 3, 2020
- Antibody responses to SARS-CoV-2 in patients of novel coronavirus disease 2019 Mar 28. Zhao. Clinical Infectious Diseases.
COVID-19 SAB Opinion from: Dr. Jack Lance Lichtor, Dr. Lydia Cassorla
JLL: For patients with COVID-19 infection, the antibody response to infection is strongly induced. LC: Highly specific testing of receptor binding protein (Ab), IgM, and IgG was performed repeatedly in 173 COVID-19 patients. Onset of positive Ab>IgM>IgG. Antibody testing may play an important role, in combination with PCR, to track and manage COVID-19. - Characteristics of Ocular Findings of Patients With Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) in Hubei Province, China; published March 31, 2020; First author last name: Wu; Source: JAMA Ophthalmology.
In this study of patients with COVID-19 infection who were retrospectively reviewed, 1/3 had ocular abnormalities; and the prevalence of COVID-19 in the tears was low, though transmission could occur via the eyes. - Comorbidity and its impact on 1590 patients with Covid-19 in China: A Nationwide Analysis. Mar 26. Guan. European Respiratory Journal.
In this study of patients with COVID-19 infection in China, circulatory and endocrine comorbidities were common and those with only one comorbidity had poor clinical outcomes. - Forecasting COVID-19 impact on hospital bed-days, ICU-days, ventilator- days and deaths by US state in the next 4 months. Mar 25. health.org.
Study funded by the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation and the State of Washington presenting the first set of estimates of predicted health service utilization and deaths due to COVID-19 by day for the next 4 months for each state in the US, assuming social distancing measures are enacted in all states. - Lessons learned from first COVID-19 cases in the United States. Mar 31. Landau. Anesthesia & Analgesia.
Assessment of data surrounding best anesthesia management of pregnant women who have tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 (COVID-19) - Preliminary Estimates of the Prevalence of Selected Underlying Health Conditions Among Patients with Coronavirus Disease 2019 Apr 3. CDC COVID-19 Response Team. CDC.
COVID-19 SAB Opinion from: Dr. Barry Perlman
Preliminary data from CDC that diabetes mellitus, chronic lung disease and cardiovascular disease were the most frequently reported comorbidities associated with admission to the hospital or ICU.
April 2, 2020
- Abnormal coagulation parameters are associated with poor prognosis in patients with novel coronavirus pneumonia. Feb 19. Tang. Journal of Thrombosis and Hemostasis.
In this study, the coagulation parameters of consecutive NCP cases in our hospital were shown and the differences between survivors and non‐survivors were investigated. - Characteristics and Outcomes of 21 Critically Ill Patients With COVID-19 in Washington State. Mar 19. Arentz. NEJM.
A case series describing the clinical presentation, characteristics, and outcomes of 21 incident cases of COVID-19 admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) at Evergreen Hospital in Washington state. - Neonatal Early-Onset Infection With SARS-CoV-2 in 33 Neonates Born to Mothers With COVID-19 in Wuhan, China. Mar 26. Zeng. JAMA Pediatrics.
Case summary of neonates born to infected mothers.
April 1, 2020
- Clinical characteristics of 113 deceased patients with coronavirus disease 2019: retrospective study. Mar 26. Chen. BMJ.
Data were collected from a cohort of 799 patients, 113 who died and 161 who recovered, with a diagnosis of covid-19 in Wuhan, China. - Estimates of the severity of coronavirus disease 2019: a model-based analysis. Mar 30. Verity. The Lancet.
Robust estimates, accounting for censoring and ascertainment biases, of fatality ratios of coronavirus. - Evidence for gastrointestinal infection of SARS-CoV-2. Feb 27. Xiao. Gastroenterology.
The authors observed in more than 20% of SARS-CoV-2 patients that the viral RNA remained positive in feces even after negative conversion of the viral RNA in respiratory tract.
March 31, 2020
- 68 Consecutive patients assessed for COVID‐19 infection; experience from a UK regional infectious disease unit. Mar 29. Easom. ISIRV.
Assessment of possible infection with SARS‐CoV‐2 in 68 patients at a Regional Infection Unit in the UK. - Clinical and CT features in pediatric patients with COVID‐19 infection: Different points from adults. Mar 5. Xia. Pediatric Pulmonology.
Discusses the different characteristics of clinical, laboratory, and CT in pediatric patients vs adults with COVID‐19 infection. - Clinical Characteristics of Coronavirus Disease 2019 in China. Feb 28. Guan. NEJM.
Review of 1099 patients with laboratory-confirmed Covid-19 from 552 hospitals in 30 provinces, autonomous regions, and municipalities in mainland China through January 29, 2020. The primary composite end point was admission to an intensive care unit (ICU), the use of mechanical ventilation, or death. - Neuroinfection may potentially contribute to pathophysiology and clinical manifestations of COVID-19. Mar 29. Steardo. Acta. Phys.
If the SARS – CoV‐2 virus had a significant neurotropism, could its presence in the CNS be pathophysiologically relevant?
March 30, 2020
March 26, 2020
- COVID-19 FAQs and Clinical Questions. Last updated: March 26, 2020.
- COVID-19 may spread from moms to infants and by seemingly healthy kids. CIDRAP. March 26, 2020.
- Early Transmission Dynamics in Wuhan, China, of Novel Coronavirus–Infected Pneumonia. March 26, 2020.
- Evidence of SARS-CoV-2 Infection in Returning Travelers from Wuhan, China. March 26, 2020.
- Letter to the Editor: Neuraxial procedures in COVID-19 positive parturients. A review of current reports. Bauer, Melissa E DO; Chiware, Ruth MD; Pancaro, Carlo MD. March 26, 2020.
March 25, 2020
March 24, 2020
- Critical Organizational Issues for Cardiologists in the COVID-19 Outbreak: A Frontline Experience From Milan, Italy.
- Italian doctors note high COVID-19 death rate, urge action. CIDRAP. March 24, 2020.
March 20, 2020
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March 15, 2020
March 2020
- A&A is fast-tracking new submissions on COVID-19, including articles and manuscripts; and items for A&A Practice, Letter to Editor, and Open Mind. High priority topics include: 1) global health, 2) critical care and resuscitation, 3) patient safety, 4) healthcare economics, policy and organization, 5) patient blood management, and 6) basic science. March 2020.
- Demand for Inpatient and ICU Beds for COVID-19 in US: Lessons Learned from Chinese Cities. Li et al. March 2020.
- For an overview, click here.
- For the complete article, click here.
- Establishing and Managing a Temporary Coronavirus Disease 2019 Specialty Hospital in Wuhan, China. March 2020.
- Response of Chinese Anesthesiologists to the COVID-19 Outbreak. Hong-Fei Zang et al. March 2020.
- Special Article Series on China and COVID-19 in Anesthesiology. March 2020.
- The Wuhan China experience: anesthesiologists and COVID-19, recommendations on patient management, lessons learned, and evidence-based articles.
February 2020
- Report of the WHO-China Joint Mission on Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) Feb 16. WHO.
Opinion from SAB Member: Dr. Barry Perlman
Joint Mission was a series of meetings and field visits from February 16-24, 2020 by 25 Chinese and international experts, headed by Dr. Bruce Aylward of WHO and Dr. Wannian Liang of the People’s Republic of China. The major objectives: 1) To enhance understanding of the evolving COVID-19 outbreak in China and the nature and impact of ongoing containment measures; 2) To share knowledge on COVID-19 response and preparedness measures being implemented in countries affected by or at risk of importations of COVID-19; 3) To generate recommendations for adjusting COVID-19 containment and response measures in China and internationally; and 4) To establish priorities for a collaborative program of work, research and development to address critical gaps in knowledge and response and readiness tools and activities. It was recommended that “uncompromising and rigorous” non-pharmaceutical measures to contain transmission, proactive surveillance, rapid diagnosis and isolation, and tracking and quarantine of close contacts should be employed globally.
- SAB Comment: The IARS COVID-19 SAB recommends to readers the following group of opinion articles recently published in JAMA written by several members of a pandemic scientific advisory board that counseled President Biden during his transition. We provide these links not as an IARS SAB endorsement of the views expressed, but to encourage readers to review this reflective and forward-looking discussion at the two-year mark of the COVID-19 pandemic and during the current Omicron variant surge.
- Emerging Clinical Data and Guidelines (USA / International)
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